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Information Frictions among Firms and Households

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  • Sebastian Link
  • Andreas Peichl
  • Christopher Roth
  • Johannes Wohlfart

Abstract

We survey samples of German firms and households to document novel stylized facts about the extent of information frictions among the two groups. First, firms’ expectations about macroeconomic variables are closer to expert forecasts and less dispersed than households’, consistent with higher information frictions among households. Second, the degree of dispersion and the distance from expert forecasts varies more across groups of households than across groups of firms. Third, firms update their policy rate expectations less than households when provided with an expert forecast, consistent with holding stronger priors. Our results have implications for modelling choices, macroeconomic dynamics, and policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Link & Andreas Peichl & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Information Frictions among Firms and Households," CESifo Working Paper Series 8969, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8969
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    information frictions; expectation formation; firms; households; interest rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E71 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy

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