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Global warming and extreme events: Rethinking the timing and intensity of environment policy

  • Michael Funke

    ()

  • Yu-Fu Chen

    ()

  • Aaron Mehrota

    ()

This paper adds to the literature on wealth effects on consumption by disentangling house price effects on consumption for mainland China. In a stochastic modelling framework, the riskiness, rate of increase and persistence of house price movements have different implications for the consumption/housing ratio. We exploit the geographical variation in property prices by using a quarterly city-level panel dataset for the period 1998Q1 – 2009Q4 and rely on a panel error correction model. Overall, the results suggest a significant long run impact of property prices on consumption. They also broadly confirm the predictions from the theoretical model.

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Paper provided by Hamburg University, Department of Economics in its series Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers with number 21105.

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Date of creation: May 2011
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Handle: RePEc:ham:qmwops:21105
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