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The Economic Drivers of Differences in House Price Inflation Rates across MSAs

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  • Fuess, Roland
  • Zietz, Joachim

Abstract

This study examines why monetary policy at the national level can have vastly different effects on appreciation rates of single family houses across metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs). The study employs Case/Shiller monthly house price index data for 19 MSAs from 1992:06 to 2014:12 and FHFA quarterly house price index data for 94 MSAs from 1992:3 to 2014:4. We model the importance of MSA-specific demand and supply characteristics through a set of interaction terms between these factors and monetary policy. The empirical analysis is cast in terms of a state-space approach with a stochastic trend component to absorb the impact of omitted variables. Robustness checks use panel data estimators with interaction terms. A lower federal funds rate is associated with home price run-ups in MSAs that are characterized by higher demand and tighter supply conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuess, Roland & Zietz, Joachim, 2015. "The Economic Drivers of Differences in House Price Inflation Rates across MSAs," Working Papers on Finance 1526, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:usg:sfwpfi:2015:26
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    Cited by:

    1. William D. Larson & Andrew B. Martinez, 2024. "House Prices, Debt Burdens, and the Heterogeneous Effects of Mortgage Rate Shocks," Working Papers 2024-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    2. Brausewetter, Lars & Thomsen, Stephan L. & Trunzer, Johannes, 2022. "Explaining regional disparities in housing prices across German districts," IWH Discussion Papers 13/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Wei Gao & Shan Wei & Chen Geng & Jing He & Xiuting Li & Shuqin Liu, 2024. "The Role of the Real Estate Sector in the Economy: Cross-National Disparities and Their Determinants," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-32, September.
    4. An, Galina & Becker, Charles & Cheng, Enoch, 2021. "Housing price appreciation and economic integration in a transition economy: Evidence from Kazakhstan," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    5. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2021. "A regional decomposition of US housing prices and volume: market dynamics and Portfolio diversification," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 66(2), pages 279-307, April.
    6. Belloc, Ignacio, 2024. "Family house prices in the US: Convergence clubs by county (1975-2022)," MPRA Paper 121487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Markmann, Holger & Zietz, Joachim, 2017. "Determining the effectiveness of the Eurosystem’s Covered Bond Purchase Programs on secondary markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 314-327.
    8. Livy, Mitchell R., 2017. "The effect of local amenities on house price appreciation amid market shocks: The case of school quality," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 62-72.
    9. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2019. "A Regional Decomposition of US Housing Prices and Volume: Market Dynamics and Economic Diversification Opportunities," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-06, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    House price inflation; demand and supply factors; federal funds rate; monetary policy; state-space models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General

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