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Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations

Author

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  • JULIEN PINTER
  • EVŽEN KOČENDA

Abstract

We investigate whether monetary policy announcements affect firms' and consumers' expectations by considering their media treatment. We initially use standard monetary policy surprise measures and analyze how the main general newspapers in France report on the announcements. Eighty‐five percent of the monetary policy surprises are either not associated with the newspapers reporting a change in the monetary policy stance or have a sign inconsistent with the media report. Only when we consider media‐consistent monetary policy surprises do we find that consumers and firms respond to monetary policy announcements. The economic tonality of the media reports drives the sign of consumers' response.

Suggested Citation

  • Julien Pinter & Evžen Kočenda, 2025. "Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(7), pages 1793-1842, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:57:y:2025:i:7:p:1793-1842
    DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13096
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    Cited by:

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    2. Djeneba Dramé & Florian Léon, 2025. "Do firms react to monetary policy in developing countries? [European Economic Review]," Post-Print hal-05172185, HAL.
    3. Dräger, Lena, 2023. "Central Bank Communication with the General Public," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-713, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
    4. Bjerkander, Lena & Glas, Alexander, 2024. "Talking in a language that everyone can understand? Clarity of speeches by the ECB Executive Board," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    5. Sylvérie Herbert & Klodiana Istrefi & Béatrice Sagna, 2024. "Coordinating the Message: Media Coverage of Fed News and Market Reactions," Working papers 983, Banque de France.
    6. Zhu, Dandan & Wang, Xiangdong & Zhang, Yifan, 2025. "Narrative monetary policy expectation in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PB).
    7. Priya, Pragati & Sharma, Chandan, 2025. "The uncertainty-driven channel of monetary transmission on household consumption: the role of households’ balance sheet positions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. Buelens, Christian, 2025. "Googling ‘inflation’: Household inflation attention across the euro area," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Pham, Tho & Talavera, Oleksandr, 2025. "Central bank communication on social media: What, to whom, and how?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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