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International R&D Spillovers and Asset Prices

Author

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  • Federico Gavazzoni
  • Ana Maria Santacreu

Abstract

We study the international propagation of long-run risk in the context of a general equilibrium model with endogenous growth. Innovation and international diffusion of technologies are the channels at the core of our mechanism. A calibrated version of the model matches several asset pricing and macroeconomic quantity moments, alleviating some of the puzzles highlighted in the international macro-finance literature. Our model predicts that country-pairs that share more R&D have less volatile exchange rates and more correlated stock market returns. Using data from a sample of 19 developed countries, we provide suggestive empirical evidence in favor of our model?s predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Federico Gavazzoni & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2015. "International R&D Spillovers and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2015-41, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2015-041
    DOI: 10.20955/wp.2015.041
    Note: Forthcoming in Journal of Financial Economics
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    Cited by:

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    2. Annika Alexius & Daniel Spang, 2018. "Stock prices and GDP in the long run," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(4), pages 1-7.
    3. Anagnostopoulos, Alexios & Atesagaoglu, Orhan Erem & Faraglia, Elisa & Giannitsarou, Chryssi, 2022. "Cross country stock market comovement: A macro perspective," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 34-48.
    4. Chen, Shiu-Sheng, 2017. "Exchange rate undervaluation and R&D activity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 148-160.
    5. Grüning, Patrick, 2018. "Heterogeneity in the internationalization of R&D: Implications for anomalies in finance and macroeconomics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 132-138.
    6. Grüning, Patrick, 2017. "International endogenous growth, macro anomalies, and asset prices," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 118-148.
    7. Giuliano Curatola & Michael Donadelli & Patrick Grüning, 2022. "Technology trade with asymmetric tax regimes and heterogeneous labour markets: Implications for macro quantities and asset prices," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3805-3831, October.
    8. Chien, YiLi & Lustig, Hanno & Naknoi, Kanda, 2020. "Why are exchange rates so smooth? A household finance explanation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 129-144.
    9. Donadelli, Michael & Grüning, Patrick, 2021. "Innovation dynamics and fiscal policy: Implications for growth, asset prices, and welfare," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    10. Patrick Grüning & Justina Banionienė & Lina Dagilienė & Michael Donadelli & Marcus Jüppner & Renatas Kizys & Kai Lessmann, 2021. "The Quadrilemma of a Small Open Circular Economy Through a Prism of the 9R Strategies," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 96, Bank of Lithuania.
    11. Hsu, Yen-Ju & Wang, Yanzhi, 2023. "Technology spillover, corporate investment, and stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 238-250.
    12. Jiang, Zhengyang & Richmond, Robert J., 2023. "Origins of international factor structures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 1-26.
    13. Kanda Naknoi & Hanno Lustig & YiLi Chien, 2017. "Why Are Exchange Rates So Smooth? A Heterogeneous Portfolio Explanation," 2017 Meeting Papers 214, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Schmid, Lukas & Croce, Mariano & Raymond, Steve & Nguyen, Thiên Tung, 2018. "Government Debt and the Returns to Innovation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12617, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    international asset pricing; recursive preferences; long-run risks; innovation; international diffusion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights

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