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Firm performance and markets: survival analysis of medium and large manufacturing enterprises in Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Rifai Afin

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

  • Keresztély Tibor

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

  • Cserháti Ilona

    (Corvinus University of Budapest)

Abstract

This study identifies the effect of firm performance, especially efficiency, on firm survival. This study applies efficiency calculations using a translog model based on both time-invariant and time-varying production functions and the Ackerberg–Caves–Frazer (ACF) model to overcome the endogeneity problem in the estimation of the production function. The data used are firm-level data, which are medium and large manufacturing company censuses with an observation period from 1995 to 2015. This study used two estimation techniques: the Cox proportional hazard model and Poisson regression. I estimate the Cox regression with firm-level data, whereas the Poisson regression is estimated with aggregate data for 2-digit ISIC. Estimates at the aggregate 2-digit ISIC level are intended to not only see the effect of efficiency on companies that survive but also on companies that enter and exit. Firm-level evidence shows that a company’s efficiency reduces the hazard ratio or increases its survival time. Moreover, consistent with firm-level results, the aggregate-level estimation shows that efficiency increases the chances of survival and entry of companies into Indonesia and reduces the rate of company exit from the Indonesian market. This shows that a company's level of technical efficiency makes an important contribution to the survival of manufacturing companies in Indonesia.

Suggested Citation

  • Rifai Afin & Keresztély Tibor & Cserháti Ilona, 2025. "Firm performance and markets: survival analysis of medium and large manufacturing enterprises in Indonesia," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(1), pages 107-151, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:epolin:v:52:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s40812-024-00302-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s40812-024-00302-7
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Firm survival; Efficiency; Market structure; Macroeconomic stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
    • L22 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Organization and Market Structure
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance

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