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Commodity price volatility with endogenous natural resources

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  • Hansen, James
  • Gross, Isaac

Abstract

Natural resource reserves are exogenous in models of small commodity exporters. Changes in the stock of reserves play no role in the macroeconomy including in business cycle volatility, trade dynamics or exchange rate volatility. We consider richer supply dynamics and model exploration and depletion. We show that an endogenous supply of reserves is important for capturing the stylised facts associated with commodity price shocks including a commodity currency, the crowding-out of non-commodity activity (Dutch-Disease) and a volatile business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Hansen, James & Gross, Isaac, 2018. "Commodity price volatility with endogenous natural resources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 157-180.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:101:y:2018:i:c:p:157-180
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.10.006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity currencies; commodity prices; Dutch Disease; non-renewable resources; optimal policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)
    • Q38 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy (includes OPEC Policy)

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