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How Well Does Sticky Information Explain the Dynamics of Inflation, Output, and Real Wages?

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  • J. A. CARRILLO

Abstract

This paper finds that a model with pervasive information frictions is less successful than a standard model featuring nominal rigidities, inflation indexation, and habit persistence in generating the dynamics triggered by technology shocks, as estimated by a vector autoregression using key U.S. macroeconomic time series. The real wage responses after a permanent increase in productivity tilt the balance clearly in favor of the standard model. The sticky information model overestimates the speed of adjustment in the real wage and is hence particularly unsuccessful in replicating its inertial response, whereas the standard model relies on inflation indexation in wage-setting to achieve a better fit. The two models are, however, statistically equivalent in mimicking the responses of output, inflation, the real wage and the federal funds rate after a shock in monetary policy.

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  • J. A. Carrillo, 2011. "How Well Does Sticky Information Explain the Dynamics of Inflation, Output, and Real Wages?," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/724, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  • Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:11/724
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sticky prices; sticky information; inflation indexation; monetary and technology shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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