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Consumption and Income Expectations during Covid-19

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Abstract

Using a survey of Italian households administered in November 2021, we study the effect of microeconomic and macroeconomic expectations (about the health crisis and fear of contagion among others) on consumption expectations in 2022. The survey elicits individual-level indicators of income and consumption expectations, distinguishing between consumption at home, away from home, online and total. We find that expected household income and expected aggregate GDP growth are strongly related to consumption expectations; income risk is positively associated with expected consumption growth for richer households, confirming the presence of a precautionary saving motive.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Immordino & Tullio Jappelli & Tommaso Oliviero, 2022. "Consumption and Income Expectations during Covid-19," CSEF Working Papers 647, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    • Handle: RePEc:sef:csefwp:647
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    2. Xizan Jin & Lili Chen & Danrui Jin & Ziyi Chen & Heyuan You, 2025. "Effects of urban migrants’ public services access on non-housing consumption under housing pressure in China," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving

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