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Stock Prices And Monetary Policy Shocks: A General Equilibrium Approach

  • Edouard Challe

    (Department of Economics, Ecole Polytechnique - Polytechnique - X - CNRS, Banque de France, CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - INSEE - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique)

  • Chryssi Giannitsarou

    (CAM - University of Cambridge (UK) - University of Cambridge (UK), CEPR - Center for Economic Policy Research - CEPR)

Recent empirical literature documents that unexpected changes in the nominal interest rates have a significant effect on real stock prices: a 25-basis point increase in the nominal interest rate is associated with an immediate decrease in broad real stock indices that may range from 0.6 to 2.2 percent, followed by a gradual decay as real stock prices revert towards their long-run expected value. In this paper, we assess the ability of a general equilibrium New Keynesian asset-pricing model to account for these facts. The model we consider is a production economy with elastic labor supply, staggered price and wage setting, as well as time-varying risk aversion through habit formation. We find that the model predicts a stock market response to policy shocks that matches empirical estimates, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our findings are robust to a range of variations and parameterizations of the model.

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Date of creation: 07 Sep 2012
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Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00719956
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