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The Equity Premium Implied by Production

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  • Urban Jermann

Abstract

This paper studies the determinants of the equity premium as implied by producers' first-order conditions. A closed form expression is presented for the Sharpe ratio at steady-state as a function of investment volatility and adjustment cost curvature. Calibrated to the U.S. postwar economy, the model can generate a sizeable equity premium, with reasonable volatility for market returns and risk free rates. The market's Sharpe ratio and the market price of risk are very volatile. Contrary to most models, the model generates a negative correlation between conditional means and standard deviations of aggregate excess returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Urban Jermann, 2006. "The Equity Premium Implied by Production," NBER Working Papers 12487, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12487 Note: AP
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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