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Volatility Risk Pass-through

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  • Riccardo Colacito
  • Mariano Max Croce
  • Yang Liu
  • Ivan Shaliastovich

Abstract

We develop a novel measure of volatility pass-through to assess international propagation of output volatility shocks to macroeconomic aggregates, equity prices, and currencies. An increase in country's output volatility is associated with a decrease in its output, consumption, and net exports. The average consumption pass-through is 50% (a 1% increase in output volatility increases consumption volatility by 0.5%) and it increases to 70% for shocks originating in smaller countries. The equity volatility pass-through is 90%, whereas the link between volatility of currency and fundamentals is weak. A novel channel of risk sharing of volatility risks can explain our empirical findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Riccardo Colacito & Mariano Max Croce & Yang Liu & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2018. "Volatility Risk Pass-through," NBER Working Papers 25276, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:25276
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    10. Giacomo Toscano & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2020. "Bias optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping," Papers 2004.04013, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
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    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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