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Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism

Author

Listed:
  • James Cloyne

    (University of California Davis, NBER and CEPR)

  • Clodomiro Ferreira

    (Banco de España)

  • Paolo Surico

    (London Business School and CEPR)

Abstract

How do changes in monetary policy affect consumption? Using household data for the US and the UK, we show that most of the aggregate response of consumption to interest rates is driven by households with a mortgage. Outright home owners do not adjust expenditure at all and renters change their spending but by less than mortgagors. Income rises for all households as interest rate cuts directly affect firm investment and household consumption, boosting aggregate demand. A key dierence between these housing tenure groups is the composition of their balance sheets: mortgagors hold sizable illiquid assets but little liquid wealth, consistent with a higher marginal propensity to consume.

Suggested Citation

  • James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2018. "Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism," Working Papers 1813, Banco de España.
  • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:1813
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; household balance sheets; liquidity constraints;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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