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News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations

Author

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  • Ryan Chahrour
  • Adam Hale Shapiro
  • Daniel Wilson

Abstract

We examine how the media's systematic selection of reporting topics influences household responses to inflation news. In a model where households learn about inflation from news coverage, households account for news selection when forming their expectations. Because media are more likely to report on inflation when it is high, the model implies an asymmetric response to news: high-inflation news changes expectations more than low-inflation news. We test this implication using household panel data, and find that exposure to higher-prices news increases inflation expectations by 0.4 percentage point, while exposure to lower-prices news has no significant effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryan Chahrour & Adam Hale Shapiro & Daniel Wilson, 2025. "News Selection and Household Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 33837, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:33837
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    Cited by:

    1. Weiyang ZHAI & Yushi YOSHIDA, 2026. "Inflation Expectations in Japan: Forecast revision and forecast trends," Discussion papers 26004, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • E03 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Macroeconomics

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