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State Dependent Preferences Can Explain the Equity Premium Puzzle

  • Angelo Melino

    (University of Toronto)

  • Alan X. Yang

    (Algorithmics Inc.)

We introduce state dependent recursive preferences into the Mehra-Prescott economy. We show that such preferences can match the historical first two moments of the returns on equity and the risk free rate. Other authors have reported similar results using state dependent expected utility preferences. These authors have tended to emphasize the importance of countercyclical risk aversion in explaining the equity premium puzzle. We find that countercyclical risk aversion plays an important role but only when combined with modest cyclical variation in intertemporal substitution. (Copyright: Elsevier)

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File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1094-2025(03)00046-2
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Article provided by Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics in its journal Review of Economic Dynamics.

Volume (Year): 6 (2003)
Issue (Month): 4 (October)
Pages: 806-830

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Handle: RePEc:red:issued:v:6:y:2003:i:4:p:806-830
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  1. Gordon, Stephen & St-Amour, Pascal, 1999. "A Preference Regime Model of Bull and Bear Markets," Cahiers de recherche 9906, Université Laval - Département d'économique.
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  7. R. Mehra & E. Prescott, 2010. "The equity premium: a puzzle," Levine's Working Paper Archive 1401, David K. Levine.
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