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Common information in carry trade risk factors

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  • Byrne, Joseph P.
  • Ibrahim, Boulis Maher
  • Sakemoto, Ryuta

Abstract

Carry returns have been widely observed in the FX market. This study exploits the common information embedded in several factors previously identified as relevant to carry trade returns. We find that the extracted common factor successfully models the time series and cross-sectional characteristics of carry returns. Empirical evidence is presented that the common factor produces smaller pricing errors than other well known factors, such as innovations of exchange rate volatility and the downside stock market excess return. Our results also suggest that stock market risk is somewhat segmented from FX market risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Byrne, Joseph P. & Ibrahim, Boulis Maher & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2018. "Common information in carry trade risk factors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 37-47.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:52:y:2018:i:c:p:37-47
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2017.11.003
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency carry trade; Risk factor; Principal components; Fama-MacBeth;

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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