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Inflationary Handicap Of The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Evidence From Russia

  • Maslov, Alexander

The paper is devoted to the analysis of impulses summoned by shifts in Russian economy's money supply. We catch the shocks outgoing to primal elements of gross domestic product, i.e. consumption of goods and durables, capital investment, public expenditures and net export. Using VEC model we unravel long- and short-term relationship between money supply and the GDP components finding that in the short term the transmission effect is reversed. Monetary expansion creates critically high level of inflationary expectations, which, via Hicks income effect, hampers major macroeconomic aggregates and impedes the development of raw-based economies. The long-term relationship is consistent with the theory of monetarism, compelling monetary authorities to refrain from excessive regulatory functions.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/50036/1/MPRA_paper_50036.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 50036.

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Date of creation: 01 Jun 2011
Date of revision: 12 Apr 2012
Publication status: Published in Journal of Economic Regulation 4.3(2012): pp. 109-124
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50036
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Web page: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de

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