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Volatility Risk Pass-Through

Author

Listed:
  • Yang Liu

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Mariano Croce

    (University of North Carolina at Chapel H)

  • Ivan Shaliastovich

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Ric Colacito

    (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hil)

Abstract

We produce novel empirical evidence on the relevance of output volatility (vol) shocks for both currency and international quantity dynamics. Focusing on G-17 countries, we document that: (1) consumption and output vols are imperfectly correlated within countries; (2) across countries, consumption vol is more correlated than output vol; (3) the pass-through of relative output vol shocks onto relative consumption vol is significant, especially for small countries; and (4) consumption differentials vol and exchange rate vol are disconnected. We rationalize these findings in a frictionless model with multiple goods and recursive preferences featuring a novel and rich risk-sharing of vol shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Liu & Mariano Croce & Ivan Shaliastovich & Ric Colacito, 2016. "Volatility Risk Pass-Through," 2016 Meeting Papers 135, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed016:135
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    6. Ferrara, L. & Istrefi, K., 2016. "Impact des chocs d’incertitude sur l’économie mondiale – Synthèse de conférence," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 206, pages 61-68.
    7. Arezki, Rabah & Liu, Yang, 2020. "On the (Changing) asymmetry of global spillovers: Emerging markets vs. advanced economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Pohl, Walter & Schmedders, Karl & Wilms, Ole, 2021. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous agents and long-run risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 941-964.
    9. Fang, Xiang & Liu, Yang, 2021. "Volatility, intermediaries, and exchange rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 217-233.
    10. Giacomo Toscano & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2020. "Bias optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping," Papers 2004.04013, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    11. Xu, Yahua & Xiao, Jun & Zhang, Liguo, 2020. "Global predictive power of the upside and downside variances of the U.S. equity market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 605-619.
    12. Zhang, Qun & Zhang, Zhendong & Luo, Jiawen, 2024. "Asymmetric and high-order risk transmission across VIX and Chinese futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    13. Min-Ku Lee & See-Woo Kim & Jeong-Hoon Kim, 2022. "Variance Swaps Under Multiscale Stochastic Volatility of Volatility," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 39-64, March.

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    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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