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Structural changes in volatility and stock market development: Evidence for Spain

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  • Cunado Eizaguirre, Juncal
  • Biscarri, Javier Gomez
  • Hidalgo, Fernando Perez de Gracia

Abstract

In this paper we review the factors that may lead to structural changes in stock market volatility and present an analysis that assesses whether Spanish stock market volatility has changed significantly over the period 1941-2001. This period corresponds to the years of more profound development of both the financial and the productive sides of the economy in this country. We use alternative methodologies of endogenous breakpoint detection that estimate the dates at which the behavior of stock market volatility changed. The analysis of the Spanish stock market suggests that volatility has behaved in a different manner over the period 1941-2001: From 1972 to 2001, the years of more intense development of the stock market, the Spanish stock market has been characterized by a higher level of volatility and a lower persistence. This effect is partly attributable to the increased growth of trading volume brought about by the economic development process
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  • Cunado Eizaguirre, Juncal & Biscarri, Javier Gomez & Hidalgo, Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2004. "Structural changes in volatility and stock market development: Evidence for Spain," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1745-1773, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:28:y:2004:i:7:p:1745-1773
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    Cited by:

    1. Go Tamakoshi & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2014. "Greek sovereign bond index, volatility, and structural breaks," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 38(4), pages 687-697, October.
    2. Miralles Marcelo, Jose Luis & Quiros, Jose Luis Miralles & Quiros, Maria del Mar Miralles, 2008. "Asymmetric variance and spillover effects: Regime shifts in the Spanish stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 1-15, February.
    3. Bruce Q. Budd, 2016. "Structural break tests and the Greek sovereign debt crisis: revisited," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 40(3), pages 607-622, July.
    4. Cunado Eizaguirre, Juncal & Biscarri, Javier Gomez & Hidalgo, Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2004. "Structural changes in volatility and stock market development: Evidence for Spain," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1745-1773, July.
    5. Xiaodong Du & Dermot J. Hayes & Cindy L. Yu, 2010. "Dynamics of Biofuel Stock Prices: A Bayesian Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(2), pages 418-425.
    6. F. Pérez de Gracia & J. Cuñado; J. Gómez, 2004. "Financial Liberalization and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 124, Society for Computational Economics.

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    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C59 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Other
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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