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Threshold effects in cointegrating relationships

  • Jesus Gonzalo

    ()

  • Jean-Yves Pitarakis

    ()

In this paper we introduce threshold type nonlinearities within a single equation cointegrating regression model and propose a testing procedure for testing the null hypothesis of linear cointegration versus cointegration with threshold effects. Our framework allows the modelling of long run equilibrium relationships that may switch according to the magnitude of a threshold variable assumed to be stationary and ergodic and thus constitutes an attempt to deal econometrically with the potential presence of multiple equilibria. The framework is flexible enough to accomodate regressor endogeneity and serial correlation.

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File URL: http://e-archivo.uc3m.es/bitstream/10016/622/1/GonzaloPitarakisRevision2106.pdf
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Paper provided by Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía in its series Economics Working Papers with number we20060621.

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Date of creation: Jun 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cte:werepe:we20060621
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  1. Robert de Jong, 2004. "Nonlinear estimators with integrated regressors but without exogeneity," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 324, Econometric Society.
  2. George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin & Andy Snell, 2003. "Testing for Cointegration in Nonlinear STAR Error Correction Models," Working Papers 497, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
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