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Monetary Rules for Commodity Traders

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  • Luis Catão
  • Roberto Chang

Abstract

The paper develops a model of a small economy that trades commodities whose world prices fluctuate exogenously, and studies its implications for monetary policy. It derives analytical characterizations of optimal Ramsey and flexible price allocations under both perfect risk sharing and financial autarky. This allows the paper to identify the crucial roles of production structure, price elasticities, and capital mobility in monetary policy evaluation. In a calibrated example, impulse-responses under PPI targeting track flexible price allocations closely, but can diverge greatly from Ramsey allocations when risk sharing is perfect and intratemporal elasticities are high. In those cases, policy rules that stabilize real exchange rates more than PPI targeting can deliver higher welfare. But PPI targeting is a clear winner under portfolio autarky.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Catão & Roberto Chang, 2013. "Monetary Rules for Commodity Traders," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 61(1), pages 52-91, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:61:y:2013:i:1:p:52-91
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paula Andrea Beltrán-Saavedra, 2015. "Precio del petróleo y el ajuste de las tasas de interés en las economías emergentes," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 013619, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    2. Constantino Hevia & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2015. "Política Monetaria y la Enfermedad Holandesa: Rigidez de Precios y de Salarios," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 18(2), pages 28-60, August.
    3. Eswar S Prasad, 2014. "Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(3), pages 409-429, August.
    4. Leung, Charles Ka Yui & Shi, Song & Ho Tang, Edward Chi, 2013. "Commodity house prices," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 875-887.
    5. Roberto Chang, 2015. "Monetary Policy Under Commodity Price Fluctuations," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 282-296, May.
    6. repec:eee:eecrev:v:101:y:2018:i:c:p:157-180 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Constantino Hevia & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2015. "Monetary Policy and Dutch Disease: The Case of Price and Wage Rigidity," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series,in: Rodrigo Caputo & Roberto Chang (ed.), Commodity Prices and Macroeconomic Policy, edition 1, volume 22, chapter 3, pages 051-089 Central Bank of Chile.
    8. John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1504, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    9. Drago Bergholt, 2014. "Monetary Policy in Oil Exporting Economies," Working Papers No 5/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    10. Luis Catão & Roberto Chang, 2013. "World Food Prices, the Terms of Trade-Real Exchange Rate Nexus, and Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 13/114, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Barbara Rossi, 2012. "The changing relationship between commodity prices and equity prices in commodity exporting," Economics Working Papers 1405, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    12. Matteo Cacciatore, 2013. "Trade, Unemployment, and Monetary Policy," 2013 Meeting Papers 724, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Chang, Roberto & Fernández, Andrés & Gulan, Adam, 2017. "Bond finance, bank credit, and aggregate fluctuations in an open economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 90-109.
    14. Cacciatore, Matteo & Fiori, Giuseppe & Ghironi, Fabio, 2015. "The domestic and international effects of euro area market reforms," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 555-581.
    15. Drago Bergholt & Vegard H Larsen & Martin Seneca, 2017. "Business cycles in an oil economy," BIS Working Papers 618, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Javier Garcia-Cicco & Markus Kirchner & Julio Carrillo & Diego Rodríguez & Fernando Perez & Rocío Gondo & Carlos Montoro & Roberto Chang, 2017. "Financial and real shocks and the effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies in Latin American countries," BIS Working Papers 668, Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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