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Macroeconomic factors and index option returns

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  • Lai, Ya-Wen

Abstract

This study empirically investigates whether macroeconomic factors are priced in the cross-section of index option returns. Macroeconomic factors are extracted from a large panel of 132 economic activity indicators using dynamic factor analysis. The empirical analysis employs linear factor methodology with a factor structure including market return and macroeconomic factors. The results show that the risk premia on inflation, term spread, industrial production, and housing factors are significant. Further, business sales is a useful conditioning factor that drives variation in market betas. These extracted macroeconomic factors provide information that is not fully captured by Fama and French's (2015) investment and profitability factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Lai, Ya-Wen, 2017. "Macroeconomic factors and index option returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 452-477.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:48:y:2017:i:c:p:452-477
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2016.11.002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic factors; Option returns; Dynamic factor analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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