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Paolo Surico

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Personal Details

First Name:Paolo
Middle Name:
Last Name:Surico
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:psu32
https://sites.google.com/site/paolosurico/
Department of Economics, London Business School, Regent's Park, London NW1 4SA
London, United Kingdom
http://www.london.edu/economics/

: +44 (0) 207 000 000
+44 (0) 207 7247875
Regent's Park, London NW1 4SA
RePEc:edi:delbsuk (more details at EDIRC)
London, United Kingdom
http://www.cepr.org/

: +44 (0)20 7183 8801
+44 (0)20 7183 8820
3rd Floor, 77 Bastwick Street, London EC1V 3PZ
RePEc:edi:cebruuk (more details at EDIRC)
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  1. Cloyne, James & Ferreira, Clodomiro & Surico, Paolo, 2015. "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," CEPR Discussion Papers 11023, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Surico, Paolo & Trezzi, Riccardo, 2015. "Consumer Spending and Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Housing Tax Experiment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 20 Jan 2016.
  3. Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Federal Transfer Multipliers. Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Brazil," NBER Working Papers 20751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Besley, Timothy J. & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2014. "The Incidence of Transaction Taxes: Evidence from a Stamp Duty Holiday," CEPR Discussion Papers 10063, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2014. "The Transmission Mechanism in Good and Bad Times," CEPR Discussion Papers 10083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  6. Misra, Kanishka & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Consumption, Income Changes and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programmes," CEPR Discussion Papers 9530, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  7. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers 708, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  8. Cloyne, James & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes," CEPR Discussion Papers 9649, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  9. De Santis, Roberto A. & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1568, European Central Bank.
  10. D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2011. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 8292, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  11. Misra, Kanishka & Surico, Paolo, 2011. "Heterogeneous Responses and Aggregate Impact of the 2001 Income Tax Rebates," CEPR Discussion Papers 8306, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  12. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2011. "Estimating the Aggregate Consumption Euler Equation with State-Dependent Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 8233, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  13. Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico, 2010. "Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility," NBER Working Papers 16374, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Bealey, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2010. "Risk heterogeneity and credit supply: evidence from the mortgage market," MPRA Paper 20905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "Monetary policy, inflation expectations and the price puzzle," Research Discussion Papers 30/2009, Bank of Finland.
  16. Saverio Simonelli & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "A Historical Perspective on International Co-movements: 1821-2007," 2009 Meeting Papers 523, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  17. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and the Price Puzzle," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0101, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
  18. Bianchi, Francesco & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "Dynamics of the term structure of UK interest rates," Bank of England working papers 363, Bank of England.
  19. Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2009. "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective," CSEF Working Papers 233, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
  20. Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "VAR analysis and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series 0866, European Central Bank.
  21. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Bank of England working papers 341, Bank of England.
  22. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 23, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  23. Paolo Surico, 2008. "Monetary policy shifts and inflation dynamics," Bank of England working papers 338, Bank of England.
  24. Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "Household External Finance and Consumption," Discussion Papers 25, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  25. Sargent, Thomas & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory," Discussion Papers 26, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  26. Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability," Working Paper Series 0824, European Central Bank.
  27. Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policy-Making," Discussion Papers 20, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  28. Luca Benati and Paolo Surico, 2007. "Vector Autoregression Analysis and the Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 18, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  29. D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper 6283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  30. Charlotta Groth & Jarkko Jääskelä & Paolo Surico, 2006. "Fundamental inflation uncertainty," Bank of England working papers 309, Bank of England.
  31. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2006. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Working Paper 06-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
  32. Paolo Surico & Thomas Lubik, 2006. "The Empirical Relevance of the Lucas Critique," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 187, Society for Computational Economics.
  33. Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Sala & Paolo Surico, 2005. "The Fed and the Stock Market," Macroeconomics 0507001, EconWPA.
  34. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2005. "The Price Puzzle and Indeterminacy," Macroeconomics 0507021, EconWPA.
  35. Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, EconWPA.
  36. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2005. "The Price Puzzle: Fact or Artefact?," Macroeconomics 0505015, EconWPA, revised 15 Jun 2005.
  37. Paolo Surico, 2005. "Monetary Policy Shifts, Indeterminacy and Inflation Dynamics," Macroeconomics 0504014, EconWPA.
  38. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences (new title: The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences)," CESifo Working Paper Series 1280, CESifo Group Munich.
  39. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Measuring the Time-Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 0401006, EconWPA.
  40. Paolo Surico, 2003. "How does the ECB target inflation?," Macroeconomics 0305005, EconWPA.
  41. Surico, Paolo, 2003. "US Monetary Policy Rules: the Case for Asymmetric Preferences," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 199, Royal Economic Society.
  42. Paolo Surico, 2002. "Uncovering Policy Makers' Loss Function," Macroeconomics 0210003, EconWPA.
  43. Paolo Surico, 2002. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences," Macroeconomics 0210002, EconWPA, revised 09 Dec 2003.
  44. Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico, . "Unemployment and productivity in long-run: the role of macroeconomic volatility," Working Papers wp2011-5, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
  1. Faccini, Renato & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2016. "International fiscal spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 31-45.
  2. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2015. "The Transmission Mechanism In Good And Bad Times," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56, pages 1237-1260, November.
  3. Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico, 2015. "Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 698-709, July.
  4. Cogley, Timothy & Sargent, Thomas J. & Surico, Paolo, 2015. "Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-16.
  5. Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2014. "The incidence of transaction taxes: Evidence from a stamp duty holiday," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 61-70.
  6. Kanishka Misra & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Consumption, Income Changes, and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 84-106, October.
  7. Roberto A. Santis & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 28(75), pages 423-457, 07.
  8. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 375 - 419.
  9. Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2012. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, November.
  10. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2012. "Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: World And Country-Specific Factors," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 716-734, 08.
  11. Thomas J. Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2011. "Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(1), pages 109-28, February.
  12. Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2011. "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 176-198, January.
  13. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2010. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 177-194.
  14. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and The Price Puzzle," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(549), pages 1262-1283, December.
  15. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2009. "VAR Analysis and the Great Moderation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1636-52, September.
  16. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 895-913.
  17. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "The Transmission of International Shocks: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(s1), pages 71-100, 02.
  18. Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, 03.
  19. Bianchi, Francesco & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "The great moderation of the term structure of UK interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 856-871, September.
  20. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
  21. Paolo Surico & Haroon Mumtaz, 2008. "International influences on domestic prices and activities: a FAVAR approach to open economy," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  22. Surico, Paolo, 2008. "The Cost Channel Of Monetary Policy And Indeterminacy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(05), pages 724-735, November.
  23. Paolo Surico, 2008. "Measuring the Time Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 75(297), pages 22-38, 02.
  24. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policymaking," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 218-23, May.
  25. Paolo Surico, 2007. "The Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 109(1), pages 115-135, 03.
  26. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.
  27. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2004. "Model Uncertainty, Optimal Monetary Policy and the Preferences of the Fed," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 105-126, 02.
  28. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2003. "What does Monetary Policy Reveal about a Central Bank's Preferences?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 32(3), pages 335-359, November.
  29. Paolo Surico, 2003. "The Agglomeration Dilemma: "Should I Stay or Should I Go?"," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 261-275.
  30. Paolo Surico, 2003. "Geographic Concentration and Increasing Returns," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(5), pages 693-708, December.
  31. Paolo Surico, 2003. "Asymmetric Reaction Functions for the Euro Area," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 44-57.
  1. Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2010. "Code and data files for "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: A Historical Perspective"," Computer Codes 09-235, Review of Economic Dynamics.
  1. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2012. "Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27, pages 375-419 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 49 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (40) 2003-05-15 2004-01-25 2004-07-26 2004-11-07 2005-04-16 2005-05-23 2005-07-11 2005-07-25 2005-10-04 2005-11-05 2005-11-19 2005-11-19 2006-05-06 2006-06-03 2006-09-30 2006-10-14 2006-12-01 2007-10-27 2007-11-17 2008-01-05 2008-03-01 2008-04-12 2008-05-31 2008-05-31 2008-12-21 2009-02-28 2009-03-28 2009-08-02 2009-09-26 2010-12-04 2011-04-02 2011-11-28 2013-09-28 2014-04-18 2014-06-02 2014-06-02 2014-12-29 2015-01-03 2015-08-25 2016-01-03. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (31) 2002-10-18 2002-10-23 2003-05-15 2003-06-16 2003-06-16 2004-01-25 2004-07-26 2004-08-16 2004-11-07 2005-04-16 2005-07-11 2005-07-25 2005-10-04 2005-11-19 2005-11-19 2006-06-03 2006-09-30 2006-10-14 2006-12-01 2007-10-27 2007-11-17 2008-03-01 2008-04-12 2008-05-31 2008-05-31 2008-12-21 2009-03-28 2009-09-26 2011-04-02 2013-08-23 2016-01-03. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (25) 2002-10-18 2004-08-16 2004-11-07 2005-04-16 2005-10-04 2005-11-19 2006-05-06 2006-06-03 2006-09-30 2006-10-14 2006-12-01 2007-10-27 2007-11-17 2008-01-05 2008-03-01 2008-04-12 2008-05-31 2008-05-31 2008-12-21 2009-03-28 2009-08-02 2009-09-26 2010-12-04 2011-04-02 2013-08-23. Author is listed
  4. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (6) 2013-09-28 2014-04-18 2014-06-02 2014-06-02 2015-01-03 2015-08-25. Author is listed
  5. NEP-URE: Urban & Real Estate Economics (6) 2008-11-04 2009-02-28 2010-03-06 2014-06-02 2015-08-25 2016-01-03. Author is listed
  6. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (4) 2005-11-05 2006-05-06 2008-01-05 2011-04-02
  7. NEP-EEC: European Economics (3) 2003-05-15 2003-06-16 2013-08-23
  8. NEP-PUB: Public Finance (3) 2014-04-18 2014-06-02 2015-08-25
  9. NEP-BAN: Banking (2) 2010-03-06 2013-08-23
  10. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (2) 2006-10-14 2008-12-21
  11. NEP-FMK: Financial Markets (2) 2005-11-19 2009-03-28
  12. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic & Financial History (2) 2009-08-02 2011-04-02
  13. NEP-HPE: History & Philosophy of Economics (2) 2008-12-21 2011-04-02
  14. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (2) 2002-10-23 2008-05-31
  15. NEP-CMP: Computational Economics (1) 2005-04-16
  16. NEP-FDG: Financial Development & Growth (1) 2010-12-04
  17. NEP-FIN: Finance (1) 2002-10-18
  18. NEP-OPM: Open Economy Macroeconomics (1) 2009-08-02
  19. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2010-03-06
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