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¿Cómo funcionan y se pueden enfrentar los shocks bursátiles en economías abiertas y emergentes?

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Abstract

En este estudio buscamos evidencia de la existencia de una relación entre fluctuaciones macroeconómicas y mercados bursátiles en economías pequeñas y abiertas con diferentes grados de desarrollo (Australia, Chile, Colombia, Nueva Zelandia y Perú). Utilizando modelos de equilibrio general, se encuentra que las fluctuaciones en los mercados bursátiles no se trasmiten a través de cambios en la riqueza y por tanto del consumo privado, sino que los cambios se traspasan al resto de la economía a través del financiamiento de la inversión privada que realizan los intermediarios financieros (bancos). En consecuencia, los shocks en los mercados bursátiles son transmitidos por los bancos hacia el sector real de la economía a través de una menor oferta de crédito. Finalmente, se concluye que la política monetaria podría mejorar en términos de bienestar si se incorporaran las fluctuaciones exógenas (no proveniente de la tecnología) del precio de los activos financieros dentro de una regla monetaria tipo Taylor.

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  • Carlos Garcia & Luis González & Alejandro Granda, 2010. "¿Cómo funcionan y se pueden enfrentar los shocks bursátiles en economías abiertas y emergentes?," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv259, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:ila:ilades:inv259
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity market; monetary policy; small open economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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