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What Has Publishing Inflation Forecasts Accomplished? Central Banks and Their Competitors

Author

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  • Pierre L. Siklos

Abstract

An earlier version of this paper circulated under the title: ÒForecast Disagreement and the Inflation Outlook: New International EvidenceÓ which appears as Discussion Paper 2016-E-3, Institute for Economic and Monetary Studies, Bank of Japan, March. Research for this paper was undertaken while I was National Fellow at the Hoover Institution and a Visiting Scholar at the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan. I am grateful to both for their financial support. I am also grateful to several central banks, the Bank for International Settlements, and the Bank of Japan for their assistance in providing me with some of the data collected for this study. Earlier versions of this paper were presented at an invited session of the 1 8th International Conference in Computational and Financial Econometrics (Pisa, Italy), the Japanese Centre for Economic Research, the Bank of Japan, the University of Stellenbosch and the ZŸrich Workshop on the Economics of Central Banking. I am also grateful to two anonymous referee for comments on earlier drafts. This chapter is prepared for the OxfordÊUniversity Press Handbook of Central Banking (David Mayes, Pierre Siklos, and Jan-Egbert Sturm, Editors).

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre L. Siklos, 2017. "What Has Publishing Inflation Forecasts Accomplished? Central Banks and Their Competitors," CAMA Working Papers 2017-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2017-33
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    File URL: https://crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/2025-02/33_2017_siklos.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. James Yetman, 2018. "The perils of approximating fixed-horizon inflation forecasts with fixed-event forecasts," BIS Working Papers 700, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Feldkircher, Martin & Siklos, Pierre L., 2019. "Global inflation dynamics and inflation expectations," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 217-241.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

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