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Random walk, excess smoothness or excess sensitivity? Evidence from literature and an application for Turkish economy

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  • Bilgili, Faik

Abstract

This paper observes the Turkish household’ consumption data to see whether it follows random walk or not. The quarterly data covers the period from 1987:1 to 2003:4. By employing the direct tests for random walk, excess smoothness or excess sensitivity, this study results in both excess sensitivity and excess smoothness and rejects random walk hypothesis for the Turkish consumption pattern.

Suggested Citation

  • Bilgili, Faik, 2006. "Random walk, excess smoothness or excess sensitivity? Evidence from literature and an application for Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 24086, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:24086
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    Cited by:

    1. Terézia Vančová, 2019. "The Excess Smoothness and Sensitivity of Consumption in the V4 Countries," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(6), pages 1653-1663.
    2. Faik Bilgili & Hayriye Hilal Ba l ta, 2016. "Testing the Permanent Income and Random Walk Hypotheses for Turkey," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1371-1378.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    consumption; fiscal policies; seasonality; stationarity; random walk; excess smoothness; excess sensitivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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