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Modelos De Valoracion De Activos Condicionales: Un Panorama Comparativo Con Datos Españoles

  • Belén Nieto

    ()

  • Rosa Rodríguez

    ()

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    Este trabajo trata de profundizar en el papel de la información del momento económico cuando ésta se incorpora a los modelos de valoración de activos. Para ello, en primer lugar, se hace una descripción de la teoría de valoración de activos que engloba todos los modelos de valoración existentes, tanto estáticos como dinámicos, así como las dos formas fundamentales de contemplar dinamismo. Además, se acompaña de una ilustración, para el caso del mercado español, que presenta los resultados empíricos de tres modelos clásicos en la literatura, el CAPM estándar, un modelo CAPM con consumo y el modelo de tres factores de Fama y French (1993). El trabajo muestra los resultados cuando se utilizan dos formas diferentes de condicionar: modelos escalados a la Cochrane (1996) y modelos condicionados a la Jagannathan y Wang (1996). Encontramos que el comportamiento empírico de los modelos condicionales mejora respecto a sus versiones incondicionales, donde además, los modelos escalados presentan menores errores de valoración y menores distancias de Hansen y Jagannathan que los correspondientes condicionados.

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    Paper provided by Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa in its series Documentos de Trabajo de Economía de la Empresa with number db040202.

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    Date of creation: Feb 2004
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    Handle: RePEc:cte:dbrepe:db040202
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    1. Campbell, John, 1996. "Understanding Risk and Return," Scholarly Articles 3153293, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    2. Wayne E. Ferson & Campbell R. Harvey, 1999. "Conditioning Variables and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 7009, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    4. Shanken, Jay, 1992. "On the Estimation of Beta-Pricing Models," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 1-33.
    5. Ravi Jagannathan & Zhenyu Wang, 2002. "Empirical Evaluation of Asset-Pricing Models: A Comparison of the SDF and Beta Methods," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2337-2367, October.
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    9. Lars Peter Hansen & Ravi Jagannathan, 1994. "Assessing Specification Errors in Stochastic Discount Factor Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2001. "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1238-1287, December.
    11. Kothari, S. P. & Shanken, Jay, 1997. "Book-to-market, dividend yield, and expected market returns: A time-series analysis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 169-203, May.
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    19. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/8644 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Sundaresan, Suresh M, 1989. "Intertemporally Dependent Preferences and the Volatility of Consumption and Wealth," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 73-89.
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    24. Keim, Donald B., 1983. "Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality : Further empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 13-32, June.
    25. Gabriel Hawawini & Donald B. Keim, . "On the Predictability of Common Stock Returns: World-Wide Evidence (Revised: 22-94)," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 23-92, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
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