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News and households' subjective macroeconomic expectations

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  • Easaw, Joshy
  • Ghoshray, Atanu

Abstract

The purpose of the present paper is to provide microfoundations of how households form subjective expectations of the macroeconomy. We focus on the role of perceived news; distinguishing between good and bad news. The paper introduces a testable model where households give unequal importance (or weights) to 'good' and 'bad' news. The model is empirically verified using household survey data compiled for the US. The results indicate clearly that households give no weight to bad news in the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Easaw, Joshy & Ghoshray, Atanu, 2010. "News and households' subjective macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 469-475, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:32:y:2010:i:1:p:469-475
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hainz, Christa & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Hölzl, Werner, 2016. "Firm Credit Experience and Perceptions of Lending Policy: Business Survey Evidence from Austria," Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145863, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Buchen, Teresa, 2013. "The News Media and the Expectation Formation of Firms," Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80005, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Hainz, Christa & Hölzl, Werner, 2017. "Dynamics of Access to Credit and Perceptions of Lending Policy: Evidence from a Firm Survey," Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168254, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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