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Macroeconomic uncertainty and bank lending

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  • Vegard H. Larsen

  • Ragnar E. Juelsrud

Abstract

We investigate the impact of macro-related uncertainty on bank lending in Norway. We show that an increase in general macroeconomic uncertainty reduces bank lending. Importantly, however, we show that this effect is largely driven by monetary policy uncertainty, suggesting that uncertainty about the monetary policy stance is key for understanding why macro-related uncertainty impacts bank lending.

Suggested Citation

  • Vegard H. Larsen & Ragnar E. Juelsrud, 2022. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and bank lending," Working Papers No 05/2022, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:bny:wpaper:0108
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3035431
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cho, Deaha & Han, Yoonshin & Oh, Joonseok & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2020. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Uncertainty Shocks," Dynare Working Papers 61, CEPREMAP.
    2. Husted, Lucas & Rogers, John & Sun, Bo, 2020. "Monetary policy uncertainty," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 20-36.
    3. Fu, Buben & Luo, Daqing, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and bank leverage: Evidence from China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    4. Burkhard Raunig & Johann Scharler & Friedrich Sindermann, 2017. "Do Banks Lend Less in Uncertain Times?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 84(336), pages 682-711, October.
    5. Nicholas Bloom, 2009. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
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