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Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?

Author

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  • Hack, Lukas

    (University of Mannheim)

  • Rostam-Afschar, Davud

    (University of Mannheim)

Abstract

We examine how macroeconomic news affects firms’ extensive-margin price-setting plans in a survey that we rolled out with randomized daily invitations. These plans predict future realized inflation. Using a high-frequency event study framework, we find that inflation and employment surprises imply significant and sizable revisions in firms’ pricing plans. There is a limited role for news about the trade balance, but no significant role for other commonly studied data releases, e.g., industrial production. We also study news coverage and agents’ news search behavior, finding that the intensive-margin response of media coverage and news search may partly drive our main results.

Suggested Citation

  • Hack, Lukas & Rostam-Afschar, Davud, 2025. "Which Macroeconomic News Matters for Price-Setting?," IZA Discussion Papers 17935, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp17935
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • C83 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Survey Methods; Sampling Methods

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