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Firms’ expectations about skill shortages

Author

Listed:
  • Helena Antonie Baier

    (Technical University of Munich)

  • Philipp Lergetporer

    (Technical University of Munich)

  • Thomas Rittmannsberger

    (TUM School of Management, Technical University of Munich)

Abstract

Shortages of skilled labor present a critical challenge for economies worldwide. We surveyed over 1100 SME managers in Germany, revealing that most expect skill shortages to worsen and adversely affect their operations. Providing expert forecasts on future shortages to a randomly chosen subgroup of respondents barely affects the expected impacts of skill shortages on their firm, planned mitigation strategies, or business performance expectations. These limited effects likely stem from the already high priority placed on skill shortages, attenuating the impact of additional information. Our findings suggest that typical information campaigns may be ineffective, pointing to a need for more actionable strategies in addressing skill shortages.

Suggested Citation

  • Helena Antonie Baier & Philipp Lergetporer & Thomas Rittmannsberger, 2025. "Firms’ expectations about skill shortages," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 1095-1112, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:sbusec:v:65:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s11187-025-01035-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11187-025-01035-0
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C93 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Field Experiments
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • M50 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - General
    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis

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