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Monetary policy and production networks: an empirical investigation

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  • Ghassibe, Mishel

Abstract

This paper offers novel econometric evidence on the contribution of production networks to the effect of monetary shocks on real macroeconomic variables. In particular, we construct a highly disaggregated monthly dataset on US final sectoral consumption to estimate that at least 30% of the effect of monetary shocks on aggregate consumption comes from amplification through input-output linkages, which facilitate downstream propagation of price rigidity. At the sectoral level, we find that the network effect rises in the frequency of price non-adjustment and intermediates intensity. Moreover, the network effect is highly concentrated: sectors that jointly account for 17% of our sample aggregate consumption account for 98% of the amplification. In order to develop our econometric specification, we obtain novel analytical sector-level solutions to a forward-looking New Keynesian model with asymmetric input-output linkages.

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  • Ghassibe, Mishel, 2021. "Monetary policy and production networks: an empirical investigation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 21-39.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:119:y:2021:i:c:p:21-39
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.02.002
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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