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Good news, bad news, consumer sentiment and consumption behavior

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  • Nguyen, Viet Hoang
  • Claus, Edda

Abstract

We explore the reaction of heterogenous consumers to a range of financial and economic news and find asymmetry in the response to news where consumers react to bad news but not to good news. This asymmetry holds uniformly across heterogeneous consumer groups and is consistent with the popular negativity bias in psychology. We find asymmetric mapping from news to consumer sentiment and from consumer sentiment to aggregate consumption that supports the notion of asymmetric consumption behavior.

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  • Nguyen, Viet Hoang & Claus, Edda, 2013. "Good news, bad news, consumer sentiment and consumption behavior," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 426-438.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:39:y:2013:i:c:p:426-438
    DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2013.10.001
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    2. Baghestani, Hamid, 2016. "Do gasoline prices asymmetrically affect US consumers’ economic outlook?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 247-252.
    3. Petar Soric & Mateo Zokalj & Marija Logarusic, 2020. "Economic determinants of Croatian consumer confidence: real estate prices vs. macroeconomy," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 18(2B), pages 240-257.
    4. Petar Sorić & Blanka Škrabić Perić & Marina Matošec, 2022. "Breaking new grounds: a fresh insight into the leading properties of business and consumer survey indicators," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4511-4535, December.
    5. Fišar, Miloš & Reggiani, Tommaso G. & Sabatini, Fabio & Špalek, Jiří, 2020. "Media Bias and Tax Compliance: Experimental Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 12938, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Sorić, Petar & Lolić, Ivana & Claveria, Oscar & Monte, Enric & Torra, Salvador, 2019. "Unemployment expectations: A socio-demographic analysis of the effect of news," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 64-74.
    7. James A Wilcox, 2015. "The Home Purchase Sentiment Index: A New Housing Indicator," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 178-190, October.
    8. Botha, Ferdi & Nguyen, Viet H., 2022. "Opposite nonlinear effects of unemployment and sentiment on male and female suicide rates: Evidence from Australia," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    9. Koivuranta, Matti & Korhonen, Marko, 2021. "Changes in risk preferences: Evidence from Swedish harness horse racing data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 16-32.
    10. Shesen Guo & Ganzhou Zhang, 2020. "Using Machine Learning for Analyzing Sentiment Orientations Toward Eight Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(3), pages 21582440209, August.
    11. Kristoffer Persson, 2020. "Economic Reality, Economic Media and Individuals' Expectations," Papers 2007.13823, arXiv.org.
    12. Konstantina Manou & Panagiotis Palaios & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2019. "Housing wealth, household debt and financial assets: are there implications for consumption?," Working Papers 263, Bank of Greece.
    13. Ahmed, Huson Joher Ali & Azad, A.S.M. Sohel & Poon, Wai Ching & Safiullah, Md, 2023. "Is there a CSI-leverage nexus?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Tiziana Assenza & Fabrice Collard & Patrick Fève & Stefanie Huber, 2024. "From Buzz to Bust: How Fake News Shapes the Business Cycle," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 287, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    15. Gabe de Bondt, 2017. "Confidence and monetary policy transmission," EcoMod2017 10197, EcoMod.
    16. van Giesen, Roxanne I. & Pieters, Rik, 2019. "Climbing out of an economic crisis: A cycle of consumer sentiment and personal stress," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 109-124.
    17. Botezat, Alina, 2017. "Austerity plan announcements and the impact on the employees’ wellbeing," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-16.
    18. Garz, Marcel, 2018. "Effects of unemployment news on economic perceptions – Evidence from German Federal States," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 172-190.
    19. Abosedra, Salah & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Fakih, Ali, 2021. "Dynamics and asymmetries between consumer sentiment and consumption in pre- and during-COVID-19 time: Evidence from the US," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    20. Marie‐Helene Gagnon & Celine Gimet, 2020. "Unconventional economic policies and sentiment: An international assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 1544-1591, June.
    21. S. Heravi & J. Easaw & R. Golinelli, 2016. "Generalized State-Dependent Models: A Multivariate Approach," Working Papers wp1067, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    22. Chi-Wei Su & Xian-Li Meng & Ran Tao & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Chinese consumer confidence: A catalyst for the outbound tourism expenditure?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 696-717, May.
    23. Haibin Xie & Shouyang Wang, 2018. "Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    News; Consumer sentiment; Consumption; Negativity bias;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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