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Short-term market timing using the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio

  • GIOT, Pierre
  • PETITJEAN, Mikael

The Bond-Equity Yield Ratio (BEYR) has recently become a popular relative pricing tool favored by market practitioners. In this paper we compare the short-term profitability of a naive strategy based on the extreme values of the BEYR to the short-term profitability of a more sophisticated strategy relying on regime switches. Although the latter seems to perform better than the former, there is no overwhelming international evidence that these dynamic strategies deliver significantly higher risk-adjusted returns than the buy-and-hold portfolios. In addition, the profitability of these active strategies does not appear to be significantly different when the equity yield, instead of the BEYR, is used as criterion to time the market.

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Paper provided by Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) in its series CORE Discussion Papers with number 2006090.

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Date of creation: 00 Oct 2006
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Handle: RePEc:cor:louvco:2006090
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