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Monetary Policy Regime Switches and Macroeconomic Dynamics

  • Andrew Foerster

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City)

This paper investigates how different monetary policy regime switching types impact macroeconomic dynamics. Policy switches that either affect the inflation target or the response to deviations of inflation from target leads to different determinacy regions and different output, interest rates, and inflation distributions. With regime switching, the standard Taylor Principle breaks down in multiple ways; satisfying the Principle period-by-period is neither necessary nor sufficient for determinacy. Switching inflation targets primarily affects the economy's level, whereas switching inflation responses affects the variance. Even in periods with fixed monetary policy, expectations of future policy switches can produce different outcomes depending upon the switching type. Monetary authorities with objectives for inflation need to adjust their policy parameters to counteract expectations of future policy switches.

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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2013 Meeting Papers with number 906.

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Date of creation: 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:red:sed013:906
Contact details of provider: Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA
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  17. Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha, 2004. "Were there regime switches in U.S. monetary policy?," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2004-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  18. Thomas A. Lubik & Frank Schorfheide, 2004. "Testing for Indeterminacy: An Application to U.S. Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(1), pages 190-217, March.
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