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Consumption and stock markets in Asian economies

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  • Xiaohui Liu
  • Chang Shu

Abstract

This paper investigates the causal links between stock market performance and consumption for five Asian economies by applying the bound tests of Pesaran et al. and lag augmented VAR of Toda and Yamamoto . We find two-way causal relationships between stock market performance and consumption in the cases of Hong Kong and Taiwan in the long run. The existence of such two-way causal links indicates that stock market performance and consumption mutually affect each other, implying that the previous studies may have overestimated the wealth effect of the stock markets without taking account of the reverse causation from consumption to the stock markets. The short-run effect of the stock market on consumption is more visible than the long-run effect in most of the sample economies, suggesting that changes in consumption directly reflect stock market fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaohui Liu & Chang Shu, 2004. "Consumption and stock markets in Asian economies," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 483-496.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:irapec:v:18:y:2004:i:4:p:483-496
    DOI: 10.1080/0269217042000266435
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simone Salotti, 2010. "An appraisal of the wealth effect in the US: evidence from pseudo-panel data," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2010-06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    2. Mansor H. Ibrahim & Muzafar Shah Habibullah, 2010. "Stock market and aggregate consumption asymmetry: evidence from Malaysia," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 27(1), pages 19-29, March.
    3. Jayaraman, T.K. & Choong, Chee-Keong, 2009. "Growth and oil price: A study of causal relationships in small Pacific Island countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2182-2189, June.

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