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Olivier Coibion

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Working Papers 19598, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Which Measure of Inflation Should a Central Bank Target?
      by noreply@blogger.com (Carola) in Quantitative Ease on 2015-09-06 17:04:00
    2. The Phillips Curve and Inflation
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-21 23:08:29
  2. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2012. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 18273, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Prices are even less sticky when looking at households
      by Economic Logician in Economic Logic on 2012-09-19 19:08:00
    2. 10 Monday PM Reads
      by Barry Ritholtz in The Big Picture on 2012-10-02 02:00:16

    Mentioned in:

    1. Articles for Journal Clubs
      by Liam Delaney in Geary Behaviour Centre on 2010-06-22 22:50:00
    2. Adapting to St. Louis Flood Risk
      by Matthew Kahn in Environmental and Urban Economics on 2016-01-01 22:15:00
    3. How Does Applied Microeconomic Research Accelerate Climate Change Adaptation?
      by Matthew E. Kahn in Environmental and Urban Economics on 2021-05-13 14:39:00
    4. Resposta ao Carlos
      by "O" Anonimo in A Mão Visível on 2010-02-17 12:44:00
    5. Małgorzata Knauff
      by Metablog Obserwatora Finansowego in Obserwator Finansowy on 2009-12-10 17:59:58
    6. H-Index for Journals
      by Francis Diebold in No Hesitations on 2018-03-08 17:47:00
  3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland, 2012. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models: Should Central Banks Raise Their Inflation Targets in Light of the Zero Lower Bound?," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(4), pages 1371-1406.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Is it possible to raise the inflation target?
      by Mainly Macro in Mainly Macro on 2013-08-06 15:17:00
  4. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 126-162, October.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Seeking feedback: Towards a New Keynesian Theory of the Price Level
      by bankunderground in Bank Underground on 2015-07-13 12:30:00
  5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 197-232, January.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Which Measure of Inflation Should a Central Bank Target?
      by noreply@blogger.com (Carola) in Quantitative Ease on 2015-09-06 17:04:00
    2. The Phillips Curve and Inflation
      by thebusinesscycleblog in The business cycle blog on 2016-05-21 23:08:29

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Maarten van Rooij, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," NBER Working Papers 26106, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory
  2. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020. "The Cost of the Covid-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," CESifo Working Paper Series 8292, CESifo.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Health > Distancing and Lockdown > Effect on Economy
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences
  3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Working Papers 2020-60, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Health > Distancing and Lockdown > Effect on Economy
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences
  4. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?," NBER Working Papers 27384, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Behavioral issues > Information
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Behavioral issues > Information
  5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020. "Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8369, CESifo.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Behavioral issues > Information
    2. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Behavioral issues > Information
  6. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2020. "How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8510, CESifo.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic policy > Household support > Cash transfers
  7. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 25482, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory
  8. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2019. "Inflation expectations and firms’ decisions: new causal evidence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1219, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Macroeconomics > Monetary Theory

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2015. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 993-1029, March.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications (AER 2015) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Olivier Coibion, 2012. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-32, April.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small? (AEJ:MA 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 120(1), pages 116-159.

    Mentioned in:

    1. What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities? (JPE 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  4. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 126-162, October.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent? (AEJ:MA 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation, and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(1), pages 341-370, February.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation, and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation (AER 2011) in ReplicationWiki ()
  6. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 197-232, January.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation (AEJ:MA 2015) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2026. "Monetary Policy According to Households: Perceptions, Reactions, and Channels," IZA Discussion Papers 18591, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Firmin Ayivodji & Etienne Briand & Kevin Moran & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026. "Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight: Sentiments, Signals, and Economic Impact," Papers 2605.15092, arXiv.org.

  2. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Coibion, Olivier, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Consumer Expectations and Spending," IZA Discussion Papers 18084, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Yevheniia Bondarenko & Nayeon Kang & Vivien Lewis & Matthias Rottner & Yves Schueler, 2026. "Geopolitical risk in the euro area: measurement and transmission," BIS Working Papers 1348, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Ambrocio, Gene & Fungáčová, Zuzana & Heikkinen, Joni & Kerola, Eeva & Korhonen, Iikka & Norring, Anni, 2025. "Northern insights: Geopolitical risk from Finnish news media," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 13/2025, Bank of Finland.
    3. BBVA Research & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo, 2025. "Global | Geopolítica, geoeconomía y riesgo: un enfoque basado en aprendizaje automático [Global | Geopolitics, geoeconomics and risk: a machine learning approach]," Working Papers 25/14, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.

  3. Erwan Gautier & Frédérique Savignac & Olivier Coibion, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation and Wage Expectations during the Inflation Surge," Working papers 995, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

  4. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Guido Ascari & Alexandre Carrier & Emanuele Gasteiger & Alex Grimaud & Gauthier Vermandel, 2026. "Monetary policy in the Euro Area, when Phillips curves ... are curves," Working Papers 861, DNB.
    2. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Vasudevan, Vittal, 2025. "Macroeconomic Expectations in a War," IZA Discussion Papers 18017, IZA Network @ LISER.
    3. Philippe Andrade & Michael Wicklein, 2025. "Why Have Inflation Expectations Surged Recently? A Historical Perspective," Current Policy Perspectives 25-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    4. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. Erwan Gautier & Frédérique Savignac & Olivier Coibion, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation and Wage Expectations during the Inflation Surge," Working papers 995, Banque de France.
    6. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    7. Ondrej Kusenda & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Attention to food prices and the upward bias in inflation expectations," Working and Discussion Papers WP 9/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    8. Battistini, Niccolò & Neves, Pedro, 2026. "What drives business expectations? A tale of demand and supply," Working Paper Series 3179, European Central Bank.
    9. Razzak, Weshah, 2026. "What The RBNZ Monetary Policy Statements Tell Us About Inflation Targeting in New Zealand 1990-2025," MPRA Paper 128887, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Siye Bae & Sangyup Choi & Sang-Hyun Kim & Myunghwan Andrew Lee & Myungkyu Shim, 2025. "Can We Anchor Macroeconomic Expectations Across Party Lines? Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working papers 2025rwp-255, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    11. Jung, Alexander & Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2025. "Central bank communication with non-experts: insights from a randomized field experiment," Working Paper Series 3103, European Central Bank.

  5. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Coibion, Olivier & Shim, Myungkyu & Lee, Myunghwan Andrew & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Han, Seowoo & Weber, Michael, 2025. "How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 17675, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Kelsey O'Flaherty, 2026. "A New Reason to Hate Grocery Inflation: Measuring and Interpreting Inflation Heterogeneity," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2026-001, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Li, Geng & Sinha, Nitish Ranjan, 2025. "Gauging inflation aversion through the lens of consumer sentiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    4. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Meyer, Justus & van Rooij, Maarten, 2025. "How do rising temperatures affect inflation expectations?," Working Paper Series 3132, European Central Bank.

  6. Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion & Geoff Kenny, 2025. "The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions," IMES Discussion Paper Series 25-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.

    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Inflation Expectations on Households' Beliefs and Actions," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2024-05, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
    2. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Laeven, Luc & Meyer, Justus, 2025. "Consumer attitudes towards a central bank digital currency," Working Paper Series 3035, European Central Bank.
    3. Peter Andre & Felix Chopra & Luca Michels & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026. "Do People Have Economic Expectations?," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 402, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    4. Philip Schnattinger & Prachi Srivastava, 2025. "Household Inflation Uncertainty and Wage Growth Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12216, CESifo.
    5. Christelis, Dimitris & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Jappelli, Tullio & Kenny, Geoff & Meyer, Justus, 2026. "Stockholding in Europe: Evidence from the Consumer Expectations Survey," Working Paper Series 3239, European Central Bank.
    6. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 728, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    7. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2025. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    9. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Coibion, Olivier, 2025. "The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Consumer Expectations and Spending," IZA Discussion Papers 18084, IZA Network @ LISER.
    10. Klaus Gründler & Michael Lamla & Niklas Potrafke & Timo Wochner, 2026. "Experts as Intermediaries," CESifo Working Paper Series 12492, CESifo.
    11. Piccolo, Jessica & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments," IZA Discussion Papers 17770, IZA Network @ LISER.
    12. Francesco Grigoli & Damiano Sandri & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Goibion, 2026. "Monetary policy according to households: perceptions, reactions and channels," BIS Working Papers 1354, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    14. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2026. "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    15. Holm, Håkan J. & Samahita, Margaret & van Veldhuizen, Roel & Wengström, Erik, 2025. "Anchoring and subjective belief distributions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).

  7. van Rooij, Maarten & Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Candia, Bernardo & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "Keeping Up With The Jansens: Causal Peer Effects On Household Spending, Beliefs And Happiness," CEPR Discussion Papers 19133, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Makridis, Christos A. & Wang, Tao, 2024. "Learning from Friends in a Pandemic: Social networks and the macroeconomic response of consumption," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    2. Valenzuela-Rivera, Luis & Pastén, Roberto, 2025. "Max-Neef's 'Threshold Hypothesis' - 30 years later," MPRA Paper 128419, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2026.
    3. Steffen Altmann & Robert Mahlstedt & Malte Rattenborg & Alexander Sebald & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026. "Wage Expectations and Job Search," CESifo Working Paper Series 12420, CESifo.

  8. Valerie R. Boctor & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2024. "On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations," NBER Working Papers 32406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    2. Becker, Christoph Karl & Duersch, Peter & Eife, Thomas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Personalizing probabilistic survey scales," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    3. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    4. Gonzalez-Fernandez, Pedro & Bosch-Rosa, Ciril & Meissner, Thomas, 2025. "Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).

  9. Weber, Michael & Candia, Bernardo & Ropele, Tiziano & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Frache, Serafin & Meyer, Brent & Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Coibion, Olivier & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Tell Me Something I don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-inflation Settings," CEPR Discussion Papers 18299, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Fiorella De Fiore & Damiano Sandri & James Yetman, 2025. "Household perceptions and expectations in the wake of the inflation surge: survey evidence," BIS Bulletins 104, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Łyziak, Tomasz & Pedersen, Michael & Stanisławska, Ewa, 2025. "Consumer inflation expectations and local price changes: Learning from experience," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Fuster, Andreas & Gianinazzi, Virginia & Hackethal, Andreas & Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael, 2026. "The response of debtors to rate changes," SAFE Working Paper Series 469, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    4. Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen & Dotta, Mario, 2025. "Estimating Behavioral Inattention," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 236, pages 1-34.
    5. Cho, Dooyeon & Jung, Jaehun, 2026. "Mind the tone: Responses of inflation expectations to central bankers’ speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    6. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    7. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026. "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12450, CESifo.
    8. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    9. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    10. Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation," Working Papers 24-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    11. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    12. Go Fujii & Shogo Nakano & Kosuke Takatomi, 2025. "Households' Medium- to Long-Term Inflation Expectations Formation: The Role of Past Experience and Inflation Regimes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    13. Rychalovska, Yuliya & Slobodyan, Sergey & Wouters, Raf, 2025. "Survey expectations, learning and inflation dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    14. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302382, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Bernardino, Tiago & Gabriel, Ricardo Duque & Quelhas, João & Silva-Pereira, Márcia, 2025. "The full, persistent, and symmetric pass-through of a temporary VAT cut," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    16. Fabio Braggion & Felix von Meyerinck & Nic Schaub & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2025. "The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11679, CESifo.
    17. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    18. Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026. "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Papers 2604.14467, arXiv.org.
    19. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    20. Brüll, Eduard & Mäurer, Samuel & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work," IZA Discussion Papers 18225, IZA Network @ LISER.
    21. Sohei Kaihatsu & Shogo Nakano & Hiroki Yamamoto, 2024. "Macroeconomic Impact of Shifts in Long-term Inflation Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-18, Bank of Japan.
    22. Nathan Goldstein & Ohad Raveh, 2024. "Looking up the sky: unidentified aerial phenomena and macroeconomic attention," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
    23. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2025. "Who’s on FIRE? Household characteristics and the formation of inflation expectations," Working Papers 852, DNB.
    24. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    25. Ondrej Kusenda & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Attention to food prices and the upward bias in inflation expectations," Working and Discussion Papers WP 9/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    26. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Inflation and trading," SAFE Working Paper Series 419, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    27. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-031, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    28. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert & Trautmann, Stefan & Heinicke, Franziska, 2025. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    29. Benjamin Born & Nora Lamersdorf & Jana-Lynn Schuster & Sascha Steffen, 2025. "From Tweets to Transactions: High-Frequency Inflation Expectations, Consumption, and Stock Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 12361, CESifo.
    30. Buelens, Christian, 2025. "Googling ‘inflation’: Household inflation attention across the euro area," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    31. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    32. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2025. "Measuring Households' Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: The Effect of Panel Conditioning," Working papers 1007, Banque de France.
    33. Jaanika Meriküll & Matthias Rottner, 2025. "Monetary policy and earnings inequality: inflation dependencies," BIS Working Papers 1271, Bank for International Settlements.
    34. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    35. Gonzalez, Felipe & Prem, Mounu, 2025. "Government Support in Times of Crisis: Transfers and the Road to Socialism," OSF Preprints vnz6d_v1, Center for Open Science.
    36. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.

  10. Salle, Isabelle & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2023. "Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab," CEPR Discussion Papers 18684, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Coibion, Olivier & Shim, Myungkyu & Lee, Myunghwan Andrew & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Han, Seowoo & Weber, Michael, 2025. "How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 17675, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Olena Kostyshyna & Isabelle Salle & Hung Truong, 2025. "Anchored Inflation Expectations: What Recent Data Reveal," Staff Working Papers 25-5, Bank of Canada.
    3. Irina A. Beloglazova & Aleksey A. Korikov & Konstantin P. Yurchenko, 2025. "Inflation expectations and perceptions: Experimental evaluations and opportunities for central banks’ communication policy," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 50-68, April.

  11. Damiano Sandri & Francesco Grigoli & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Keep calm and bank on: panic-driven bank runs and the role of public communication," BIS Working Papers 1119, Bank for International Settlements.

    Cited by:

    1. Jaremski, Matthew & Richardson, Gary & Vossmeyer, Angela, 2025. "Signals and stigmas from banking interventions: Lessons from the Bank Holiday of 1933," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Bank for International Settlements, 2026. "Literature review on non-maturity deposit stability: Established factors and recent developments," BCBS Working Papers 47, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. António Cardoso & Marta Cardoso, 2024. "Bank Reputation and Trust: Impact on Client Satisfaction and Loyalty for Portuguese Clients," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-23, July.
    4. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2024. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Haibo Wang & Jun Huang & Lutfu S Sua & Jaime Ortiz & Jinshyang Roan & Bahram Alidaee, 2026. "Dynamic Risk in the U.S. Banking System: An Analysis of Sentiment, Policy Shocks, and Spillover Effects," Papers 2601.01783, arXiv.org.

  12. Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Inflation expectations and misallocation of resources: evidence from Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1437, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Cited by:

    1. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Huang, Xuesong & Lin, Jianhao & Zhang, Yifan, 2026. "The social value of strategic public information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Diego Marino Fages, 2024. "Motivated Forecasts: Experimental Evidence from the Presidential Elections in Argentina," Discussion Papers 2024-08, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
    4. Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-094, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    6. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    7. Kabir, Poorya & Tan, Eugene & Vardishvili, Ia, 2025. "Quantifying the allocative efficiency of capital: The role of capital utilization," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    8. Sha, Yezhou & Wu, Xi, 2025. "Black market prices as inflation predictor: Evidence from China’s hyperinflation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    9. Jonas Dovern & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025. "The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 12266, CESifo.
    10. Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2025. "Inflation expectations and price-setting decisions: insights from the housing market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1507, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Tudi, Tayier & Ni, Mingjie, 2026. "From activism to efficiency: Does ESG shareholder engagement mitigate credit misallocation?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    12. Dmitry Novikov, 2026. "Consumers' Inflation Expectations in Russia and the US: Testing the Diagnostic Expectations Hypothesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 85(1), pages 35-62, March.
    13. Masuda, Kazuto, 2024. "The Special Theory of Employment, Exchange Rate, and Money With the Focus on Inflation and Technological Progress," SocArXiv nxshd, Center for Open Science.

  13. Weber, Michael & Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2023. "Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance," IZA Discussion Papers 16335, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Vesa Pursiainen & Jan Toczynski, 2023. "Retail Investors’ Cryptocurrency Investments," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-51, Swiss Finance Institute.
    2. Dimitris Christelis & Dimitris Georgarakos & Tullio Jappelli & Geoff Kenny & Justus Meyer, 2026. "Stockholding in Europe: Evidence from the Consumer Expectations Survey," CSEF Working Papers 780, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    3. Beckmann, Joscha & Geldner, Teo & Wüstenfeld, Jan, 2024. "The relevance of media sentiment for small and large scale bitcoin investors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    4. Di Casola, Paola & Habib, Maurizio Michael & Tercero-Lucas, David, 2023. "Global and local drivers of Bitcoin trading vis-à-vis fiat currencies," Working Paper Series 2868, European Central Bank.
    5. Lashkaripour, Mohammadhossein & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Basirian, Elnaz & Bouri, Elie, 2025. "The path to sustainable Bitcoin mining: Challenges and barriers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    6. Di Casola, Paola & Habib, Maurizio Michael & Tercero-Lucas, David, 2025. "Global and local drivers of Bitcoin trading vis-à-vis fiat currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    7. Francesco Grigoli & Damiano Sandri & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Goibion, 2026. "Monetary policy according to households: perceptions, reactions and channels," BIS Working Papers 1354, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Civelli, Andrea & Jackson, Laura E., 2025. "Cryptocurrencies, stocks, and economic policy uncertainty: A FAVAR analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  14. Weber, Michael & D'Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 17406, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Lunardelli, Andre, 2025. "Fairness, ambiguity, wage markups and disinflation costs," MPRA Paper 126505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2024. "A Choice-Based Approach to the Measurement of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 0742, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    3. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    4. Binetti, Alberto & Nuzzi, Francesco & Stantcheva, Stefanie, 2024. "People’s understanding of inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    5. Demgensky, Lisa & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2023. "Narratives on the causes of inflation in Germany: First results of a pilot study," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 77, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    6. Isabel Gameiro & Rita Duarte & Ildeberta Abreu, 2024. "Reaching out to the general public: a challenging journey for central banks," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    7. Trebbi, Giovanni, 2025. "Inflation narratives and expectations," Working Paper Series 3158, European Central Bank.
    8. Albin Salmon & Vincent Fleuriet & Paul Vertier, 2025. "Currency Crises and Malnutrition," Working papers 1003, Banque de France.
    9. Sarah Kiesl-Reiter & Melanie Lührmann & Jonathan Shaw & Joachim Winter, 2025. "The formation of subjective house price expectations: the role of perceptions and local economic conditions," IFS Working Papers W25/58, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. Ales Marsal & Katrin Rabitsch & Lorant Kaszab, 2023. "Undesired Consequences of Calvo Pricing in a Non-linear World," Working and Discussion Papers WP 1/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    11. Manish Jha & Jialin Qian & Michael Weber & Baozhong Yang, 2024. "Generative AI, Managerial Expectations, and Economic Activity," Papers 2410.03897, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
    12. Grimaud, Alex & Salle, Isabelle & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2025. "A Dynare toolbox for social learning expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    13. Magud, Nicolás E. & Pienknagura, Samuel, 2025. "Inflated concerns: Exposure to past inflationary episodes and preferences for price stability," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    14. Cho, Dooyeon & Jung, Jaehun, 2026. "Mind the tone: Responses of inflation expectations to central bankers’ speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    15. Teresa Messner & Fabio Rumler, 2023. "Inflation expectations of Austrian households and firms amid high inflation," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/22-Q1/, pages 55-66.
    16. Albuquerque, Rui & de Araujo, Bruno & Brandao-Marques, Luis & Mosse, Gerivasia & de Vletter, Pippy & Zavale, Helder, 2024. "Market timing, farmer expectations, and liquidity constraints," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    17. Ahn, Hie Joo & Xie, Shihan & Yang, Choongryul, 2024. "Effects of monetary policy on household expectations: The role of homeownership," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    18. Okan Akarsu & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation Expectations During the Phases of Inflation," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2519, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    19. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    20. Marchesi, Daniele & Nikolova, Milena & Angelini, Viola, 2024. "Gini Who? The Relationship between Inequality Perceptions and Life Satisfaction," IZA Discussion Papers 16905, IZA Network @ LISER.
    21. Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2025. "Make-up strategies with incomplete markets and bounded rationality," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    22. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026. "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12450, CESifo.
    23. Granziera, Eleanora & Larsen, Wegard H. & Meggiorini, Greta & Melosi, Leonardo, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation : The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1555, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    24. Chin, Alycia & VanEpps, Eric M. & Scholl, Brian & Nash, Steven, 2025. "How should I know? Lack of confidence biases stock market expectations toward zero," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    25. Anthony Brassil & Yahdullah Haidari & Jonathan Hambur & Gulnara Nolan & Callum Ryan, 2024. "How Do Households Form Inflation and Wage Expectations?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    26. Andrea Gazzani & Fabrizio Venditti & Giovanni Veronese, 2024. "Oil price shocks in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1448, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    27. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    28. David, Antonio C. & Pienknagura, Samuel & Yépez, Juan F., 2025. "Can fiscal consolidations announcements help anchor inflation expectations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    29. Salomé Fofana & Paula Patzelt & Ricardo Reis, 2024. "Household Disagreement about Expected Inflation," Discussion Papers 2418, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    30. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking Of Inflation: The Influence Of Fed Speeches On Expectations," Working Papers No 07/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    31. Becker, Christoph & Dürsch, Peter & Eife, Thomas A. & Glas, Alexander, 2023. "Households' probabilistic inflation expectations in high-inflation regimes," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-072, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    32. Grishchenko, Vadim & Gasanova, Diana & Fomin, Egor, 2025. "Visible prices and their influence on inflation expectations of Russian households," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 107-115.
    33. Pascal Büsing & Henning Cordes & Thomas Langer, 2023. "How the provision of inflation information affects pension contributions: A field experiment," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 90(3), pages 633-666, September.
    34. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    35. Qiang Chen & Zechen Yin, 2025. "Informational differences, adaptive learning, and inflation forecast bias," International Studies of Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(3), pages 236-259, September.
    36. Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2024. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-094, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    37. Philippe Andrade & Michael Wicklein, 2025. "Why Have Inflation Expectations Surged Recently? A Historical Perspective," Current Policy Perspectives 25-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    38. Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation," Working Papers 24-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    39. Mark Setterfield, 2022. "Inflation and distribution during the post-COVID recovery: a Kaleckian approach," Working Papers 2209, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    40. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    41. Huber, Florian & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2024. "Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1042-1054.
    42. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    43. YiLi Chien & Shih-Yang Lin & Yi-Chan Tsai, 2026. "U.S. Inflation Inequality between 2010 and 2023," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 108(2), pages 1-22, March.
    44. Go Fujii & Shogo Nakano & Kosuke Takatomi, 2025. "Households' Medium- to Long-Term Inflation Expectations Formation: The Role of Past Experience and Inflation Regimes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    45. Haselmann, Rainer & Heider, Florian & Pelizzon, Loriana & Weber, Michael, 2025. "Key challenges for monetary policy," SAFE Policy Letters 106, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    46. Thierno Thioune & Dieudonné Mignamissi & Séraphin Brice Minkoé Bikoula, 2025. "The Non-linear effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Democracy Matter?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 16(1), pages 5548-5571, March.
    47. Michal Marencak, 2023. "State-dependent inflation expectations and consumption choices," Working and Discussion Papers WP 10/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    48. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2025. "How Do We Learn About the Long Run?," Staff Reports 1150, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    49. Jun Hyung Kim & Jin-Hwan Kim & Jong Jae Lee & Deok Hyun Jang & Won Mo Jang, 2024. "Association Between COVID-19 Risk Perceptions and Economic Expectations During the Pandemic in South Korea," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(4), pages 21582440241, November.
    50. Takayuki Tsuruga & Zichong Yue, 2026. "Overreaction in inflation expectations: Do behavioral attributes of individuals matter?," ISER Discussion Paper 1309, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    51. Fabio Braggion & Felix von Meyerinck & Nic Schaub & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2025. "The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11679, CESifo.
    52. Dietrich, Alexander M., 2023. "Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 157, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    53. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    54. Hassan Faryaar & Danny Leung & Alexandre Fortier-Labonté, 2023. "Markups and inflation: Evidence from firm-level data," Economic and Social Reports 202300600004e, Statistics Canada, Analytical Studies and Modelling Branch.
    55. Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022. "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers 18-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    56. Gioia M. Mariani & Eleonora Porreca & Concetta Rondinelli, 2025. "How do households adjust house price expectations in an era of high inflation? Experimental evidence," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 940, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    57. Philippe Andrade & Erwan Gautier & Eric Mengus & Emanuel Münch & Tobias Schmidt, 2025. "Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance," Working papers 986, Banque de France.
    58. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    59. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Sergey K. Egiev, 2024. "Liquidity Traps: A Unified Theory of the Great Depression and Great Recession," NBER Working Papers 33195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    60. Francesco Grigoli & Damiano Sandri, 2023. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 1082, Bank for International Settlements.
    61. Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2025. "Whose inflation expectations forecast best Alternatives based on survey and financial data," Working Papers 11077, South African Reserve Bank.
    62. William Bazley & Yosef Bonaparte & George Korniotis & Alok Kumar, 2024. "Discrimination and Economic Expectations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(6), pages 4115-4131, June.
    63. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 728, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    64. Kiss, Regina & Strasser, Georg, 2024. "Different household – different inflation rate," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 121.
    65. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    66. Sandra Gomes & Nuno Monteiro & Pedro Pires Ribeiro, 2024. "Euro area inflation expectations: A focus on consumers’ expectations," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    67. Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2024. "Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 0754, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    68. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    69. Kukk, Merike & Toczynski, Jan & Basten, Christoph, 2025. "Beyond the headline: How personal exposure to inflation shapes the financial choices of households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    70. DiGiuseppe, Matthew & Garriga, Ana Carolina & Kern, Andreas, 2025. "Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 124391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    71. Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024. "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers 24-44, Bank of Canada.
    72. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 326-368, March.
    73. Vadim Grishchenko & Maria Lymar & Andrei Sinyakov, 2025. "What information is important for households’ inflation expectations: evidence from a randomized controlled trial," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps148, Bank of Russia.
    74. Francesco D'Acunto & Janet Gao & Lu Liu & Kai Lu & Zhengwei Wang & Jun Yang, 2025. "Subjective Expectations and Financial Intermediation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11780, CESifo.
    75. Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2025. "Who’s on FIRE? Household characteristics and the formation of inflation expectations," Working Papers 852, DNB.
    76. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2131-2171.
    77. Pavlova, Lora, 2024. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-036, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    78. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    79. Brouwer, Nils & De Haan, Jakob, 2026. "The impact of public knowledge about central bank independence on trust and inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    80. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    81. Michael Weber, 2022. "Subjective inflation expectations of households," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 217-221, October.
    82. Ondrej Kusenda & Michal Marencak, 2025. "Attention to food prices and the upward bias in inflation expectations," Working and Discussion Papers WP 9/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    83. Dieudonné Mignamissi & Séraphin Brice Minkoé Bikoula & Thierno Thioune, 2023. "Inflation and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Role of Institutions," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(4), pages 847-871, December.
    84. Swapnil Virendra Chalwadi & Preeti Tushar Joshi & Nitin Mohanlal Sharma & Chaitanya Gite & Sangita Salve, 2023. "Gender Differences in Inflation Expectations: Recent Evidence from India," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-14, February.
    85. Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
    86. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen & Dmitry Sergeyev, 2023. "How Oil Shocks Propagate: Evidence on the Monetary Policy Channel," Working Paper Series 2024-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    87. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2025. "Inflation and Trading," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    88. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    89. Li, Geng & Sinha, Nitish Ranjan, 2025. "Gauging inflation aversion through the lens of consumer sentiment," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    90. Andreasen, Martin M. & Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2024. "Does risk matter more in recessions than in expansions? Implications for monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    91. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    92. Lehmann-Hasemeyer, Sibylle & Neumayer, Andreas & Streb, Jochen, 2023. "Heterogeneous inflation and deflation experiences and savings decisions during German industrialization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    93. Vladimir Ivanov & Elena Nikishina, 2025. "Applying Behavioural Economics to Promote Financial Literate Behaviour: An Overview of Studies," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(2), pages 89-112, June.
    94. Szwacka-Mokrzycka Joanna & Marzena Lemanowicz, 2023. "The Influence of Inflation on the Economic Situation of Households in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 119-132.
    95. Becker, Christoph Karl & Duersch, Peter & Eife, Thomas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Personalizing probabilistic survey scales," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    96. Ignazio Visco, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 51(2), pages 111-129, September.
    97. Hanjo Odendaal & Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2026. "Inflation expectations the impact of priming in survey questions," Working Papers 11103, South African Reserve Bank.
    98. Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2023. "Rationality and biases insights from disaggregated firm level inflation expectations data," Working Papers 11050, South African Reserve Bank.
    99. Gopalakrishna, Goutham & Lee, Seung Joo & Papamichalis, Theofanis, 2025. "Beliefs and the net worth trap," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    100. Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2025. "Inflation expectations and price-setting decisions: insights from the housing market," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1507, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    101. Leo Van Hove & Ronny Verbraecken, 2025. "Gender roles and inflation expectations: D’Acunto et al. revisited," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 797-818, June.
    102. Benjamin Born & Nora Lamersdorf & Jana-Lynn Schuster & Sascha Steffen, 2025. "From Tweets to Transactions: High-Frequency Inflation Expectations, Consumption, and Stock Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 12361, CESifo.
    103. Mehmet Selman Colak & Abdullah Kazdal & Unal Seven & Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz, 2025. "Market Concentration and Firm Markups: Micro Evidence from an Emerging Market with Inflationary Pressures," Working Papers 2501, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    104. de Haan, Jakob & Hoogduin, Lex, 2024. "ECB communication policies: An overview and comparison with the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    105. Gomes, Francisco & Haliassos, Michael & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2026. "New frontiers in household finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138280, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    106. Katharina Allinger & Fabio Rumler, 2025. "Inflation Expectations in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe: The Role of Sentiment and Experiences," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 67(2), pages 426-451, June.
    107. Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Müller, Gernot J., 2023. "On FIRE, news, and expectations," Working Papers 42, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    108. Soeren Leth-Petersen & Andrew Caplin & Eungik Lee & Johan Saeverud, 2022. "Communicating Social Security Reform," CEBI working paper series 22-19, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    109. Zarifhonarvar, Ali, 2026. "Generating inflation expectations with large language models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    110. John C. Williams, 2023. "Effective dialogue and well anchored inflation expectations: essential tools for navigating challenging times," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Central banking in the Americas: Lessons from two decades, volume 127, pages 149-162, Bank for International Settlements.
    111. Dario Bonciani & Riccardo M. Masolo & Silvia Sarpietro, 2026. "How Food Prices Shape Inflation Expectations and the Monetary Policy Response," Working Papers in Public Economics 274, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    112. Alberto Prati, 2024. "The Well‐Being Cost of Inflation Inequalities," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(1), pages 213-238, March.
    113. Geng Li & Nitish R. Sinha, 2023. "Are Real Assets Owners Less Averse to Inflation? Evidence from Consumer Sentiments and Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    114. Dekimpe, Marnik G. & van Heerde, Harald J., 2023. "Retailing in times of soaring inflation: What we know, what we don't know, and a research agenda," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 322-336.
    115. Rabitsch-Schilcher, Katrin & Marsal, Ales & Kaszab, Lorant, 2023. "From Linear to Nonlinear: Rethinking Inflation Dynamics in the Calvo Pricing Mechanism," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 350, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    116. Alistair Macaulay, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Heterogeneous Expectation Formation in General Equilibrium," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0326, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    117. Kozo UEDA, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Spending: Evidence from an Experiment and Bank Transaction Data in Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 24-021E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    118. Gerotto, Luca & Paradiso, Antonio & Pellizzari, Paolo, 2025. "A tale of inattentiveness and the loss function: A model for household-level macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    119. Claudio Borio & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & James Yetman & Egon Zakrajsek, 2023. "The two-regime view of inflation," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 133.
    120. Benjamin Moll, 2025. "The Trouble with Rational Expectations in Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Challenge for Macroeconomics," Papers 2508.20571, arXiv.org.
    121. Roberto Tamborini, 2024. "Inflation surprises in a New Keynesian economy with a “true” consumption function," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 62(3), pages 1192-1215, July.
    122. Konstantina Manou & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2025. "Does uncertainty matter for household consumption? A mean and a two tails approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(4), pages 909-941, December.
    123. Angela Fuest & Torsten Schmidt, 2026. "Inflation Expectation Uncertainty in a New Keynesian Framework," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 739-762, April.
    124. Sarah Brown & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer & Karl Taylor, 2024. "Financial Expectations and Household Consumption: Does Middle‐Inflation Matter?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 741-768, June.
    125. Riste Ichev & Rok Spruk, 2026. "Pricing Catastrophe: How Extreme Political Shocks Reprice Sovereign Risk, Beliefs, and Growth Expectations," Papers 2601.20724, arXiv.org.
    126. Manish Jha & Jialin Qian & Michael Weber & Baozhong Yang, 2024. "ChatGPT and Corporate Policies," Papers 2409.17933, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    127. Gründler, Klaus & Dräger, Lena & Potrafke, Niklas, 2023. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277673, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    128. Joni Heikkinen & Kari Heimonen, 2025. "Media Tone: The Role of News and Social Media on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 881-921, April.
    129. Ben Knox & Yannick Timmer, 2024. "Stagflationary Stock Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 11236, CESifo.
    130. Francesco D'Acunto & Fiorella De Fiore & Damiano Sandri & Michael Weber, 2025. "A global survey of household perceptions and expectations," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    131. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    132. Angelico, Cristina, 2024. "The green transition and firms' expectations on future prices: Survey evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 519-543.
    133. James Mitchell & Saeed Zaman, 2023. "The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 23-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    134. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.
    135. Tanisa Tawichsri & Suppawong Tuarob & Nuwat Nookhwun & Chinjuta Sangasaeng, 2026. "News-Based Inflation Expectations: LLM-Assisted Measurement and Forecasting," PIER Discussion Papers 252, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    136. Ko, Dong Gyun, 2025. "Did the American Rescue Plan cause inflation? A synthetic control approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    137. Rodrigo Barria & Gabor Pinter, 2023. "Mispricing in inflation markets," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1034, Bank of England.
    138. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    139. Ethan Struby & Christina Farhart, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Political Polarization: Evidence from the Cooperative Election Study," Working Papers 2024-01, Carleton College, Department of Economics.

  15. Weber, Michael & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16930, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Demgensky, Lisa & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2023. "Narratives on the causes of inflation in Germany: First results of a pilot study," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 77, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
    2. Treu, Johannes & Hartwig, Johannes, 2023. "Perceived Inflation in Germany in 2022," MPRA Paper 118403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    4. Anthony Brassil & Yahdullah Haidari & Jonathan Hambur & Gulnara Nolan & Callum Ryan, 2024. "How Do Households Form Inflation and Wage Expectations?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    5. Fischer, Marcel & Jankowski, Natascha, 2025. "Life cycle consumption and portfolio choice under real interest rate risk," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 291, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
    6. Rodriguez, Harold & Colombo, Jefferson, 2024. "Is bitcoin an inflation hedge?," MPRA Paper 120477, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    9. Grigoli, Francesco & Pugacheva, Evgenia, 2024. "COVID-19 inflation weights in the UK and Germany," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Dietrich, Alexander M., 2023. "Consumption categories, household attention, and inflation expectations: Implications for optimal monetary policy," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 157, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    11. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    13. Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, IZA Network @ LISER.
    14. J. Atsu Amegashie, 2025. "The CPI, Inflation, and the Cost of Living: A Proposal," CESifo Working Paper Series 11973, CESifo.
    15. Kukk, Merike & Toczynski, Jan & Basten, Christoph, 2025. "Beyond the headline: How personal exposure to inflation shapes the financial choices of households," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    16. Han, Zhao, 2024. "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    17. Lena Dräger & Michal Marenčák & Giang Nghiem & Maritta Paloviita, 2026. "Heterogeneity in Consumers' Economic Expectations Across Euro Area Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 12725, CESifo.
    18. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross & Helene Olsen, 2024. "Unveiling inflation: Oil Shocks, Supply Chain Pressures, and Expectations," Working Papers No 05/2024, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    19. Stefano Fasani & Giuseppe Pagano Giorgianni & Valeria Patella & Lorenza Rossi, 2025. "Belief distortions and Disagreement about Inflation," Working Papers in Public Economics 256, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    20. Szwacka-Mokrzycka Joanna & Marzena Lemanowicz, 2023. "The Influence of Inflation on the Economic Situation of Households in Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 119-132.
    21. Kirpson, Gerda & Staehr, Karsten, 2024. "Do individuals expect the Phillips curve? Evidence from the European Consumer Expectations Survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    22. Nghiem, Giang & Marenčák, Michal, 2025. "Personal Inflation Rates in the Euro Area," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325454, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    23. Treu, Johannes & Hartwig, Johannes, 2022. "Messung der gefühlten Inflation in Deutschland," IU Discussion Papers - Business & Management 12 (November 2022), IU International University of Applied Sciences.
    24. Takunda Gwyneth ZARANYIKA & Newman WADESANGO, 2025. "The Effects of Zimbabwean Dollar Depreciation on Financial Performance and Profitability Metrics of Formal Retail Firms," CECCAR Business Review, Body of Expert and Licensed Accountants of Romania (CECCAR), vol. 6(10), pages 52-70, October.
    25. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2025. "Unequal inflationary effects of tariffs across socio-demographic groups," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 1-24, October.
    26. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2023. "Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    27. Huber, Stefanie J. & Minina, Daria & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "The pass-through from inflation perceptions to inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 17/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    28. Haschka, Rouven E., 2024. "Examining the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the U.S.: Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment weakened?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(4).
    29. Ghaderi, Mohammad & Seo, Sang Byung & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2026. "Learning and subjective beliefs about good and bad inflation ranges," SAFE Working Paper Series 478, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    30. Meike Rombach & Xiaomeng Lucock & David L. Dean, 2023. "No Cow? Understanding US Consumer Preferences for Plant-Based over Regular Milk-Based Products," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-12, July.
    31. Semieniuk, Gregor & Weber, Isabella M. & Weaver, Iain S. & Wasner, Evan & Braun, Benjamin & Holden, Philip B. & Salas, Pablo & Mercure, Jean-Francois & Edwards, Neil R., 2025. "Best of times, worst of times: record fossil-fuel profits, inflation and inequality," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 129170, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  16. Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," CEPR Discussion Papers 17495, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Altan Aldan & Unal Seven, 2025. "Pessimism and Inflation: How Firms' Perception of Economic Outlook Shapes Inflation Expectations," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2521, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Hai Ha Pham & Ngoc-Sang Pham, 2024. "Effects of wariness on economic growth in overlapping generations models," Post-Print hal-04918980, HAL.
    3. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Jens Brøndum Petersen & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026. "Household Behavior Below the Zero Lower Bound," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 418, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    4. Indriyana Puspitosari & Hadri Kusuma & Johan Arifin, 2026. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Tax Avoidance and the Moderating Role of Public Governance," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 20-37.
    5. Boccanfuso, Jérémy & Neri, Luca, 2025. "Uncovering attention heterogeneity," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2025009, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    6. Vod Vilfort & Whitney Zhang, 2023. "Interpreting TSLS Estimators in Information Provision Experiments," Papers 2309.04793, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    7. Crowley, M. A. & Palacios, M. D. & Faraglia, E. & Giannitsarou, C. & Havemeister, L., 2026. "Adapting to Brexit: The Response of Corporate Structures to Geopolitical Uncertainty," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2619, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    9. Hanna Onyshchenko & Andriy Tsapin & Vitaliia Yaremko, 2026. "Firm Performance Under Military Occupation: The Case of Ukrainian Firms," Trinity Economics Papers tep1126, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    10. d'Artis Kancs, 2024. "Uncertainty of Supply Chains: Risk and Ambiguity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2024/03, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
    11. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    12. Müller, Henrik & Blagov, Boris & Schmidt, Torsten & Rieger, Jonas & Jentsch, Carsten, 2025. "The macroeconomic impact of asymmetric uncertainty shocks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    13. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    14. Fei Xu & Xingyu Zhu & Mingke Li, 2024. "Environmental, Social, and Governance Information Rating and Firm Uncertainty Perception, Evidence from China Listed Firms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-15, July.
    15. Hai Ha Pham & Ngoc-Sang Pham, 2025. "Wariness and Poverty Traps," Papers 2510.14418, arXiv.org.
    16. Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Reinelt, Timo, 2024. "SAFE to update inflation expectations? New survey evidence on euro area firms," Working Paper Series 2949, European Central Bank.
    17. Kazakis, Pantelis, 2023. "Uncertainty and Market Power: An Empirical Investigation," MPRA Paper 117914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Tidiane Guindo, 2026. "Who absorbs external shocks? foreign exchange intervention, monetary policy, and stabilization trade-offs: a DSGE study of ASEAN economies," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 1-32, February.
    19. Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2025. "US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Liu, Xinheng & Pan, Sishi & Li, Shuxian & Yang, Xin & Huang, Chuangxia, 2024. "Unraveling the causal impact: Oil price uncertainty on firms’ productivity in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    21. Megumi NAOI & Banri ITO & Naoto JINJI, 2026. "How Geopolitics Shapes Policy Preferences of Firms: Experimental evidence from Japan," Discussion papers 26016, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    22. Rifai Afin & Keresztély Tibor & Cserháti Ilona, 2025. "Firm performance and markets: survival analysis of medium and large manufacturing enterprises in Indonesia," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(1), pages 107-151, March.
    23. Lenin Arango-Castillo & María José Orraca & Regina Briseño, 2025. "Inflation volatility across advanced and emerging economies during the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Papers 2025-13, Banco de México.
    24. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Serafin Frache & Dmitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Saten Kumar & Rodrigo Lluberas & Brent Meyer & Tiziano Ropele & Michael Weber, 2023. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2023-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    25. Azqueta-Gavaldón, Andrés & Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2023. "Sources of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    26. Kyriaki I. Kafka, 2024. "Under the Veil of Uncertainty: Assessing the Greek Economy’s Resilience and Vulnerability in the Face of Different Uncertainty Types," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 9288-9321, June.
    27. Dräger, Lena & Lamla, Michael J. & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2024. "How to limit the spillover from an inflation surge to inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    28. Zhengwei Li & Qiaoli Li & Yadan Zheng, 2025. "Crisis shocks, executive confidence and strategic change: a study based on US Entity List sanctions," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    29. Binder, Carola & Ozturk, Ezgi & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "The effects of inflation uncertainty on firms and the macroeconomy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    30. Lena Dräger & Maximilian Floto & Marina Schröder, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Economic Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series 11326, CESifo.
    31. Zhang, Shuonan, 2026. "Uncertainty shocks in an intangible economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    32. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," IZA Discussion Papers 17120, IZA Network @ LISER.
    33. Janet Hua Jiang & Rupal Kamdar & Kelin Lu & Daniela Puzzello, 2024. "How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms," Staff Working Papers 24-44, Bank of Canada.
    34. Jonas Dovern & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025. "The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 12266, CESifo.
    35. Carl-Christian Groh, 2024. "Big Data and Inequality," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_555, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    36. Sahu, Asis Kumar & Debata, Byomakesh & Dash, Saumya Ranjan, 2025. "Managerial sentiment, macroeconomic uncertainty, and stock liquidity: Evidence from India," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    37. Schmidt, Robert, 2025. "Social norm uncertainty: Measurement using coordination games and behavioral relevance," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    38. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    39. Woo-Mora, L. Guillermo, 2025. "Populism’s original sin: Short-term populist penalties and uncertainty traps," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    40. Junmei Luo & Yang Shen & Zhonghui Jiang, 2026. "Digital Transparency Alienation: When Information Transparency Undermines Affordance-Driven Innovation Under Environmental Uncertainty," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 17(2), pages 3852-3874, April.
    41. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2023. "Price Setting of Firms under Cost Uncertainty," Discussion papers 23040, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    42. Pesce, Simone & Errico, Marco & Pollio, Luigi, 2025. "Nonlinearities and heterogeneity in firms response to aggregate fluctuations: what can we learn from machine learning?," Working Paper Series 3107, European Central Bank.
    43. Alina Kristin Bartscher & Georg Duernecker & Johannes Goensch & Nils Wehrhöfer, 2026. "Causal Effects of Interest Rate Beliefs on Firm Decisions and Their Aggregate Implications," CESifo Working Paper Series 12442, CESifo.
    44. Weber, Michael, 2025. "Navigating neutrality: ECB policy amid heightened uncertainty," SAFE White Paper Series 113, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    45. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    46. Qian, Binsheng & Tan, Yusen & Power, Gabriel & Mandal, Anandadeep, 2025. "Economic policy uncertainty, information production, and transparency," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    47. Berggren, Niclas & Bergh, Andreas & Nilsson, Therese, 2025. "Periods of uncertainty are linked to greater acceptance of minorities," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 772-785.
    48. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael S., 2024. "Big news: Climate-disaster expectations and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    49. Fan, Zhiguo & Guo, Fenghua & ChenBian,, 2025. "Global uncertainty, macroprudence and export value: "Quality up" or "quantity up"," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    50. Konstantina Manou & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2025. "Does uncertainty matter for household consumption? A mean and a two tails approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(4), pages 909-941, December.
    51. Damjan Pfajfar & Fabian Winkler, 2024. "Households' Preferences Over Inflation and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    52. Tan, Yingxian & Yuan, Jun & Luo, Pengfei, 2024. "Investment timing and implied option value for risk-aversion entrepreneurs under macroeconomic risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    53. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Jens Brøndum Petersen & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2026. "Household Behavior Below the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 12732, CESifo.
    54. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2026. "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    55. Matthias Burgert & Michael Chui & Denis Gorea & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2025. "Investment in an increasingly uncertain global landscape," BIS Bulletins 103, Bank for International Settlements.
    56. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.

  17. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Koustas, Dmitri, 2022. "Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5jm2t8tx, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

    Cited by:

    1. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Buda, G. & Carvalho, V. M. & Hansen, S. & Mora, J. V. R. & Ortiz, A. & Rodrigo, T., 2022. "National Accounts in a World of Naturally Occurring Data: A Proof of Concept for Consumption," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2244, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Battistin, Erich & De Nadai, Michele & Krishnan, Nandini, 2020. "The Insights and Illusions of Consumption Measurements," IZA Discussion Papers 13222, IZA Network @ LISER.
    5. Battistin, Erich & Neri, Lorenzo, 2017. "School Performance, Score Inflation and Economic Geography," IZA Discussion Papers 11161, IZA Network @ LISER.
    6. Gelman, Michael & Orlando, Zachary & Patki, Dhiren, 2025. "The impact of unexpected delays in periodic payments on consumption," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    7. Renzo Vidal Caycho, 2020. "¿La desigualdad de los agentes afecta al consumo? Una visión desde la política monetaria," Revista de Análisis Económico y Financiero, Universidad de San Martín de Porres, vol. 2(01), pages 07-24.
    8. James Bullard & Aarti Singh & Jacek Suda, 2024. "Optimal Macroeconomic Policies in a Heterogeneous World," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(3), pages 991-1041, September.
    9. Patrizio Tirelli & Maria Ferrara, 2020. "Disinflation, Inequality, And Welfare In A Tank Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1297-1313, July.
    10. Toshiaki Shoji, 2024. "Heterogeneity in prices and inflation over the life cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 651-670, February.
    11. Agarwal, Sumit & Chua, Yeow Hwee & Song, Changcheng, 2022. "Inflation expectations of households and the upgrading channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 124-138.
    12. Brent Neiman & Joseph Vavra, 2018. "The Rise in Household Spending Concentration," 2018 Meeting Papers 329, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Kozo Ueda & Kota Watanabe & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "Household Inventory, Temporary Sales, Price Indices," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(1), pages 217-251, February.
    14. Naubert, Christopher, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Redistribution: A Look under the Hatch with TANK," CEPR Discussion Papers 14159, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    15. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kueng, Lorenz & Silvia, John, 2017. "Innocent Bystanders? Monetary policy and inequality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 70-89.
    16. ABE, Naohito & INAKURA, Noriko, 2025. "Refining Real Consumption : Accounting for In-Kind Transfers, Imputed Rents, and Preference Heterogeneities," RCESR Discussion Paper Series DP25-1, Research Center for Economic and Social Risks, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    17. Chun, Hyunbae & Kwon, Eunjee & Yang, Dongyun, 2024. "The rise of e-commerce and generational consumption inequality: Evidence from COVID-19 in South Korea," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    18. Ch.-M. CHEVALIER, 2018. "Consumption inequality in France between 1995 and 2011," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2018-07, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.

  18. Ropele, Tiziano & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Corporate Borrowing Decisions: New Causal Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 15614, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yahya, Farzan, 2025. "Understanding the asymmetric impact of non-fundamental behavioral shocks on trade efficiency: Evidence from China's trade partners," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 237-263.
    3. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    4. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Pasiouras, Fotios & Rizos, Anastasios & Stratopoulou, Artemis, 2025. "Discouraged Borrowers and Sentimental Shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    5. Alina Kristin Bartscher & Georg Duernecker & Johannes Goensch & Nils Wehrhöfer, 2026. "Causal Effects of Interest Rate Beliefs on Firm Decisions and Their Aggregate Implications," CESifo Working Paper Series 12442, CESifo.
    6. Gründler, Klaus & Dräger, Lena & Potrafke, Niklas, 2023. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277673, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

  19. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of Firms," NBER Working Papers 30042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Gizem Koşar & Cormac O'Dea, 2022. "Expectations Data in Structural Microeconomic Models," Staff Reports 1018, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Okan Akarsu & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation Expectations During the Phases of Inflation," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2519, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    3. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Reinelt, Timo, 2024. "SAFE to update inflation expectations? New survey evidence on euro area firms," Working Paper Series 2949, European Central Bank.
    5. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    6. Michele Andreolli & Hélène Rey, 2024. "Fiscal Consequences of Missing an Inflation Target," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(2), pages 701-772, June.
    7. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Meyer, Justus, 2023. "Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 104.
    8. Nadia Pozdnyakova, 2026. "Exchange Rate Expectations and Aggregate Dynamics," Working Papers w0294, New Economic School (NES).
    9. Alistair Macaulay, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Heterogeneous Expectation Formation in General Equilibrium," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0326, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    10. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).

  20. Ethan M. L. McClure & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2022. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," NBER Working Papers 29986, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," Discussion Papers 2425, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    2. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Meyer, Justus, 2023. "Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 104.
    3. Nadia Pozdnyakova, 2026. "Exchange Rate Expectations and Aggregate Dynamics," Working Papers w0294, New Economic School (NES).

  21. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Candia, Bernardo, 2021. "The Inflation Expectations Of U.S. Firms: Evidence From A New Survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 16161, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Altan Aldan & Unal Seven, 2025. "Pessimism and Inflation: How Firms' Perception of Economic Outlook Shapes Inflation Expectations," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2521, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation Expectations, Price Equations, and Fed Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2401, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Kevin Curran & Emerson Krasusky, 2025. "Regional Spotlight: Introducing the Price and Inflation Expectations Survey," Regional Spotlight, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, pages 1-7, December.
    4. Huang, Xuesong & Lin, Jianhao & Zhang, Yifan, 2026. "The social value of strategic public information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    5. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2021. "Macroeconomic Changes with Declining Trend Inflation: Complementarity with the Superstar Firm Hypothesis," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-13, Bank of Japan.
    6. Rupal Kamdar & Walker Ray, 2024. "Attention-Driven Sentiment and the Business Cycle," CAEPR Working Papers 2024-003 Classification-, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    7. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yahya, Farzan, 2025. "Understanding the asymmetric impact of non-fundamental behavioral shocks on trade efficiency: Evidence from China's trade partners," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 237-263.
    8. Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," Discussion Papers 2425, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Medina, J.P. & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2024. "Heterogeneous inflation expectations: A call for customized monetary policy communication?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    11. Lena Dräger, 2023. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public," CESifo Working Paper Series 10713, CESifo.
    12. Hunziker, Hans-Ueli & Raggi, Christian & Rosenblatt-Wisch, Rina & Zanetti, Attilio, 2022. "The impact of guidance, short-term dynamics and individual characteristics on firms’ long-term inflation expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023. "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
    14. Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Reinelt, Timo, 2024. "SAFE to update inflation expectations? New survey evidence on euro area firms," Working Paper Series 2949, European Central Bank.
    15. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation expectations, price equations, and Fed effects," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 211-219, October.
    16. Christian Garciga & Edward S. Knotek & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2023. "The Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(10), pages 1-7, May.
    17. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    18. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    19. Caruso-Bloeck, Martin & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023. "News of disinflation and firms’ expectations: New causal evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    20. Julien Pinter & Evžen Kočenda, 2025. "Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(7), pages 1793-1842, October.
    21. Ricardo Reis, 2021. "Losing the inflation anchor," Discussion Papers 2123, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    22. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Xie, Jin, 2023. "Undisclosed material inflation risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 82-100.
    23. Natalie Burr, 2025. "Do inflation expectations respond to monetary policy? An empirical analysis for the United Kingdom," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 1109, Bank of England.
    24. Geghetsik Afunts & Misina Cato & Tobias Schmidt, 2023. "Inflation Expectations in the Wake of the War in Ukraine," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp745, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    25. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    26. Olivier de Bandt & Jean-Charles Bricongne & Julien Denes & Alexandre Dhenin & Annabelle De Gaye & Pierre-Antoine Robert, 2023. "Using the Press to Construct a New Indicator of Inflation Perceptions in France," Working papers 921, Banque de France.
    27. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Working Papers 2022-5, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    28. Di Pace, Federico & Mangiante, Giacomo & Masolo, Riccardo M., 2025. "Do firm expectations respond to monetary policy announcements?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    29. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Frictions Across Various Types of Inflation Expectations," Working papers 873, Banque de France.
    30. Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, IZA Network @ LISER.
    31. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2022. "Household Inflation Expectations in France: Lessons from a New Survey and the COVID-19 Crisis [Les anticipations d’inflation des ménages en France : leçons d’une nouvelle enquête et de la crise du Covid‑19]," Post-Print hal-05204340, HAL.
    32. Ray C. Fair, 2021. "What do price equations say about future inflation?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 56(3), pages 118-128, July.
    33. Petre Caraiani & Nazli Karamollaoglu & Cihan Yalcin, 2025. "Financial Conditions, Uncertainty and Expectations Errors of Firms," Working Papers 2515, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    34. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    35. Weber, Isabella M. & Wasner, Evan & Lang, Markus & Braun, Benjamin & van ’t Klooster, Jens, 2025. "Implicit coordination in sellers’ inflation: How cost shocks facilitate price hikes," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 690-712.
    36. Weber, Isabella & Wasner, Evan & Lang, Markus & Braun, Benjamin & Klooster, Jens van’t, 2025. "Implicit coordination in sellers’ inflation: how cost shocks facilitate price hikes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 128231, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    37. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    38. Jeffrey Schafer, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers 57398, Congressional Budget Office.
    39. Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024. "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers 2024-12, Banco de México.
    40. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    41. Pascal Seiler, 2026. "How firms set their prices: survey evidence along the stages of price setting," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 162(1), pages 1-21, December.
    42. Wenting Song & Samuel Stern, 2022. "Firm Inattention and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy: A Text-Based Approach," Staff Working Papers 22-3, Bank of Canada.
    43. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 14853, IZA Network @ LISER.
    44. Hanjo Odendaal & Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2026. "Inflation expectations the impact of priming in survey questions," Working Papers 11103, South African Reserve Bank.
    45. Chris Campos & Michael McMain & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2022. "Understanding Which Prices Affect Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2022(06), pages 1-7, April.
    46. Jannik Hensel & Giacomo Mangiante & Luca Moretti, 2023. "Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from France," CESifo Working Paper Series 10552, CESifo.
    47. Ray C. Fair, 2021. "What Do Price Equations Say About Future Inflation?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2287, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    48. Inozemtsev, E. & Krotova, Yu., 2024. "Phillips curve with spatial effects based on Russian regional data," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 35-56.
    49. Enders, Zeno & Maruhn, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2021. "Firm expectations and economic activity," Working Paper Series 2621, European Central Bank.
    50. Bouche Paul, & Gerardin Mathilde, & Gautier Erwan, Savignac Frédérique & Savignac Frédérique., 2021. "Measuring firms’ inflation expectations [Mesurer les anticipations d’inflation des entreprises]," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 236.
    51. Haschka, Rouven E., 2024. "Examining the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the U.S.: Why has the relationship between inflation and unemployment weakened?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(4).
    52. Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Van Robays, Ine & Cassinis, Maria Giulia, 2025. "Supply shocks and inflation: timely insights from financial markets," Working Paper Series 3096, European Central Bank.
    53. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "How do people view wage and price inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    54. Gautier, Erwan & Roux, Sébastien & Suarez Castillo, Milena, 2022. "How do wage setting institutions affect wage rigidity? Evidence from French micro data," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    55. A. Moutaabbid, 2024. "Les determinants de la dynamique des salaires en France : approches macro et sectorielles par la courbe de Phillips," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers 2024-20, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    56. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    57. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2025. "Expectations of inflation, wages and spending: Evidence from a consumer survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    58. Dr. Monique Reid & Professor Dieter von Fintel & Mr. Anis Foresto, "undated". "From deliberate sample to representative sample: pilot study for the BER inflation expectations survey," ERSA Working Paper Series v::y:2025:i::id:134, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    59. Zia, Hafiz Muhammad Yasir & Yang, Wanping & Masood, Abdullah & Ahmed, Afaf & Aldawsari, Salem Hamad, 2025. "Can money help to achieve the Paris agreement goal? the missing piece of the puzzle: How green monetary policy can bridge the emissions gap," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 494-529.
    60. Binz, Oliver & Ferracuti, Elia & Joos, Peter, 2023. "Investment, inflation, and the role of internal information systems as a transmission channel," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2).

  22. Frédérique Savignac & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2021. "Firms Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France," Working papers 840, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Altan Aldan & Unal Seven, 2025. "Pessimism and Inflation: How Firms' Perception of Economic Outlook Shapes Inflation Expectations," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2521, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Huang, Xuesong & Lin, Jianhao & Zhang, Yifan, 2026. "The social value of strategic public information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    3. Baumann, Ursel & Ferrando, Annalisa & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Reinelt, Timo, 2024. "SAFE to update inflation expectations? New survey evidence on euro area firms," Working Paper Series 2949, European Central Bank.
    4. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation expectations, price equations, and Fed effects," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 211-219, October.
    5. Meyer, Brent H. & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2025. "Unit cost expectations: Firms’ perspectives on inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    6. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktug & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Working Papers 2512, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    8. Caruso-Bloeck, Martin & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023. "News of disinflation and firms’ expectations: New causal evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Xie, Jin, 2023. "Undisclosed material inflation risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 82-100.
    10. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    11. Olivier de Bandt & Jean-Charles Bricongne & Julien Denes & Alexandre Dhenin & Annabelle De Gaye & Pierre-Antoine Robert, 2023. "Using the Press to Construct a New Indicator of Inflation Perceptions in France," Working papers 921, Banque de France.
    12. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Working Papers 2022-5, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    13. Di Pace, Federico & Mangiante, Giacomo & Masolo, Riccardo M., 2025. "Do firm expectations respond to monetary policy announcements?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    14. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Frictions Across Various Types of Inflation Expectations," Working papers 873, Banque de France.
    15. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2022. "Household Inflation Expectations in France: Lessons from a New Survey and the COVID-19 Crisis [Les anticipations d’inflation des ménages en France : leçons d’une nouvelle enquête et de la crise du Covid‑19]," Post-Print hal-05204340, HAL.
    16. Petre Caraiani & Nazli Karamollaoglu & Cihan Yalcin, 2025. "Financial Conditions, Uncertainty and Expectations Errors of Firms," Working Papers 2515, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    17. Viral V. Acharya & Matteo Crosignani & Tim Eisert & Christian Eufinger, 2023. "How Do Supply Shocks to Inflation Generalize? Evidence from the Pandemic Era in Europe," NBER Working Papers 31790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Ugo Dubois & Bruno Ducoudré & Raphaël Martin & Anna Petronevich & Caterina Seghini & Camille Thubin & Harri Turunen, 2026. "Re-estimated FR-BDF: New Features and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Tightening in France," Working papers 1044, Banque de France.
    19. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    20. Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024. "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers 2024-12, Banco de México.
    21. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    22. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 14853, IZA Network @ LISER.
    23. Alexander Cline & Robert W. Rich, 2026. "How Anchored Are Short-Run Inflation Expectations Today? A Look at What Consumers and Forecasters Are Telling Us," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2026(01), pages 1-14, February.
    24. Battistini, Niccolò & Neves, Pedro, 2026. "What drives business expectations? A tale of demand and supply," Working Paper Series 3179, European Central Bank.
    25. Jonathan Adams & Philip Barrett, 2024. "Shocks to Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 54, October.
    26. Inozemtsev, E. & Krotova, Yu., 2024. "Phillips curve with spatial effects based on Russian regional data," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 63(2), pages 35-56.
    27. Dario Bonciani & Riccardo M. Masolo & Silvia Sarpietro, 2026. "How Food Prices Shape Inflation Expectations and the Monetary Policy Response," Working Papers in Public Economics 274, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    28. Enders, Zeno & Maruhn, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2021. "Firm expectations and economic activity," Working Paper Series 2621, European Central Bank.
    29. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "How do people view wage and price inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    30. Gautier, Erwan & Roux, Sébastien & Suarez Castillo, Milena, 2022. "How do wage setting institutions affect wage rigidity? Evidence from French micro data," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    31. A. Moutaabbid, 2024. "Les determinants de la dynamique des salaires en France : approches macro et sectorielles par la courbe de Phillips," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers 2024-20, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
    32. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    33. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2025. "Expectations of inflation, wages and spending: Evidence from a consumer survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    34. Dr. Monique Reid & Professor Dieter von Fintel & Mr. Anis Foresto, "undated". "From deliberate sample to representative sample: pilot study for the BER inflation expectations survey," ERSA Working Paper Series v::y:2025:i::id:134, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    35. Zia, Hafiz Muhammad Yasir & Yang, Wanping & Masood, Abdullah & Ahmed, Afaf & Aldawsari, Salem Hamad, 2025. "Can money help to achieve the Paris agreement goal? the missing piece of the puzzle: How green monetary policy can bridge the emissions gap," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 494-529.
    36. Binz, Oliver & Ferracuti, Elia & Joos, Peter, 2023. "Investment, inflation, and the role of internal information systems as a transmission channel," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2).

  23. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 8905, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Bonam, Dennis & Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Pacheco, Mariana Montserrat Cerra, 2025. "The fiscal sources of euro area inflation through the lens of the Bernanke-Blanchard model," Working Paper Series 3153, European Central Bank.
    2. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    4. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    6. David, Antonio C. & Pienknagura, Samuel & Yépez, Juan F., 2025. "Can fiscal consolidations announcements help anchor inflation expectations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Jing Cynthia Wu & Shihan Xie & Yinxi Xie & Ji Zhang, 2025. "Fiscal Policy: Financing and Indebtedness," CESifo Working Paper Series 12321, CESifo.
    8. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu, 2024. "Debt shocks and the dynamics of output and inflation in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    9. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    10. Francesco Grigoli & Damiano Sandri, 2023. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 1082, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Jocelyne Zoumenou, 2023. "On the impact of fiscal policy on inflation: The case of fiscal rules," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    12. Guillaume Plantin & Eric Mengus & Jean Barthelemy, 2022. "The Central Bank, the Treasury, or the Market: Which One Determines the Price Level?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03792094, HAL.
    13. McClung, Nigel, 2025. "Why should fiscal imbalances concern policymakers at independent inflation-targeting central banks?," BoF Economics Review 4/2025, Bank of Finland.
    14. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    15. Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2024. "What moves households' expectations during a crisis? Evidence from a randomized information experiment," Discussion Papers 42/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Piotr Misztal, 2026. "Exploring the Relationship Between Public Debt and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 134-149.
    17. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    18. Syngjoo Choi & Bongseop Kim & Young Sik Kim & Ohik Kwon, 2025. "Central Bank Digital Currency And Privacy: A Randomized Survey Experiment," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 66(2), pages 823-847, May.
    19. Eminidou, Snezana & Geiger, Martin & Zachariadis, Marios, 2023. "Public debt and state-dependent effects of fiscal policy in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 1-14.
    21. Damiano Sandri & Francesco Grigoli & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Keep calm and bank on: panic-driven bank runs and the role of public communication," BIS Working Papers 1119, Bank for International Settlements.
    22. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Albert Pierres Tejada, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations," BIS Working Papers 1238, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Huber, Stefanie J. & Minina, Daria & Schmidt, Tobias, 2023. "The pass-through from inflation perceptions to inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 17/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    24. Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Pesso, Tom, 2024. "Fiscal policy and inflation: accounting for non-linearities in government debt," Working Paper Series 2996, European Central Bank.
    25. Armin A. Bolouri & Tim Lohse & Salmai Qari, 2024. "Interdependent Preferences for Financing and Providing Public Goods – The Case of National Defense," CESifo Working Paper Series 11584, CESifo.
    26. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
    27. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, 2022. "Dynamics of monetary policy and fiscal policy during the pandemic: the Philippine experience," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The monetary-fiscal policy nexus in the wake of the pandemic, volume 122, pages 217-240, Bank for International Settlements.
    28. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Casiraghi, Marco & Gelos, Gaston & Harrison, Olamide & Kamber, Gunes, 2024. "Is high debt Constraining monetary policy? evidence from inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    29. Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2025. "Household income expectations: The role of unexpected income changes and aggregate conditions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

  24. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Weber, Michael, 2021. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," CEPR Discussion Papers 15966, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2024. "A Choice-Based Approach to the Measurement of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 0742, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    2. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    3. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    4. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Fuster, Andreas & Gianinazzi, Virginia & Hackethal, Andreas & Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael, 2026. "The response of debtors to rate changes," SAFE Working Paper Series 469, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    6. Vod Vilfort & Whitney Zhang, 2023. "Interpreting TSLS Estimators in Information Provision Experiments," Papers 2309.04793, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    7. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Laeven, Luc & Meyer, Justus, 2025. "Consumer attitudes towards a central bank digital currency," Working Paper Series 3035, European Central Bank.
    8. Adams, Jonathan J. & Rojas, Eugenio, 2024. "Household Consumption and Dispersed Information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    9. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Coibion, Olivier & Shim, Myungkyu & Lee, Myunghwan Andrew & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Han, Seowoo & Weber, Michael, 2025. "How Costly Are Business Cycle Volatility and Inflation? A Vox Populi Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 17675, IZA Network @ LISER.
    10. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    11. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    12. Weiß, Maximilian & Dietrich, Alexander M. & Müller, Gernot J., 2025. "Disaster Risk and Wealth Inequality," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy 325455, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    13. Müller, Henrik & Blagov, Boris & Schmidt, Torsten & Rieger, Jonas & Jentsch, Carsten, 2025. "The macroeconomic impact of asymmetric uncertainty shocks," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    14. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgina Green, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 965, Bank of England.
    15. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    16. Ying Chen & Xiaoqian Shen & Li Wang, 2021. "The Heterogeneity Research of the Impact of EPU on Environmental Pollution: Empirical Evidence Based on 15 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-13, April.
    17. Varga, János Zoltán & Soós, Gábor Dániel, 2025. "A magyar fogyasztói és üzleti bizalom makrogazdasági vonatkozásai [Macroeconomic implications of Hungarian consumer and business confidence]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1179-1206.
    18. Carlos Canizares Martinez & Arne Gieseck, 2024. "The effects of macro uncertainty shocks in the euro area: A FAVAR approach," Working and Discussion Papers WP 6/2024, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    19. Yao, Dongmin & Xu, Aohan & Zhang, Shiyu & Yu, Shuguang, 2025. "Centuries of memory: Historical disasters and modern household savings," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PA).
    20. Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2025. "US uncertainty shocks, credit, production, and prices: The case of fourteen Latin American countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    21. Afanasev, K., 2025. "The impact of income and infl ation expectations on consumption: Evidence from a laboratory experiment," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 43-51.
    22. Marcelo A. T. Aragão & Fabia A. de Carvalho, 2023. "A Little Less Uncertain about the Relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity," Working Papers Series 585, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    23. Michal Marencak, 2023. "State-dependent inflation expectations and consumption choices," Working and Discussion Papers WP 10/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    24. Bonaccorsi, Giovanni & Scotti, Francesco & Pierri, Francesco & Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio, 2024. "Targeted policies and household consumption dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency transaction data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 111-134.
    25. Alfaro, Iván & Park, Hoonsuk, 2025. "Firm uncertainty and households: Spending, savings, and risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    26. Li, Jialong & Li, Jiao, 2025. "Does climate risk impact household consumption? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    27. Zhonghui Luo & Kenji TAKEUCHI, 2026. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Environmental Inequality:Effects and Mechanisms," Discussion papers e-25-011, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
    28. Popova, Olga & See, Sarah Grace & Nikolova, Milena & Otrachshenko, Vladimir, 2023. "The societal costs of inflation and unemployment," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1341, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    29. Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CEBI working paper series 21-20, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    30. Azqueta-Gavaldón, Andrés & Hirschbühl, Dominik & Onorante, Luca & Saiz, Lorena, 2023. "Sources of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    31. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2026. "Inflation expectations and a conservative central banker: Evidence from a natural experiment," IMFS Working Paper Series 234, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    32. Pavlova, Lora, 2025. "Framing effects in consumer expectations surveys," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    33. Li, Xiang & Peng, Xu & Chen, Lijuan & Ren, Zejuan, 2024. "Firms’ uncertainty perception and asset–debt maturity mismatch," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    34. Dimitris Christelis & Dimitris Georgarakos & Tullio Jappelli & Geoff Kenny & Justus Meyer, 2026. "Stockholding in Europe: Evidence from the Consumer Expectations Survey," CSEF Working Papers 780, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    35. Pinar, Mehmet & Karahasan, Burhan Can, 2024. "Asymmetric effects of EU cohesion policy on EU regional growth: The role of macroeconomic uncertainty," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    36. Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, IZA Network @ LISER.
    37. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2024. "Households' response to the wealth effects of inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 728, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    38. Paolo Di Caro & Roberta Arbolino & Ugo Fratesi, 2026. "The costs of geopolitical risk and the impact of the EU cohesion policy," Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(1), pages 159-182, March.
    39. Xu, Can, 2023. "Do households react to policy uncertainty by increasing savings?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 770-785.
    40. Grebe, Moritz & Tillmann, Peter, 2025. "Household expectations and dissent among policymakers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    41. Giovanni Immordino & Tullio Jappelli & Tommaso Oliviero & Alberto Zazzaro, 2022. "Fear of COVID‐19 contagion and consumption: Evidence from a survey of Italian households," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 496-507, March.
    42. Elyas Fermand & Camelia M. Kuhnen & Geng Li & Itzhak Ben-David, 2024. "Extrapolative Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(8), pages 5607-5625, August.
    43. Lena Dräger & Maximilian Floto & Marina Schröder, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Economic Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series 11326, CESifo.
    44. Shi, Jiping, 2025. "News Uncertainty and Signaling Effects of Monetary Policy," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 81, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    45. Baxa, Jaromír & Šestořád, Tomáš, 2025. "Common and country-specific uncertainty shocks in europe: Why their nature matters for policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    46. Anantha Divakaruni & Peter Zimmerman, 2021. "Uncovering Retail Trading in Bitcoin: The Impact of COVID-19 Stimulus Checks," Working Papers 21-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    47. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," IZA Discussion Papers 17120, IZA Network @ LISER.
    48. Vod Vilfort & Whitney Zhang, 2025. "Interpreting TSLS Estimators in Information Provision Experiments," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 376-395, September.
    49. Clodomiro Ferreira & Stefano Pica, 2023. "Household Perceived Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations: a Tale of Supply and Demand," Working Papers 287, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    50. Schmidt, Robert, 2025. "Social norm uncertainty: Measurement using coordination games and behavioral relevance," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    51. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey," Working Paper Series 2643, European Central Bank.
    52. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2024. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    53. Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2024. "What moves households' expectations during a crisis? Evidence from a randomized information experiment," Discussion Papers 42/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    54. Li, Chao & Lao, Wenyu & Li, Xiang & Zhang, Yuhan, 2024. "Automated workforce, financial precarities and family consumption: The importance of demand-side policies under the background of automation applications," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1287-1308.
    55. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander, 2025. "Uncertainty and rounding in expectation surveys," Discussion Papers 22/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    56. Peter Andre & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 119, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    57. Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael & Hackethal, Andreas, 2025. "Inflation and Trading," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    58. Giuseppe Rose & Desiré De Luca, 2024. "Health Concerns And Consumption Expectations During Covid-19: Evidence From A Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design," Working Papers 202401, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    59. Woo-Mora, L. Guillermo, 2025. "Populism’s original sin: Short-term populist penalties and uncertainty traps," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    60. Freund, L. B. & Lee, H. & Rendahl, P., 2022. "The Risk-Premium Channel of Uncertainty: Implications for Unemployment and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2251, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    61. Oh, Joonseok & Rogantini Picco, Anna, 2024. "Macro uncertainty, unemployment risk, and consumption dynamics," Working Paper Series 2971, European Central Bank.
    62. Xiang, Feiyun & Fu, Yimang, 2024. "The asymmetric and time-varying effects of trade policy uncertainty on the insurance premiums in China: Evidence from cross-quantilogram," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    63. Giovanni Immordino & Tullio Jappelli & Tommaso Oliviero, 2024. "Consumption and income expectations during Covid-19," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 95-116, March.
    64. Huang, Ruichen, 2025. "Non-response bias in expectation surveys: Different perceptions and expectations of financial matters from “early quitters”," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    65. Valentin Voytenkov & Olga Demidova, 2025. "The impact of the 2022 sanction crisis on household consumption in Russia: A quantitative analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 79, pages 72-98.
    66. Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," IZA Discussion Papers 15449, IZA Network @ LISER.
    67. Dovern, Jonas, 2024. "Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 113-123.
    68. Wei Yang & Yifu Zhang & Yuan Hu, 2022. "Heterogeneous Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Provincial Environmental Pollution Emissions in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-13, April.
    69. Dylong, Patrick & Koenings, Fabian, 2023. "Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic: Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    70. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Kuester, Keith & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael, 2022. "News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 35-51.
    71. D’Acunto, Francesco & Rossi, Alberto G. & Weber, Michael, 2024. "Crowdsourcing peer information to change spending behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    72. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2025. "The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    73. Priya, Pragati & Sharma, Chandan, 2025. "The uncertainty-driven channel of monetary transmission on household consumption: the role of households’ balance sheet positions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    74. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael S., 2024. "Big news: Climate-disaster expectations and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    75. Rifai Afin, 2023. "Interlinka Terlinkage of M GE of Macroeconomic Uncer Croeconomic Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance: Evidence from Asean-5 Countries Panel VAR," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 26(1), pages 39-68, March.
    76. Olga Popova & Milena Nikolova & Sarah Grace See & Vladimir Otrachshenko, 2025. "Inflation, unemployment, and institutional trust: The global evidence," Working and Discussion Papers WP 6/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    77. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "How do people view wage and price inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    78. Konstantina Manou & Evangelia Papapetrou, 2025. "Does uncertainty matter for household consumption? A mean and a two tails approach," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(4), pages 909-941, December.
    79. Erwan Gautier & Jérémi Montornès, 2025. "Measuring Households' Inflation Expectations in the Euro Area: The Effect of Panel Conditioning," Working papers 1007, Banque de France.
    80. Christoph Gortz & Danny McGowan & Mallory Yeromonahos, 2021. "Furlough and Household Financial Distress during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion Papers 21-13, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    81. Damjan Pfajfar & Fabian Winkler, 2025. "Households' Preferences Over Inflation and Monetary Policy Tradeoffs," Working Papers 25-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    82. D'Acunto, Francesco & Fuster, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups," LawFin Working Paper Series 21, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin).
    83. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    84. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
    85. Bańkowska, Katarzyna & Borlescu, Ana Maria & Charalambakis, Evangelos & Dias Da Silva, António & Di Laurea, Davide & Dossche, Maarten & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Honkkila, Juha & Kennedy, Neale & Kenny,, 2021. "ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: an overview and first evaluation," Occasional Paper Series 287, European Central Bank.
    86. Guiso, Luigi & Jappelli, Tullio, 2026. "Are people willing to pay to prevent natural disasters?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    87. Aditya Aladangady & Andrew C. Chang & Jacob Krimmel, 2025. "Greater wealth, greater uncertainty: Changes in racial inequality in the Survey of Consumer Finances," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 23(1), pages 91-118, March.
    88. Massil, Joseph Keneck & Tadadjeu, Sosson & Yogo, Urbain Thierry, 2025. "Uncertainty and household consumption in developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 51-64.
    89. Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2025. "Household income expectations: The role of unexpected income changes and aggregate conditions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

  25. Weber, Michael & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2021. "Fiscal Policy And Households’ Inflation Expectations: Evidence From A Randomized Control Trial," CEPR Discussion Papers 15821, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Bonam, Dennis & Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Pacheco, Mariana Montserrat Cerra, 2025. "The fiscal sources of euro area inflation through the lens of the Bernanke-Blanchard model," Working Paper Series 3153, European Central Bank.
    2. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    4. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    6. David, Antonio C. & Pienknagura, Samuel & Yépez, Juan F., 2025. "Can fiscal consolidations announcements help anchor inflation expectations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Jing Cynthia Wu & Shihan Xie & Yinxi Xie & Ji Zhang, 2025. "Fiscal Policy: Financing and Indebtedness," CESifo Working Paper Series 12321, CESifo.
    8. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu, 2024. "Debt shocks and the dynamics of output and inflation in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    9. Boeck, Maximilian & Zörner, Thomas O., 2025. "Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    10. Francesco Grigoli & Damiano Sandri, 2023. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 1082, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Jocelyne Zoumenou, 2023. "On the impact of fiscal policy on inflation: The case of fiscal rules," EconomiX Working Papers 2023-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    12. Guillaume Plantin & Eric Mengus & Jean Barthelemy, 2022. "The Central Bank, the Treasury, or the Market: Which One Determines the Price Level?," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03792094, HAL.
    13. McClung, Nigel, 2025. "Why should fiscal imbalances concern policymakers at independent inflation-targeting central banks?," BoF Economics Review 4/2025, Bank of Finland.
    14. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    15. Metiu, Norbert & Stockerl, Valentin, 2024. "What moves households' expectations during a crisis? Evidence from a randomized information experiment," Discussion Papers 42/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Piotr Misztal, 2026. "Exploring the Relationship Between Public Debt and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Poland," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 134-149.
    17. Dmitri V. Vinogradov & Michael J. Lamla & Yousef Makhlouf, 2024. "Survey-based expectations and uncertainty attitudes," Working Papers 2024_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    18. Syngjoo Choi & Bongseop Kim & Young Sik Kim & Ohik Kwon, 2025. "Central Bank Digital Currency And Privacy: A Randomized Survey Experiment," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 66(2), pages 823-847, May.
    19. Eminidou, Snezana & Geiger, Martin & Zachariadis, Marios, 2023. "Public debt and state-dependent effects of fiscal policy in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 1-14.
    21. Damiano Sandri & Francesco Grigoli & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Keep calm and bank on: panic-driven bank runs and the role of public communication," BIS Working Papers 1119, Bank for International Settlements.
    22. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Albert Pierres Tejada, 2024. "Fiscal stimulus plans and households' expectations," BIS Working Papers 1238, Bank for International Settlements.
    23. Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Pesso, Tom, 2024. "Fiscal policy and inflation: accounting for non-linearities in government debt," Working Paper Series 2996, European Central Bank.
    24. Armin A. Bolouri & Tim Lohse & Salmai Qari, 2024. "Interdependent Preferences for Financing and Providing Public Goods – The Case of National Defense," CESifo Working Paper Series 11584, CESifo.
    25. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
    26. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, 2022. "Dynamics of monetary policy and fiscal policy during the pandemic: the Philippine experience," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The monetary-fiscal policy nexus in the wake of the pandemic, volume 122, pages 217-240, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Brandao-Marques, Luis & Casiraghi, Marco & Gelos, Gaston & Harrison, Olamide & Kamber, Gunes, 2024. "Is high debt Constraining monetary policy? evidence from inflation expectations," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    28. Bucciol, Alessandro & Easaw, Joshy & Trucchi, Serena, 2025. "Household income expectations: The role of unexpected income changes and aggregate conditions," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

  26. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Ryngaert, Jane, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5cd1r3bd, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

    Cited by:

    1. Evans, George & Gibbs, Christopher & McGough, Bruce, 2021. "A Unified Model of Learning to Forecast," Working Papers 2021-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    2. Dobrew, Michael & Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Röttger, Joost, 2023. "Make-Up Strategies with Incomplete Markets and Bounded Rationality," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277697, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.
    4. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Uncertainty of Firms' Medium-term Outlook during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion papers 22079, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    5. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    6. Yang, Choongryul, 2022. "Rational inattention, menu costs, and multi-product firms: Micro evidence and aggregate implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 105-123.
    7. Ayan Bhattacharya, 2022. "Arbitrage from a Bayesian's Perspective," Papers 2211.03244, arXiv.org.
    8. Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 11243, CESifo.
    9. Michael Weber & Bernardo Candia & Hassan Afrouzi & Tiziano Ropele & Rodrigo Lluberas & Serafin Frache & Brent Meyer & Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dimitris Georgarakos & Olivier Coibion & Geoff, 2025. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 229-264, January.
    10. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert J. & Trautmann, Stefan T. & Theurich, Franziska, 2024. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about households and firms," Discussion Papers 18/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Lisa Keding & Marten C. Ritterrath, 2025. "Inventors' Personal Experience of Natural Disasters and Green Innovation," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 380, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    12. Zhang, Chu & Zhao, Shen, 2023. "The macroeconomic announcement premium and information environment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 55-73.
    13. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Frictions Across Various Types of Inflation Expectations," Working papers 873, Banque de France.
    14. Blesse, Sebastian, 2021. "Are your tax problems an opportunity not to pay taxes? Evidence from a randomized survey experiment," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-040, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    15. Lena Dräger & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke, 2025. "Peer Effects in Macroeconomic Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11892, CESifo.
    16. Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 140, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    17. Andreas Dibiasi & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz & Armin Steinbach, 2025. "Fiscal Responses to Monetary Policy: Insights From a Survey of Government Officials," CESifo Working Paper Series 12247, CESifo.
    18. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Yin, Xiao, 2024. "Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings," IZA Discussion Papers 17120, IZA Network @ LISER.
    19. Ingar Haaland & Ole-Andreas Elvik Næss & Ingar K. Haaland, 2023. "Misperceived Returns to Active Investing," CESifo Working Paper Series 10257, CESifo.
    20. Wu, Jieran, 2022. "Comments on “Sentiments and real business cycles”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    21. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2024. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    22. Dorine Boumans & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt, 2022. "Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 9974, CESifo.
    23. Hanjo Odendaal & Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2026. "Inflation expectations the impact of priming in survey questions," Working Papers 11103, South African Reserve Bank.
    24. Kieren, Pascal & König-Kersting, Christian & Schmidt, Robert & Trautmann, Stefan & Heinicke, Franziska, 2025. "First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    25. Blesse, Sebastian, 2023. "Do your tax problems make tax evasion seem more justifiable? Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    26. Goldstein, Nathan & Zilberfarb, Ben-Zion, 2021. "Do forecasters really care about consensus?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    27. Kumar, Saten & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," IZA Discussion Papers 15449, IZA Network @ LISER.
    28. Andreas Dibiasi & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz, 2021. "Uncertainty Shocks, Adjustment Costs and Firm Beliefs: Evidence From a Representative Survey," KOF Working papers 21-496, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    29. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    30. Helena Antonie Baier & Philipp Lergetporer & Thomas Rittmannsberger, 2025. "Firms’ expectations about skill shortages," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 1095-1112, August.
    31. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    32. Hassan Afrouzi & Joel P. Flynn & Choongryul Yang, 2024. "What Can Measured Beliefs Tell Us About Monetary Non-Neutrality?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-053, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    33. Pignataro, Giuseppe & Raggi, Davide & Pancotto, Francesca, 2024. "On the role of fundamentals, private signals, and beauty contests to predict exchange rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 687-705.
    34. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    35. Zaccaria, Niccolò, 2025. "Overconfidence and Information Aggregation," Other publications TiSEM 7ac7f3a2-0a15-4d18-b645-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

  27. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending," Working Papers 2020-60, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Wright, Austin L. & Sonin, Konstantin & Driscoll, Jesse & Wilson, Jarnickae, 2020. "Poverty and economic dislocation reduce compliance with COVID-19 shelter-in-place protocols," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 544-554.
    2. Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2021. "Inflation During the Pandemic: What Happened? What is Next?," MPRA Paper 108677, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Fazio, Andrea & Reggiani, Tommaso & Sabatini, Fabio, 2022. "The political cost of sanctions: Evidence from COVID-19," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(9), pages 872-878.
    4. Gerda Dewit & Dermot Leahy, 2022. "Pigovian Export Promotion and Cooperation in a Pandemic," Economics Department Working Paper Series n317-22.pdf, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    5. Christopher D. Cotton & Vaishali Garga & Justin Rohan, 2021. "Consumption Spending during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Current Policy Perspectives 93430, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    6. Makridis, Christos & McNab, Robert, 2020. "The Fiscal Cost of COVID-19: Evidence from the States," Working Papers 10702, George Mason University, Mercatus Center.
    7. Beyer, Marcel, 2023. "Gambling for recovery? Exploring the riskiness of European insurers' assets during the Covid-19 crisis 2020," ICIR Working Paper Series 46/23, Goethe University Frankfurt, International Center for Insurance Regulation (ICIR), revised 2023.
    8. Sabina Marchetti & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Giuseppe Ilardi & Giorgio Guzzetta & Piero Poletti & Patrizio Pezzotti & Antonino Bella & Paola Stefanelli & Flavia Riccardo & Stefano, 2022. "An Epidemic Model for SARS-CoV-2 with Self-Adaptive Containment Measures," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 681, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    9. Bixuan Yang & Frank Asche & Tao Li, 2022. "Consumer behavior and food prices during the COVID‐19 pandemic: Evidence from Chinese cities," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(3), pages 1437-1460, July.
    10. Martin O'Connell & Áureo de Paula & Kate Smith, 2021. "Preparing for a pandemic: spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID‐19 first wave," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 249-264, June.
    11. Valadkhani, Abbas & Ghazanfari, Arezoo & Nguyen, Jeremy & Moradi-Motlagh, Amir, 2021. "The asymmetric effects of COVID19 on wholesale fuel prices in Australia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 255-266.
    12. Jacques Bughin & Michele Cincera & Dorota Reykowska & Marcin Zyszkiewicz & Rafal Ohme, 2021. "Covid-19 Endemism and the Control Skeptics," Working Papers TIMES² 2021-044, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    13. Mario Lackner & Uwe Sunde & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, 2023. "The Forces Behind Social Unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 Pandemic," Economics working papers 2023-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    14. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    15. Wang, Huanhuan & Zhang, Zhiqiang & Zhao, Xiaoxue, 2025. "Trade-linked pandemic, enforcement gap, and pollution," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    16. Bisin, Alberto & Moro, Andrea, 2022. "Spatial‐SIR with network structure and behavior: Lockdown rules and the Lucas critique," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 370-388.
    17. Nemati Fard, Lorenzo Amir & Bisin, Alberto & Starnini, Michele & Tizzoni, Michele, 2025. "Modeling adaptive forward-looking behavior in epidemics on networks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    18. Barrero, Jose Maria & Bloom, Nick & Davis, Steven J., 2020. "Why Working From Home Will Stick," SocArXiv wfdbe, Center for Open Science.
    19. Abel Brodeur & David Gray & Anik Islam & Suraiya Bhuiyan, 2021. "A literature review of the economics of COVID‐19," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(4), pages 1007-1044, September.
    20. Md. Monirul Islam & Arifa Jannat & Dewan Abdullah Al Rafi & Kentaka Aruga, 2020. "Potential Economic Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on South Asian Economies: A Review," World, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-17, December.
    21. Zheng, Yi & Ren, He, 2024. "COVID-19 vaccination and housing payments," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    22. Tsutomu Watanabe & Tomoyoshi Yabu, 2020. "Japan’s Voluntary Lockdown," CARF F-Series CARF-F-492, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    23. Martin O'Connell & Kate Smith & Rebekah Stroud, 2021. "The dietary impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," IFS Working Papers W21/18, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    24. Daniel Aaronson & Scott A. Brave & Michael Fogarty & Ezra Karger & Spencer D. Krane, 2021. "Tracking U.S. Consumers in Real Time with a New Weekly Index of Retail Trade," Working Paper Series WP-2021-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 18 Jun 2021.
    25. Andrea Fazio & Tomasso Reggiani & Fabio Sabatini, 2021. "The political cost of lockdown´s enforcement," MUNI ECON Working Papers 2021-04, Masaryk University, revised Feb 2023.
    26. Milosh, Maria & Painter, Marcus & Sonin, Konstantin & Van Dijcke, David & Wright, Austin L., 2021. "Unmasking partisanship: Polarization undermines public response to collective risk," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    27. Nicholas W. Papageorge & Matthew V. Zahn & Michèle Belot & Eline van den Broek-Altenburg & Syngjoo Choi & Julian C. Jamison & Egon Tripodi, 2020. "Socio-Demographic Factors Associated with Self-Protecting Behavior during the Covid-19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 27378, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. de Palma, André & Vosough, Shaghayegh & Liao, Feixiong, 2022. "An overview of effects of COVID-19 on mobility and lifestyle: 18 months since the outbreak," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 372-397.
    29. Louis‐Philippe Beland & Abel Brodeur & Derek Mikola & Taylor Wright, 2022. "The short‐term economic consequences of COVID‐19: Occupation tasks and mental health in Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 214-247, February.
    30. Yuan, Hong & Huang, Mengqi, 2023. "Pandemic public health interventions and corporate communications: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    31. Le, Kien & Nguyen, My, 2020. "The Psychological Consequences of COVID-19 Lockdowns," MPRA Paper 104861, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Besarta Veseli & Rouven Seifert & Michel Clement & Edlira Shehu, 2025. "Trading-off health safety, civil liberties, and unemployment based on communication strategies: the social dilemma in fighting pandemics," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(3), pages 1-17, March.
    33. Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2021. "Die Rezession 2020: Österreich im Ländervergleich," WIFO Research Briefs 4, WIFO.
    34. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?," IZA Discussion Papers 13355, IZA Network @ LISER.
    35. Alejandro G. Graziano & Yuan Tian, 2023. "Trade disruptions along the global supply chain," Discussion Papers 2023-06, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    36. John Gathergood & Fabian Gunzinger & Benedict Guttman-Kenney & Edika Quispe-Torreblanca & Neil Stewart, 2020. "Levelling Down and the COVID-19 Lockdowns: Uneven Regional Recovery in UK Consumer Spending," Papers 2012.09336, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    37. Michael D. Bordo & Andrew T. Levin & Mickey D. Levy, 2020. "Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve’s Policy Strategy and Communications," NBER Working Papers 27369, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    39. Amr Hosny & Kevin Pallara, 2023. "Economic Activity, Fiscal Space and Types of COVID-19 Containment Measures," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 319-355, November.
    40. Andrej Cupák & Ján Klacso & Martin Suster, 2020. "Surveying the Impact of the Covid-19 Recession on the Financial Situation of Indebted Households," Working and Discussion Papers WP 6/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    41. Khurram Ajaz Khan & Zdenko Metzker & Justas Streimikis & John Amoah, 2023. "Impact of negative emotions on financial behavior: An assessment through general strain theory," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 219-254, March.
    42. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2022. "Uncertainty of Firms' Medium-term Outlook during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion papers 22079, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    43. Dhiordan Cunha Tadaiesky & Joaquim Lima das Neves Neto & André Cristiano Silva Melo & Rosley Anholon & Eliane de Castro Coutinho & Vitor William Batista Martins, 2022. "Challenges to Promoting Resilience in Supply Chains Observed during the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Exploratory Study of the Amazon Region Using the TOPSIS Technique," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-13, November.
    44. Coibion, O & Gorodnichenko, Y & Weber, M, 2022. "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt0zp1944k, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    45. Amory Martin & Maryia Markhvida & Stéphane Hallegatte & Brian Walsh, 2020. "Socio-Economic Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Consumption and Poverty," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 453-479, October.
    46. Zaid Obeidat & Mohammad Ibrahim Obeidat, 2023. "A typology of Jordanian consumers after Covid‐19: The rational, the suspicious, and the cautious consumer," Journal of Consumer Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 121-139, January.
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    50. Hacioglu Sinem & Diego R Känzig & Paolo Surico, 2020. "The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic," Working Papers halshs-03028702, HAL.
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    53. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu, 2021. "Regional growth and disparities in a post‐COVID Europe: A new normality scenario," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 710-727, September.
    54. Davide Furceri & Siddharth Kothari & Longmei Zhang, 2021. "The effects of COVID‐19 containment measures on the Asia‐Pacific region," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 469-497, October.
    55. Severin Reissl & Alessandro Caiani & Francesco Lamperti & Tommaso Ferraresi & Leonardo Ghezzi, 2022. "A regional Input-Output model of the Covid-19 crisis in Italy: decomposing demand and supply factors," LEM Papers Series 2022/04, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    56. Alexander Ahammer & Martin Halla & Mario Lackner, 2023. "Mass gatherings contributed to early COVID‐19 mortality: Evidence from US sports," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(3), pages 471-488, July.
    57. De Schryder, Selien & Koutounidis, Nikolaos & Schoors, Koen & Weytjens, Johannes, 2025. "Assessing the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 on consumption using bank transactions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    58. Gonzalez Pampillon, Nicolas & Nunez Chaim, Gonzalo & Overman, Henry G., 2024. "The economic impacts of the UK’s Eat Out to Help Out scheme," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 124044, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    59. Ragnar Enger Juelsrud & Ella Getz Wold, 2023. "The importance of unemployment risk for individual savings," Working Papers 06/2023, Centre for Household Finance and Macroeconomic Research (HOFIMAR), BI Norwegian Business School.
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    66. Seonghoon Kim & Kanghyock Koh & Xuan Zhang, 2022. "Short‐term impact of COVID‐19 on consumption spending and its underlying mechanisms: Evidence from Singapore," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 115-134, February.
    67. Daiji Kawaguchi & Sagiri Kitao & Manabu Nose, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on Japanese firms: mobility and resilience via remote work," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(6), pages 1419-1449, December.
    68. Trung Duc Nguyen & Anh Hoang Le & Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Lanh Kim Trieu, 2022. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Economic Growth and Monetary Policy: An Analysis from the DSGE Model in Vietnam," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, July.
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    197. Simionescu, Mihaela & Raišienė, Agota Giedrė, 2021. "A bridge between sentiment indicators: What does Google Trends tell us about COVID-19 pandemic and employment expectations in the EU new member states?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    198. Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Trinh, Trong-Anh, 2020. "The Beneficial Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Air Pollution: Evidence from Vietnam," GLO Discussion Paper Series 647, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    199. Di Noia, Jlenia & Caiani, Alessandro & Cesarini, Luigi & Arosio, Marcello & Monteleone, Beatrice, 2025. "A high resolution input–output model to assess the economic impact of floods," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    200. Feng‐An Yang & Hung‐Hao Chang & Jiun‐Hao Wang, 2022. "The economic impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on the Taiwanese food industry: Empirical evidence using business transaction data," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 376-395, June.
    201. Hayakawa, Kazunobu & Keola, Souknilanh, 2021. "How is the Asian economy recovering from COVID-19? Evidence from the emissions of air pollutants," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    202. Nicolás González-Pampillón & Gonzalo Nunez-Chaim & Katharina Ziegler, 2021. "Recovering from the first Covid-19 lockdown: Economic impacts of the UK's Eat Out to Help Out scheme," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-018, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    203. Bíró, Anikó & Branyiczki, Réka, 2022. "Várakozások és viselkedések a koronavírus-járvány idején [Expectations and behavior during the coronavirus pandemic]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1324-1344.
    204. Assenza, Tiziana & Cardaci, Alberto & Chaliasos, Michael, 2023. "Consumption and account balances in crises: Have we neglected cognitive load?," IMFS Working Paper Series 197, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    205. Bruno Carvalho & Susana Peralta & Joao Pereira dos Santos, 2020. "Regional and Sectorial Impacts of the Covid-19 Crisis: Evidence from Electronic Payments," Working Papers ECARES 2020-48, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    206. Fakhrul Hasan & Mary Fiona Ross Bellenstedt & Mohammad Raijul Islam, 2023. "Demand and Supply Disruptions During the Covid-19 Crisis on Firm Productivity," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 24(1), pages 87-105, March.
    207. Bachas,Pierre Jean & Brockmeyer,Anne & Semelet,Camille Marine, 2020. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Formal Firms: Micro Tax Data Simulations across Countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9437, The World Bank.
    208. Helen Chiappini & Gianfranco Vento & Leonardo De Palma, 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Sustainable Indexes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-18, February.
    209. Marco Pagano & Josef Zechner, 2022. "COVID-19 and Corporate Finance [The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID]," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 849-879.
    210. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Woo-Young Kang & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2021. "The Covid-19 Pandemic, Policy Responses and Stock Markets in the G20," CESifo Working Paper Series 9299, CESifo.
    211. Bandyopadhyay, Siddhartha & Chatterjee, Kalyan & Das, Kaustav & Roy, Jaideep, 2021. "Learning versus habit formation: Optimal timing of lockdown for disease containment," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    212. Pahl, Stefan & Brandi, Clara & Schwab, Jakob & Stender, Frederik, 2020. "Cling together, swing together: The contagious effects of COVID-19 on developing countries through global value chains," IDOS Discussion Papers 21/2020, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    213. Alessandro Belmonte & Harry Pickard, 2024. "Safe at Last? Late Effects of a Mass Immunization Campaign on Households' Economic Insecurity," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(2), pages 466-497, June.
    214. Alexandre K Ligo & Emerson Mahoney & Jeffrey Cegan & Benjamin D Trump & Andrew S Jin & Maksim Kitsak & Jesse Keenan & Igor Linkov, 2021. "Relationship among state reopening policies, health outcomes and economic recovery through first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(11), pages 1-21, November.
    215. Daniel K Sewell & Aaron Miller & for the CDC MInD-Healthcare Program, 2020. "Simulation-free estimation of an individual-based SEIR model for evaluating nonpharmaceutical interventions with an application to COVID-19 in the District of Columbia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, November.
    216. Şenay Ağca & John R. Birge & Zi'ang Wang & Jing Wu, 2023. "The impact of COVID‐19 on supply chain credit risk," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(12), pages 4088-4113, December.
    217. Shachat, Jason & Walker, Matthew J. & Wei, Lijia, 2021. "How the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic impacted pro-social behaviour and individual preferences: Experimental evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 480-494.
    218. Bu, Di & Hanspal, Tobin & Liao, Yin & Liu, Yong, 2021. "Risk taking, preferences, and beliefs: Evidence from Wuhan," SAFE Working Paper Series 301, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    219. Gu, Leilei & Li, Jianjun & Ni, Xiaoran & Peng, Yuchao, 2023. "The long shadow beyond lockdown: Board chairs’ professional pandemic experiences and corporate investments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 522-541.
    220. Hiroyasu INOUE & Yasuyuki TODO, 2022. "Has COVID-19 Permanently Changed Online Consumption Behavior?," Discussion papers 22018, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    221. Stefanie Huber, 2022. "SHE canÕt afford it and HE doesnÕt want it: The gender gap in the COVID-19 consumption response," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-029/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    222. Serhan Cevik, 2020. "Dirty money: Does the risk of infectious disease lower demand for cash?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 460-471, December.
    223. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Siddharth Kothari & Jonathan D. Ostry & Nour Tawk, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 vaccines on economic activity," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 158(1), pages 1-25, December.
    224. Carbó-Valverde, Santiago & Cuadros-Solas, Pedro J. & Rodríguez-Fernández, Francisco & Sánchez-Béjar, José Juan, 2023. "Mobility restrictions and payment choices: The case of the Covid-19 pandemic," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    225. Sandra Claudia Gewalt & Sarah Berger & Regina Krisam & Johannes Krisam & Markus Breuer, 2022. "“University students’ economic situation during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional study in Germany”," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(10), pages 1-18, October.
    226. Cornelia Ilin & Sébastien E. Annan-Phan & Xiao Hui Tai & Shikhar Mehra & Solomon M. Hsiang & Joshua E. Blumenstock, 2020. "Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales," NBER Working Papers 28120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    227. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 273-299, April.
    228. Sun, Yunchuan & Zeng, Xiaoping & Zhao, Han & Simkins, Betty & Cui, Xuegang, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on SMEs in China: Textual analysis and empirical evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    229. Lyudmil Naydenov, 2022. "Household Expenditure During A Pandemic: Covid-19 And The Case Of Bulgaria," Business Management, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4 Year 20, pages 18-34.
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    231. Sumedha Gupta & Laura Montenovo & Thuy D. Nguyen & Felipe Lozano Rojas & Ian M. Schmutte & Kosali I. Simon & Bruce A. Weinberg & Coady Wing, 2020. "Effects of Social Distancing Policy on Labor Market Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 27280, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    232. AITOUTOUHEN, latifa, 2021. "Study of the Socio-Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis in Morocco," MPRA Paper 111114, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Dec 2021.
    233. Azzouzi, asmae & Bousselhamia, Ahmed, 2021. "Impact des chocs d'incertitude liés au Covid-19 sur l’économie marocaine [Impact of uncertainty shocks related to the Covid-19 on the Moroccan economy]," MPRA Paper 110398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    234. Sirine Zribi, 2022. "Effects of social influence on crowdfunding performance: implications of the covid-19 pandemic," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    235. Allen N. Berger & Christa H. S. Bouwman & Lars Norden & Raluca A. Roman & Gregory F. Udell & Teng Wang, 2021. "Piercing Through Opacity: Relationships and Credit Card Lending to Consumers and Small Businesses During Normal Times and the COVID-19 Crisis," Working Papers 21-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    236. Nashwan M. A. Saif & Jianping Ruan & Bojan Obrenovic, 2021. "Sustaining Trade during COVID-19 Pandemic: Establishing a Conceptual Model Including COVID-19 Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, May.
    237. George Kapetanios & Nora Neuteboom & Feiko Ritsema & Alexia Ventouri, 2022. "How did consumers react to the COVID‐19 pandemic over time?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 961-993, October.
    238. Simona Malovaná & Martin Hodula & Jan Frait, 2021. "What Does Really Drive Consumer Confidence?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 155(3), pages 885-913, June.
    239. Christopher D. Cotton & Vaishali Garga & Justin Rohan, 2020. "Consumption Heterogeneity by Occupation: Understanding the Impact of Occupation on Personal Consumption during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 20-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    240. Avenyo, Elvis K. & Francois, John Nana & Zinyemba, Tatenda P., 2020. "COVID-19, Lockdowns, and Africa’s Informal Sector: Lessons from Ghana," MERIT Working Papers 2020-028, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).

  28. Schoenle, Raphael & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Knotek, Edward, 2020. "Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15307, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Alan Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," Working Papers 744, DNB.
    2. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
    3. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    4. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Oliver Pfäuti, 2025. "Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1211-1239, August.
    6. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Honkapohja, Seppo & McClung, Nigel, 2026. "On robustness of average inflation targeting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    8. Isabel Gameiro & Rita Duarte & Ildeberta Abreu, 2024. "Reaching out to the general public: a challenging journey for central banks," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    9. Fuster, Andreas & Gianinazzi, Virginia & Hackethal, Andreas & Schnorpfeil, Philip & Weber, Michael, 2026. "The response of debtors to rate changes," SAFE Working Paper Series 469, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    10. Yamin Ahmad & James Murray, 2023. "Implications for determinacy with average inflation targeting," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 510-517.
    11. Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel & Ulrike M. Malmendier, 2026. "Seemingly Anchored Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 12750, CESifo.
    12. Bairoliya, Neha & McKiernan, Kathleen, 2024. "The welfare costs of misinformation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    13. Kronick, Jeremy & Petersen, Luba, 2025. "Is monetary and fiscal policy conflict that dire?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    14. Hwang, In Do & Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2023. "Central bank communication and public trust: The case of ECB speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    15. Kalpana, R. & Dash, Pradyumna, 2025. "Households’ inflation perceptions, expectations, and the monetary policy in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    16. Peter Andre & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Narratives about the Macroeconomy," CEBI working paper series 21-18, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    17. Joris Wauters & Zivile Zekaite & Garo Garabedian, 2024. "Owner-occupied housing costs, policy communication, and inflation expectations," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 11, Stata Users Group.
    18. Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
    19. Lena Dräger, 2023. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public," CESifo Working Paper Series 10713, CESifo.
    20. Oliver Pfauti, 2023. "The Inflation Attention Threshold and Inflation Surges," Papers 2308.09480, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    21. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2025. "Credibility gains from central bank communication with the public," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    22. Salle, Isabelle, 2022. "Comment on “No firm is an island? How industry conditions shape firms’ expectations” by Philippe Andrade, Olivier Coibion, Erwan Gautier and Yuriy Gorodnichenko," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 57-61.
    23. Salle, Isabelle L., 2023. "What to target? Insights from a lab experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 514-533.
    24. Caruso-Bloeck, Martin & Mello, Miguel & Ponce, Jorge, 2023. "News of disinflation and firms’ expectations: New causal evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    25. Binder, Carola Conces, 2022. "Time-of-day and day-of-week variations in Amazon Mechanical Turk survey responses," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    26. Andrade, Philippe & Galí, Jordi & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2021. "Should the ECB adjust its strategy in the face of a lower r★?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    27. Michail, Nektarios A. & Louca, Kyriaki G., 2025. "Inflation expectations and house prices in the euro area," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 383-391.
    28. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2025. "Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?," IZA Discussion Papers 17919, IZA Network @ LISER.
    29. Agnesi, Alessandro & Russo, Alberto, 2025. "Redistribution through inflation: A multi-sector approach to income dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 69-81.
    30. Kamps, Christophe & Bussière, Matthieu & Niessner, Birgit & Tristani, Oreste & Christoffel, Kai & Kapadia, Sujit & Ferrero, Giuseppe & Gilbert, Niels & Vlassopoulos, Thomas & Motto, Roberto & Gerke, R, 2025. "Report on monetary policy tools, strategy and communication," Occasional Paper Series 372, European Central Bank.
    31. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2024. "Forceful or persistent: How the ECB's new inflation target affects households' inflation expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 24-082, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    32. Jia, Chengcheng & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2023. "Average inflation targeting: Time inconsistency and ambiguous communication," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 69-86.
    33. Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, IZA Network @ LISER.
    34. Dupraz, Stéphane & Le Bihan, Hervé & Matheron, Julien, 2024. "Make-up strategies with finite planning horizons but infinitely forward-looking asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    35. Curti, Filippo & Kazinnik, Sophia, 2023. "Central bank communication and website characteristics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1216-1241.
    36. Binder, Carola Conces, 2021. "Household expectations and the release of macroeconomic statistics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    37. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," CFS Working Paper Series 731, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    38. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    39. Bernardo Candia & James Mitchell & Damjan Pfajfar, 2026. "The Causal Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on Consumers' Macroeconomic Expectations and Spending Plans," Working Papers 26-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    40. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2024. "Public debt and household inflation expectations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    41. Josef Simpartl, 2026. "Social Media as a Monetary Policy Tool? Evidence from a Survey Experiment," Working Papers 2026/04, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    42. Sami Oinonen & Matti Viren, 2021. "Effects of Monetary Policy Decisions on Professional Forecasters' Expectations and Expectation Uncertainty," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(2), pages 245-280.
    43. Christian Conrad & Zeno Enders & Gernot Müller, 2025. "Inflation Forecast Targeting Revisited," CESifo Working Paper Series 12006, CESifo.
    44. Bernhard Herz & Lukas Menkhoff, 2020. "Ein höheres Inflationsziel für die EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(11), pages 829-833, November.
    45. Frantisek Masek & Jan Zemlicka, 2024. "Average Inflation Targeting: How far to look into the past and the future?," Working and Discussion Papers WP 5/2024, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    46. Agarwal, Sumit & Chua, Yeow Hwee & Song, Changcheng, 2022. "Inflation expectations of households and the upgrading channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 124-138.
    47. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Discussion Papers 2025/1, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    48. Damiano Sandri & Francesco Grigoli & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Keep calm and bank on: panic-driven bank runs and the role of public communication," BIS Working Papers 1119, Bank for International Settlements.
    49. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2023. "Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    50. Dietrich, Alexander M. & Kuester, Keith & Müller, Gernot J. & Schoenle, Raphael, 2022. "News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 35-51.
    51. Fiechter, Chad M., 2023. "Farmland Value Expectations and Learning," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335505, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    52. Marco Bottone & Alex Tagliabracci & Giordano Zevi, 2021. "Inflation expectations and the ECB’s perceived inflation objective: novel evidence from firm-level data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 621, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    53. Conces Binder, Carola & Campbell, Jeffrey & Ryngaert, Jane, 2022. "Consumer Inflation Expectations: Daily Dynamics," MPRA Paper 117628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    54. Olga Popova & Milena Nikolova & Sarah Grace See & Vladimir Otrachshenko, 2025. "Inflation, unemployment, and institutional trust: The global evidence," Working and Discussion Papers WP 6/2025, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    55. Coleman, Winnie & Nautz, Dieter, 2025. "Asymmetric inflation target credibility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    56. Michael McMahon, 2024. "Lessons for Monetary Policy Communication: Communication, Getting Through and Expectation Formation," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2024-01, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
    57. Stéphane Dupraz & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2022. "Make-up Strategies with Finite Planning Horizons but Forward-Looking Asset Prices," Working papers 862, Banque de France.
    58. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    59. Ambrocio, Gene & Ferrero, Andrea & Jokivuolle, Esa & Ristolainen, Kim, 2022. "What should the inflation target be? Views from 600 economists," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2022, Bank of Finland.
    60. Ehrmann, Michael & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Credibility gains from communicating with the public: evidence from the ECB’s new monetary policy strategy," Working Paper Series 2785, European Central Bank.
    61. Elisa Stumpf & Jana Schuetz & Silke Uebelmesser & Ronja Baginski & Carmela Aprea, 2024. "Beliefs about demographic change: How well are individuals informed?," Jena Economics Research Papers 2024-003, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    62. Alexopoulos, Michelle & Han, Xinfen & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy & Zhang, Xu, 2024. "More than words: Fed Chairs’ communication during congressional testimonies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    63. Herzog, Bodo, 2023. "How credible is average and symmetric inflation targeting in an episode of high inflation?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1750-1761.
    64. Francesco D'Acunto & Ulrike M. Malmendier & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2022. "What Do the Data Tell Us about Inflation Expectations?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9602, CESifo.
    65. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predicting inflation expectations: A habit-based explanation under hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    66. Ahmad, Yamin & Murray, James, 2022. "Implications for Determinacy with Average Inflation Targeting," MPRA Paper 113119, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    67. McCloud, Nadine, 2024. "What has inflation targeting done for household consumption?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    68. Winnie Coleman & Dieter Nautz, 2025. "Asymmetric Inflation Target Credibility," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0060, Berlin School of Economics.
    69. Hüpper, Florian & Kempa, Bernd, 2023. "Inflation targeting and inflation communication of the Federal Reserve: Words and deeds," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    70. Olena Kostyshyna & Luba Petersen & Jing Yang, 2022. "A Horse Race of Monetary Policy Regimes: An Experimental Investigation," Staff Working Papers 22-33, Bank of Canada.
    71. Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Damjan Pfajfar & Raphael Schoenle & Taylor Shiroff, 2025. "Consumer Inflation Expectations Across Surveys and over Time," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2025(07), pages 1-10, August.

  29. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Working Papers 2020-07, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    2. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
    3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 8905, CESifo.
    4. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 8634, CESifo.
    5. Ingar K. Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CESifo Working Paper Series 8406, CESifo.
    6. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Tang, Shenfeng & Sun, Na, 2025. "Impact of central bank forward guidance on corporate innovation: Perspectives from management confidence and bank credit availability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. David Staines, 2023. "Stochastic Equilibrium the Lucas Critique and Keynesian Economics," Papers 2312.16214, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
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    1. Marco Bottone & Cristina Conflitti & Marianna Riggi & Alex Tagliabracci, 2021. "Firms' inflation expectations and pricing strategies during Covid-19," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 619, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Kenny, Geoff & Duca, Ioana, 2021. "Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 79.
    3. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Vereda, Luciano & Araujo, Mateus de Azevedo, 2022. "What type of information calls the attention of forecasters? Evidence from survey data in an emerging market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Katrien Smuts, 2023. "Exploring the network of individuals that influence the media's inflation message in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Clodomiro Ferreira & Stefano Pica, 2024. "Household perceptions of the sources of business cycle fluctuations: a tale of supply and demand," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1441, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2022. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?," NBER Working Papers 30277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Tim Munday & James Brookes, 2021. "Mark my words: the transmission of central bank communication to the general public via the print media," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 944, Bank of England.
    8. Anthony Brassil & Yahdullah Haidari & Jonathan Hambur & Gulnara Nolan & Callum Ryan, 2024. "How Do Households Form Inflation and Wage Expectations?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    9. Benjamin Beckers & Anthony Brassil, 2022. "Inflation Expectations in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 55(1), pages 125-135, March.
    10. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    11. Conrad, Christian & Enders, Zeno & Glas, Alexander, 2022. "The role of information and experience for households’ inflation expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking Of Inflation: The Influence Of Fed Speeches On Expectations," Working Papers No 07/2025, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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    46. Stefano Neri & Guido Bulligan & Sara Cecchetti & Francesco Corsello & Andrea Papetti & Marianna Riggi & Concetta Rondinelli & Alex Tagliabracci, 2022. "On the anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 712, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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    59. Carin van der Cruijsen & Anna Samarina, 2021. "Trust in the ECB in turbulent times," Working Papers 722, DNB.
    60. Bodea, Cristina & Kerner, Andrew, 2022. "Fear of inflation and gender representation in central banking," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    61. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    62. Bańkowska, Katarzyna & Borlescu, Ana Maria & Charalambakis, Evangelos & Dias Da Silva, António & Di Laurea, Davide & Dossche, Maarten & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Honkkila, Juha & Kennedy, Neale & Kenny,, 2021. "ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: an overview and first evaluation," Occasional Paper Series 287, European Central Bank.
    63. Austermann, Christine & von Blanckenburg, Korbinian & Iseke, Anja & Tebbe, Eva, 2024. "Stereotypical behavior vs. expectations: Gender differences in a dictator game," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    64. Jain, Monica & Kostyshyna, Olena & Zhang, Xu, 2025. "Expectations of inflation, wages and spending: Evidence from a consumer survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    65. Winnie Coleman & Dieter Nautz, 2025. "Asymmetric Inflation Target Credibility," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0060, Berlin School of Economics.
    66. Daria Minina & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2024. "The effect of information on consumer inflation expectations," Working Papers 810, DNB.
    67. Nashwan M. A. Saif & Jianping Ruan & Bojan Obrenovic, 2021. "Sustaining Trade during COVID-19 Pandemic: Establishing a Conceptual Model Including COVID-19 Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-20, May.
    68. Claudio Borio, 2021. "Navigating by r*: safe or hazardous?," BIS Working Papers 982, Bank for International Settlements.
    69. Olena Kostyshyna & Luba Petersen & Jing Yang, 2022. "A Horse Race of Monetary Policy Regimes: An Experimental Investigation," Staff Working Papers 22-33, Bank of Canada.

  31. Philippe Andrade & Olivier Coibion & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "No Firm Is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms Expectations," Working papers 780, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," IZA Discussion Papers 17935, IZA Network @ LISER.
    4. Zohar, Osnat, 2024. "Cyclicality of uncertainty and disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    5. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. Anja Sebbesen & Harald Oberhofer, 2024. "The propagation of business expectations within the European Union," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1082-1103, September.
    7. Adams, Jonathan J. & Rojas, Eugenio, 2024. "Household Consumption and Dispersed Information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    8. Okan Akarsu & Emrehan Aktuğ & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and Firms' Decisions in High Inflation: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 12210, CESifo.
    9. Hensel, Jannik & Mangiante, Giacomo & Moretti, Luca, 2024. "Carbon pricing and inflation expectations: Evidence from France," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    10. Balleer, Almut & Noeller, Marvin, 2023. "Monetary policy in the presence of supply constraints: Evidence from German firm-level data," Ruhr Economic Papers 1060, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    11. Jonas Dovern & Alexander Glas & Geoff Kenny, 2024. "Testing for differences in survey‐based density expectations: A compositional data approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 1104-1122, September.
    12. Frache, Serafin & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Turen, Javier, 2024. "Belief-dependent pricing decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Almut Balleer & Marvin Noeller, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 10261, CESifo.
    14. Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023. "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
    15. Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2023. "Energy prices and inflation expectations: Evidence from households and firms," Discussion Papers 28/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. Chen, Yufeng & Wang, Chuwen & Miao, Jiafeng, 2025. "Marginal impact of European gas shocks on EU inflation variations: Evidence from a TVP-SVAR-SV approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1525-1543.
    17. Adams, Jonathan J., 2023. "Moderating noise-driven macroeconomic fluctuations under dispersed information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    18. Nöller, Marvin & Balleer, Almut, 2023. "Monetary Policy in the Presence of Supply Constraints: Evidence from German Firm-level Data," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277638, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    19. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
    20. Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data," IZA Discussion Papers 17882, IZA Network @ LISER.
    21. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2022. "Information Frictions Across Various Types of Inflation Expectations," Working papers 873, Banque de France.
    22. Dovern, Jonas & Müller, Lena Sophia & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2023. "Local information and firm expectations about aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 1-13.
    23. Francesco D'Acunto & Janet Gao & Lu Liu & Kai Lu & Zhengwei Wang & Jun Yang, 2025. "Subjective Expectations and Financial Intermediation," CESifo Working Paper Series 11780, CESifo.
    24. Hodbod, Alexander & Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Salle, Isabelle, 2021. "The COVID-19 consumption game-changer: Evidence from a large-scale multi-country survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    25. Jonas Dovern & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2025. "The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms," CESifo Working Paper Series 12266, CESifo.
    26. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    27. Elías Albagli & Francesco Grigoli & Emiliano Luttini, 2025. "Inflation Expectations and the Supply Chain," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(3), pages 819-850, September.
    28. Savignac, Frédérique & Gautier, Erwan & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France," IZA Discussion Papers 15069, IZA Network @ LISER.
    29. Gemmi, Luca, 2024. "Rational overoptimism and limited liability," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    30. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "Imperfect Information, Heterogeneous Demand Shocks, and Inflation Dynamics," Discussion Papers 2108, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    31. Bughin, Jacques, 2025. "Corporate AI play and short term skill-biased AI change," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    32. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    33. Gautier, Erwan & Karadi, Peter & Conflitti, Cristina & Fabo, Brian & Fadejeva, Ludmila & Fuss, Catherine & Kosma, Theodora & Jouvanceau, Valentin & Martins, Fernando & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Messner, Tere, 2023. "Price adjustment in the euro area in the low-inflation period: evidence from consumer and producer micro price data," Occasional Paper Series 319, European Central Bank.
    34. Angelico, Cristina, 2024. "The green transition and firms' expectations on future prices: Survey evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 519-543.

  32. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kudlyak, Marianna & Mondragon, John, 2020. "Greater Inequality and Household Borrowing: New Evidence from Household Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt9bn4w75j, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

    Cited by:

    1. S. Boragan Aruoba & Ronel Elul & Sebnem Kalemli Ozcan, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints," Working Papers 22-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    2. Magnus A. H. Gulbrandsen, 2021. "Peer effects and debt accumulation: Evidence from lottery winnings," Working Paper 2021/10, Norges Bank.
    3. Di, Wenhua & Su, Yichen, 2024. "Conspicuous consumption: Vehicle purchases by non-prime consumers," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 895-914.
    4. Joel H Suss, 2023. "Measuring local, salient economic inequality in the UK," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 55(7), pages 1714-1737, October.
    5. Sebastian Doerr & Thomas Drechsel & Donggyu Lee, 2021. "Income inequality, financial intermediation, and small firms," BIS Working Papers 944, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Marrero,Gustavo Alberto & Rodríguez,Juan Gabriel & Van Der Weide,Roy, 2021. "Does Race and Gender Inequality Impact Income Growth ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9865, The World Bank.
    7. Sheunesu Zhou & Olivier Niyitegeka, 2023. "On the Dynamic Relationship between Household Debt and Income Inequality in South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Samuel Ligonnière & Salima Ouerk, 2024. "The unequal distribution of credit: Is there any role for monetary policy?," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 08, Stata Users Group.
    9. Bing Han & David Hirshleifer & Johan Walden, 2023. "Visibility Bias in the Transmission of Consumption Beliefs and Undersaving," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1647-1704, June.
    10. Domonkos, Tomas & Fisera, Boris & Siranova, Maria, 2023. "Income inequality as long-term conditioning factor of monetary transmission to bank rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    11. Jean‐Noël Barrot & Erik Loualiche & Matthew Plosser & Julien Sauvagnat, 2022. "Import Competition and Household Debt," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 3037-3091, December.
    12. Alina K. Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Ulrike I. Steins, 2025. "The Distribution of Household Debt in the United States, 1950-2022," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_634, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    13. Cantarella, Michele & Kavonius, Ilja Kristian, 2025. "The heterogeneous impact of labor market shifts on household mortgage-taking," Working Paper Series 3109, European Central Bank.
    14. Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan, 2021. "Indebted Demand in a Two Period Consumption-Saving Model," Carleton Economic Papers 21-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 05 Jan 2022.
    15. Alina K. Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Ulrike I. Steins, 2020. "Modigliani Meets Minsky: Inequality, Debt, and Financial Fragility in America, 1950-2016," Staff Reports 924, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    16. Alina K Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Ulrike I Steins, 2025. "The Distribution of Household Debt in the United States, 1950-2022," Post-Print hal-05448445, HAL.
    17. Vijverberg, Chu-Ping C., 2024. "Income inequality and household debt: A U.S. state-level spatial analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    18. Bartscher, Alina K. & Kuhn, Moritz & Schularick, Moritz & Steins, Ulrike I., 2025. "The distribution of household debt in the United States, 1950-2022," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 324154, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    19. Michele Cantarella & Ilja Kristian Kavonius, 2024. "Job polarisation and household borrowing," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 22(4), pages 959-980, December.
    20. Anna Samarina & Anh D.M. Nguyen, 2024. "Does Monetary Policy Affect Income Inequality in the Euro Area?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 35-80, February.
    21. Kim Nguyen, 2022. "Do Australian Households Borrow to Keep up with the Joneses?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2022-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    22. Moritz Kuhn & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, 2025. "Income and Wealth Inequality in the United States: An Update Including the 2022 Wave," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_708, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    23. Brausewetter, Lars & Ludolph, Melina & Tonzer, Lena, 2023. "Distributional income effects of banking regulation in Europe," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    24. Sebastian Doerr & Thomas Drechsel & Donggyu Lee, 2022. "Income Inequality and Job Creation," Staff Reports 1021, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    25. Alina K. Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Ulrike I. Steins, 2020. "The Distribution of Household Debt in the United States, 1950-2019," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 015, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    26. Wang, Shengquan, 2023. "Income inequality and systemic banking crises: A nonlinear nexus," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
    27. Li, Wenli & Su, Yichen, 2026. "The great reshuffle: Remote work and residential sorting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).

  33. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?," Working Papers 2020-109, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Victoria Baudisch & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2023. "Costly, but (Relatively) Ineffective? An Assessment of Germany’s Temporary VAT Rate Reduction during the Covid-19 Pandemic," CESifo Working Paper Series 10417, CESifo.
    2. Corina Boar & Simon Mongey, 2020. "Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply under the CARES Act," Working Papers 2020-112, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    3. Giovanni Immordino & Tullio Jappelli & Tommaso Oliviero & Alberto Zazzaro, 2021. "Fear of COVID-19 Contagion and Consumption: Evidence from a Survey of Italian Households," CSEF Working Papers 601, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    4. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Ueda, Kozo, 2024. "Household spending responses to two-time COVID-19 payments," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Seungjun Baek & Seongeun Kim & Tae-hwan Rhee & Wonmun Shin, 2023. "How effective are universal payments for raising consumption? Evidence from a natural experiment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2181-2211, November.
    7. Kim, Jihee & Lee, Susang, 2024. "Can stimulus checks to households save the local economy? The impact of South Korea’s COVID-19 stimulus on small business sales," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 159-176.
    8. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    9. Vegard M. Nygaard & Bent E. S{o}rensen & Fan Wang, 2022. "Optimal allocations to heterogeneous agents with an application to stimulus checks," Papers 2204.03799, arXiv.org.
    10. Sergeyev, Dmitriy & Lian, Chen & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2023. "The Economics of Financial Stress," IZA Discussion Papers 16318, IZA Network @ LISER.
    11. Andre, Peter & Flynn, Joel P. & Nikolakoudis, George & Sastry, Karthik A., 2024. "Quick-fixing: Near-rationality in consumption and savings behavior," SAFE Working Paper Series 434, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    12. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgina Green, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 965, Bank of England.
    13. Antonio Cutanda & Juan A. Sanchís, 2025. "The COVID-19 Instruments’ Effectiveness in Mitigating the Pandemic Impact on Spanish Consumption," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 254(3), pages 87-118, September.
    14. Bartal, Mehdi & Becard, Yvan, 2024. "Consumption tax cuts vs stimulus payments," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    15. Charles Goodhart & Donato Masciandaro & Stefano Ugolini, 2022. "Pandemic Recession and Helicopter Money: Venice, 1629--1631," Papers 2201.07181, arXiv.org.
    16. Ministry of Finance, 2021. "Saving Lives and Livelihoods 01 Amidst a Once-in-a-Century Crisis: Chapter I, Economic Survey 2020-21," Working Papers id:13133, eSocialSciences.
    17. Gizem Kosar & Davide Melcangi, 2025. "Subjective Uncertainty and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," CESifo Working Paper Series 11792, CESifo.
    18. Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2021. "COVID-19, Vaccination, and Consumer Behavior," Discussion papers 21079, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    19. Blumenberg, Evelyn & Siddiq, Fariba & Speroni, Samuel & Wasserman, Jacob L., 2024. "Driving A-loan: Automobile debt, neighborhood race, and the COVID-19 pandemic," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 321-330.
    20. Robin Greenwood & Toomas Laarits & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2022. "Stock Market Stimulus," NBER Working Papers 29827, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Daniel Gros, 2020. "Lessons From the COVID-19 Crisis for Euro Area Fiscal Rules," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(5), pages 281-284, September.
    22. Jacques Sapir, 2023. "The Macroeconomic Impact of the New Geopolitical Deal on the French Economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 308-319, June.
    23. Louis Bê Duc & Jean-Charles Bricongne & Matthieu Bussière & Cristina Jude & Adrian Penalver & Franck Sédillot & Miklos Vari & Yann Wicky, 2022. "The increase in the money supply during the Covid crisis: analysis and implications [L’augmentation de la masse monétaire pendant la crise Covid : analyse et implications]," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 239.
    24. Steinbach, Sandro, 2022. "Port congestion, container shortages, and U.S. foreign trade," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    25. Kozo UEDA, 2024. "The Reality of Consumption: Comparing Self-Reported and Observed Marginal Propensity to Consume," CIGS Working Paper Series 24-020E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
    26. Haan, Peter & Peichl, Andreas & Schrenker, Annekatrin & Weizsäcker, Georg & Winter, Joachim, 2022. "Expectation management of policy leaders: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    27. Bruno Albuquerque & Alexandra Varadi, 2022. "Consumption effects of mortgage payment," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 963, Bank of England.
    28. Christina D. Romer, 2022. "Lessons from Fiscal Policy in the Pandemic: The ODE Distinguished Economist Award Lecture," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 67(2), pages 164-182, October.
    29. Tino Berger & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2023. "Cyclical consumption," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-064/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    30. Seokjin Woo & Sangmin Aum & Dohyung Kim & Heyjin Moon & Soohyung Lee, 2022. "Consumption Response to Seoul’s COVID-19 Shopping Coupons: Evidence from Consumer Data (Covid-19 Special Issue)," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 38, pages 231-250.
    31. Hackethal, Andreas & Weber, Annika, 2020. "Fiscal policies and household consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review of early evidence," SAFE White Paper Series 76, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    32. Takashi UNAYAMA & Norihiro KOMURA & Takahiro HATTORI, 2021. "Impacts of Cash Transfers on Consumption during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Japanese Special Cash Payment (Japanese)," Discussion Papers (Japanese) 21022, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    33. Rosa Caiazza & Phillip Phan & Erik Lehmann & Henry Etzkowitz, 2021. "An absorptive capacity-based systems view of Covid-19 in the small business economy," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 1419-1439, September.
    34. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Shipping Container Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," Working Papers 320397, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    35. Fisher, Paul & Levell, Peter & Low, Hamish & Crossley, Thomas, 2020. "MPCs through COVID: spending, saving and private transfers," ISER Working Paper Series 2020-14, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    36. Horvath, Akos & Kay, Benjamin & Wix, Carlo, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and consumer credit: Evidence from credit card data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    37. Anantha Divakaruni & Peter Zimmerman, 2021. "Uncovering Retail Trading in Bitcoin: The Impact of COVID-19 Stimulus Checks," Working Papers 21-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    38. María Pía Olivero & Mikheil Dvalishvili, 2023. "What do fiscal stimulus packages mean for household debt?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(2), pages 282-299, April.
    39. Bernard, René, 2023. "Mental accounting and the marginal propensity to consume," Discussion Papers 13/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    40. Sarah D. Asebedo & Taufiq Hasan Quadria & Blake T. Gray & Yi Liu, 2022. "The Psychology of COVID-19 Economic Impact Payment Use," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 239-260, June.
    41. Xingyuan Yao, 2021. "COVID-19 Pandemic and economic stimulus policy inequality: evidence from quasi-natural experiments," Working Papers 585, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    42. Pauls, Thomas, 2021. "The impact of temporal framing on the marginal propensity to consume," SAFE Working Paper Series 308, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    43. Rao, Smitha & Enelamah, Ngozi V., 2024. "Social protection and absorptive capacity: Disaster preparedness and social welfare policy in the United States," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    44. Joe Piacentini & Harley Frazis & Peter B. Meyer & Michael Schultz & Leo Sveikauskas, 2022. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Labor Markets and Inequality," Economic Working Papers 551, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    45. Michiru Kaneda & So Kubota & Satoshi Tanaka, 2021. "Who spent their COVID-19 stimulus payment? Evidence from personal finance software in Japan," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 409-437, July.
    46. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey," Working Paper Series 2643, European Central Bank.
    47. Lester C Hunt & Anqi Zhang & Shuonan Zhang, 2022. "Recession and Recovery of the Pandemic," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2022-05, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    48. Andrej Cupak & Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso & Martin Suster, 2021. "Fates of indebted households during the Corona crisis: Survey results from Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers OP 2/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    49. Dimitris Georgarakos & Tullio Jappelli & Geoff Kenny & Luigi Pistaferri, 2023. "Labor Supply Response to Windfall Gains," CSEF Working Papers 682, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    50. Hoon Choi, 2022. "Effect of COVID‐19 stimulus payments on sales of local small businesses: Quasi‐experimental evidence from Korea," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 340-360, October.
    51. Macaulay, Alistair, 2021. "The attention trap: Rational inattention, inequality, and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    52. Abdoh, Hussein & Chitavi, Michael, 2025. "Mean reversion of the soybean crush spread: A new model and trading strategies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    53. Scott R. Baker & Robert A Farrokhnia & Steffen Meyer & Michaela Pagel & Constantine Yannelis, 2023. "Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 2271-2304.
    54. Mr. Tidiane Kinda & Andras Lengyel & Kaustubh Chahande, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers During Pandemics," IMF Working Papers 2022/149, International Monetary Fund.
    55. Marianne Bitler & Jason Cook & Danea Horn & Nathan Seegert, 2022. "Incomplete program take-up during a crisis: evidence from the COVID-19 shock in one U.S. state," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(6), pages 1373-1394, December.
    56. Claudio Deiana & Andrea Geraci & Gianluca Mazzarella & Fabio Sabatini, 2021. "Can relief measures nudge compliance in a public health crisis? Evidence from a kinked fiscal policy rule," Working Papers in Public Economics 214, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    57. Dutordoir, Marie & Shemesh, Joshua & Veld, Chris & Wang, Qing, 2024. "Can existing corporate finance theories explain security offerings during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    58. René Bernard & Panagiota Tzamourani & Michael Weber, 2022. "Climate change and individual behavior," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242592, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, revised 2022.
    59. Choi, Hoon, 2021. "The effect of COVID-19 stimulus payments on sales of local small businesses: Quasi-experimental evidence from Korea," MPRA Paper 108587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    60. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2021. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Households during the COVID-19 Pandemic," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242464, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    61. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2022. "The effects of fiscal policy on households during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    62. James Alm & Kay Blaufus & Martin Fochmann & Erich Kirchler & Peter N. C. Mohr & Nina E. Olson & Benno Torgler, 2021. "Tax Policy Measures to Combat the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic and Considerations to Improve Tax Compliance: A Behavioral Perspective," Working Papers 2102, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
    63. Schaffer, Matthew & Segev, Nimrod, 2025. "Quantitative easing, bank lending, and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    64. Auerbach, Alan J. & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2021. "Inequality, fiscal policy and COVID19 restrictions in a demand-determined economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    65. Daigo Nakata, 2023. "Emergency Economic Response and Evaluation in the COVID-19 Crisis," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 19(4), pages 1-25, November.
    66. Saroj Bhattarai & Jae Won Lee & Choongryul Yang, 2021. "Redistribution and the Monetary–Fiscal Policy Mix," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-013, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    67. Koffi Sodokin, 2023. "Public assistance, survival, and household trust during the containment period of the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Togo," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 25(2), pages 428-462, December.
    68. Kosar, Gizem & Melcangi, Davide, 2026. "Subjective Uncertainty and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," IZA Discussion Papers 18602, IZA Network @ LISER.
    69. Radhakrishnan Gopalan & Barton H. Hamilton & Jorge Sabat & David Sovich, 2024. "Aversion to Student Debt? Evidence from Low‐Wage Workers," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(2), pages 1249-1295, April.
    70. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro & Zhuang, Xiting, 2022. "Global Container Trade Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322364, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    71. D’Acunto, Francesco & Rossi, Alberto G. & Weber, Michael, 2024. "Crowdsourcing peer information to change spending behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    72. Dzung Bui & Lena Draeger & Bernd Hayo & Giang Nghiem, 2022. "The Marginal Propensity to Consume During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from Thailand and Vietnam," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202207, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    73. Carlos Alberto Belchior & Yara Gomes, 2022. "Liquidity constraints, cash transfers and the demand for health care in the Covid‐19 pandemic," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(11), pages 2369-2380, November.
    74. Christopher David Cotton, 2023. "Excess stimulus and monetary policy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(3), pages 1528-1538.
    75. Kubota, So & Onishi, Koichiro & Toyama, Yuta, 2021. "Consumption responses to COVID-19 payments: Evidence from a natural experiment and bank account data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1-17.
    76. Lee, Jongkwan & Yang, Hee-Seung, 2022. "Pandemic and employment: Evidence from COVID-19 in South Korea," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    77. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2025. "The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    78. Zheng, Huanhuan, 2023. "Sovereign debt responses to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    79. Junichi Kikuchi & Ryoya Nagao & Yoshiyuki Nakazono, 2021. "Fear of COVID-19 Contagion: The Idiosyncratic Effects of an Aggregate Pandemic Shock," ISER Discussion Paper 1144, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    80. Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Matthew N. White, 2020. "Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act," NBER Working Papers 27876, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    81. Matthew Schaffer & Nimrod Segev, 2023. "Quantitative Easing, Bank Lending, and Aggregate Fluctuations," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2023.01, Bank of Israel.
    82. Huseyin Oguz Genc & Soichiro Takagi, 2024. "A literature review on the design and implementation of central bank digital currencies," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 197-225, February.
    83. Auerbach, Alan & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & McCrory, Peter B & Murphy, Daniel, 2022. "Fiscal multipliers in the COVID19 recession," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt83n8n7j1, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    84. Woo, Seokjin & Aum, Sangmin & Kim, Dohyung & Moon, Heyjin & Lee, Soohyung, 2021. "Consumption Response to Seoul's COVID-19 Shopping Coupons: Evidence from Consumer Data," IZA Discussion Papers 14662, IZA Network @ LISER.
    85. Deiana, Claudio & Geraci, Andrea & Mazzarella, Gianluca & Sabatini, Fabio, 2021. "COVID-19 Relief Programs and Compliance with Confinement Measures," IZA Discussion Papers 14064, IZA Network @ LISER.
    86. Walmsley, Terrie & Rose, Adam & John, Richard & Wei, Dan & Hlávka, Jakub P. & Machado, Juan & Byrd, Katie, 2023. "Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    87. Kristen Tauber & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2021. "Why Has Durable Goods Spending Been So Strong during the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(16), pages 1-6, July.
    88. Taylor, John B., 2021. "The impact of the coronavirus on economic policy and the economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 761-769.
    89. Timothy G. Conley & Bill Dupor & Rong Li & Yijiang Zhou, 2023. "Decomposing the Government Transfer Multiplier," Working Papers 2023-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 17 Nov 2023.
    90. Jack Dunbar & Christopher J. Kurz & Geng Li & Maria D. Tito, 2024. "In the Driver's Seat: Pandemic Fiscal Stimulus and Light Vehicles," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-013, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    91. Anand Chopra & Michael B. Devereux & Amartya Lahiri, 2022. "Pandemics through the lens of occupations," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 540-580, February.
    92. Daniel H. Cooper & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2021. "High-Frequency Spending Responses to Government Transfer Payments," Working Papers 21-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    93. Kosar, Gizem & Melcangi, Davide & Pilossoph, Laura & Wiczer, David, 2023. "Stimulus through Insurance: The Marginal Propensity to Repay Debt," IZA Discussion Papers 16211, IZA Network @ LISER.
    94. Pongpitch Amatyakul & Panchanok Jumrustanasan & Pornchanok Tapkham, 2023. "What can 20 billion financial transactions tell us about the impacts of Covid-19 fiscal transfers?," BIS Working Papers 1130, Bank for International Settlements.
    95. Ezra Karger & Aastha Rajan, 2020. "Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from Covid-19 Stimulus Payments," Working Paper Series WP-2020-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 21 Feb 2021.
    96. Huixin Bi & Chaitri Gulati, 2021. "Fiscal Relief during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 106(no.2), pages 5-24, July.

  34. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Does Policy Communication During COVID Work?," Working Papers 2020-76, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Giulia Rossello & Arianna Martinelli, 2023. "The Effect of Lobbies' Narratives on Academics' Perceptions of Scientific Publishing: An Information Provision Experiment," LEM Papers Series 2023/14, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
    3. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 8634, CESifo.
    4. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    5. Rossello, Giulia & Martinelli, Arianna, 2025. "The effect of lobbies' narratives on academics' perceptions of scientific publishing: A survey experiment," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    6. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2023. "Images Say More than Just Words: Effectiveness of Visual and Text Communication in Dispelling the Rent-Control Misconception," CESifo Working Paper Series 10537, CESifo.
    7. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2022. "“Pictures are worth many words: Effectiveness of visual communication in dispelling the rent–control misconception”," AQR Working Papers 202202, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Feb 2022.
    8. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    9. Kalpana, R. & Dash, Pradyumna, 2025. "Households’ inflation perceptions, expectations, and the monetary policy in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    10. Jordi Brandts & Francesc Trillas Jané, 2024. "Opposing Views on Public Ownership and Their Influence on Citizens' Attitudes," Working Papers 1453, Barcelona School of Economics.
    11. Faia, Ester & Fuster, Andreas & Pezone, Vincenzo & Zafar, Basit, 2024. "Biases in information selection and processing: Survey evidence from the pandemic," Other publications TiSEM 6a968e65-aa7e-4929-bba2-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    12. Grahame Johnson & Sharon Kozicki & Romanos Priftis & Lena Suchanek & Jonathan Witmer & Jing Yang, 2020. "Implementation and Effectiveness of Extended Monetary Policy Tools: Lessons from the Literature," Discussion Papers 2020-16, Bank of Canada.
    13. Edward L. Glaeser & Ginger Zhe Jin & Benjamin T. Leyden & Michael Luca, 2020. "Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Shadrina, Elena V. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V. & Kashin, Dmitry V., 2022. "Implicit incentives in green public procurement: Good intentions versus rigid regulations," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    15. Haan, Peter & Peichl, Andreas & Schrenker, Annekatrin & Weizsäcker, Georg & Winter, Joachim, 2022. "Expectation management of policy leaders: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    16. Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Pomerantz, Rachel & Skandalis, Daphné & Smith, Kyle & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2021. "How economic crises affect inflation beliefs: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 443-469.
    17. Wenxuan Chen & Songlei Chao & Jianliang Ye, 2023. "The micro-economic effects of COVID-19 containment measures: A simple model and evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(7), pages 1-27, July.
    18. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
    19. Patricia M. Dechow & Ryan D. Erhard & Richard G. Sloan & And Mark T. Soliman, 2021. "Implied Equity Duration: A Measure of Pandemic Shutdown Risk," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 59(1), pages 243-281, March.
    20. Hodbod, Alexander & Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Salle, Isabelle, 2021. "The COVID-19 consumption game-changer: Evidence from a large-scale multi-country survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    21. Gutierrez, Emilio & Rubli, Adrian & Tavares, Tiago, 2022. "Information and behavioral responses during a pandemic: Evidence from delays in Covid-19 death reports," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    22. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2023. "Do monetary condition news at the zero lower bound influence households’ expectations and readiness to spend?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    23. Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2022. "Central Bank communication with the general public: promise or false hope?," Working Paper Series 2694, European Central Bank.
    24. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 1-14.
    25. Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
    26. Dylong, Patrick & Koenings, Fabian, 2023. "Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic: Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    27. Mariusz Zieliński, 2022. "The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labor Markets of the Visegrad Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-20, June.
    28. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    29. Binder, Carola Conces & Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Consumer inflation expectations: Daily dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    30. Jiangfeng Chao & Caiyue Ren & Xiaoli Wu, 2025. "The Dynamic Impact of Epidemic Shock on China’s Macro Economy from the Household Heterogeneity Perspective: Simulation Analysis Based on COVID-19 Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(3), pages 2503-2521, September.
    31. Rafkin, Charlie & Shreekumar, Advik & Vautrey, Pierre-Luc, 2021. "When guidance changes: Government stances and public beliefs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    32. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

  35. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," Working Papers 2020-41, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.
    2. Gopi Shah Goda & Emilie Jackson & Lauren Hersch Nicholas & Sarah See Stith, 2021. "The Impact of Covid-19 on Older Workers' Employment and Social Security Spillovers," NBER Working Papers 29083, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Murillo Campello & Gaurav Kankanhalli & Pradeep Muthukrishnan, 2020. "Corporate Hiring under COVID-19: Labor Market Concentration, Downskilling, and Income Inequality," NBER Working Papers 27208, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Couch, Kenneth A. & Fairlie, Robert W. & Xu, Huanan, 2020. "Early evidence of the impacts of COVID-19 on minority unemployment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Jiaming Soh & Myrto Oikonomou & Carlo Pizzinelli & Ippei Shibata & Marina M. Tavares, 2025. "Did the Covid-19 Recession Increase the Demand for Digital Occupations in the USA? Evidence from Employment and Vacancies Data," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(1), pages 316-337, March.
    6. Tymofii Brik & Maksym Obrizan, 2024. "Gender Gap in Urban Job Market During the Pandemic: The Case of Ukraine," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(2), pages 215-235, June.
    7. Arceo-Gomez, Eva O. & Campos-Vazquez, Raymundo M. & Esquivel, Gerardo & Alcaraz, Eduardo & Martinez, Luis A. & Lopez, Norma G., 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 infection on labor outcomes of Mexican formal workers," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    8. Natalia Porto & Pablo de la Vega, 2024. "Employment and Teleworking in the Argentine Tourism Sector: a Case Study Based on the COVID-19 Pandemic," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 6706-6736, June.
    9. Cheng, Cindy & Barceló, Joan & Hartnett, Allison & Kubinec, Robert & Messerschmidt, Luca, 2020. "CoronaNet: A Dyadic Dataset of Government Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic," SocArXiv dkvxy, Center for Open Science.
    10. Vanda Almeida & Salvador Barrios & Michael Christl & Silvia De Poli & Alberto Tumino & Wouter van der Wielen, 2020. "Households' income and the cushioning effect of fiscal policy measures during the Great Lockdown," JRC Working Papers on Taxation & Structural Reforms 2020-06, Joint Research Centre.
    11. Mario Lackner & Uwe Sunde & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, 2023. "The Forces Behind Social Unrest: Evidence from the Covid-19 Pandemic," Economics working papers 2023-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    12. Kisho HOSHI & Hiroyuki KASAHARA & Ryo MAKIOKA & Michio SUZUKI & Satoshi TANAKA, 2021. "The Heterogeneous Effects of COVID-19 on Labor Markets: People's Movement and Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions," Discussion papers 21045, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    13. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    14. Deimante Teresiene & Greta Keliuotyte-Staniuleniene & Yiyi Liao & Rasa Kanapickiene & Ruihui Pu & Siyan Hu & Xiao-Guang Yue, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer and Business Confidence Indicators," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, April.
    15. Joy Chen & Zijun Cheng & Robin Kaiji Gong & Jinlin Li, 2020. "Riding Out the COVID-19 Storm: How Government Policies Affect SMEs in China," HKUST CEP Working Papers Series 202006, HKUST Center for Economic Policy.
    16. Jesús Tomás Monge Moreno & Manuel Monge, 2023. "Coronavirus, Vaccination and the Reaction of Consumer Sentiment in The United States: Time Trends and Persistence Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-8, April.
    17. Diane Alexander & Ezra Karger, 2020. "Do Stay-at-Home Orders Cause People to Stay at Home? Effects of Stay-at-Home Orders on Consumer Behavior," Working Paper Series WP-2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 19 Aug 2021.
    18. Tomaz Cajner & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker & Adrian Hamins-Puertolas & Christopher J. Kurz, 2020. "Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Preliminary Assessment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-030, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Don Mar & Paul Ong & Tom Larson & James Peoples, 2022. "Racial and ethnic disparities in who receives unemployment benefits during COVID-19," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-17, August.
    20. Heyden, Kim J. & Heyden, Thomas, 2021. "Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    21. Asako Chiba & Shunsuke Hori & Taisuke Nakata, 2025. "Quarantine and Its Scar on Labor," CARF F-Series CARF-F-595, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    22. John (Jianqiu) Bai & Erik Brynjolfsson & Wang Jin & Sebastian Steffen & Chi Wan, 2021. "Digital Resilience: How Work-From-Home Feasibility Affects Firm Performance," NBER Working Papers 28588, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Graeber, Daniel & Kritikos, Alexander S. & Seebauer, Johannes, 2021. "COVID-19: a crisis of the female self-employed," GLO Discussion Paper Series 788, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    24. Maciej Pastwa & Kamil K. Imbir & Adrianna Wielgopolan & Ernest Adach, 2023. "Predictors of Feeling of Threat Caused by COVID-19 Pandemic, the Distinctive Effects of Automatic vs. Reflective Emotions," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(7), pages 1-15, March.
    25. Juranek, Steffen & Paetzold, Jörg & Winner, Hannes & Zoutman, Floris T., 2020. "Labor Market Effects of COVID-19 in Sweden and its Neighbors: Evidence from Novel Administrative Data," Discussion Papers 2020/8, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    26. VAN DER WIELEN Wouter & BARRIOS Salvador, 2020. "Fear and Employment During the COVID Pandemic: Evidence from Search Behaviour in the EU," JRC Working Papers on Taxation & Structural Reforms 2020-08, Joint Research Centre.
    27. Md. Shahed Mahmud & Mesbah Uddin Talukder & Sk. Mahrufur Rahman, 2021. "Does ‘Fear of COVID-19’ trigger future career anxiety? An empirical investigation considering depression from COVID-19 as a mediator," International Journal of Social Psychiatry, , vol. 67(1), pages 35-45, February.
    28. Bauer, Anja & Keveloh, Kristin & Mamertino, Mariano & Weber, Enzo, 2020. "Competing for jobs: How COVID-19 changes search behaviour in the labour market," IAB-Discussion Paper 202033, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    29. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Brancati, Emanuele & Brianti, Marco & Schiantarelli, Fabio, 2020. "The Economic Effects of COVID-19 and Credit Constraints: Evidence from Italian Firms' Expectations and Plans," IZA Discussion Papers 13629, IZA Network @ LISER.
    30. Valentinova Tasseva, Iva & Brewer, Mike, 2020. "Did the UK policy response to Covid-19 protect household incomes?," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA6/20, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    31. John Eric Humphries & Christopher Neilson & Gabriel Ulyssea, 2020. "Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2247, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    32. Shenoy, Ajay & Sharma, Bhavyaa & Xu, Guanghong & Kapoor, Rolly & Rho, Haedong Aiden & Sangha, Kinpritma, 2022. "God is in the rain: The impact of rainfall-induced early social distancing on COVID-19 outbreaks," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    33. Hans-Martin von Gaudecker & Radost Holler & Lena Janys & Bettina Siflinger & Christian Zimpelmann, 2020. "Labour supply in the early stages of the CoViD-19 Pandemic: Empirical Evidence on hours, home office, and expectations," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 005, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    34. Nawal Adam & Areej Alfawaz, 2025. "Enhancing organizational performance: how gender diversity enhances employee engagement and commitment," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    35. Sangmin Aum & Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee & Yongseok Shin, 2020. "COVID-19 Doesn't Need Lockdowns to Destroy Jobs: The Effect of Local Outbreaks in Korea," Working Papers 904, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    36. Dubois, Corinne & Lambertini, Luisa & Wu, Yu, 2022. "Gender Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic in the Swiss Labor Market," FSES Working Papers 525, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, University of Freiburg/Fribourg Switzerland.
    37. Giuntella, Osea & Hyde, Kelly & Saccardo, Silvia & Sadoff, Sally, 2020. "Lifestyle and Mental Health Disruptions during COVID-19," IZA Discussion Papers 13569, IZA Network @ LISER.
    38. Adams-Prassl, Abi & Boneva, Teodora & Golin, Marta & Rauh, Christopher, 2020. "Inequality in the impact of the coronavirus shock: Evidence from real time surveys," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    39. Truc Thi Mai Bui & Patrick Button & Elyce G. Picciotti, 2020. "Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers," NBER Working Papers 27448, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. D’Amuri, Francesco & De Philippis, Marta & Guglielminetti, Elisa & Lo Bello, Salvatore, 2022. "Slack and prices during Covid-19: Accounting for labor market participation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    41. Hürtgen, Patrick, 2020. "Fiscal sustainability duringthe COVID-19 pandemic," Discussion Papers 35/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    42. Giuseppe Danese & Luigi Mittone, 2022. "The Tragedy of the Masks: curbing stockpiling behavior through a 'victim'," CEEL Working Papers 2201, Cognitive and Experimental Economics Laboratory, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
    43. Pugnaghi Zimpelmann, Christian & Gaudecker, Hans-Martin von & Holler, Radost & Janys, Lena & Siflinger, Bettina M., 2021. "Drivers of Working Hours and Household Income Dynamics during the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of the Netherlands," IZA Discussion Papers 14382, IZA Network @ LISER.
    44. Michael Barnett & Greg Buchak & Constantine Yannelis, 2020. "Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty," Working Papers 2020-72, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    45. Balgová, Mária & Trenkle, Simon & Zimpelmann, Christian & Pestel, Nico, 2022. "Job search during a pandemic recession: Survey evidence from the Netherlands," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    46. Alex Rees-Jones & John D'Attoma & Amedeo Piolatto & Luca Salvadori, 2020. "COVID-19 Changed Tastes for Safety-Net Programs," NBER Working Papers 27865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    47. Toledo Wilfredo, 2021. "Covid-19 and Unemployment: Evidence from Puerto Rico Using Bayesian Analyses with High-Frequency Data," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 174-189, January.
    48. João Granja & Christos Makridis & Constantine Yannelis & Eric Zwick, 2020. "Did the Paycheck Protection Program Hit the Target?," NBER Working Papers 27095, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    49. Jeong, Deokjae, 2022. "How the reduction of Temporary Foreign Workers led to a rise in vacancy rates in the South Korea," MPRA Paper 118731, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Ward, Jason M. & Anne Edwards, Kathryn, 2021. "CPS Nonresponse During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Explanations, Extent, and Effects," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    51. Brodeur, Abel & Baccini, Leonardo & Weymouth, Stephen, 2020. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and US Presidential Elections," MetaArXiv sxajv, Center for Open Science.
    52. Cristina PRUND, 2020. "The Abrupt Fall Of The Labor Market: The Case Of The European Labor Market And The Impact Generated By Covid-19," Proceedings of the INTERNATIONAL MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 14(1), pages 722-730, November.
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  36. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes," Working Papers 2020-158, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.

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    2. Diego Marino Fages, 2024. "Motivated Forecasts: Experimental Evidence from the Presidential Elections in Argentina," Discussion Papers 2024-08, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
    3. Dagostino, Ramona & Gao, Janet & Ma, Pengfei, 2023. "Partisanship in loan pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    4. Bernd Hayo & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2023. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," Working Papers CEB 23-007, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    5. Binder, Carola Conces & Kamdar, Rupal & Ryngaert, Jane M., 2024. "Partisan expectations and COVID-era inflation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    6. Faia, Ester & Fuster, Andreas & Pezone, Vincenzo & Zafar, Basit, 2024. "Biases in information selection and processing: Survey evidence from the pandemic," Other publications TiSEM 6a968e65-aa7e-4929-bba2-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Çekin, Semih Emre & Polattimur, Hamza, 2025. "Televised inflation: Measuring TV news coverage and its effect on household expectations," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-051, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2026. "Ballots, budgets and bricks: Brexit and the polarisation of individual economic behaviours," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138681, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Zakharov, Alexei & Chapkovski, Philipp, 2025. "The effect of war on redistribution preferences," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
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    11. Bao, Te & Wei, Lijia & Yu, Yang, 2022. "The impact of information interventions on public opinion on social media regulation: Evidence from a survey on Twitter’s Trump Ban," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    12. DiGiuseppe, Matthew & Garriga, Ana Carolina & Kern, Andreas, 2025. "Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 124391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    14. Jaerim Choi & Sunghun Lim, 2023. "Tariffs, agricultural subsidies, and the 2020 US presidential election," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(4), pages 1149-1175, August.
    15. Kempf, Elisabeth & Luo, Mancy & Schafer, Larissa & Tsoutsoura, Margarita, 2022. "Does Political Partisanship Cross Borders? Evidence from International Capital Flows," Working Papers 316, The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, George J. Stigler Center for the Study of the Economy and the State.
    16. Dorine Boumans & Klaus Gründler & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt, 2022. "Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 9974, CESifo.
    17. Ambrocio, Gene & Hasan, Iftekhar, 2022. "Belief polarization and Covid-19," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 10/2022, Bank of Finland.
    18. Pei Kuang & Michael Weber & Shihan Xie & Michael Weber, 2025. "Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public," CESifo Working Paper Series 11708, CESifo.
    19. Damiano Sandri & Francesco Grigoli & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Keep calm and bank on: panic-driven bank runs and the role of public communication," BIS Working Papers 1119, Bank for International Settlements.
    20. Deniz Igan & Thomas Lambert & Prachi Mishra & Eden Zhang, 2024. "The Politics of the Paycheck Protection Program," Working Papers 134, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
    21. Kuang, Pei & Luca, Davide & Wei, Zhiwu, 2025. "Ballots, Budgets and Bricks: Brexit and the Polarisation of Individual Economic Behaviours," MPRA Paper 125104, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Arntz, Melanie & Blesse, Sebastian & Doerrenberg, Philipp, 2022. "The end of work is near, isn't it? Survey evidence on automation angst," ZEW Discussion Papers 22-036, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    23. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    24. Ethan Struby & Christina Farhart, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Political Polarization: Evidence from the Cooperative Election Study," Working Papers 2024-01, Carleton College, Department of Economics.

  37. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Lorenz Kueng & John Silvia, 2020. "Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-36, Swiss Finance Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Vincent Sterk & Silvana Tenreyro, 2013. "The Transmission of Monetary Policy Operations through Redistributions and Durable Purchases," Discussion Papers 1305, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    2. Michael Ehrmann & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2014. "Household Risk Management and Actual Mortgage Choice in the Euro Area," Staff Working Papers 14-1, Bank of Canada.
    3. Deniz Sevinc & Edgar Mata Flores & Simon Collinson, 2020. "Are there inequality spillovers? Evidence through a modified inequality measure and European dynamics of inequality," Working Papers 545, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    4. Sugata Marjit & Suryaprakash Mishra & Sanghita Mandal & Mayukh Basu, 2026. "Monetary Policy and Interest rate Volatility – The Role of Inequality and Imperfect Credit Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 12556, CESifo.
    5. Salvatore Morelli & Anthony Atkinson, 2015. "Inequality and crises revisited," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 32(1), pages 31-51, April.
    6. Banerjee, Ryan & Devereux, Michael B. & Lombardo, Giovanni, 2016. "Self-oriented monetary policy, global financial markets and excess volatility of international capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 275-297.
    7. Eswar Prasad & Boyang Zhang, 2015. "Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies," NBER Working Papers 21471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina, 2015. "Monetary Policy and the Relative Price of Durable Goods," CESifo Working Paper Series 5328, CESifo.
    9. Xavier Ragot, 2018. "Limited Participation, Capital Accumulation and Optimal Monetary Policy," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03444395, HAL.
    10. Marco Di Maggio & Amir Kermani & Christopher Palmer, 2016. "How Quantitative Easing Works: Evidence on the Refinancing Channel," NBER Working Papers 22638, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Agarwal, Sumit & Ströbel, Johannes & Chomsisengphet, Souphala & Mahoney, Neale, 2015. "Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions? The Marginal Profitability of Consumer Lending During the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 10839, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    12. Michele Piffer, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Defaults in the US," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1559, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    13. Adam, Klaus & Zhu, Junyi, 2015. "Price level changes and the redistribution of nominal wealth across the euro area," Working Paper Series 1853, European Central Bank.
    14. Daniel A. Dias & Joao B. Duarte, 2016. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on Housing Tenure Choice as an Explanation for the Price Puzzle," International Finance Discussion Papers 1171, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Adam, Klaus & Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2015. "Distributional Consequences of Asset Price Inflation in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 10897, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    16. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2016. "Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 589, Bank of England.
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    20. Alina K. Bartscher & Moritz Kuhn & Moritz Schularick & Paul Wachtel, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Racial Inequality," ECONtribute Policy Brief Series 014, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    21. Lorenzo Menna & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014. "Limited Asset Market Participation and the Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policies," Working Papers 284, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2014.
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    26. Casiraghi, Marco & Gaiotti, Eugenio & Rodano, Lisa & Secchi, Alessandro, 2018. "A “reverse Robin Hood”? The distributional implications of non-standard monetary policy for Italian households," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 215-235.
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    36. Sumit Agarwal & Souphala Chomsisengphet & Neale Mahoney & Johannes Stroebel, 2018. "Do Banks Pass through Credit Expansions to Consumers Who want to Borrow?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(1), pages 129-190.
    37. Barnichon, Regis & Matthes, Christian, 2016. "Gaussian Mixture Approximations of Impulse Responses and The Non-Linear Effects of Monetary Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 11374, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    39. Enders, Zeno, 2017. "Heterogeneous consumers, segmented asset markets, and the real effects of monetary policy," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168227, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    40. Petrella, Ivan & Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano & Gaffeo, Edoardo, 2014. "Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 10105, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    41. Hürtgen, Patrick & Cloyne, James, 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: A new measure for the United Kingdom," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100304, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    42. Garriga, Carlos & Kydland, Finn E. & Šustek, Roman, 2016. "Nominal rigidities in debt and product markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86223, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    43. Nils M. Gornemann & Keith Kuester & Makoto Nakajima, 2012. "Monetary policy with heterogeneous agents," Working Papers 12-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    44. Pierre Monnin, 2014. "Inflation and Income Inequality in Developed Economies," Working Papers 1401, Council on Economic Policies.
    45. Lorenzo Menna & Patrizio Tirelli, 2017. "Optimal inflation to reduce inequality," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 79-94, March.
    46. Juan A. Montecino & Gerald Epstein, 2015. "Did Quantitative Easing Increase Income Inequality?," Working Papers Series 28, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    47. Huang, Ho-Chuan (River) & Fang, WenShwo & Miller, Stephen M. & Yeh, Chih-Chuan, 2015. "The effect of growth volatility on income inequality," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 212-222.
    48. Davide Furceri & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2016. "The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inequality," IMF Working Papers 2016/245, International Monetary Fund.
    49. Eswar S. Prasad, 2013. "Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies," NBER Working Papers 19668, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Karen Davtyan, 2016. "“The Distributive Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies”," IREA Working Papers 201606, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Apr 2016.
    51. Wong, Arlene, 2014. "Population Aging and the Aggregate Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 57096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    52. Gonzalo Paz Pardo & José Manuel Sánchez Santos, 2014. "Household Debt and Consumption Inequality: The Spanish Case," Economies, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-24, July.
    53. Tenreyro, Silvana & Thwaites, Gregory, 2015. "Pushing on a String: US Monetary Policy is Less Powerful in Recessions," CEPR Discussion Papers 10786, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    54. Mehmet Balcilar & Shinhye Chang & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2018. "The relationship between the inflation rate and inequality across U.S. states: a semiparametric approach," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(5), pages 2413-2425, September.
    55. Xavier Ragot & Julien Matheron & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Edouard Challe, 2015. "Precautionary saving and aggregate demand," 2015 Meeting Papers 404, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    56. Martin Beraja & Andreas Fuster & Erik Hurst & Joseph Vavra, 2015. "Regional heterogeneity and the refinancing channel of monetary policy," Staff Reports 731, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    57. Kuester, Keith & Gornemann, Nils & Nakajima, Makoto, 2016. "Doves for the Rich, Hawks for the Poor? Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 11233, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    58. James B. Bullard, 2014. "Income inequality and monetary policy: a framework with answers to three questions," Speech 235, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    59. Rémi Bazillier & Jérôme Héricourt, 2014. "The Circular Relationship between Inequality, Leverage, and Financial Crises: Intertwined Mechanisms and Competing Evidence," Working Papers 2014-22, CEPII research center.
    60. Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance & Xavier Ragot, 2015. "The redistributive effects of QE," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03459824, HAL.
    61. Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Hélène Rey, 2015. "US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle," NBER Working Papers 21722, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    62. Broer, Tobias & Kramer, John & Mitman, Kurt, 2022. "The Curious Incidence of Monetary Policy Across the Income Distribution," Working Paper Series 416, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    63. Adams, Samuel & Klobodu, Edem Kwame Mensah, 2017. "Capital flows and the distribution of income in sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 169-178.
    64. Ricardo Reis, 2013. "Central Bank Design," NBER Working Papers 19187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    65. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on UK Regional Activity: A Constrained MFVAR Approach," Working Papers 758, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    66. Rey, Hélène & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2015. "World Asset Markets and the Global Financial Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 10936, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    67. Paolo Surico & Clodomiro Ferreira & James Cloyne, 2015. "Housing Debt and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," 2015 Meeting Papers 629, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    68. LaGarda, Guillermo & Gallagher, Kevin & Linares, Jennifer, 2016. "Capital Openness and Income Inequality: A Cross-Country Study and The Role of CCT in Latin America," MPRA Paper 74181, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    69. Bedre Defolie, Özlem & Alexandrov, Alexei & Grodzicki, Daniel, 2017. "Consumer Demand for Credit Card Services," CEPR Discussion Papers 12506, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    70. Areosa, Waldyr Dutra & Areosa, Marta B.M., 2016. "The inequality channel of monetary transmission," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 214-230.
    71. N'Yilimon Nantob, 2015. "Income Inequality and Inflation in Developing Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2888-2902.
    72. Villarreal, Francisco G., 2014. "Monetary Policy and Inequality in Mexico," MPRA Paper 57074, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    73. Iris Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal, 2017. "The impact of quantitative easing on aggregate mutual fund flows in the UK," Working Papers 20171704, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    74. Zhandos Ybrayev, 2022. "Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy in Emerging Economies: Dollarization, Domestic Inflation, and Income Divergence," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 64(2), pages 186-210, June.
    75. Lennon Jambo Habeenzu & Boniface Ngah Epo, 2025. "The effect of ICT on inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 5(11), pages 1-23, November.
    76. Biljana Jovanovic & Marko Josimovski, 2021. "Income-specific inflation rates and the effects of monetary policy: the case of North Macedonia," Working Papers 2021-01, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
    77. Joao Bernardo Duarte & Daniel A. Dias, 2015. "Housing and Monetary Policy in the Business Cycle: What do Housing Rents have to Say?," 2015 Papers pdu385, Job Market Papers.
    78. Karen Davtyan, 2016. "“The Distributive effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policies”," AQR Working Papers 201606, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Apr 2016.
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    82. Karen Davtyan, 2016. "“Income Inequality and Monetary Policy: An Analysis on the Long Run Relation”," AQR Working Papers 201604, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Apr 2016.
    83. Salvatore Morelli, 2014. "Banking Crises in the US: the Response of Top Income Shares in a Historical Perspective," CSEF Working Papers 359, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    84. Karen Davtyan, 2016. "“Income Inequality and Monetary Policy: An analysis on the Long Run Relation”," IREA Working Papers 201604, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Apr 2016.
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    86. Guillaume Rocheteau & Pierre-Olivier Weill & Tsz-Nga Wong, 2015. "A Tractable Model of Monetary Exchange with Ex-post Heterogeneity," NBER Working Papers 21179, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  38. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?," IZA Discussion Papers 13355, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. Giulia Rossello & Arianna Martinelli, 2023. "The Effect of Lobbies' Narratives on Academics' Perceptions of Scientific Publishing: An Information Provision Experiment," LEM Papers Series 2023/14, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Christopher Roth & Sonja Settele & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Risk Exposure and Acquisition of Macroeconomic Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 8634, CESifo.
    3. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    4. Rossello, Giulia & Martinelli, Arianna, 2025. "The effect of lobbies' narratives on academics' perceptions of scientific publishing: A survey experiment," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2023. "Images Say More than Just Words: Effectiveness of Visual and Text Communication in Dispelling the Rent-Control Misconception," CESifo Working Paper Series 10537, CESifo.
    6. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2022. "“Pictures are worth many words: Effectiveness of visual communication in dispelling the rent–control misconception”," AQR Working Papers 202202, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Feb 2022.
    7. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    8. Kalpana, R. & Dash, Pradyumna, 2025. "Households’ inflation perceptions, expectations, and the monetary policy in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    9. Jordi Brandts & Francesc Trillas Jané, 2024. "Opposing Views on Public Ownership and Their Influence on Citizens' Attitudes," Working Papers 1453, Barcelona School of Economics.
    10. Faia, Ester & Fuster, Andreas & Pezone, Vincenzo & Zafar, Basit, 2024. "Biases in information selection and processing: Survey evidence from the pandemic," Other publications TiSEM 6a968e65-aa7e-4929-bba2-e, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    11. Grahame Johnson & Sharon Kozicki & Romanos Priftis & Lena Suchanek & Jonathan Witmer & Jing Yang, 2020. "Implementation and Effectiveness of Extended Monetary Policy Tools: Lessons from the Literature," Discussion Papers 2020-16, Bank of Canada.
    12. Edward L. Glaeser & Ginger Zhe Jin & Benjamin T. Leyden & Michael Luca, 2020. "Learning from Deregulation: The Asymmetric Impact of Lockdown and Reopening on Risky Behavior During COVID-19," NBER Working Papers 27650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Shadrina, Elena V. & Vinogradov, Dmitri V. & Kashin, Dmitry V., 2022. "Implicit incentives in green public procurement: Good intentions versus rigid regulations," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    14. Haan, Peter & Peichl, Andreas & Schrenker, Annekatrin & Weizsäcker, Georg & Winter, Joachim, 2022. "Expectation management of policy leaders: Evidence from COVID-19," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    15. Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Pomerantz, Rachel & Skandalis, Daphné & Smith, Kyle & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2021. "How economic crises affect inflation beliefs: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 443-469.
    16. Meyer, Brent H. & Prescott, Brian & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 529-544.
    17. Patricia M. Dechow & Ryan D. Erhard & Richard G. Sloan & And Mark T. Soliman, 2021. "Implied Equity Duration: A Measure of Pandemic Shutdown Risk," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 59(1), pages 243-281, March.
    18. Hodbod, Alexander & Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Salle, Isabelle, 2021. "The COVID-19 consumption game-changer: Evidence from a large-scale multi-country survey," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    19. Gutierrez, Emilio & Rubli, Adrian & Tavares, Tiago, 2022. "Information and behavioral responses during a pandemic: Evidence from delays in Covid-19 death reports," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    20. Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2023. "Do monetary condition news at the zero lower bound influence households’ expectations and readiness to spend?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    21. Blinder, Alan S. & Ehrmann, Michael & de Haan, Jakob & Jansen, David-Jan, 2022. "Central Bank communication with the general public: promise or false hope?," Working Paper Series 2694, European Central Bank.
    22. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from a new consumer survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 1-14.
    23. Gáti, Laura, 2022. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations: an endogenous gain learning model," Working Paper Series 2685, European Central Bank.
    24. Dylong, Patrick & Koenings, Fabian, 2023. "Framing of economic news and policy support during a pandemic: Evidence from a survey experiment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    25. Mariusz Zieliński, 2022. "The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Labor Markets of the Visegrad Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-20, June.
    26. Assenmacher, Katrin & Glöckler, Gabriel & Holton, Sarah & Trautmann, Peter & Ioannou, Demosthenes & Mee, Simon & Alonso, Conception & Argiri, Eleni & Arigoni, Filippo & Bakk-Simon, Klára & Bergbauer, , 2021. "Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world," Occasional Paper Series 274, European Central Bank.
    27. Rafkin, Charlie & Shreekumar, Advik & Vautrey, Pierre-Luc, 2021. "When guidance changes: Government stances and public beliefs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    28. Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

  39. Philippe Andrade & Olivier Coibion & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "No Firm is an Island? How Industry Conditions Shape Firms' Aggregate Expectations," NBER Working Papers 27317, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Serafín Frache & Rodrigo Lluberas & Javier Turen, 2021. "Belief-Dependent Pricing Decisions," Documentos de trabajo 2021007, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    3. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "Imperfect Information, Heterogeneous Demand Shocks, and Inflation Dynamics," Discussion Papers 2108, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    5. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2021. "The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 14378, IZA Network @ LISER.

  40. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt30478554, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

    Cited by:

    1. Sören Harrs & Lara Marie Müller & Bettina Rockenbach, 2021. "How Optimistic and Pessimistic Narratives about COVID-19 Impact Economic Behavior," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 091, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    2. Mineyama, Tomohide & Tokuoka, Kiichi, 2025. "Investigating how inflation expectations affect precautionary wealth," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2024. "A Choice-Based Approach to the Measurement of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 0742, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    4. Ingar K. Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CESifo Working Paper Series 8406, CESifo.
    5. Kenny, Geoff & Duca, Ioana, 2021. "Can consumers’ inflation expectations help stabilise the economy?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 79.
    6. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Inflation Expectations on Households' Beliefs and Actions," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2024-05, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
    7. Dzung Bui & Lena Dräger & Bernd Hayo & Giang Nghiem, 2021. "Consumer Sentiment during the Covid-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9010, CESifo.
    8. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Guo, Junjie & Tang, Li & Xie, Shihan & Yin, Penghui, 2025. "Navigating fiscal fog: Household expectations in an uncertain fiscal environment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    10. Niizeki, Takeshi & Hori, Masahiro, 2023. "Inflation expectations and household expenditure: Evidence from pseudo-panel data in Japan," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 308-324.
    11. Anahit Matinyan & Ardash Kilejian & Gevorg Minasyan & Aleksandr Shirkhanyan, 2025. "The Role of Information in Shaping Inflation Expectations and Perceptions: A Survey Experiment," Working Papers WP-2025-02, Central Bank of Armenia.
    12. Schmidt, Torsten & Müller, Henrik & Rieger, Jonas & Schmidt, Tobias & Jentsch, Carsten, 2023. "Inflation perception and the formation of inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 1025, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    13. Bernd Hayo & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2023. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," Working Papers CEB 23-007, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    14. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?," IZA Discussion Papers 13355, IZA Network @ LISER.
    15. Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric, 2023. "What matters in households’ inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 50-68.
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  41. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2019. "Inflation expectations and firms’ decisions: new causal evidence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1219, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    Cited by:

    1. Okan Akarsu & Altan Aldan & Unal Seven, 2025. "Pessimism and Inflation: How Firms' Perception of Economic Outlook Shapes Inflation Expectations," CBT Research Notes in Economics 2521, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, IZA Network @ LISER.
    3. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "How Do Expectations about the Macroeconomy Affect Personal Expectations and Behavior?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 731-748, October.
    5. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
    6. Marco Bottone & Cristina Conflitti & Marianna Riggi & Alex Tagliabracci, 2021. "Firms' inflation expectations and pricing strategies during Covid-19," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 619, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Ryngaert, Jane, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5cd1r3bd, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    8. Ingar K. Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CESifo Working Paper Series 8406, CESifo.
    9. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    10. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2025. "Low Pass-Through from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13937, Inter-American Development Bank.
    11. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: a compositional data approach," Working Paper Series 2791, European Central Bank.
    12. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    13. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lena Dräger & Michael Lamla, 2022. "The Hidden Heterogeneity of Inflation and Interest Rate Expectations: The Role of Preferences," CESifo Working Paper Series 9637, CESifo.
    14. Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2025. "Gasoline Price Expectations as a Transmission Channel for Gasoline Price Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 11924, CESifo.
    15. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2024. "Energy shocks in the Euro area: Disentangling the pass-through from oil and gas prices to inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    16. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03878692, HAL.
    17. Vizhdan Boranova & Raju Huidrom & Sylwia Nowak & Petia Topalova & Mr. Volodymyr Tulin & Mr. Richard Varghese, 2019. "Wage Growth and Inflation in Europe: A Puzzle?," IMF Working Papers 2019/280, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," IZA Discussion Papers 17935, IZA Network @ LISER.
    19. N. A. Karlova & E. V. Puzanova & I. V. Bogacheva & A. G. Morozov, 2020. "How Are Inflation Expectations of Enterprises Formed: Survey Results," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(5), pages 522-532, September.
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    155. Peter Andrebriq & Carlo Pizzinelli & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2022. "Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence From Experts and Representative Samples," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(6), pages 2958-2991.
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    160. De Marco, Filippo & Sauvagnat, Julien & Sette, Enrico, 2021. "Lending to Overconfident Borrowers," CEPR Discussion Papers 15785, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    161. Marco Bottone & Alex Tagliabracci & Giordano Zevi, 2021. "Inflation expectations and the ECB’s perceived inflation objective: novel evidence from firm-level data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 621, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    162. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2020. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 8468, CESifo.
    163. Malliaris, Anastasios G. & Malliaris, Mary E., 2023. "Where is the Euro Area headed? Restoration of price stability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 848-863.
    164. Schepens, Glenn & Core, Fabrizio & De Marco, Filippo & Eisert, Tim, 2025. "Inflation and floating-rate loans: evidence from the euro-area," Working Paper Series 3064, European Central Bank.
    165. Helena Antonie Baier & Philipp Lergetporer & Thomas Rittmannsberger, 2025. "Firms’ expectations about skill shortages," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 1095-1112, August.
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    167. Meng, Weilu & Lu, Weijie & Yuan, Gecheng & Zhou, Li, 2025. "Automation and stock market participation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
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    169. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
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    175. Matteo Benetton & Giovanni Compiani, 2020. "Investors’ Beliefs and Asset Prices: A Structural Model of Cryptocurrency Demand," Working Papers 2020-107, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.
    2. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tho Pham & Oleksandr Talavera, 2021. "The Voice of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 21-02, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    3. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Mirko Wiederholt, 2026. "Rational Inattention during a Randomized Controlled Trial," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 19-35, March.
    4. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, IZA Network @ LISER.
    5. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    6. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2020. "Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes," Working Papers 2020-158, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    7. Sören Harrs & Lara Marie Müller & Bettina Rockenbach, 2021. "How Optimistic and Pessimistic Narratives about COVID-19 Impact Economic Behavior," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 091, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
    8. Lunardelli, Andre, 2025. "Fairness, ambiguity, wage markups and disinflation costs," MPRA Paper 126505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. John Manuel Barrios & Yael V. Hochberg, 2020. "Risk Perception Through the Lens of Politics in the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Working Papers 2020-32, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    10. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe about Monetary Finance and What We Can(‘t) Do about It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," CESifo Working Paper Series 10574, CESifo.
    11. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2021. "Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," CESifo Working Paper Series 8905, CESifo.
    12. Ingar K. Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CESifo Working Paper Series 8406, CESifo.
    13. Fetzer, Thiemo & Wang, Shizhuo, 2020. "Measuring the Regional Economic Cost of Brexit: Evidence up to 2019," CEPR Discussion Papers 15051, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    14. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2024. "The Causal Effects of Inflation Expectations on Households' Beliefs and Actions," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2024-05, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised May 2025.
    15. Ambrocio, Gene & Haavio, Markus & McClung, Nigel, 2024. "Monetary policy announcements and sacrifice ratios," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2024, Bank of Finland.
    16. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    17. Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2025. "Low Pass-Through from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13937, Inter-American Development Bank.
    18. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2023. "Images Say More than Just Words: Effectiveness of Visual and Text Communication in Dispelling the Rent-Control Misconception," CESifo Working Paper Series 10537, CESifo.
    19. Oliver Pfäuti, 2025. "Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1211-1239, August.
    20. Huang, Xuesong & Lin, Jianhao & Zhang, Yifan, 2026. "The social value of strategic public information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    21. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Hoffmann, Mathias & Mönch, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2025. "A KISS for central bank communication in times of high inflation," Discussion Papers 12/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    23. Isabel Gameiro & Rita Duarte & Ildeberta Abreu, 2024. "Reaching out to the general public: a challenging journey for central banks," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    24. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019. "Managing Households' Expectations with Salient Economic Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 7793, CESifo.
    25. Granziera, Eleonora & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024. "The bias of the ECB inflation projections: A State-dependent analysis," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2024, Bank of Finland.
    26. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03878692, HAL.
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    28. Elizaveta Zvezdina, 2026. "Narratives and the Household Inflation Expectations," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 85(1), pages 63-94, March.
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    36. Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
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    38. Manish Jha & Jialin Qian & Michael Weber & Baozhong Yang, 2024. "Generative AI, Managerial Expectations, and Economic Activity," Papers 2410.03897, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.
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    42. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Labor Markets during the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View," IZA Discussion Papers 13139, IZA Network @ LISER.
    43. Edward S. Knotek & James Mitchell & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance," Working Papers 24-01R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 05 Jun 2025.
    44. Vod Vilfort & Whitney Zhang, 2023. "Interpreting TSLS Estimators in Information Provision Experiments," Papers 2309.04793, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    45. Bernd Hayo & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2023. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," Working Papers CEB 23-007, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    46. Jordi Brandts & Isabel Busom & Cristina Lopez-Mayan & Judith Panadés, 2022. "“Pictures are worth many words: Effectiveness of visual communication in dispelling the rent–control misconception”," AQR Working Papers 202202, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Feb 2022.
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    2. Corsello, Francesco & Neri, Stefano & Tagliabracci, Alex, 2021. "Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
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    5. Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
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    7. Joseph Kopecky, 2021. "Okay Boomer... Excess Money Growth, Inflation, and Population Aging," Trinity Economics Papers tep0721, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2021.
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    3. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    4. Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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    8. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2024. "A Choice-Based Approach to the Measurement of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 0742, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    9. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do consumers adapt to a new environment in their economic forecasting? Evidence from the German reunification," IMFS Working Paper Series 129, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    10. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Ryngaert, Jane, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5cd1r3bd, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    11. Ray C. Fair, 2024. "Inflation Expectations, Price Equations, and Fed Effects," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2401, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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    45. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," NBER Working Papers 25412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  45. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Jane Ryngaert, 2018. "Do You Know That I Know That You Know...? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 24987, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, IZA Network @ LISER.
    2. Ingar K. Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "Designing Information Provision Experiments," CESifo Working Paper Series 8406, CESifo.
    3. Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2020. "Time-Varying Consumer Disagreement and Future Inflation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 12979, IZA Network @ LISER.
    5. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2018. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," NBER Working Papers 25412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Peter Andre & Ingar Haaland & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Narratives about the Macroeconomy," CEBI working paper series 21-18, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    7. Elizabeth Bersson & Patrick Hürtgen & Matthias Paustian, 2024. "Expectations Formation, Sticky Prices, and the ZLB," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2-3), pages 365-393, March.
    8. Hoffmann, Mathias & Moench, Emanuel & Pavlova, Lora & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2022. "Would households understand average inflation targeting?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(S), pages 52-66.
    9. Link, Sebastian & Peichl, Andreas & Roth, Christopher & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1341, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    10. Zhao Han & Xiaohan Ma & Ruoyun Mao, 2023. "The Role of Dispersed Information in Inflation and Inflation Expectations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 48, pages 72-106, April.
    11. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2019. "Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 7464, CESifo.
    12. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    13. Mauersberger, Felix & Nagel, Rosemarie & Bühren, Christoph, 2020. "Bounded rationality in Keynesian beauty contests: A lesson for central bankers?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 14, pages 1-38.
    14. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang & Son Pham, 2025. "Recent Developments in DSGE Modelling: Beyond FIRE," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 14(1), pages 11-43, June.
    15. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo & Karthik A. Sastry, 2020. "Imperfect Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence and Theory," NBER Working Papers 27308, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Marcus Giamattei, 2022. "Can Cold Turkey Reduce Inflation Inertia? Evidence on Disinflation and Level‐k Thinking from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(8), pages 2477-2517, December.
    18. George-Marios Angeletos & Karthik Sastry, 2019. "Managing Expectations without Rational Expectations," 2019 Meeting Papers 1537, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Blesse, Sebastian, 2021. "Are your tax problems an opportunity not to pay taxes? Evidence from a randomized survey experiment," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-040, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    20. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2021. "Information frictions in inflation expectations among five types of economic agents," Working Papers halshs-03351632, HAL.
    21. George-Marios Angeletos & Karthik A. Sastry, 2018. "Managing Expectations: Instruments vs. Targets," NBER Working Papers 25404, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Bems, Rudolfs & Caselli, Francesca & Grigoli, Francesco & Gruss, Bertrand, 2021. "Expectations' anchoring and inflation persistence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    23. Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Tambalotti, Andrea & Topa, Giorgio, 2022. "Subjective intertemporal substitution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 118-133.
    24. Tatsushi Okuda & Tomohiro Tsuruga & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "Imperfect Information, Heterogeneous Demand Shocks, and Inflation Dynamics," Discussion Papers 2108, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    25. Hibiki Ichiue & Maiko Koga & Tatsushi Okuda & Tatsuya Ozaki, 2019. "Households' Liquidity Constraint, Optimal Attention Allocation, and Inflation Expectations," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-8, Bank of Japan.
    26. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2021. "The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey," IZA Discussion Papers 14378, IZA Network @ LISER.

  46. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Ulate, Mauricio, 2018. "The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt0r16570h, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.

    Cited by:

    1. Arai, Natsuki, 2023. "The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    2. Garga, Vaishali & Singh, Sanjay R., 2021. "Output hysteresis and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 871-886.
    3. Müller, Gernot & Wolf, Martin & Hettig, Thomas, 2019. "Exchange Rate Undershooting: Evidence and Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 13597, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2022. "Lower for longer under endogenous technology growth," Working Paper Series 2714, European Central Bank.
    5. Bhattarai, Saroj & Schwartzman, Felipe & Yang, Choongryul, 2021. "Local scars of the US housing crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 40-57.
    6. Bofinger, Peter & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Wieland, Volker, 2018. "Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19 [Setting the Right Course for Economic Policy. Annual Report 2018/19]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201819.
    7. Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez, 2023. "Estimation of Hodrick-Prescott Filter’s Smoothing Parameter for Costa Rica," Notas Técnicas 2301, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    8. Augustus J. Panton, 2020. "Climate Hysteresis and Monetary Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2020-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    9. Aleksandr Arsenev & Philipp Heimberger & Bernhard Schütz, 2024. "Das konjunkturelle Verhalten der Staatsausgaben für Gesundheit und Soziales in Österreich und Deutschland: Wie robust ist die OECD-Methodik?," wiiw Research Reports in German language 25, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    10. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2026. "Estimating a weighted output gap for Switzerland: methodology and application," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 162(1), pages 1-25, December.
    11. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03573080, HAL.
    12. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Hoffmann, Timo, 2023. "Vorschläge zur Modifikation der Potenzialschätzung der Bundesregierung im Vergleich," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 45, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    13. Francesco Furlanetto & Kåre Hagelund & Frank Hansen & Ørjan Robstad, 2020. "Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability and Cyclical Sensitivity," Working Paper 2020/7, Norges Bank.
    14. Breuer Sebastian & Elstner Steffen, 2020. "Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(5), pages 565-605, October.
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    18. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I measure the Output gap?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14943, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    20. Pierre Aldama & Jérôme Creel, 2020. "Asymmetric macroeconomic stabilization and fiscal consolidation in the OECD and the Euro Area," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-09, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    21. Mr. Shekhar Aiyar & Simon Voigts, 2019. "The Negative Mean Output Gap," IMF Working Papers 2019/183, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2019. "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 13765, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    29. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2022. "Lower for longer under endogenous technology growth," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2022, Bank of Finland.
    30. Pablo Burriel & Víctor González-Díez & Jorge Martínez-Pagés & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2021. "Real-time analysis of the revisions to the structural position of public finances," Occasional Papers 2108, Banco de España.
    31. Danilo Leiva-Leon & Eva Ortega & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2019. "Exchange rate shocks and inflation comovement in the euro area," Working Papers 1934, Banco de España.
    32. Mariarosaria Comunale, 2019. "An Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Baltic States," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 13, Bank of Lithuania.
    33. Dovern, Jonas & Zuber, Christopher, 2020. "How economic crises damage potential output – Evidence from the Great Recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
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    35. Jing Lian Suah, 2024. "The "plucking" model of the unemployment rate floor: Corss-country estimates and empirics," BIS Working Papers 1159, Bank for International Settlements.
    36. M. Deroose & A. Rannenberg & J. Wauters, 2019. "Separating the trend from the cycle : The debate on euro area potential output and implications for monetary policy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-28, September.
    37. Gabor Katay & Lisa Kerdelhué & Matthieu Lequien, 2020. "Semi-Structural VAR and Unobserved Components Models to Estimate Finance-Neutral Output Gap," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2020-11, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    38. Ginters Buss & Patrick Gruning & Olegs Tkacevs, 2021. "Choosing the European Fiscal Rule," Working Papers 2021/03, Latvijas Banka.
    39. Benchimol, Jonathan & Fourçans, André, 2019. "Central bank losses and monetary policy rules: A DSGE investigation," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 61, pages 289-303.
    40. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2023. "The misalignment of fiscal multipliers in Italian regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(10), pages 2073-2086, October.
    41. Peter Flaschel & Sigrid Luchtenberg & Hagen Kramer & Christian Proano & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "Contemporary Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Tragedy in Three Acts," Working Papers 2105, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    42. Mr. Alvar Kangur & Koralai Kirabaeva & Jean-Marc Natal & Simon Voigts, 2019. "How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?," IMF Working Papers 2019/200, International Monetary Fund.
    43. Galí, Jordi, 2020. "Insider-Outsider Labor Markets, Hysteresis and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 14886, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    44. Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert, 2018. "Monetary policy with transitory vs. permanently low growth," Working Papers hal-03404318, HAL.
    45. Canova, Fabio, 2020. "FAQ: How do I extract the output gap?," Working Paper Series 386, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    46. Saeed Zaman, 2021. "A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars," Working Papers 21-23R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 31 May 2024.
    47. Antonio Fatás & Sanjay R. Singh, 2022. "Supply or Demand? Policy Makers' Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis," Working Papers 347, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    48. Kabundi, Alain & De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2022. "Euro area banking and monetary policy shocks in the QE era," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    49. Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2019. "Endogenous TFP, business cycle persistence and the productivity slowdown," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2019, Bank of Finland.
    50. Omar Licandro & Francesca Vinci, 2021. "Potential output, the Taylor Rule and the Fed," Discussion Papers 2021/03, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    51. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2020. "Recessions and the Trend in the US Unemployment Rate," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2021(01), pages 1-8, February.
    52. Arčabić, Vladimir & Panovska, Irina & Tica, Josip, 2024. "Business cycle synchronization and asymmetry in the European Union," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    53. Saroj Bhattarai & Felipe Schwartzman & Choongryul Yang, 2019. "The Persistent Employment Effects of the 2006-09 U.S. Housing Wealth Collapse," Working Paper 19-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    54. Ichiro Fukunaga & Yoshihiko Hogen & Yojiro Ito & Kenji Kanai & Satoshi Tsuchida, 2024. "Potential Growth in Japan: Issues on Its Relationship with Prices and Wages," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-16, Bank of Japan.
    55. Iana Paliova, 2021. "Bulgaria’s Fiscal Sustainability and Policy Response to the COVID-19 Outbreak," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 9(1), pages 31-38, June.
    56. Weiske, Sebastian, 2018. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," Working Papers 12/2018, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    57. Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
    58. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Michele Capriati, 2024. "Government spending, multipliers, and public debt sustainability: an empirical assessment for OECD countries," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(2), pages 521-542, July.
    59. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2020. "Endogenous TFP, business cycle persistence and the productivity slowdown in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2401, European Central Bank.
    60. Weiske, Sebastian, 2019. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203604, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    61. Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018. "An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
    62. Antonio Fatás, 2019. "Fiscal Policy, Potential Output, and the Shifting Goalposts," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 684-702, September.
    63. Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Sergio Restrepo-Ángel & Franky Juliano Galeano-Ramírez, 2024. "Measuring the Unmeasurable: Unraveling the complexities of real-time output gap estimation," Borradores de Economia 1284, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    64. Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov & Hunter Wieman, 2023. "Sparse Trend Estimation," Staff Reports 1049, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    65. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2024. "Measuring the macroeconomic responses to public investment in innovation: evidence from OECD countries," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 33(2), pages 363-382.
    66. Vinci, Francesca & Licandro, Omar, 2021. "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 2596, European Central Bank.
    67. Burger, John D. & Warnock, Francis E. & Warnock, Veronica Cacdac, 2022. "A natural level of capital flows," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-16.
    68. Eva Ortega & Chiara Osbat, 2020. "Exchange rate pass-through in the euro area and EU countries," Occasional Papers 2016, Banco de España.
    69. Philipp Heimberger, 2020. "Potential Output, EU Fiscal Surveillance and the COVID-19 Shock," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 55(3), pages 167-174, May.
    70. Sébastien Charles & Thomas Dallery & Jonathan Marie, 2018. "Some Thoughts and Proposals Concerning the Concept of Output Gap [Réflexions et suggestions autour du concept d’output gap]," Post-Print hal-02335667, HAL.
    71. Ms. Burcu Hacibedel & Pierre Mandon & Ms. Priscilla S Muthoora & Nathalie Pouokam, 2019. "Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach," IMF Working Papers 2019/020, International Monetary Fund.
    72. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2017. "Secular Stagnation: Policy Options and the Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output," Working Papers 01/2017, National Bank of Ukraine.
    73. Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Emily Pollard, 2021. "KC Fed LMCI Suggests Recent Inflation Is Not Due to the Tight Labor Market," Economic Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue October 2, pages 1-4, October.
    74. Mario Alloza & Jesus Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks," Papers 2006.14047, arXiv.org.
    75. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2019. "Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures," NBER Working Papers 25511, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    76. Jonas Dovern & Christopher Zuber, 2020. "Recessions and Potential Output: Disentangling Measurement Errors, Supply Shocks, and Hysteresis Effects," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 122(4), pages 1431-1466, October.
    77. Daniel Gros & Alessandro Liscai & Farzaneh Shamsfakhr, 2022. "Planned Fiscal Consolidation and Under-Estimated Multipliers: Revisiting the Evidence and Relevance for the Euro Area," EconPol Policy Reports 35, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    78. Garabedian, Garo, 2025. "Star-struck; Monetary Policy and the Neutral Rate," Research Technical Papers 4/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    79. Remzi Baris Tercioglu, 2020. "A sectoral approach to measuring output gap: Evidence from 20 US sectors over 1948-2019," Working Papers 2012, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2021.
    80. Durand, Luigi & Fornero, Jorge Alberto, 2024. "Estimating the output gap in times of COVID-19," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
    81. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2021. "Debt-Secular Economic Changes and Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 21-14, Bank of Canada.
    82. Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schnabel, Isabel & Truger, Achim & Wieland, Volker, 2019. "Den Strukturwandel meistern. Jahresgutachten 2019/20 [Dealing with Structural Change. Annual Report 2019/20]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201920.
    83. Croushore, Dean & van Norden, Simon, 2019. "Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1583-1595.
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    85. James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Estimating and accounting for the output gap with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 1-18, January.
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    88. Sarah Fischer & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2024. "Assessing the Potential Output for Switzerland: Determinants, Trends and Drivers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 297-338, July.
    89. Ciaffi, Giovanna & Deleidi, Matteo & Di Domenico, Lorenzo, 2024. "Fiscal policy and public debt: Government investment is most effective to promote sustainability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1186-1209.
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  47. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Barnichon, Regis & Mesters, Geert, 2021. "The Phillips multiplier," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 689-705.
    2. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde Christiane Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross, 2020. "Inflation expectations and the pass-through of oil prices," Working Papers No 03/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    3. Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
    4. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2018. "How do consumers adapt to a new environment in their economic forecasting? Evidence from the German reunification," IMFS Working Paper Series 129, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Dennery, Charles, 2019. "Dampened expectations in the Phillips Curve: a note," MPRA Paper 98189, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020. "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2017, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    7. Annalisa Cristini & Piero Ferri, 2021. "Nonlinear models of the Phillips curve," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 1129-1155, September.
    8. Zhu, Jialiang & Atitianti, Philip Akrofi & Appiah-Kubi, Michael & Amoah, Joseph, 2025. "The paradox of assistance: Chinese aid in Africa and economic expectations," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PB).
    9. Bao, Te & Dai, Yun & Duffy, John, 2025. "Least squares learning? Evidence from the laboratory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    10. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Elisabeth Falck & Mathias Hoffmann & Patrick Hürtgen, 2018. "Disagreement and Monetary Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 655, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel & Stephen Utkus, 2019. "Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios," NBER Working Papers 25744, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Andrea Borsato, 2022. "An agent-based model for Secular Stagnation in the USA: theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 1345-1389, September.
    14. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. Petar Soric & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra & Oscar Claveria, 2022. ""Density forecasts of inflation using Gaussian process regression models"," IREA Working Papers 202210, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2022.
    16. Yoosoon Chang & Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez & Mr. Gee Hee Hong, 2022. "The Effects of Economic Shocks on Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations," IMF Working Papers 2022/132, International Monetary Fund.
    17. ., Kaustubh & Gopalakrishnan, Pawan Gopalakrishnan & Ranjan, Abhishek Ranjan, 2025. "Estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) with Fat-tailed Events," MPRA Paper 126329, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Guirola, Luis, 2025. "Economic expectations under the shadow of party polarization: Evidence from 135 government changes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    19. Casoli, Chiara & Manera, Matteo & Valenti, Daniele, 2024. "Energy shocks in the Euro area: Disentangling the pass-through from oil and gas prices to inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    20. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Vereda, Luciano & Araujo, Mateus de Azevedo, 2022. "What type of information calls the attention of forecasters? Evidence from survey data in an emerging market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    21. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    22. Emmler, Julian & Fitzenberger, Bernd, 2021. "Temporary Overpessimism: Job Loss Expectations Following a Large Negative Employment Shock," IZA Discussion Papers 14149, IZA Network @ LISER.
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    217. Jaccard, Ivan, 2018. "Stochastic discounting and the transmission of money supply shocks," Working Paper Series 2174, European Central Bank.
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    219. Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2021. "The Bureau for Economic Research's inflation expectations surveys: Know your data," Working Papers 10/2021, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    220. Bonam, Dennis & de Haan, Jakob & van Limbergen, Duncan, 2021. "Time-varying wage Phillips curves in the euro area with a new measure for labor market slack," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 157-171.
    221. Gründler, Klaus & Dräger, Lena & Potrafke, Niklas, 2023. "Political Shocks and Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277673, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    222. Laura Bartiloro & Marco Bottone & Alfonso Rosolia, 2017. "What does the heterogeneity of the inflation expectations of Italian firms tell us?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 414, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    223. Ma, Chao, 2020. "Momentum and Reversion to Fundamentals: Are They Captured by Subjective Expectations of House Prices?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    224. Dmitry Novikov, 2026. "Consumers' Inflation Expectations in Russia and the US: Testing the Diagnostic Expectations Hypothesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 85(1), pages 35-62, March.
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    227. Thierry U. Kame Babilla, 2024. "Bank‐lending channel of monetary policy transmission in WAEMU: An estimated DSGE model approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1277-1300, April.
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    230. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
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  48. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2017. "Secular Stagnation: Policy Options and the Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output," Working Papers 01/2017, National Bank of Ukraine.

    Cited by:

    1. Bhattarai, Saroj & Schwartzman, Felipe & Yang, Choongryul, 2021. "Local scars of the US housing crisis," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 40-57.
    2. Fabio Gómez-Rodríguez, 2023. "Estimation of Hodrick-Prescott Filter’s Smoothing Parameter for Costa Rica," Notas Técnicas 2301, Banco Central de Costa Rica.
    3. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2026. "Estimating a weighted output gap for Switzerland: methodology and application," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 162(1), pages 1-25, December.
    4. Panovska, Irina & Ramamurthy, Srikanth, 2022. "Decomposing the output gap with inflation learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Jing Lian Suah, 2024. "The "plucking" model of the unemployment rate floor: Corss-country estimates and empirics," BIS Working Papers 1159, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2023. "The misalignment of fiscal multipliers in Italian regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(10), pages 2073-2086, October.
    7. Mr. Alvar Kangur & Koralai Kirabaeva & Jean-Marc Natal & Simon Voigts, 2019. "How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?," IMF Working Papers 2019/200, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Kabundi, Alain & De Simone, Francisco Nadal, 2022. "Euro area banking and monetary policy shocks in the QE era," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    9. Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2019. "Endogenous TFP, business cycle persistence and the productivity slowdown," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2019, Bank of Finland.
    10. Omar Licandro & Francesca Vinci, 2021. "Potential output, the Taylor Rule and the Fed," Discussion Papers 2021/03, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    11. Saroj Bhattarai & Felipe Schwartzman & Choongryul Yang, 2019. "The Persistent Employment Effects of the 2006-09 U.S. Housing Wealth Collapse," Working Paper 19-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    12. Iana Paliova, 2021. "Bulgaria’s Fiscal Sustainability and Policy Response to the COVID-19 Outbreak," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 9(1), pages 31-38, June.
    13. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Michele Capriati, 2024. "Government spending, multipliers, and public debt sustainability: an empirical assessment for OECD countries," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 41(2), pages 521-542, July.
    14. Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Spitzer, Martin, 2020. "Endogenous TFP, business cycle persistence and the productivity slowdown in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2401, European Central Bank.
    15. Antonio Fatás, 2019. "Fiscal Policy, Potential Output, and the Shifting Goalposts," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 684-702, September.
    16. Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Sergio Restrepo-Ángel & Franky Juliano Galeano-Ramírez, 2024. "Measuring the Unmeasurable: Unraveling the complexities of real-time output gap estimation," Borradores de Economia 1284, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    17. Giovanna Ciaffi & Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2024. "Measuring the macroeconomic responses to public investment in innovation: evidence from OECD countries," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 33(2), pages 363-382.
    18. Vinci, Francesca & Licandro, Omar, 2021. "Switching-track after the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 2596, European Central Bank.
    19. Sébastien Charles & Thomas Dallery & Jonathan Marie, 2018. "Some Thoughts and Proposals Concerning the Concept of Output Gap [Réflexions et suggestions autour du concept d’output gap]," Post-Print hal-02335667, HAL.
    20. Croushore, Dean & van Norden, Simon, 2019. "Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1583-1595.
    21. Ciaffi, Giovanna & Deleidi, Matteo & Di Domenico, Lorenzo, 2024. "Fiscal policy and public debt: Government investment is most effective to promote sustainability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1186-1209.

  49. Marc Carreras & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland, 2016. "Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero-Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation," Working Papers id:11216, eSocialSciences.

    Cited by:

    1. Galo Nuño, 2025. "Three Theories of Natural Rate Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 11878, CESifo.
    2. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," CARF F-Series CARF-F-485, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    3. Sushant Acharya & Keshav Dogra, 2018. "The side effects of safe asset creation," Staff Reports 842, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    4. Proaño Acosta, Christian & Lojak, Benjamin, 2020. "Monetary policy with a state-dependent inflation target in a behavioral two-country monetary union model," BERG Working Paper Series 161, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    5. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2018. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," Working papers 670, Banque de France.
    6. Ishise, Hirokazu, 2022. "Optimal long-run inflation rate in an open economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    7. Davide Debortoli & Jordi Galí & Luca Gambetti, 2019. "On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint," NBER Working Papers 25820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Atanas Pekanov, 2018. "The New View on Fiscal Policy and its Implications for the European Monetary Union," WIFO Working Papers 562, WIFO.
    9. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel, 2020. "Interest rate pegs and the reversal puzzle: On the role of anticipation," Discussion Papers 50/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Wataru Miyamoto & Thuy Lan Nguyen & Dmitriy Sergeyev, 2017. "Government Spending Multipliers Under the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from Japan," Staff Working Papers 17-40, Bank of Canada.
    11. Jason Choi & Andrew Foerster, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Regime Switches," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 42, pages 333-346, October.
    12. Andrés Blanco, 2021. "Optimal Inflation Target in an Economy with Menu Costs and a Zero Lower Bound," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 108-141, July.
    13. Aleksandra Praščević & Milutin Ješić, 2019. "Modeling Macroeconomic Policymakers’ Interactions under Zero Lower Bound Environment: The New Keynesian Theoretical Approach," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(1), pages 5-38.
    14. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    15. Dordal i Carreras, Marc & Lee, Seung Joo, 2026. "Higher-order forward guidance," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    16. Kevin XD Huang & Nam T Vu, 2019. "Rare but Long-lasting Liquidity Traps and Fiscal Stimulus," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 19-00014, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
    17. Strobel, Johannes & Lee, Gabriel & Dorofeenko, Victor & Salyer, Kevin, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Shocks and the Zero Lower Bound," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203491, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Deák, Szabolcs & Levine, Paul & Pham, Son T., 2024. "Simple mandates, monetary rules, and trend-inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 757-790, June.
    19. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2019. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Deak, S. & Levine, P. & Mirza, A. & Pearlman, J., 2019. "Designing Robust Monetary Policy Using Prediction Pools," Working Papers 19/11, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London.
    21. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    22. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    23. Robert Kurtzman & David Zeke, 2020. "Misallocation Costs of Digging Deeper into the Central Bank Toolkit," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 94-126, October.
    24. Tomohide Mineyama & Wataru Hirata & Kenji Nishizaki, 2019. "Inflation and Social Welfare in a New Keynesian Model: The Case of Japan and the U.S," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-10, Bank of Japan.
    25. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Robert Amano & Thomas Carter & Sylvain Leduc, 2019. "Precautionary Pricing: The Disinflationary Effects of ELB Risk," Working Paper Series 2019-26, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    27. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2017-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    28. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño & Omar Rachedi, 2023. "Inequality and the Zero Lower Bound," CESifo Working Paper Series 10471, CESifo.
    29. Apel, Mikael & Armelius, Hanna & Claussen, Carl Andreas, 2017. "The level of the inflation target – a review of the issues," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 2, pages 36-56.
    30. Yagihashi, Takeshi, 2018. "How costly is a misspecified credit channel DSGE model in monetary policymaking?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 484-505.
    31. Haochun Ma & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2025. "Clearing Up the Effective Lower Bound Morass," Papers 2511.04782, arXiv.org.

  50. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Marianna Kudlyak & John Mondragon, 2016. "Does Greater Inequality Lead to More Household Borrowing? New Evidence from Household Data," Working Paper Series 2016-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Cited by:

    1. David Loschiavo, 2021. "Household debt and income inequality: Evidence from Italian survey data," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 67(1), pages 61-103, March.
    2. Oliver Denk & Boris Cournède, 2015. "Finance and income inequality in OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1224, OECD Publishing.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carola Binder, 2020. "Coronavirus Fears and Macroeconomic Expectations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 721-730, October.
    2. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde Christiane Bjørnland & Jamie L. Cross, 2020. "Inflation expectations and the pass-through of oil prices," Working Papers No 03/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    3. Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
    4. Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Steve Brito & Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Bertrand Gruss, 2018. "Disagreement about Future Inflation: Understanding the Benefits of Inflation Targeting and Transparency," IMF Working Papers 2018/024, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Carlos R. Barrera Chaupis, 2018. "Expectations and Central Banks' Forecasts: The Experience of Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and the United Kingdom, 2004 – 2014," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(6), pages 578-599, December.
    7. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Ryngaert, Jane, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5cd1r3bd, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    8. Michael Pedersen, 2020. "Surveying the survey: What can we learn about the effects of monetary policy on inflation expectations?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 889, Central Bank of Chile.
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    12. Javier Turén, 2019. "Rational Inattention-driven dispersion with volatility shocks," Documentos de Trabajo 530, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
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    1. Sandor Axelrod & David E. Lebow & Ekaterina V. Peneva, 2018. "Perceptions and Expectations of Inflation by U.S. Households," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-073, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    5. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & van Rooij, Maarten, 2019. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," IZA Discussion Papers 12498, IZA Network @ LISER.
    6. Fiorella De Fiore & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Giacomo Mangiante, 2025. "The asymmetric and heterogeneous pass-through of input prices to firms' expectations and decisions," BIS Working Papers 1305, Bank for International Settlements.
    7. Benjamin Born & Zeno Enders & Manuel Menkhoff & Gernot J. Müller & Knut Niemann, 2023. "Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro," ifo Working Paper Series 400, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
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    10. Lunardelli, Andre, 2025. "Fairness, ambiguity, wage markups and disinflation costs," MPRA Paper 126505, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    27. Dovern, Jonas & Glas, Alexander & Kenny, Geoff, 2023. "Testing for differences in survey-based density expectations: a compositional data approach," Working Paper Series 2791, European Central Bank.
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    34. Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
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    36. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main) hal-03878692, HAL.
    37. Coibion, Olivier & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kenny, Geoff & Weber, Michael, 2021. "The effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on household spending," Working Paper Series 2557, European Central Bank.
    38. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "IQ, Expectations, and Choice," NBER Working Papers 25496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Post-Print halshs-03046977, HAL.
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    42. Müller, Henrik & Rieger, Jonas & Schmidt, Tobias & Hornig, Nico, 2022. "An increasing sense of urgency: The Inflation Perception Indicator (IPI) to 30 June 2022 - a research note," DoCMA Working Papers 12, TU Dortmund University, Dortmund Center for Data-based Media Analysis (DoCMA).
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    1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    6. Anuradha Patnaik, 2018. "Price co-movements, commonalities and responsiveness to monetary policy: empirical analysis under Indian conditions," Asia-Pacific Sustainable Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 25(2), pages 77-97, December.
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    9. Adhikari, Ramesh & Putnam, Kyle J., 2020. "Comovement in the commodity futures markets: An analysis of the energy, grains, and livestock sectors," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 18(C).
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    11. S. Korablin & S. Shumska, 2018. "Structural vulnerability and financial instability in Ukraine: global context," Economy and Forecasting, Valeriy Heyets, issue 4, pages 7-37.
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    16. Fernández, Andrés & González, Andrés & Rodríguez, Diego, 2018. "Sharing a ride on the commodities roller coaster: Common factors in business cycles of emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 99-121.

  56. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Working Papers 19598, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    1. Arai, Natsuki, 2023. "The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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    517. Aleksey A. Korikov & Konstantin P. Yurchenko, 2023. "Inflation expectations and consumer sentiments of the Urals population," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 24(4), pages 125-147, January.
    518. Alberto Cavallo & Guillermo Cruces & Ricardo Perez-Truglia, 2016. "Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(1 (Spring), pages 59-108.
    519. Florian Eckert & Nina Mühlebach, 2023. "Global and local components of output gaps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2301-2331, November.
    520. Antoine, Bertille & Boldea, Otilia, 2018. "Efficient estimation with time-varying information and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 268-300.
    521. Afees A. Salisu & Kazeem Isah, 2017. "Predicting US Inflation: Evidence from a New Approach," Working Papers 039, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
    522. Andreas Joseph & Eleni Kalamara & George Kapetanios & Galina Potjagailo & Chiranjit Chakraborty, 2021. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 915, Bank of England.
    523. Karolina Tura-Gawron & Maria Siranova & Karol Fisikowski, 2018. "ARE CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AN INTERNATIONAL PHENOMENON? Results of spatial panel regressions models," GUT FME Working Paper Series A 50, Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology.
    524. Monique B Reid & Pierre L Siklos, 2021. "How firms and experts view the Phillips curve evidence from individual and aggregate data from South Africa," Working Papers 11003, South African Reserve Bank.
    525. Luigi Bonatti, & Andrea Fracasso & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "What to expect from inflation expectations: theory, empirics and policy issues," DEM Working Papers 2022/1, Department of Economics and Management.
    526. Philipp F. M. Baumann & Enzo Rossi & Alexander Volkmann, 2020. "What Drives Inflation and How: Evidence from Additive Mixed Models Selected by cAIC," Papers 2006.06274, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    527. Aydin Yakut, Dilan, 2025. "Beyond Aggregates: A Dual Lens on Eurozone Trend Inflation," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/25, Central Bank of Ireland.
    528. Nikoleta Anesti & Vania Esady & Matthew Naylor, 2024. "Food prices matter most: Sensitive household inflation expectations," Discussion Papers 2434, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    529. Young Bin Ahn & Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Consumer’s perceived and expected inflation in Japan—irrationality or asymmetric loss?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1247-1292, September.
    530. Ko, Eunmi, 2025. "Markup polarization and efficacy of monetary policy: A tale of two firms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

  57. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Koustas, Dmitri, 2013. "Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence," IZA Discussion Papers 7715, IZA Network @ LISER.

    Cited by:

    1. caterina mendicino & Antonello DÁgostino, 2016. "Expectation-driven cycles: Time-Varying Effects," EcoMod2016 9350, EcoMod.
    2. Masao Fukui & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2023. "Women, Wealth Effects, and Slow Recoveries," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 269-313, January.
    3. Mark Setterfield, 2013. "Using Interest Rates as the Instrument of Monetary Policy: Beware Real effects, Positive Feedbacks, and Discontinuities," Working Papers 1320, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    4. Marcos Alvarez Diaz & Gonzalo Caballero Miguez & Baltasar Manzano González & José M. Martín Moreno, 2015. "Assessment of Political Situation over the Business Cycle in Spain: A Time Series Analysis," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 213(2), pages 41-62, June.
    5. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Working Papers 19598, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Delrio, Silvia & Kima, Richard, 2021. "Financial uncertainty and real activity: The good, the bad, and the ugly," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    8. Zsurkis, Gabriel & Nicolau, João & Rodrigues, Paulo M. M, 2021. "The expected time to cross a threshold and its determinants: a simple and flexible framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).

  58. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2013. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," Staff Working Papers 13-1, Bank of Canada.

    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. López-Salido, J David & Gagnon, Etienne & Sockin, Jason, 2015. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Comment," CEPR Discussion Papers 10726, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Erwan Gautier & Cristina Conflitti & Riemer P. Faber & Brian Fabo & Ludmila Fadejeva & Valentin Jouvanceau & Jan-Oliver Menz & Teresa Messner & Pavlos Petroulas & Pau Roldan-Blanco & Fabio Rumler & Se, 2022. "New Facts on Consumer Price Rigidity in the Euro Area," Working papers 878, Banque de France.
    4. Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2024. "Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge," Staff Working Papers 24-31, Bank of Canada.
    5. Talavera, Oleksandr & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2015. "Price setting in online markets: Basic facts, international comparisons, and cross-border integration," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112885, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    6. Baker, Scott R. & Johnson, Stephanie & Kueng, Lorenz, 2024. "Financial returns to household inventory management," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 29640, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Johannes Ströbel & Joseph Vavra, 2015. "House Prices, Local Demand, and Retail Prices," CESifo Working Paper Series 5607, CESifo.
    9. Dubois, Pierre & Griffith, Rachel & O'Connell, Martin, 2022. "The Use of Scanner Data for Economics Research," TSE Working Papers 22-1286, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    10. Raphael Auer & Ariel Burstein & Sarah Lein & Jonathan Vogel & Raphael A. Auer & Sarah Marit Lein & Jonathan E. Vogel, 2023. "Unequal Expenditure Switching: Evidence from Switzerland," CESifo Working Paper Series 10810, CESifo.
    11. Eric Anderson & Sergio Rebelo & Arlene Wong, 2018. "Markups Across Space and Time," NBER Working Papers 24434, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Kephart, Curtis & Munro, David, 2023. "Market concentration and the responsiveness of prices and mark-ups," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. Eric Anderson & Benjamin A. Malin & Emi Nakamura & Duncan Simester & Jón Steinsson, 2013. "Informational Rigidities and the Stickiness of Temporary Sales," NBER Working Papers 19350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Knotek, Edward S., 2024. "The roles of price points and menu costs in price rigidity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    15. Claudio Michelacci & Luigi Paciello & Andrea Pozzi, 2019. "The Extensive Margin of Aggregate Consumption Demand," EIEF Working Papers Series 1906, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Apr 2019.
    16. Rodnyansky, Alexander & Goetz, Daniel, 2020. "Exchange Rate Shocks and Quality Adjustments," CEPR Discussion Papers 15248, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    17. Chen, Natalie & Juvenal, Luciana, 2018. "Quality and the Great Trade Collapse," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 59-76.
    18. Goetz, D. & Rodnyansky, A., 2019. "Exchange Rate Shocks and Quality Adjustments," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1915, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    19. Chi-Young Choi & Soojin Jo, 2020. "How Do Housing Markets Affect Local Consumer Prices? – Evidence from U.S. Cities," Globalization Institute Working Papers 398, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    20. Khai Xiang Chiong & Matthew Shum, 2019. "Random Projection Estimation of Discrete-Choice Models with Large Choice Sets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 256-271, January.
    21. Francisca Sara-Zaror, 2024. "Inflation, Price Dispersion, and Welfare: The Role of Consumer Search," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-047, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    22. Chi‐Young Choi & Horag Choi & Alexander Chudik, 2020. "Regional inequality in the U.S.: Evidence from city‐level purchasing power," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(4), pages 738-774, September.
    23. Stephen Murchison, 2025. "Non-homothetic Preferences and the Demand Channel of Inflation," Staff Working Papers 25-30, Bank of Canada.
    24. Carlos Viana de Carvalho & Niels Arne Dam & Jae Won Lee, 2014. "Real Rigidities and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness: Evidence from Micro and Macro Data Combined," Textos para discussão 634, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    25. Stefano DellaVigna & Matthew Gentzkow, 2017. "Uniform Pricing in US Retail Chains," NBER Working Papers 23996, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2013. "Price Rigidity: Microeconomic Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," NBER Working Papers 18705, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Malmendier, Ulrike M. & Shen, Leslie, 2020. "Scarred Consumption," CEPR Discussion Papers 14937, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    28. Rudolfs Bems & Julian di Giovanni, 2016. "Income-Induced expenditure switching," Economics Working Papers 1534, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    29. Daniel Melser, 2016. "Prices over the business cycle: micro-level evidence from scanner data," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 1922-1928.
    30. Laurien Gilbert, 2018. "Gains from Product Variety and the Local Business Cycle," 2018 Meeting Papers 46, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    31. Kevin J. Fox & Peter Levell & Martin O'Connell, 2023. "Inflation measurement with high frequency data," IFS Working Papers W23/29, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    32. Chen Yeh & David Argente, 2016. "A Menu Cost Model with Price Experimentation," 2016 Meeting Papers 1515, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2021. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," EconStor Preprints 246817, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    34. Chloe Lee & Wen Long & María J. Luengo‐Prado & Bent E. Sørensen, 2021. "Selective bargain hunting: A concise test of rational consumer search," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(3), pages 1089-1105, July.
    35. Nao Sudo & Kozo Ueda & Kota Watanabe, 2013. "Micro Price Dynamics during Japan's Lost Decades," CAMA Working Papers 2013-63, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    36. Prodromos Prodromidis, 2024. "Causes of the Recent Inflation in Greece and Suggestions for the Future," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 22(1), pages 31-46.
    37. Liang Bai & Sebastian Stumpner, 2019. "Estimating US Consumer Gains from Chinese Imports," Working papers 718, Banque de France.
    38. Cravino, Javier & Lan, Ting & Levchenko, Andrei A., 2020. "Price stickiness along the income distribution and the effects of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 19-32.
    39. Roldan-Blanco, Pau & Gilbukh, Sonia, 2021. "Firm dynamics and pricing under customer capital accumulation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 99-119.
    40. Rachel Griffith & Martin O'Connell & Kate Smith, 2015. "Shopping around: how households adjusted food spending over the Great Recession," IFS Working Papers W15/29, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    41. Nao Sudo & Kozo Ueda & Kota Watanabe & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2018. "Working Less and Bargain Hunting More: Macroimplications of Sales during Japan's Lost Decades," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 449-478, March.
    42. Kozo Ueda, 2022. "Duopolistic Competition and Monetary Policy," Working Papers e167, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    43. Gee Hee Hong & Nicholas Li, 2013. "Market Structure and Cost Pass-Through in Retail," Staff Working Papers 13-5, Bank of Canada.
    44. Nicoletta Berardi & Erwan Gautier & Hervé Le Bihan, 2014. "More facts about prices: France before and during the Great Recession," Working Papers hal-01060564, HAL.
    45. Joel M. David & Lukas Schmid & David Zeke, 2020. "Risk-Adjusted Capital Allocation and Misallocation," Working Paper Series WP-2020-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    46. Xavier Jaravel, 2016. "The Unequal Gains from Product Innovations," 2016 Meeting Papers 437, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    47. Lein, Sarah Marit & Beck, Günter W., 2015. "Microeconometric evidence on demand-side real rigidity and implications for monetary non-neutrality," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113144, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    48. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    49. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Viacheslav Sheremirov & Oleksandr Talavera, 2014. "Price Setting in Online Markets: Does IT Click?," NBER Working Papers 20819, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Lein, Sarah & Beck, Günter, 2020. "Price elasticities and demand-side real rigidities in micro data and in macro models," CEPR Discussion Papers 14303, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    51. Erwan Gautier & Hervé Le Bihan, 2018. "Shocks vs Menu Costs: Patterns of Price Rigidity in an Estimated Multi-Sector Menu-Cost Model," 2018 Meeting Papers 248, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    52. Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Nicolas Vincent, 2014. "On the Importance of Sales for Aggregate Price Flexibility," Staff Working Papers 14-45, Bank of Canada.
    53. Beck, Günter W. & Kotz, Hans-Helmut & Zabelina, Natalia, 2016. "Prices and consumer purchasing preferences at the border: Evidence from a multi-country household scanner data set," CFS Working Paper Series 536, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    54. Valerio Serse, 2019. "Do Sugar Taxes affect the right consumers?," 2019 Papers pse633, Job Market Papers.
    55. Hindriks, Jean & Serse, Valerio, 2019. "Heterogeneity in the tax pass-through to spirit retail prices: Evidence from Belgium," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 142-160.
    56. Leena Rudanko, 2022. "Price Setting with Customer Capital: Sales, Teasers, and Rigidity," Working Papers 22-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    57. Demetris Koursaros & Nektarios Michail & Niki Papadopoulou & Christos Savva, 2023. "Sales and promotions and the great recession deflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 349-392, January.
    58. Borraz, Fernando & Livan, Giacomo & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Picardo, Pablo, 2020. "Price, sales, and the business cycle: a time series principal component analysis," GLO Discussion Paper Series 735, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    59. Yoshiyuki Kurachi & Kazuhiro Hiraki & Shinichi Nishioka, 2016. "Does a Higher Frequency of Micro-level Price Changes Matter for Macro Price Stickiness?: Assessing the Impact of Temporary Price Changes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-9, Bank of Japan.
    60. Etienne Gagnon & J. David López-Salido, 2014. "Small Price Responses to Large Demand Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-18, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    61. Paciello, Luigi & Pozzi, Andrea & Trachter, Nicholas, 2017. "Price Dynamics with Customer Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 11753, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    62. Diego Daruich & Julian Kozlowski, 2023. "Macroeconomic Implications of Uniform Pricing," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 64-108, July.
    63. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2018. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," Working Papers 2019-06, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
    64. Serena Ng, 2017. "Opportunities and Challenges: Lessons from Analyzing Terabytes of Scanner Data," NBER Working Papers 23673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    65. Cristina Conflitti & Riemer P. Faber & Brian Fabo & Ludmila Fadejeva & Erwan Gautier & Valentin Jouvanceau & Jan-Oliver Menz & Teresa Messner & Pavlos Petroulas & Pau Roldan-Blanco & Fabio Rumler & Se, 2022. "New Facts on Consumer Price Rigidity in the Euro Area (Erwan Gautier, Cristina Conflitti, Riemer P. Faber, Brian Fabo, Ludmila Fadejeva, Valentin Jouvanceau, Jan-Oliver Menz, Teresa Messner, Pavlos Petroulas, Pau Roldan-Blanco, Fabio Rumler, Sergio S," Working Papers 240, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    66. Ossokina, Ioulia V. & Svitak, Jan & Teulings, Coen N., 2024. "The urban economics of retail," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    67. Ampudia, Miguel & Ehrmann, Michael & Strasser, Georg, 2024. "Shopping behavior and the effect of monetary policy on inflation heterogeneity along the income distribution," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    68. Marnik G. Dekimpe & Barbara Deleersnyder, 2018. "Business cycle research in marketing: a review and research agenda," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 31-58, January.
    69. Henkel, Lukas & Wieland, Elisabeth & Błażejowska, Aneta & Conflitti, Cristina & Fabo, Brian & Fadejeva, Ludmila & Jonckheere, Jana & Karadi, Peter & Macias, Paweł & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Seiler, Pascal &, 2023. "Price setting during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic," Occasional Paper Series 324, European Central Bank.
    70. DongIk Kang & Andrew Usher, 2023. "Does Product Revenue Matter for Price Setting and Monetary Policy Transmission?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 297-345, January.
    71. Munseob Lee & David Argente, 2015. "Cost of Living Inequality during the Great Recession," 2015 Meeting Papers 1372, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    72. Lloyd, T.A. & McCorriston, S. & Morgan, C.W. & Poen, E. & Zgovu, E., 2014. "Retail price dynamics and retailer heterogeneity: UK evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 434-438.
    73. Diyue Guo, 2018. "Multiproduct Firms and the Business Cycle," 2018 Meeting Papers 1205, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    74. Aviv Nevo & Arlene Wong, 2015. "The Elasticity of Substitution Between Time and Market Goods: Evidence from the Great Recession," NBER Working Papers 21318, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    75. Rühl, Christian, 2016. "Size and welfare costs of price differences across European countries," CFS Working Paper Series 535, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    76. Ayman Mnasri & Beverly Lapham, 2023. "A competitive search approach to exchange rate pass-through," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 76(1), pages 153-201, July.
    77. Maxim Sinitsyn, 2017. "Pricing with Prescheduled Sales," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 999-1014, November.
    78. Simon Mongey, 2017. "Market Structure and Monetary Non-neutrality," Staff Report 558, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    79. Chi‐Young Choi & Soojin Jo, 2026. "How Do Housing Markets Affect Local Consumer Prices?: Evidence from U.S. Cities," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 58(3), pages 853-884, April.
    80. Tobias F. Rötheli, 2018. "Should business rely on business cycle forecasting?," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 26(1), pages 121-133, March.
    81. Carlos Carvalho & Niels Arne Dam & Jae Won Lee, 2020. "The Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness Implied by Aggregate Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 162-179, March.
    82. Griffith, Rachel & Lluberas, Rodrigo & Lührmann, Melanie, 2016. "Gluttony and Sloth? calories, labour market activity and the rise of obesity," CEPR Discussion Papers 11086, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    83. Aursland, Thor Andreas & Steen, Frode, 2021. "Unemployment shocks, cyclical prices and shopping behavior," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 3/2021, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
    84. Borraz, Fernando & Livan, Giacomo & Rodríguez-Martínez, Anahí & Picardo, Pablo, 2022. "Price, sales, and the business cycle: Microeconomic evidence," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    85. Sheremirov, Viacheslav, 2020. "Price dispersion and inflation: New facts and theoretical implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 59-70.
    86. Glandon, PJ, 2018. "Sales and the (Mis)measurement of price level fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 60-77.
    87. Benjamin Eden, 2016. "Price Dispersion And Demand Uncertainty: Evidence From Us Scanner Data," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 16-00015, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
    88. Rühl, Christian, 2016. "Size and welfare costs of price differences across European countries," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145701, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    89. Sergii Sardak & Igor Britchenko & Radostin Vazov & Oleksandr P. Krupskyi, 2021. "Life Cycle: Formation, Structure, Management," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 126-142.
    90. Martin Beraja & Erik Hurst & Juan Ospina, 2016. "The Aggregate Implications of Regional Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 21956, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    91. Carvalho, Carlos & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy, 2021. "Price selection," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 56-75.
    92. Bhardwaj,Abhishek & Ghose,Devaki & Mukherjee,Saptarshi & Singh,Manpreet, 2022. "Million Dollar Plants and Retail Prices," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9995, The World Bank.
    93. Kim, Seongeun, 2019. "Quality, price stickiness, and monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
    94. Nicholas Trachter & Andrea Pozzi & Luigi Paciello, 2014. "Markups Dynamics with Customer Markets," 2014 Meeting Papers 39, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    95. Nicoletta Berardi & Federico Ravenna & Mario Samano, 2020. "Everyday Regular Prices," Working papers 746, Banque de France.

  59. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland & Olivier Coibion, 2012. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models: Should Central Banks Raise Their Inflation Targets in Light of the Zero Lower Bound?," 2012 Meeting Papers 70, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato & Owen Zidar, 2015. "Who benefits from state corporate tax cuts? A local labour markets approach with heterogeneous firms," Working Papers 1502, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation.
    2. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2014. "Exchange rate and price dynamics in a small open economy - the role of the zero lower bound and monetary policy regimes," Working Papers 2014-10, Swiss National Bank.
    3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Burcin Kisacikoglu & Sang Seok Lee, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Inflation under Weak Monetary Policy: Turkey Verifies Theory," CESifo Working Paper Series 9748, CESifo.
    5. William B. English & J. David López-Salido & Robert J. Tetlow, 2013. "The Federal Reserve's framework for monetary policy - recent changes and new questions," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-76, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2020. "Estimating the Optimal Inflation Target from Trends in Relative Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 14335, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    7. Kaufmann, Daniel & Bäurle, Gregor, 2013. "Exchange Rate and Price Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79872, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. Chen, Zhengyang & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2025. "Modeling inflation expectations in forward-looking interest rate and money growth rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    9. Christian P Pinshi, 2022. "Ciblage des prévisions d'inflation : Un nouveau cadre pour la politique monétaire ?," Working Papers hal-03548273, HAL.
    10. Callum Jones, 2018. "Household Leverage and the Recession," 2018 Meeting Papers 933, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Miles Kimball & Christopher House & Christoph Boehm & Robert Barsky, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Durable Goods," 2016 Meeting Papers 745, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    12. Richard Dennis, 2016. "Durations at the Zero Lower Bound," IMES Discussion Paper Series 16-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    13. Duffy, James A. & Mavroeidis, Sophocles & Wycherley, Sam, 2025. "Cointegration with occasionally binding constraints," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 252(PA).
    14. Philippe Andrade & Jordi Gali & Hervé Le Bihan & Julien Matheron, 2021. "Should the ECB Adjust its Strategy in the Face of a Lower r*?," Working papers 811, Banque de France.
    15. Naoko Hara & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2025. "Is the 2 Percent Inflation Target Sufficient? The Wealth Preference Approach," ISER Discussion Paper 1282, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    16. Oliver Pfäuti, 2025. "Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1211-1239, August.
    17. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," CARF F-Series CARF-F-485, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
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    45. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Gernot Doppelhofer & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2019. "Spillovers from US monetary policy: evidence from a time varying parameter global vector auto‐regressive model," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(3), pages 831-861, June.
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    2. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2020. "Monetary Momentum," Working Papers 2020-39, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
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    8. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Wu, Shu, 2017. "Federal Reserve Credibility and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," MPRA Paper 78253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Bauer, Christian & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2017. "Forecast uncertainty and the Taylor rule," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 99-116.
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    Cited by:

    1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2014. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 20194, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Jørgensen, Peter Lihn & Lansing, Kevin J., 2025. "A simple measure of anchoring for short-run expected inflation in FIRE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    4. Eksi, Ozan & Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2017. "Unconventional monetary policy and the stock market’s reaction to Federal Reserve policy actions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 136-147.
    5. Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez-García, 2016. "What Helps Forecast U.S. Inflation?—Mind the Gap!," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1615, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    6. Jenny Lye & Joe Hirschberg, 2018. "Ratios of Parameters: Some Econometric Examples," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(4), pages 578-602, December.
    7. Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Nicolas Groshenny & Qazi Haque & Mark Weder, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Indeterminacy after the 2001 Slump," Adelaide Economics Working Papers 2016-09, Adelaide University, School of Economics.
    8. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Zhu, Jialiang & Atitianti, Philip Akrofi & Appiah-Kubi, Michael & Amoah, Joseph, 2025. "The paradox of assistance: Chinese aid in Africa and economic expectations," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PB).
    10. Olivier Coibion, 2012. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-32, April.
    11. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    12. Dongho Song, 2016. "Bond Market Exposures to Macroeconomic and Monetary Policy Risks," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 915, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 19 Jul 2016.
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    14. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kueng, Lorenz & Silvia, John, 2012. "Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S," IZA Discussion Papers 6633, IZA Network @ LISER.
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    19. Taisuke Nakata, 2013. "Welfare costs of shifting trend inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-12, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    21. Uhrin, Gábor B. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2016. "Monetary policy shocks, set-identifying restrictions, and asset prices: A benchmarking approach for analyzing set-identified models," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 295, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
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    37. Diegel, Max, 2022. "Time-varying credibility, anchoring and the Fed's inflation target," Discussion Papers 2022/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
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    39. Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2020. "Nominal Contracting With Positive Trend Inflation: Which Way to Go?," Working Papers 20-04, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
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    43. Qureshi, Irfan, 2018. "Money Aggregates and Determinacy : A Reinterpretation of Monetary Policy During the Great Inflation," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1156, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    44. Qazi Haque & Nicolas Groshenny & Mark Weder, 2019. "Do We Really Know that U.S. Monetary Policy was Destabilizing in the 1970s?," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 19-11, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    45. Ron Alquist & Olivier Coibion, 2014. "Commodity Price Co-Movement and Global Economic Activity," Staff Working Papers 14-32, Bank of Canada.
    46. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & Kalvinder Shields, 2018. "The role of uncertainty, sentiment and cross‐country interactions in G7 output dynamics," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(2), pages 391-418, May.
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    48. Huang, Yu-Fan, 2015. "Time variation in U.S. monetary policy and credit spreads," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 205-215.
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    50. Falck, E. & Hoffmann, M. & Hürtgen, P., 2021. "Disagreement about inflation expectations and monetary policy transmission," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 15-31.
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    56. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2013. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," Staff Working Papers 13-1, Bank of Canada.
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    2. Casarin, Roberto & Costantini, Mauro & Paradiso, Antonio, 2021. "On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
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    4. Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010. "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers 1144, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Saten Kumar & Hassan Afrouzi & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 151-225.
    6. Bhattarai, Saroj & Eggertsson, Gauti B. & Schoenle, Raphael, 2018. "Is increased price flexibility stabilizing? Redux," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 66-82.
    7. Anna Kormilitsina & Denis Nekipelov, 2015. "Consistent Variance of the Laplace Type Estimators: Application to DSGE Models," Departmental Working Papers 1510, Southern Methodist University, Department of Economics.
    8. Eijffinger, Sylvester & Uras, Burak & Grajales, Anderson, 2015. "Heterogeneity in Wage Setting Behavior in a New-Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 10532, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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    10. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Zichao Jia & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 169-187, December.
    11. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
    12. Anna Kormilitsina & Denis Nekipelov, 2016. "Consistent Variance Of The Laplace‐Type Estimators: Application To Dsge Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 57(2), pages 603-622, May.
    13. Nikolas Schiozer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Michel Alexandre, 2024. "Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_26, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    14. Orlando Gomes, 2012. "Transitional Dynamics in Sticky-Information General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 387-407, April.
    15. Givens, Gregory E., 2016. "On the gains from monetary policy commitment under deep habits," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 19-36.
    16. Arslan, M. Murat, 2010. "Relative importance of sticky prices and sticky information in price setting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1124-1135, September.
    17. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    18. Hong, Gee Hee & Klepacz, Matthew & Pasten, Ernesto & Schoenle, Raphael, 2023. "The real effects of monetary shocks: Evidence from micro pricing moments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-20.
    19. Andrey Polbin & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev, 2024. "Developing and impulse response matching estimation of the DSGE model for the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 73, pages 5-34.
    20. Carvalho Carlos, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness and the Real Effects of Monetary Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-58, December.
    21. Robert B. Barsky & Eric R. Sims, 2009. "Information, Animal Spirits, and the Meaning of Innovations in Consumer Confidence," NBER Working Papers 15049, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Tomiyuki Kitamura & Masaki Tanaka, 2019. "Firms' Inflation Expectations under Rational Inattention and Sticky Information: An Analysis with a Small-Scale Macroeconomic Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-16, Bank of Japan.
    23. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?," NBER Working Papers 14586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Ng, Serena, 2010. "Estimation of DSGE models when the data are persistent," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 325-340, April.
    25. Robert B. Barsky & Eric R. Sims, 2009. "News Shocks," NBER Working Papers 15312, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Trabandt, Mathias, 2007. "Sticky Information vs. Sticky Prices: A Horse Race in a DSGE Framework," Kiel Working Papers 1369, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    27. Vereda, Luciano & Savignon, João & Gouveia da Silva, Tarciso, 2021. "A new method to assess the degree of information rigidity using fixed-event forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1576-1589.

  65. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland, 2010. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models," Working Papers 91, Economics Department, William & Mary.

    Cited by:

    1. Guido Ascari & Anna Florio, 2012. "Transparency, Expectations Anchoring and the Inflation Target," DEM Working Papers Series 022, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    2. Weber, Henning, 2011. "Optimal inflation and firms' productivity dynamics," Kiel Working Papers 1685, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Nathaniel Throckmorton & Benjamin Keen & Alexander Richter & William Gavin, 2013. "Global Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound," 2013 Meeting Papers 839, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    4. Carl E. Walsh, 2011. "The Future of Inflation Targeting," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(s1), pages 23-36, September.
    5. Robert Amano & Malik Shukayev, 2012. "Risk Premium Shocks and the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(8), pages 1475-1505, December.
    6. Xu Zhang, 2018. "Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases," 2018 Meeting Papers 894, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Taisuke Nakata & Sebastian Schmidt, 2015. "Conservatism and Liquidity Traps," Working Papers e101, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    8. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2013. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," Staff Working Papers 13-1, Bank of Canada.
    9. Weber, Henning, 2013. "Learning By Doing in New Firms and the Optimal Rate of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79761, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Shutao Cao & Césaire Meh & José-Víctor Ríos-Rull & Yaz Terajima, 2018. "The Welfare Cost of Inflation Revisited: The Role of Financial Innovation and Household Heterogeneity," Staff Working Papers 18-40, Bank of Canada.
    11. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    12. Guido Ascari & Argia M. Sbordone, 2013. "The Macroeconomics of Trend Inflation," DEM Working Papers Series 053, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    13. Ikeda, Daisuke, 2015. "Optimal inflation rates with the trending relative price of investment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 20-33.
    14. Jiri Bohm & Jan Filacek & Ivana Kubicova & Romana Zamazalova, 2011. "Price-Level Targeting - A Real Alternative to Inflation Targeting?," Research and Policy Notes 2011/01, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    15. Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2018. "Rules-Based Monetary Policy and the Threat of Indeterminacy When Trend Inflation is Low," Carleton Economic Papers 18-08, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 08 Mar 2019.
    16. Magill, Michael & Quinzii, Martine, 2014. "Anchoring expectations of inflation," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 86-105.
    17. William T. Gavin & Benjamin D. Keen & Michael R. Pakko, 2012. "Taylor-type rules and total factor productivity," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(Jan), pages 41-64.
    18. Anthony M. Diercks, 2015. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, & Optimal Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-87, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    19. Alves, Sergio Afonso Lago, 2014. "Lack of divine coincidence in New Keynesian models," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 33-46.
    20. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Working Papers 19598, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. William A. Branch & George W. Evans, 2017. "Unstable Inflation Targets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(4), pages 767-806, June.
    22. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Escaping the Great Recession," Working Paper Series WP-2014-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    23. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2014. "Constrained Discretion and Central Bank Transparency," Working Paper Series WP-2014-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    24. Mary C. Daly & Bart Hobijn, 2013. "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidities Bend the Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series 2013-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    25. Anthony Diercks, 2016. "The Equity Premium, Long-Run Risk, and Optimal Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 207, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    26. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Jae Song & Dmitriy Stolyarov, 2013. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing," Working Papers wp281, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
    27. Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland & Olivier Coibion, 2012. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models: Should Central Banks Raise Their Inflation Targets in Light of the Zero Lower Bound?," 2012 Meeting Papers 70, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    28. Roman Horvath & Jakub Mateju, 2011. "How are Inflation Targets Set?," Working Papers 2011/06, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    29. Sergio A. Lago Alves, 2012. "Trend Inflation and the Unemployment Volatility Puzzle," Working Papers Series 277, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    30. Hatcher, Michael C. & Minford, Patrick, 2013. "Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus inflation targeting: a survey," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    31. Billi, Roberto M., 2013. "Nominal GDP Targeting and the Zero Lower Bound: Should We Abandon Inflation Targeting?," Working Paper Series 270, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    32. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Neil Mehrotra & Jacob A. Robbins, 2017. "A Model of Secular Stagnation: Theory and Quantitative Evaluation," Working Papers 742, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    33. Snower, Dennis & Ahrens, Steffen, 2012. "Envy, Guilt, and the Phillips Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 8796, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    34. Taisuke Nakata, 2012. "Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Occasionally Binding Zero Bound Constraints," 2012 Meeting Papers 181, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    35. Klaus Adam & Henning Weber, 2018. "Optimal Trend Inflation," 2018 Meeting Papers 782, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    36. Angelo Melino, 2011. "Moving Monetary Policy Forward: Why Small Steps - and a Lower Inflation Target - Make Sense for the Bank of Canada," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 319, January.
    37. Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Whose inflation is it anyway? The inflation spillovers between the euro area and small open economies," NBP Working Papers 223, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    38. Hatcher, Michael C., 2011. "Inflation versus price-level targeting and the zero lower bound: Stochastic simulations from the Smets-Wouters US model," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/24, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    39. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Patrizio Tirelli & Nicola Acocella, 2013. "The comeback of inflation as an optimal public finance tool," Working Papers 263, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    40. Olmos, Lorena & Sanso Frago, Marcos, 2014. "Monetary policy and growth with trend inflation and financial frictions," MPRA Paper 54606, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Patrick Kline & Neviana Petkova & Heidi Williams & Owen Zidar, 2018. "Who Profits from Patents? Rent-Sharing at Innovative Firms," NBER Working Papers 25245, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    42. Giannoni, Marc & Preston, Bruce & Eusepi, Stefano, 2012. "Long-Term Debt Pricing and Monetary Policy Transmission under Imperfect Knowledge," CEPR Discussion Papers 8845, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    43. Iulian Vasile Popescu, 2012. "Price-Level Targeting – A Viable Alternative To Inflation Targeting?," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 4(4), pages 809-823, December.
    44. Guido Ascari & Louis Phaneuf & Eric Sims, 2015. "On the Welfare and Cyclical Implications of Moderate Trend Inflation," Economics Series Working Papers 763, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    45. Julien Matheron & Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan & Jordi Galí, 2017. "The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest," Working Papers 1009, Barcelona School of Economics.
    46. Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2017-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    47. Weber, Henning, 2015. "Innovation and the Optimal Rate of Inflation," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113087, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    48. Jinill KIM & Francisco RUGE-MURCIA, 2016. "Extreme Events and Optimal Monetary Policy," Cahiers de recherche 09-2016, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.

  66. Menzie D. Chinn & Olivier Coibion, 2010. "The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures," Working Papers 89, Economics Department, William & Mary.

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    1. Ye, Wuyi & Guo, Ranran & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan & Deschamps, Bruno, 2019. "Professional macroeconomic forecasts and Chinese commodity futures prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 130-136.
    2. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Futures and Credit Default Swaps," Post-Print hal-01410748, HAL.
    3. Mr. David A Reichsfeld & Mr. Shaun K. Roache, 2011. "Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices?," IMF Working Papers 2011/254, International Monetary Fund.
    4. West, Kenneth D. & Wong, Ka-Fu, 2014. "A factor model for co-movements of commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 289-309.
    5. Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Staff Working Papers 13-28, Bank of Canada.
    6. Canepa, Alessandra & Zanetti Chini, Emilio & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa, 2023. "Modelling and Forecasting Energy Market Cycles: A Generalized Smooth Transition Approach," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202318, University of Turin.
    7. Bielen, David A. & Newell, Richard G. & Pizer, William A., 2018. "Who did the ethanol tax credit benefit? An event analysis of subsidy incidence," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1-14.
    8. Prashant Sharma & Prashant Gupta & Dinesh Kumar Sharma & Gaurav Agarwal, 2022. "Investigating the Efficiency of Bitcoin Futures in Price Discovery," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 104-109, May.
    9. Huang, Joshua & Serra, Teresa & Garcia, Philip, 2017. "Are Futures Prices Good Price Forecasts? Nonlinearities in Efficiency and Risk Premiums in the Soybean Futures Market," 2017 Conference, April 24-25, 2017, St. Louis, Missouri 285872, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    10. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 639-649.
    11. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel, 2022. "The illusion of oil return predictability: The choice of data matters!," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    12. Qingjie Zhou & Panpan Zhu & You Wu & Yinpeng Zhang, 2022. "Research on the Volatility of the Cotton Market under Different Term Structures: Perspective from Investor Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, November.
    13. Niels C. Thygesen & Robert N. McCauley & Guonan Ma & William R. White & Jakob de Haan & Willem van den End & Jon Frost & Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Mostafa Tabbae & Ernest Gnan & Morten Balling & Paul , 2013. "50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume - 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 1 edited by Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan.
    14. Hankyeung Choi & David J. Leatham & Kunlapath Sukcharoen, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasting Using Crack Spread Futures and Oil Exchange Traded Funds," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 9(1), March.
    15. Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel & Potì, Valerio, 2023. "Commodity futures return predictability and intertemporal asset pricing," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
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    17. Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2025. "The role of storage in commodity markets: Indirect inference based on grain data," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 16(2), pages 705-747, May.
    18. Steinbach, Sandro & Yildirim, Yasin, . "Grain Futures Market Response to the Black Sea Grain Initiative," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 73(2).
    19. Ruan, Qingsong & Huang, Ying & Jiang, Wei, 2016. "The exceedance and cross-correlations between the gold spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 139-151.
    20. De Lipsis, Vincenzo & Agnolucci, Paolo, 2024. "Climate change and the US wheat commodity market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    21. Kwas, Marek & Paccagnini, Alessia & Rubaszek, Michał, 2021. "Common factors and the dynamics of industrial metal prices. A forecasting perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    22. Fernandez, Viviana, 2020. "The predictive power of convenience yields," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    23. Nadav Ben-Zeev & Evi Pappa & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2016. "Emerging Economies Business Cycles: The Role Of The Terms Of Trade Revisited," Working Papers 1610, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
    24. Papenfuß, Patric & Schischke, Amelie & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2025. "Factors of predictive power for metal commodities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    25. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Kizys, Renatas, 2015. "Dynamic spillovers between commodity and currency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 303-319.
    26. Bernardina Algieri & Matthias Kalkuhl, 2019. "Efficiency and Forecast Performance of Commodity Futures Markets," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 11(1), pages 19-34, June.
    27. Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gong, Qiang, 2021. "Terrorist attacks and oil prices: Hypothesis and empirical evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    28. Olga Bondarenko, 2025. "Shockwaves from Ukraine: Trends and Gaps in Agricultural Commodity Prices," IHEID Working Papers 04-2025, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    29. Sánchez-García, Javier & Mattera, Raffaele & Cruz-Rambaud, Salvador & Cerqueti, Roy, 2024. "Measuring financial stability in the presence of energy shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    30. Deni Sugaipov, 2022. "Estimating the impact of terms of trade news shocks on the Russian economy," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 66, pages 39-67.
    31. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Distributional predictability between commodity spot and futures: Evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 615-628.
    32. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The Effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Derivatives and Credit Default Swaps," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 13, pages 445-473, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    33. Kyrtsou, Catherine & Mikropoulou, Christina & Papana, Angeliki, 2016. "Does the S&P500 index lead the crude oil dynamics? A complexity-based approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 239-246.
    34. Koop, Gary & Tole, Lise, 2013. "Modeling the relationship between European carbon permits and certified emission reductions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 166-181.
    35. Hardy, Nicolás & Ferreira, Tiago & Quinteros, Maria J. & Magner, Nicolás S., 2023. "“Watch your tone!”: Forecasting mining industry commodity prices with financial report tone," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    36. Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    37. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2013. "Effects of Speculation and Interest Rates in a "Carry Trade" Model of Commodity Prices," NBER Working Papers 19463, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Raven Molloy & Hui Shan, 2010. "The effect of gasoline prices on household location," Working Papers 2010/28, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    39. Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Bentancor, Andrea & Hardy, Nicolás & Jarsun, Nabil, 2022. "Forecasting fuel prices with the Chilean exchange rate: Going beyond the commodity currency hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
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    41. Ubilava, David, 2016. "The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability," Working Papers 2016-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    42. Fernandez, Viviana, 2017. "A historical perspective of the informational content of commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 135-150.
    43. Constantino Hevia & Ivan Petrella & Martin Sola, 2016. "Risk premia and seasonality in commodity futures," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 591, Bank of England.
    44. Wei Xing & Liming Liu & Fuqiang Zhang & Qian Zhao, 2025. "The Bright Side of Price Volatility in Global Commodity Procurement," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(4), pages 3472-3484, April.
    45. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang & Liyu Liu, 2023. "Asymmetric price adjustment and price discovery in spot and futures markets of agricultural commodities," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 27(1), pages 139-162, February.
    46. Ashima Goyal & Shruti Tripathi, 2012. "Regulations and price discovery: oil spot and futures markets," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2012-016, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    47. Mr. Tao Wu & Mr. Michele Cavallo, 2012. "Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information," IMF Working Papers 2012/019, International Monetary Fund.
    48. Rosa, Carlo, 2014. "The high-frequency response of energy prices to U.S. monetary policy: Understanding the empirical evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 295-303.
    49. Jamali, Ibrahim & Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability in emerging markets: Fundamentals versus technical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-263.
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    51. Jaehwan Park & Byungkwon Lim, 2018. "Testing Efficiency of the London Metal Exchange: New Evidence," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-10, March.
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    61. Rangga Handika & Rangga Handika & Sigit Triandaru, 2016. "Is the Best Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity(p,q) Value-at-risk Estimate also the Best in Reality? An Evidence from Australian Interconnected Power Markets," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 814-821.
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    561. Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Herman O. Stekler, 2011. "Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts: Some Cross-Country Evidence," IMF Working Papers 2011/125, International Monetary Fund.
    562. Pignataro, Giuseppe & Raggi, Davide & Pancotto, Francesca, 2024. "On the role of fundamentals, private signals, and beauty contests to predict exchange rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 687-705.
    563. Cheng Chen & Tatsuro Senga & Chang Sun & Hongyong Zhang, 2017. "Firm Expectations and Investment: Evidence from the China-Japan Island Dispute," Working Papers 838, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    564. Gene Birz & Sandip Dutta & Han Yu, 2022. "Economic forecasts, anchoring bias, and stock returns," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 169-191, March.
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    566. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
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    569. Stefan Niemann & Timm M. Prein, 2025. "Sovereign Risk under Diagnostic Expectations," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2025-02, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    570. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kueng, Lorenz & Silvia, John, 2017. "Innocent Bystanders? Monetary policy and inequality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 70-89.
    571. Okan Akarsu & Fatih Karahan & Huzeyfe Torun, 2025. "Communication as policy and firm uncertainty: evidence from randomised control trial," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy decision-making and communication under high uncertainty, volume 127, pages 121-140, Bank for International Settlements.
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    574. Adam, Klaus & Weber, Henning, 2024. "The optimal inflation target: Bridging the gap between theory and policy," Discussion Papers 44/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    575. Croushore, Dean, 2025. "Can you improve upon the GDP forecasts of professional forecasters using information about monetary policy?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
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    577. Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2009. "Information Flows and Aggregate Persistence," Staff Working Papers 09-11, Bank of Canada.
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    582. Camille Cornand & Paul Hubert, 2020. "On the external validity of experimental inflation forecasts: A comparison with five categories of field expectations," Post-Print halshs-01890770, HAL.
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    587. Clements, Michael P., 2021. "Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 634-646.
    588. Klein, Tony, 2022. "Agree to disagree? Predictions of U.S. nonfarm payroll changes between 2008 and 2020 and the impact of the COVID19 labor shock," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 264-286.
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    594. Ethan Struby & Christina Farhart, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Political Polarization: Evidence from the Cooperative Election Study," Working Papers 2024-01, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
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  68. Olivier Coibion, 2007. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers 61, Economics Department, William & Mary.

    Cited by:

    1. Marcelle, Chauvet & Insu, Kim, 2019. "Incomplete Price Adjustment and Inflation Persistence," MPRA Paper 97497, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Dec 2019.
    2. Frédérique Bec & Raouf Boucekkine & Caroline Jardet, 2017. "Why are inflation forecasts sticky?," Working Papers 2017-17, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    3. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts," Working Paper 1316, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    4. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 8663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Casarin, Roberto & Costantini, Mauro & Paradiso, Antonio, 2021. "On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010. "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers 1144, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Daley, Clayton, 2007. "A “Local” Model of the Firm: Sticky prices and the Phillips Curve," MPRA Paper 4012, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jul 2007.
    8. Carrera, César, 2012. "Estimating Information Rigidity using Firms’ Survey Data," Working Papers 2012-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    9. Yingying XU & Zhixin LIU & Jaime ORTIZ, 2018. "Actual and Expected Inflation in the U.S.: A Time-Frequency View," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 42-62, December.
    10. Hunt Allcott & Nathan Wozny, 2012. "Gasoline Prices, Fuel Economy, and the Energy Paradox," NBER Working Papers 18583, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Engin Kara, 2009. "Micro data on nominal rigidity, inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy," Working Paper Research 175, National Bank of Belgium.
    12. Volker Hahn & Michal Marencak, 2018. "Price Points and Price Dynamics," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2018-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    13. Easaw Joshy & Golinelli Roberto, 2010. "Households Forming Inflation Expectations: Active and Passive Absorption Rates," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, November.
    14. Benjamin D. Keen & Evan F. Koenig, 2018. "How Robust Are Popular Models of Nominal Frictions?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1299-1342, September.
    15. Konchitchki, Yaniv & Xie, Jin, 2023. "Undisclosed material inflation risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 82-100.
    16. Sushant Acharya, 2014. "Costly information, planning complementarities and the Phillips Curve," Staff Reports 698, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    17. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Zichao Jia & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 16(3), pages 169-187, December.
    18. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
    19. Carlsson, Mikael & Nordström Skans, Oskar, 2011. "Evaluating microfoundations for aggregate price rigidities: evidence from matched firm-level data on product prices and unit labor cost," Working Paper Series 2011:8, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    20. Orlando Gomes, 2012. "Transitional Dynamics in Sticky-Information General Equilibrium Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(4), pages 387-407, April.
    21. Marcelle, Chauvet & Insu, Kim, 2010. "Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," MPRA Paper 23109, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Arnildo Da Silva Correa & Paulo Picchetti, 2016. "New Information And Updating Of Market Experts' Inflation Expectations," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 053, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    23. Latsos Sophia, 2018. "Real Wage Effects of Japan’s Monetary Policy," ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, De Gruyter, vol. 69(1), pages 177-215, July.
    24. Christian Gillitzer, 2016. "The Sticky Information Phillips Curve: Evidence for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 92(299), pages 548-567, December.
    25. Goecke, Henry & Luhan, Wolfgang J. & Roos, Michael W.M., 2013. "Rational inattentiveness in a forecasting experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 80-89.
    26. Jmaes McNeil, 2020. "Monetary policy and the term structure of Inflation expectations with information frictions," Working Papers daleconwp2020-07, Dalhousie University, Department of Economics.
    27. César Carrera & Nelson Ramírez-Rondán, 2014. "Inflation, Information Rigidity, and the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers 1, Peruvian Economic Association.
    28. Waldyr D Areosa, 2016. "What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? Public versus private information," BIS Working Papers 544, Bank for International Settlements.
    29. Gomes Orlando, 2009. "The Sticky Information Macro Model: Beyond Perfect Foresight," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 1-37, December.
    30. Benedetto Molinari, 2010. "Sticky Information and Inflation Persistence: Evidence from U.S. Data," Working Papers 10.09, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
    31. Paul Hubert & Harun Mirza, 2019. "The role of forward- and backward-looking information for inflation expectations formation," Post-Print hal-03403616, HAL.
    32. Monique Reid & Gideon du Rand, 2013. "A sticky information Phillips curve for South Africa," Working Papers 22/2013, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    33. Lance Kent, 2015. "Relaxing Rational Expectations," Working Papers 159, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    34. Arslan, M. Murat, 2010. "Relative importance of sticky prices and sticky information in price setting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1124-1135, September.
    35. Kim, Insu & Kim, Young Se, 2019. "Inattentive agents and inflation forecast error dynamics: A Bayesian DSGE approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    36. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Reverse Kalman filtering U.S. inflation with sticky professional forecasts," Working Papers 13-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    37. Harun Mirza & Lidia Storjohann, 2014. "Making Weak Instrument Sets Stronger: Factor‐Based Estimation of Inflation Dynamics and a Monetary Policy Rule," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(4), pages 643-664, June.
    38. Scott R. Baker & Tucker S. McElroy & Xuguang S. Sheng, 2020. "Expectation Formation Following Large, Unexpected Shocks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 287-303, May.
    39. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    40. Edward S. Knotek Ii, 2010. "A Tale of Two Rigidities: Sticky Prices in a Sticky‐Information Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(8), pages 1543-1564, December.
    41. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," Working Papers 102, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    42. Frédérique Bec & Raouf Boucekkine & Caroline Jardet, 2017. "Why Are Inflation Forecasts Sticky? Theory and Application to France and Germany," Working Papers halshs-01630571, HAL.
    43. Gomes, Orlando, 2012. "Thought experimentation and the Phillips curve," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 45-64.
    44. Bredemeier, Christian & Goecke, Henry, 2011. "Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics," Ruhr Economic Papers 255, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    45. Mazumder, Sandeep, 2011. "The empirical validity of the New Keynesian Phillips curve using survey forecasts of inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2439-2450.
    46. Mohammad Naim Azimi, 2016. "Drawing on Phillips curve: does the inverse relation between inflation and unemployment persist in transitional economies," International Journal of Economics and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(2), pages 89-100.
    47. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?," NBER Working Papers 14586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Yingying Xu & Zhi-Xin Liu & Hsu-Ling Chang & Adelina Dumitrescu Peculea & Chi-Wei Su, 2017. "Does self-fulfilment of the inflation expectation exist?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(11), pages 1098-1113, March.

  69. Olivier Coibion & Daniel Goldstein, 2007. "One for Some or One for All? Taylor Rules and Interregional Heterogeneity," Working Papers 58, Economics Department, William & Mary, revised 19 Sep 2011.

    Cited by:

    1. Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2015. "Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 173-183.
    2. Bruno Albuquerque, 2019. "One Size Fits All? Monetary Policy and Asymmetric Household Debt Cycles in U.S. States," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1309-1353, August.
    3. Hamza Bennani & Tobias Kranz & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2018. "Disagreement Between FOMC Members and the Fed’s Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate," Post-Print hal-01868010, HAL.
    4. Hamza Bennani & Tobias Kranz & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "Disagreement Between the FOMC and the Fed's Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate," Research Papers in Economics 2017-10, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
    5. Hamza Bennani, 2016. "Measuring Monetary Policy Stress for Fed District Representatives," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(2), pages 156-176, May.
    6. Anton Bobrov & Rupal Kamdar & Mauricio Ulate, 2024. "Regional Dissent: Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes," CAEPR Working Papers 2024-002 Classification-E, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    7. Mateusz Pipień & Sylwia Roszkowska, 2015. "Szacunki kwartalnego PKB w polskich województwach," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 5, pages 145-169.
    8. Gajewski, Paweł, . "Regionalne zróżnicowanie efektów impulsu polityki pieniężnej w Polsce," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2015(4).
    9. Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2024. "Central bank forecasting: A survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 342-364, April.
    10. Pang, Ke & Shiamptanis, Christos, 2024. "Is the Bank of Canada concerned about inflation or the state of the economy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    11. Georgiadis, Georgios, 2015. "Examining asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy in the euro area: Evidence from a mixed cross-section global VAR model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 195-215.
    12. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric & Renault, Théodore, 2022. "Risk sharing and monetary policy transmission," Working Paper Series 2746, European Central Bank.
    13. Andriantomanga, Zo & Kishor, N. Kundan & Kumar, Labesh, 2025. "Interest Rate Misalignments and Monetary Policy Effects: Evidence from U.S. States," MPRA Paper 124748, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  70. Olivier Coibion & Liran Einav & Juan Carlos Hallak, 2006. "Equilibrium Demand Elasticities across Quality Segments," Working Papers 550, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.

    Cited by:

    1. Benedetti Fasil, Cristiana & Borota, Teodora, 2010. "World Trade Patterns and Prices: The Role of Productivity and Quality Heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 2010:7, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    2. Rodnyansky, Alexander & Goetz, Daniel, 2020. "Exchange Rate Shocks and Quality Adjustments," CEPR Discussion Papers 15248, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Cinquetti, Carlos & Nunes De Faria, Rosane, 2016. "Direction, Extension and Price of Exports’ Quality," Conference papers 332801, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Alejandro Artopoulos & Daniel Friel & Juan Carlos Hallak, 2010. "Challenges of Exporting Differentiated Products to Developed Countries: The Case of SME-Dominated Sectors in a Semi-Industrialized Country," Research Department Publications 4677, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    5. Markusen, James R., 2013. "Putting per-capita income back into trade theory," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 255-265.
    6. Hassan Daniel & Monier-Dilhan Sylvette & Orozco Valérie, 2011. "Measuring Consumers' Attachment to Geographical Indications," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-30, June.
    7. Lévay, Petra Zsuzsa & Drossinos, Yannis & Thiel, Christian, 2017. "The effect of fiscal incentives on market penetration of electric vehicles: A pairwise comparison of total cost of ownership," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 524-533.
    8. Xiaoyan Qian & Tava Lennon Olsen, 2022. "Contractual Coordination of Agricultural Marketing Cooperatives With Quality Provisions," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 24(6), pages 3269-3282, November.
    9. Ricardo D. Brito & Eduardo Correia de Souza & Rodrigo Moita, 2024. "Separating Vertical from Horizontal Differentiation," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 64(2), pages 183-218, March.
    10. Ricardo D. Brito & Eduardo Correia de Souza & Rodrigo Moita, 2021. "R&D intensity and Vertical Differentiation," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_16, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    11. Fabian Bergès & Daniel Hassan & Sylvette Monier-Dilhan, 2013. "Are Consumers More Loyal To National Brands Than To Private Labels?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65, pages 1-16, May.
    12. Jäkel, Ina C., 2019. "Product appeal, differences in tastes, and export performance: Evidence for Danish chocolate and confectionery," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 417-459.
    13. Qiang Gong & Qihong Liu & Yi Zhang, 2016. "Optimal product differentiation in a circular model," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 119(3), pages 219-252, November.
    14. Namrata Gulati & Prabal Roy Chowdhury, 2010. "Income inequality, neighbourhood effects and product quality," Discussion Papers 10-06, Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi.
    15. Bouamra-Mechemache, Zohra & Jianyu, Yu, 2013. "Production Standards, Competition and Vertical Relationship," TSE Working Papers 13-417, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).

Articles

  1. Michael Weber & Bernardo Candia & Hassan Afrouzi & Tiziano Ropele & Rodrigo Lluberas & Serafin Frache & Brent Meyer & Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dimitris Georgarakos & Olivier Coibion & Geoff, 2025. "Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(1), pages 229-264, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Weber, Michael, 2025. "The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Frédérique Savignac & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024. "Firms’ Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 22(6), pages 2748-2781.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 246-261, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Geoff Kenny & Michael Weber, 2024. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(3), pages 645-677, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Bernardo Candia & Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Perceived and Expected Rates of Inflation of US Firms," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 52-55, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Blesse, Sebastian & Buhlmann, Florian & Heil, Philipp & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Local policy misperceptions and investment: Experimental evidence from firm decision makers," ZEW Discussion Papers 25-024, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    2. Ciambezi, Leonardo & Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2025. "Accounting for the multiple sources of inflation: An agent-based model investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    3. Manish Jha & Jialin Qian & Michael Weber & Baozhong Yang, 2024. "ChatGPT and Corporate Policies," Papers 2409.17933, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.

  9. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Maarten van Rooij, 2023. "How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 109-152, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Michael Weber & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 326-368, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2131-2171.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Edward S. Knotek & Raphael Schoenle, 2023. "Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(2), pages 403-446.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Saten Kumar & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1297-1332, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2022. "Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(1), pages 3-39, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2022. "Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 130(6), pages 1537-1584.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Andrade, Philippe & Coibion, Olivier & Gautier, Erwan & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2022. "No firm is an island? How industry conditions shape firms’ expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 40-56.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dmitri Koustas, 2021. "Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 449-482, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Jane Ryngaert, 2021. "Do You Know that I Know that You Know…? Higher-Order Beliefs in Survey Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(3), pages 1387-1446.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2020. "Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(1), pages 165-219.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Alquist, Ron & Bhattarai, Saroj & Coibion, Olivier, 2020. "Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 41-56.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  22. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020. "Inflation expectations as a policy tool?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Marianna Kudlyak & John Mondragon, 2020. "Greater Inequality and Household Borrowing: New Evidence from Household Data," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(6), pages 2922-2971.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2019. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(1), pages 314-324, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Branko Bošković & Sacha Kapoor & Agnieszka Markiewicz & Barry Scholnick, 2024. "Add‐On Pricing Over Regional Business Cycles: Evidence From Extended Warranties," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(4), pages 2019-2046, November.
    2. Yoshiyuki Kurachi & Kazuhiro Hiraki & Shinichi Nishioka, 2016. "Does a Higher Frequency of Micro-level Price Changes Matter for Macro Price Stickiness?: Assessing the Impact of Temporary Price Changes," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-9, Bank of Japan.

  25. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2019. "Is Inflation Just Around the Corner? The Phillips Curve and Global Inflationary Pressures," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 465-469, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  26. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2018. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1447-1491, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  27. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Mauricio Ulate, 2018. "The Cyclical Sensitivity in Estimates of Potential Output," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 343-441.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  28. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar, 2018. "How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(9), pages 2671-2713, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  29. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kueng, Lorenz & Silvia, John, 2017. "Innocent Bystanders? Monetary policy and inequality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 70-89.

    Cited by:

    1. Aliocha Accardo & Sylvérie Herbert & Cristina Jude & Adrian Penalver, 2023. "Measuring and Comparing Consumption Inequality between France and the United States," Working papers 904, Banque de France.
    2. Müller, Gernot & Wolf, Martin & Hettig, Thomas, 2019. "Exchange Rate Undershooting: Evidence and Theory," CEPR Discussion Papers 13597, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2018. "Understanding the Aspects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance," Working Papers (Old Series) 1815, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    4. Fumitaka Nakamura, 2025. "Household Income, Portfolio Choice, and Heterogeneous Consumption Responses to Monetary Policy Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(8), pages 2131-2158, December.
    5. Marc Anderes & Alexander Rathke & Sina Streicher & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2019. "The Role of ECB Communication in Guiding Markets," KOF Working papers 19-464, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    6. Gianni La Cava & Calvin He, 2021. "The Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Local Housing Markets in Australia," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 54(3), pages 387-397, September.
    7. Tatiana Ryzhikova & Anastasiya Skuratova, 2023. "Bank of Russia Monetary Policy and Household Consumption Expenditure," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(1), pages 3-31, March.
    8. Ampudia, Miguel & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Vermeulen, Philip & Violante, Giovanni L., 2018. "Monetary policy and household inequality," Working Paper Series 2170, European Central Bank.
    9. Sushant Acharya & Edouard Challe & Keshav Dogra, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy According to HANK," Staff Working Papers 21-55, Bank of Canada.
    10. Masahiro Tanaka, 2020. "Bayesian Inference of Local Projections with Roughness Penalty Priors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 629-651, February.
    11. Thomas Hintermaier & Winfried Koeniger, 2018. "Differences in Euro-Area Household Finances and their Relevance for Monetary-Policy Transmission," CESifo Working Paper Series 7088, CESifo.
    12. Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi & Simona Giglioli, 2022. "Real-time inequalities and policies during the pandemic in the US," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1396, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    13. Georgescu, Oana-Maria & Martín, Diego Vila, 2021. "Do macroprudential measures increase inequality? Evidence from the euro area household survey," Working Paper Series 2567, European Central Bank.
    14. Aina Puig, 2026. "Monetary Policy Transmission to Consumption: Inequalities by Gender and Race," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_1108, Levy Economics Institute.
    15. Apergis, Nicholas, 2024. "The role of loan loss provisions in income inequality: Evidence from a sample of banking institutions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    16. Karl-Friedrich Israel & Tim Florian Sepp & Nils Sonnenberg, 2023. "The Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Stock Markets and Household Incomes in Japan," Post-Print halshs-04024219, HAL.
    17. Sen, Aariya & Sensarma, Rudra, 2025. "Winners and Losers: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Income and Consumption Inequality," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    18. Lucia Errico & Andrea Mosca & Sandro Rondinella & Carmela Ciccarelli, 2024. "The Role Of Natural Hazard On Income Inequality," Working Papers 202402, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    19. Acevedo, Laura & Hofstetter, Marc, 2023. "Sacrifice ratios and the income distribution: Stylized facts for OECD countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    20. Koeniger, Winfried & Ramelet, Marc-Antoine, 2018. "Home ownership and monetary policy transmission," CFS Working Paper Series 615, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    21. André Teixeira & Zoë Venter, 2021. "Macroprudential Policy and Aggregate Demand," Working Papers REM 2021/0181, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    22. Luca Eduardo Fierro & Federico Giri & Alberto Russo, 2023. "Inequality-Constrained Monetary Policy in a Financialized Economy," Working Papers 2023/02, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    23. Luetticke, Ralph, 2018. "Transmission of monetary policy with heterogeneity in household portfolios," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90377, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    24. Edward P. Herbst & Benjamin K. Johannsen, 2020. "Bias in Local Projections," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-010r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 04 Jan 2021.
    25. Pavel Vikharev & Anna Novak & Andrei Shulgin, 2023. "Inequality and monetary policy: THRANK model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps113, Bank of Russia.
    26. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Mia Jørgensen & José-Luis Peydró, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Inequality," CEBI working paper series 22-09, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    27. Jakob Haan & Christina Bodea & Raymond Hicks & Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger, 2018. "Central Bank Independence Before and After the Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 60(2), pages 183-202, June.
    28. Christoph Lauper & Giacomo Mangiante, 2021. "Monetary policy shocks and inflation inequality," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 21.02a, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
    29. Gao, Bei & Wu, Xingwang & Yang, Xiaojun & Miao, Haoran, 2024. "Unveiling the Yin and Yang of expansionary monetary policy: Differential impact on inequality in China based on a national-level survey," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    30. Babutsidze, Zakaria & Bonetto, Federico & Hanaki, Nobuyuki & Iacopetta, Maurizio, 2025. "Money, inflation tax, and trading behavior: Theory and laboratory experiments," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    31. Francesco Ferlaino, 2025. "Effects of different financial frictions on households," CIMEO Working Paper Series 191, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    32. Chiara Punzo & Lorenza Rossi, 2019. "The Redistributive Effects of a Money-Financed Fiscal Stimulus," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def076, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    33. Kuhelika De & Ryan A. Compton & Daniel C. Giedeman & Gary A. Hoover, 2021. "Macroeconomic shocks and racial labor market differences," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(2), pages 680-704, October.
    34. Martina Jasova & Caterina Mendicino & Ettore Panetti & José-Luis Peydró & Dominik Supera, 2021. "Monetary policy, labor income redistribution and the credit channel: Evidence from matched employer-employee and credit registers," Economics Working Papers 1832, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2023.
    35. Adrien Auclert, 2017. "Monetary Policy and the Redistribution Channel," Working Papers 1706, Council on Economic Policies.
    36. Marc Hofstetter & José Nicolás Rosas, 2021. "The Poor and the Rich: Preferences over Inflation and Unemployment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 875-895, June.
    37. Giacomo Mangiante & Pascal Meichtry, 2025. "On the Distributional Effects of Conventional Monetary Policy and Forward Guidance," Working papers 996, Banque de France.
    38. Anastasios Evgenidis & Apostolos Fasianos, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequalities in Great Britain: Assessing the role of unconventional policies for a decade of household data," Papers 1912.09702, arXiv.org.
    39. Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen & Alessandro Lin & Rui Mano, 2020. "Should Inequality Factor into Central Banks' Decisions?," IMF Working Papers 2020/196, International Monetary Fund.
    40. Can Sever & Emekcan Yücel, 2025. "Electoral cycles in inequality," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 23(2), pages 433-456, June.
    41. Carlos Garriga & Finn E. Kydland & Roman Šustek, 2016. "Nominal Rigidities in Debt and Product Markets," Working Papers 801, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    42. Yousef Makhlouf & Neil M. Kellard & Dmitri V. Vinogradov, 2020. "Finance‐Inequality Nexus: The Long And The Short Of It," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(4), pages 1977-1994, October.
    43. Tavares Garcia, Francisco & Cross, Jamie L., 2024. "The impact of monetary policy on income inequality: Does inflation targeting matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    44. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Koustas, Dmitri, 2022. "Consumption Inequality and the Frequency of Purchases," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt5jm2t8tx, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    45. Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi, 2021. "Micro level data for macro models: the distributional effects of monetary policy," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 529, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    46. Sigal Ribon, 2023. "Differential Effects of Monetary Policy on Household Consumption: The Case of Israel," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 21(1), pages 35-73, March.
    47. Jérôme Creel & Mehdi El Herradi, 2024. "Income inequality and monetary policy in the euro area," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 332-355, January.
    48. Eunseong Ma, 2023. "Monetary Policy And Inequality: How Does One Affect The Other?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(2), pages 691-725, May.
    49. Michael Ehrmann & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2014. "Household Risk Management and Actual Mortgage Choice in the Euro Area," BCL working papers 84, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    50. Michele Cantarella & Andrea Neri & Maria Giovanna Ranalli, 2021. "Mind the wealth gap: a new allocation method to match micro and macro statistics for household wealth," Papers 2101.01085, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    51. Salvatore Morelli & Anthony Atkinson, 2015. "Inequality and crises revisited," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 32(1), pages 31-51, April.
    52. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño Barrau & Omar Rachedi, 2024. "Inequality and the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 1160, Bank for International Settlements.
    53. Demary, Markus & Niehues, Judith & Stockhausen, Maximilian & Zdrzalek, Jonas, 2021. "Der Einfluss der EZB-Geldpolitik auf die Vermögensverteilung in Deutschland," Studien, Stiftung Familienunternehmen / Foundation for Family Businesses, number 250019.
    54. Riccardo De Bonis & Danilo Liberati & John Muellbauer & Concetta Rondinelli, 2023. "Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy," Economics Series Working Papers 1026, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    55. Filippidis, Michail & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis, 2021. "Energy poverty through the lens of the energy-environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    56. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Francesco Ferlaino & Carolina Serpieri, 2026. "Inflation Inattention and the Consumption Gap," Working Papers in Public Economics 280, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    57. Klopack, Ben & Luco, Fernando, 2025. "JUE Insight: Measuring local consumption with payment cards and cell phone pings," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    58. Yoichi Gokan & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 2021. "Wealth and income inequality in a monetary economy," Economic Theory Bulletin, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 9(2), pages 225-245, October.
    59. Chatzivgeri, Eleni & Mumtaz, Haroon & Tavasci, Daniela & Ventimiglia, Luigi, 2019. "Common and country specific factors in the distribution of real wages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    60. Andreas Schaefer & Klaus Prettner, 2018. "Higher education and the fall and rise of inequality," Department of Economics Working Papers 76/18, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
    61. Valeria Zvereva, 2025. "Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism: The Role of Household Heterogeneity and Spatial Effects," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(3), pages 3-27, September.
    62. Anthony A. Defusco & John Mondragon, 2020. "No Job, No Money, No Refi: Frictions to Refinancing in a Recession," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(5), pages 2327-2376, October.
    63. Knut Are Aastveit & André K. Anundsen, 2018. "Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in regional housing markets," Working Papers 2018/08, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    64. Lake, A., 2020. "Behavioural Finance at Home: Testing Deviations of House Prices from their Fundamental Values," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20104, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    65. Fierro, Luca Eduardo & Martinoli, Mario, 2025. "An empirical inquiry into the distributional consequences of energy price shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    66. Damien Nicholas Parker & Willi Semmler, 2024. "Monetary Policy and the Evolution of Wealth Disparity: An Assessment Using US Survey of Consumer Finance Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3509-3541, December.
    67. Aina Puig, 2022. "The Unequal Effect of Interest Rates by Race, Gender," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(19), pages 1-5, August.
    68. Alisdair McKay & Johannes F. Wieland, 2021. "Lumpy Durable Consumption Demand and the Limited Ammunition of Monetary Policy," Staff Report 622, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    69. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Fasianos, Apostolos, 2023. "Modelling monetary policy’s impact on labour markets under Covid-19," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    70. Kimberly A. Berg & Chadwick C. Curtis & Steven Lugauer & Nelson C. Mark, 2019. "Demographics and Monetary Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 25970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    71. Delis, Manthos D. & Galariotis, Emilios & Iosifidi, Maria & Ongena, Steven, 2025. "Corporate taxes and entrepreneurs' income: A credit channel," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    72. Bertrand Achou & Hippolyte d'Albis & Eleni Iliopulo, 2021. "House prices and rents: a reappraisal," Cahiers de recherche / Working Papers 6, Institut sur la retraite et l'épargne / Retirement and Savings Institute.
    73. Mikael Juselius & Előd Takáts, 2018. "The enduring link between demography and inflation," BIS Working Papers 722, Bank for International Settlements.
    74. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 127-153, October.
    75. Martin Feldkircher & Kazuhiko Kakamu, 2018. "How does monetary policy affect income inequality in Japan? Evidence from grouped data," Papers 1803.08868, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    76. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2020. "Monetary policy and wealth inequality over the great recession in the UK. An empirical analysis," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    77. Capazario, Michele, 2022. "Developing an Income-Distribution- Sensitive Taylor Rule: An Application to South Africa," MPRA Paper 112740, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    78. Zheng, Zhijie & Mishra, Tapas & Yang, Yibai, 2020. "Inflation and income inequality in a variety-expansion growth model with menu costs," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    79. Elton Beqiraj & Stefano Di Bucchianico & Mario Di Serio & Michele Raitano, 2026. "The effects of monetary policy shocks on wage inequality: evidence from Italy," CIMEO Working Paper Series 201, Centre for Investigation and Modelling of Experimental Observations (CIMEO).
    80. Dong, Chaohua & Chen, Rong & Xiao, Zhijie & Liu, Weiyi, 2024. "Functional quantile autoregression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
    81. Biljanovska, Nina & Chen, Sophia, 2025. "Differential effects of macroprudential policy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    82. Jakir Hussain Mazumder & Bharat Diwakar, 2026. "Income inequality and the aging-inflation nexus: evidence from emerging and developing economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 1-36, February.
    83. Lucia Errico & Andrea Mosca & Sandro Rondinella, 2026. "Enhancing the Understanding of Income Inequality among Italian Municipalities: The Role of Environmental Risk," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 12(1), pages 257-342, March.
    84. Bertrand Achou & Hippolyte d'Albis & Eleni Iliopulos, 2021. "Real Estate and Rental Markets during Covid Times," Working Papers halshs-03231807, HAL.
    85. Osama D. Sweidan, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Income Inequality: Evidence from the US Economy," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 169(1), pages 575-597, September.
    86. Bu, Chunya & Rogers, John & Wu, Wenbin, 2021. "A unified measure of Fed monetary policy shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 331-349.
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    367. Jake D. Orchard, 2025. "Non-homothetic Demand Shifts and Inflation Inequality," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    368. Natalia Martín Fuentes & Elena Bárcena Martín & Salvador Pérez Moreno, "undated". "Who takes the cake? The heterogeneous effect of ECB accommodative monetary policy across income classes," Working Papers 657, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    369. von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2023. "The importance of credit demand for business cycle dynamics," IWH Discussion Papers 21/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    370. Ochs, A. C. R., 2021. "A New Monetary Policy Shock with Text Analysis," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2148, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    371. Sutirtha Bagchi & Michael Patrick Curran & Matthew J. Fagerstrom, 2019. "What is the Impact of Monetary Policy on Wealth Inequality?," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series 39, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics.
    372. Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Hossein Hassani & Emmanuel Silva, 2018. "Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach," Working Papers 201868, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    373. Kim, Dong-Hyeon & Lin, Shu-Chin, 2024. "Inflation and wealth inequality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 893-907.
    374. Carola Binder, 2018. "Interest Rate Prominence In Consumer Decision‐Making," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(2), pages 875-894, April.
    375. Frost, Jon & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Gambacorta, Romina, 2022. "On the nexus between wealth inequality, financial development and financial technology," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 429-451.
    376. Davide Melcangi & Vincent Sterk, 2020. "Stock Market Participation, Inequality, and Monetary Policy," Staff Reports 932, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    377. Marson, Marta & Saccone, Donatella, 2025. "The effect of food price upsurges on income inequality: The richest win and the poorest lose," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    378. Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Ping Wu, 2026. "Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs," Working Papers 26-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    379. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Minetti, Raoul & Schaffer, Matthew, 2021. "Bank regulation and monetary policy transmission: Evidence from the U.S. States liberalization," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    380. Sonan Memon & Irfan A. Qureshi, 2021. "Income inequality and macroeconomic instability," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 758-789, May.
    381. Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2018. "The impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on inequality: An empirical study for the UK," MPRA Paper 90448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    382. Dr. Ameenullah Aman & Dr. Usman Ahmad & Sumera Muhammad Saleem, 2021. "Investigating the Link Between Macroeconomic Factors and Income Inequality of Asian Countries," iRASD Journal of Economics, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 3(3), pages 376-387, December.
    383. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Peñalver, Antonio & Perez-Bernabeu, Alberto, 2020. "The effects of monetary policy on income and wealth inequality in the U.S. Exploring different channels," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 88-106.
    384. Jonathan Fisher & David S. Johnson & Timothy M. Smeeding, 2015. "Inequality of Income and Consumption in the U.S.: Measuring the Trends in Inequality from 1984 to 2011 for the Same Individuals," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 61(4), pages 630-650, December.
    385. Felipe Alves & Christian Bustamante & Xing Guo & Katya Kartashova & Soyoung Lee & Thomas Michael Pugh & Kurt See & Yaz Terajima & Alexander Ueberfeldt, 2022. "Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy: A Thematic Review," Discussion Papers 2022-2, Bank of Canada.
    386. Horvath, Roman & Kaszab, Lorant & Marsal, Ales, 2021. "Equity premium and monetary policy in a model with limited asset market participation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 430-440.
    387. Atems, Bebonchu & Yimga, Jules, 2021. "Quantifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on US airline stock prices," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    388. Dominika Ehrenbergerova & Josef Bajzik, 2020. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on House Prices - How Strong is the Transmission?," Working Papers 2020/14, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    389. Khuderchuluun Batsukh & Nicolas Groshenny & Naveed Javed, 2025. "Monetary policy transmission and household indebtedness in Australia," TEPP Working Paper 2025-02, TEPP.

  30. Marc Dordal i Carreras & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland, 2016. "Infrequent but Long-Lived Zero Lower Bound Episodes and the Optimal Rate of Inflation," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 8(1), pages 497-520, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Galo Nuño, 2025. "Three Theories of Natural Rate Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 11878, CESifo.
    2. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño Barrau & Omar Rachedi, 2024. "Inequality and the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 1160, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Tomohide Mineyama, 2024. "Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Determinacy of Equilibrium," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(1), pages 305-316, February.
    4. Gerke, Rafael & Giesen, Sebastian & Kienzler, Daniel, 2020. "Interest rate pegs and the reversal puzzle: On the role of anticipation," Discussion Papers 50/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    6. Strobel, Johannes & Lee, Gabriel & Dorofeenko, Victor & Salyer, Kevin, 2019. "Time-Varying Risk Shocks and the Zero Lower Bound," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203491, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Proaño, Christian R. & Lojak, Benjamin, 2021. "Monetary Policy with a State-Dependent Inflation Target in a Behavioral Two-Country Monetary Union Model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Kok, Christoffer & Rottner, Matthias, 2023. "Reversal interest rate and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    9. Deak, S. & Levine, P. & Mirza, A. & Pearlman, J., 2019. "Designing Robust Monetary Policy Using Prediction Pools," Working Papers 19/11, Department of Economics, City St George's, University of London.
    10. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe & Radke, Lucas, 2022. "Counter-cyclical fiscal rules and the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 2715, European Central Bank.
    11. Martina Cecioni & Adriana Grasso & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2021. "Revisiting monetary policy objectives and strategies: international experience and challenges from the ELB," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 660, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    12. Robert Kurtzman & David Zeke, 2020. "Misallocation Costs of Digging Deeper into the Central Bank Toolkit," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 94-126, October.
    13. Tomohide Mineyama & Wataru Hirata & Kenji Nishizaki, 2019. "Inflation and Social Welfare in a New Keynesian Model: The Case of Japan and the U.S," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 19-E-10, Bank of Japan.
    14. Michael T. Kiley & John M. Roberts, 2017. "Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate World," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-080, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Ahmed, Rashad, 2023. "Global commodity prices and macroeconomic fluctuations in a low interest rate environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    16. Cho, Daeha & Kim, Jung Hyun & Kim, Kwang Hwan & Kim, Suk Joon, 2025. "Optimal trend inflation in an open economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    17. Robert Amano & Thomas Carter & Sylvain Leduc, 2019. "Precautionary Pricing: The Disinflationary Effects of ELB Risk," Working Paper Series 2019-26, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

  31. Saten Kumar & Hassan Afrouzi & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 151-225.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  32. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(8), pages 2644-2678, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  33. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Is the Phillips Curve Alive and Well after All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 197-232, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  34. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Inflation Expectations in Ukraine: A Long Path to Anchoring?," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 233, pages 6-23.

    Cited by:

    1. Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020. "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2017, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    2. Vasylchyshyn Oleksandra, 2018. "Investigation of the external experience of anti-crisis policy on the control of financial security of the banking system," Technology audit and production reserves, 3(41) 2018, Socionet;Technology audit and production reserves, vol. 3(5(41)), pages 49-59.
    3. Oleksandr Fàrynà, 2016. "Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Ukraine," Working Papers 01/2016, National Bank of Ukraine.
    4. Frédérique Savignac & Erwan Gautier & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2021. "Firms Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France," Working papers 840, Banque de France.
    5. Carola Conces Binder & Gillian Brunet, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumption: Evidence from 1951," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 954-974, April.
    6. Voloshchenko-Holda Lada & Niedziółka Paweł, 2024. "Central bank communication in unconventional times: Some evidence from a textual analysis of the National Bank of Poland communication during the COVID-crisis," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 10(1), pages 101-124, April.
    7. Bernardo Candia & Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2020. "Communication and the Beliefs of Economic Agents," NBER Working Papers 27800, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Erwan Gautier & Frédérique Savignac & Olivier Coibion, 2025. "Firms’ Inflation and Wage Expectations during the Inflation Surge," Working papers 995, Banque de France.
    9. ETHAN M.L. McCLURE & VITALIIA YAREMKO & OLIVIER COIBION & YURIY GORODNICHENKO, 2025. "The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(4), pages 683-716, June.
    10. Andriy Tsapin & Oleksandr Faryna, 2024. "The Role of Financial Literacy in Anchoring Inflation Expectations: The Case of Ukraine," Working Papers 02/2024, National Bank of Ukraine.
    11. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations," IZA Discussion Papers 14853, IZA Network @ LISER.
    12. Bems, Rudolfs & Caselli, Francesca & Grigoli, Francesco & Gruss, Bertrand, 2021. "Expectations' anchoring and inflation persistence," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    13. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Melnick, Rafi & Kutai, Ari, 2023. "Information and the Formation of Inflation Expectations by Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Israeli Firms," IZA Discussion Papers 16334, IZA Network @ LISER.
    14. Bouche Paul, & Gerardin Mathilde, & Gautier Erwan, Savignac Frédérique & Savignac Frédérique., 2021. "Measuring firms’ inflation expectations [Mesurer les anticipations d’inflation des entreprises]," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 236.
    15. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    16. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020. "Inflation expectations as a policy tool?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

  35. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Gee Hee Hong, 2015. "The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 993-1029, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  36. Menzie D. Chinn & Olivier Coibion, 2014. "The Predictive Content of Commodity Futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 607-636, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  37. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Dmitri Koustas, 2013. "Amerisclerosis? The Puzzle of Rising U.S. Unemployment Persistence," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 44(2 (Fall)), pages 193-260.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  38. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 120(1), pages 116-159.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  39. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 126-162, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  40. Olivier Coibion & Daniel Goldstein, 2012. "One for Some or One for All? Taylor Rules and Interregional Heterogeneity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 401-431, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  41. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Johannes Wieland, 2012. "The Optimal Inflation Rate in New Keynesian Models: Should Central Banks Raise Their Inflation Targets in Light of the Zero Lower Bound?," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(4), pages 1371-1406.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  42. Olivier Coibion, 2012. "Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-32, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  43. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation, and the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(1), pages 341-370, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  44. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2011. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(3), pages 920-940, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  45. Olivier Coibion, 2010. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 87-101, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  46. Coibion, Olivier & Einav, Liran & Hallak, Juan Carlos, 2007. "Equilibrium demand elasticities across quality segments," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 13-30, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  47. Coibion Olivier, 2006. "Inflation Inertia in Sticky Information Models," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-29, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Lanne, Markku & Luoma, Arto & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "A Naïve Sticky Information Model of Households’ Inflation Expectations," MPRA Paper 8663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Casarin, Roberto & Costantini, Mauro & Paradiso, Antonio, 2021. "On the role of dependence in sticky price and sticky information Phillips curve: Modelling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    3. Chou, Jenyu & Easaw, Joshy & Minford, Patrick, 2021. "Does Inattentiveness Matter for DSGE Modelling? An Empirical Investigation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/35, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    4. Samuele Ridolfi, 2024. "Behavioral Macroeconomics: A Systematic Review for Policy Insights," Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Society for the Advancement of Behavioral Economics (SABE), vol. 8(S2), pages 35-42, December.
    5. Safouane Ben Aïssa & Olivier Musy, 2009. "The Dynamic Properties of Alternative Assumptions on Price Adjustment in New Keynesian Models," Working Papers hal-04140852, HAL.
    6. Jenyu Chou & Yifei Cao & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Evaluation and indirect inference estimation of inattentive features in a New Keynesian framework," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 530-542, April.
    7. Lena Dräger & Michael J. Lamla, 2024. "Consumers' macroeconomic expectations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(2), pages 427-451, April.
    8. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2010. "Linear rational-expectations models with lagged expectations: A synthetic method," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 984-1002, May.
    9. Ricardo Reis, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Sticky-Information Model," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 1(2), pages 1-28, July.
    10. Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    11. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2006. "Inflation dynamics: a cross-country investigation," Working Papers 2005-076, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    12. Mankiw, N. Gregory & Reis, Ricardo, 2010. "Imperfect Information and Aggregate Supply," Scholarly Articles 33907956, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    13. Ricardo Reis, 2009. "A Sticky-information General Equilibrium Model por Policy Analysis," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Carl E. Walsh & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.),Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, edition 1, volume 13, chapter 8, pages 227-283, Central Bank of Chile.
    14. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Strategic Interaction among Heterogeneous Price-Setters in an Estimated DSGE Model," Working Papers 93, Economics Department, William & Mary.
    15. Francesco Giuli, 2007. "Robust control in a Sticky information economy," Working Papers in Public Economics 98, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    16. Jacques Sapir, 2018. "The EMU’s Twisted Foundations: How to Use and Misuse Economic Theory," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 497-506, September.
    17. Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020. "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 127-144.
    18. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2006. "Sticky Information in General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 12605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

Chapters

  1. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Saten Kumar & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2019. "Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2019, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013. "Is The Phillips Curve Alive and Well After All? Inflation Expectations and the Missing Disinflation," NBER Chapters, in: Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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