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The effect of housing and stock market wealth on consumption in emerging and developed countries

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  • Ahec Šonje, Amina
  • Čeh Časni, Anita
  • Vizek, Maruška

Abstract

This study examines the long- and short-run relationship between private consumption, housing wealth, stock market wealth and income. In order to asses this relationship empirically, we use pooled mean group estimators of dynamic heterogeneous panel data on a sample of 30 developed and emerging economies. The sample countries are segmented into three separate panels: a developed bank-based panel, a developed market-based panel, and an emerging bank-based panel. Empirical estimates support the existence of long- and short-run stock market wealth effects in both groups of developed countries, with the effect being particularly strong in the developed market-based countries. A moderate long-run housing wealth effect is confirmed only for the developed bank-based countries, while a very strong short-run housing wealth effect is present in the developed market-based countries. As far as the emerging countries are concerned, the evidence is somewhat inconclusive, but it does seem to suggest that both wealth effects are effective in the long run, with housing wealth being more dominant.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahec Šonje, Amina & Čeh Časni, Anita & Vizek, Maruška, 2014. "The effect of housing and stock market wealth on consumption in emerging and developed countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 433-450.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:38:y:2014:i:3:p:433-450
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2014.03.001
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    3. Anita Ceh Casni, 2017. "Importance of housing wealth effect in selected European countries: evidence from panel VAR model," ERES eres2017_138, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    4. Wong, Wang-Li & Law, Siong Hook & Said, Rusmawati & Chin, Lee, 2015. "Consumption and Housing Wealth: A Malaysian Case that Demonstrates a Negative Relationship," MPRA Paper 96866, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jie Chen & William Hardin & Mingzhi Hu, 2020. "Housing, Wealth, Income and Consumption: China and Homeownership Heterogeneity," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 373-405, June.
    6. Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2015. "European economic sentiment indicator: An empirical reappraisal," EFZG Working Papers Series 1505, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    7. Xiaorong Zhou & Meng-Shiuh Chang & Karen Gibler, 2016. "The asymmetric wealth effects of housing market and stock market on consumption in China," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(2), pages 196-216, April.
    8. Demetris Koursaros & Nektarios Michail & Niki Papadopoulou & Christos Savva, 2018. "To Create or to Redistribute? That is the Question," Working Papers 2018-4, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    9. Feng-Li Lin & Mei-Chih Wang & Hsien-Hung Kung, 2020. "Housing and Stock Market Nexus in the US," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 114-130.
    10. Barrell, Ray & Costantini, Mauro & Meco, Iris, 2015. "Housing wealth, financial wealth, and consumption: New evidence for Italy and the UK," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 316-323.
    11. Čeh Časni Anita & Dumičić Ksenija & Tica Josip, 2016. "The Panel VAR Approach to Modelling the Housing Wealth Effect: Evidence from selected European post-transition economies," Naše gospodarstvo/Our economy, Sciendo, vol. 62(4), pages 23-32, December.
    12. Ersi Athanassiou & Ekaterini Tsouma, 2017. "Financial and Housing Wealth Effects on Private Consumption: The Case of Greece," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 15(1), pages 63-86.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Private consumption; Wealth; Panel cointegration; Emerging economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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