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Paolo Surico

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Thomas J. Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2011. "Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(1), pages 109-128, February.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Teoria Quantitativa da Moeda, morta e enterrada?
      by "O" Anonimo in A Mão Visível on 2011-02-11 04:14:00
  2. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Bank of England working papers 341, Bank of England.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Forecasting National Inflation Rates
      by Guest Author in The Big Picture on 2014-08-24 14:00:24
    2. Forecasting National Inflation Rates
      by Robert Balaban in St. Louis Fed On the Economy on 2014-08-21 15:00:38

RePEc Biblio mentions

As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography of Economics:
  1. Surico, Paolo & Känzig, Diego & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, 2020. "Consumption in the time of Covid-19: Evidence from UK transaction data," CEPR Discussion Papers 14733, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences > Consumption
  2. Surico, Paolo & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego, 2020. "The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 15101, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Mentioned in:

    1. > Economics of Welfare > Health Economics > Economics of Pandemics > Specific pandemics > Covid-19 > Economic consequences > Consumption

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 895-913.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2009) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Thomas J. Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2011. "Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(1), pages 109-128, February.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals (AER 2011) in ReplicationWiki ()
  3. Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2012. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, November.

    Mentioned in:

    1. A Century of Inflation Forecasts (REStat 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()
  4. Kanishka Misra & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Consumption, Income Changes, and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 84-106, October.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Consumption, Income Changes, and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programs (AEJ:MA 2014) in ReplicationWiki ()
  5. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2010. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 177-194.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2010) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. James Cloyne & Ezgi Kurt & Paolo Surico, 2023. "Who Gains from Corporate Tax Cuts?," NBER Working Papers 31278, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Ziyang Yue & Gangqiang Yang & Haisen Wang, 2023. "How do tax reductions motivate technological innovation?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, December.

  2. James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2022. "Short-Term Tax Cuts, Long-Term Stimulus," NBER Working Papers 30246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Luca Fornaro & Martin Wolf, 2020. "The scars of supply shocks: Implications for monetary policy," Economics Working Papers 1748, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2023.
    2. Antonio Fatás & Sanjay R. Singh, 2022. "Supply or Demand? Policy Makers' Confusion in the Presence of Hysteresis," Working Papers 347, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    3. Álvaro Fernández-Gallardo & Simon Lloyd & Ed Manuel, 2025. "The Transmission of Macroprudential Policy in the Tails: Evidence from a Narrative Approach," Working Papers 2519, Banco de España.
    4. Beqiraj, Elton & Cao, Qingqing & Minetti, Raoul & Tarquini, Giulio, 2025. "Persistent slumps: Innovation and the credit channel of monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    5. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2024. "Tax shocks, firm entry, and productivity in the open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).

  3. Matteo Benetton & Alessandro Gavazza & Paolo Surico, 2021. "Mortgage pricing and monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 936, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Loeser,John Ashton, 2023. "Consumer Surplus with Incomplete Markets : Applications to Savings and Microfinance," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10481, The World Bank.
    2. Fisher, Jack & Gavazza, Alessandro & Liu, Lu & Ramadorai, Tarun & Tripathy, Jagdish, 2024. "Refinancing cross-subsidies in the mortgage market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Polo, Alberto & Taburet, Arthur & Vo, Quynh-Anh, 2025. "Screening using a menu of contracts: A structural model for lending markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

  4. Surico, Paolo & Andreolli, Michele, 2021. "Less is More: Consumer Spending and the Size of Economic Stimulus Payments," CEPR Discussion Papers 15918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael Boutros, 2022. "Windfall Income Shocks with Finite Planning Horizons," Staff Working Papers 22-40, Bank of Canada.
    2. Gert Peersman & Joris Wauters, 2022. "Heterogeneous household responses to energy price shocks," Working Paper Research 416, National Bank of Belgium.
    3. Antonio Acconcia & Simone Chinetti & Tullio Jappelli, 2025. "Consumption and Liquidity Shocks," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 11(1), pages 17-29, March.
    4. Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Hroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2022. "A tail of labour supply and a tale of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 989, Bank of England.
    5. Savoia, Ettore, 2023. "The effects of labor income risk heterogeneity on the marginal propensity to consume," Working Paper Series 2866, European Central Bank.
    6. Thomas F. Crossley & Peter Levell & Sofía Sierra Vásquez, 2024. "What would you do with £500? (...in your own words)," IFS Working Papers W24/38, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    7. Ahmad Zia Wahdat, 2022. "Economic Impact Payments and Household Food Insufficiency during COVID-19: The Case of Late Recipients," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 451-469, November.
    8. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgina Green, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England working papers 965, Bank of England.
    9. J r my Boccanfuso, 2022. "Consumption Response Heterogeneity and Dynamics with an Inattention Region," Working Papers wp1172, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    10. Bernard, René, 2022. "Mental Accounting and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264186, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Bernard, René, 2023. "Mental accounting and the marginal propensity to consume," Discussion Papers 13/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  5. Surico, Paolo & Känzig, Diego & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, 2020. "Consumption in the time of Covid-19: Evidence from UK transaction data," CEPR Discussion Papers 14733, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Hoseini & Abolmohsen Valizadeh, 2021. "The effect of COVID-19 lockdown and the subsequent reopening on consumption in Iran," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 373-397, June.
    2. Barbara Baarsma & Jesse Groenewegen, 2021. "Correction to: COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Grocery Shopping: Empirical Evidence from the Netherlands," De Economist, Springer, vol. 169(4), pages 423-426, November.
    3. Pichler, Anton & Pangallo, Marco & del Rio-Chanona, R. Maria & Lafond, François & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2020. "In and out of lockdown: Propagation of supply and demand shocks in a dynamic input-output model," INET Oxford Working Papers 2021-18, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, revised Feb 2021.
    4. Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni Violante, 2020. "The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S," Working Papers 2020-119, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    5. Martin O'Connell & Áureo de Paula & Kate Smith, 2020. "Preparing for a pandemic: spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID-19 first wave," IFS Working Papers W20/34, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    6. Arceo-Gomez, Eva O. & Campos-Vazquez, Raymundo M. & Esquivel, Gerardo & Alcaraz, Eduardo & Martinez, Luis A. & Lopez, Norma G., 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 infection on labor outcomes of Mexican formal workers," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    7. O’Connell, Martin & Smith, Kate & Stroud, Rebekah, 2022. "The dietary impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Kim, Seonghoon & Koh, Kanghyock & Zhang, Xuan, 2020. "Short-Term Impact of COVID-19 on Consumption and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Singapore," IZA Discussion Papers 13354, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. John Gathergood & Benedict Guttman-Kenney, 2020. "The English Patient: Evaluating Local Lockdowns Using Real-Time COVID-19 & Consumption Data," Papers 2010.04129, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    10. Pichler, Anton & Pangallo, Marco & del Rio-Chanona, R. Maria & Lafond, François & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2022. "Forecasting the propagation of pandemic shocks with a dynamic input-output model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    11. Steven J. Davis & Stephen Hansen & Cristhian Seminario-Amez, 2020. "Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-139, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    12. Xavier Jaravel & Martin O'Connell, 2020. "Inflation spike and falling product variety during the Great Lockdown," IFS Working Papers W20/17, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    13. Jaravel, Xavier & O'Connell, Martin, 2020. "Real-time price indices: Inflation spike and falling product variety during the Great Lockdown," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    14. Besley, Timothy & Stern, Nicholas, 2020. "The economics of lockdown," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107073, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Allen N. Berger & Christa H. S. Bouwman & Lars Norden & Raluca A. Roman & Gregory F. Udell & Teng Wang, 2024. "Piercing through Opacity: Relationships and Credit Card Lending to Consumers and Small Businesses during Normal Times and the COVID-19 Crisis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 132(2), pages 484-551.
    16. Knut Are Aastveit & Tuva Marie Fastbø & Eleonora Granziera & Kenneth Sæterhagen Paulsen & Kjersti Næss Torstensen, 2020. "Nowcasting Norwegian household consumption with debit card transaction data," Working Paper 2020/17, Norges Bank.
    17. Serdar Kabaca & Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic," Staff Working Papers 23-19, Bank of Canada.
    18. Hindriks, Jean & Madio, Leonardo & Serse, Valerio, 2021. "Promotion ban and heterogeneity in retail prices during the Great Lockdown," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2021005, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    19. Cheng, Terence Chai & Kim, Seonghoon & Koh, Kanghyock, 2020. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Subjective Well-Being: Evidence from Singapore," IZA Discussion Papers 13702, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    20. Simone Emiliozzi & Concetta Rondinelli & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic: evidence from Italian credit cards," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 769, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    21. Hacıoğlu-Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo, 2021. "The distributional impact of the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    22. Luigi Infante & Francesca Lilla & Francesco Vercelli, 2023. "The effects of the pandemic on households' financial savings: a Bayesian structural VAR analysis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1421, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    23. John Gathergood & Fabian Gunzinger & Benedict Guttman-Kenney & Edika Quispe-Torreblanca & Neil Stewart, 2020. "Levelling Down and the COVID-19 Lockdowns: Uneven Regional Recovery in UK Consumer Spending," Papers 2012.09336, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    24. Hackethal, Andreas & Weber, Annika, 2020. "Fiscal policies and household consumption during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review of early evidence," SAFE White Paper Series 76, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    25. Sandra Claudia Gewalt & Sarah Berger & Regina Krisam & Johannes Krisam & Markus Breuer, 2022. "“University students’ economic situation during the COVID-19 pandemic: A cross-sectional study in Germany”," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(10), pages 1-18, October.
    26. Hansen, Stephen & Carvalho, Vasco & García, Juan Ramón & Ortiz, Alvaro & Rodrigo, Tomasa & Rodríguez Mora, José V & Ruiz, Pep, 2020. "Tracking the COVID-19 Crisis with High-Resolution Transaction Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 14642, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Ali B. Barlas & Seda Guler Mert & Berk Orkun Isa & Alvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Big Data Information and Nowcasting: Consumption and Investment from Bank Transactions in Turkey," Papers 2107.03299, arXiv.org.
    28. Brown, Martin & Fengler, Matthias & Huwyler, Jonas & Koeniger, Winfried & Lalive, Rafael & Rohrkemper, Robert, 2023. "Monitoring Consumption Switzerland: Data, Background, and Use Cases," Economics Working Paper Series 2301, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    29. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 273-299, April.
    30. Maximiliano Gómez Aguirre & Ariel David Krysa, 2023. "Consumer Loans Dynamics in 2020 in Argentina: An Approach Using Error Correction Models," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(81), pages 111-158, May.
    31. Horvath, Akos & Kay, Benjamin & Wix, Carlo, 2023. "The COVID-19 shock and consumer credit: Evidence from credit card data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    32. Chen, Zhuo & Li, Pengfei & Liao, Li & Liu, Lu & Wang, Zhengwei, 2024. "Assessing and addressing the coronavirus-induced economic crisis: Evidence from 1.5 billion sales invoices," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    33. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2020. "Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202036, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    34. Pascal Seiler, 2020. "Weighting bias and inflation in the time of COVID-19: evidence from Swiss transaction data," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
    35. Akos Horvath & Benjamin S. Kay & Carlo Wix, 2021. "The COVID-19 Shock and Consumer Credit: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    36. Seonghoon Kim & Kanghyock Koh & Xuan Zhang, 2022. "Short‐term impact of COVID‐19 on consumption spending and its underlying mechanisms: Evidence from Singapore," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 115-134, February.

  6. Surico, Paolo & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego, 2020. "The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 15101, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Hinterlang, Natascha & Moyen, Stephane & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai, 2023. "Gauging the effects of the German COVID-19 fiscal stimulus package," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Regina Pleninger & Sina Streicher & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2021. "Do COVID-19 Containment Measures Work? Evidence from Switzerland," KOF Working papers 21-494, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    3. Thomas F Crossley & Paul Fisher & Hamish Low & Peter Levell, 2023. "A year of COVID: the evolution of labour market and financial inequalities through the crisis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 75(3), pages 589-612.
    4. Ignacio Amate-Fortes & Almudena Guarnido-Rueda, 2023. "Inequality, public health, and COVID-19: an analysis of the Spanish case by municipalities," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 24(1), pages 99-110, February.
    5. Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi & Simona Giglioli, 2022. "Real-time inequalities and policies during the pandemic in the US," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1396, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Martin O'Connell & Áureo de Paula & Kate Smith, 2020. "Preparing for a pandemic: spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID-19 first wave," IFS Working Papers W20/34, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    7. James Hurley & Daniel Walker, 2021. "Did the Covid-19 local lockdowns reduce business activity? Evidence from UK SMEs," Bank of England working papers 943, Bank of England.
    8. Augeraud-Véron, E. & Fabbri, G. & Schubert, K., 2020. "Prevention and mitigation of epidemics:Biodiversity conservation and confinement policies," Working Papers 2020-11, Grenoble Applied Economics Laboratory (GAEL).
    9. Marina Yu. Malkina, 2021. "How the 2020 pandemic affected tax revenues in Russian regions?," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 16(2), pages 239-260, June.
    10. Bodea, Cristina & Houle, Christian & Kim, Hyunwoo, 2021. "Do financial crises increase income inequality?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    11. Ainaa, Carmen & Brunetti, Irene & Mussida, Chiara & Scicchitano, Sergio, 2021. "Who lost the most? Distributive effects of COVID-19 pandemic," GLO Discussion Paper Series 829, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    12. Emiliozzi, Simone & Rondinelli, Concetta & Villa, Stefania, 2025. "Unveiling consumption patterns during COVID-19: Insights from credit cards," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    13. Fernandez-Navia, Tania & Polo-Muro, Eduardo & Tercero-Lucas, David, 2021. "Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Miescu, Mirela & Rossi, Raffaele, 2021. "COVID-19-induced shocks and uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    15. Athanasios Anastasiou & Nicholas Apergis & Athina Zervoyianni, 2024. "Pandemic, sentiments over COVID-19, and EU convergence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1683-1707, April.
    16. Robles Cariaga, Diego Orlando, 2021. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Labour Force Participation in Chile : Evidence from a Difference-in-Differences approach," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 29, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    17. Bonaccorsi, Giovanni & Scotti, Francesco & Pierri, Francesco & Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio, 2024. "Targeted policies and household consumption dynamics: Evidence from high-frequency transaction data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 111-134.
    18. James MacGee & Thomas Michael Pugh & Kurt See, 2022. "The heterogeneous effects of COVID‐19 on Canadian household consumption, debt and savings," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(S1), pages 54-87, February.
    19. Besley, Timothy & Stern, Nicholas, 2020. "The economics of lockdown," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107073, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Sónia Cabral & Cristina Manteu & Sara Serra & Cátia Silva, 2021. "Consumption expenditure during the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis based on Portuguese card transaction data," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    21. Stephen Malpezzi, 2023. "Housing affordability and responses during times of stress: A preliminary look during the COVID‐19 pandemic," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(1), pages 9-40, January.
    22. Faqin Lin & Mengxun Liu & Mohan Zhou, 2024. "COVID‐19 and the distance effect," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 1297-1323, March.
    23. Bruno Albuquerque & Alexandra Varadi, 2022. "Consumption effects of mortgage payment," Bank of England working papers 963, Bank of England.
    24. Simone Emiliozzi & Concetta Rondinelli & Stefania Villa, 2023. "Consumption during the Covid-19 pandemic: evidence from Italian credit cards," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 769, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    25. Bruno Carvalho & Susana Peralta & Joao Pereira dos Santos, 2020. "Regional and Sectorial Impacts of the Covid-19 Crisis: Evidence from Electronic Payments," Working Papers ECARES 2020-48, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    26. Oriol Aspachs & Ruben Durante & Alberto Graziano & Josep Mestres & Marta Reynal-Querol & Jose G Montalvo, 2021. "Tracking the impact of COVID-19 on economic inequality at high frequency," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, March.
    27. Martin S. Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo & Mathias Trabandt, 2021. "Inequality in Life and Death," NBER Working Papers 29063, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Stantcheva, Stefanie, 2022. "Inequalities in the Times of a Pandemic," CEPR Discussion Papers 16856, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    29. Johannesen, Niels & Andersen, Asger Lau & Toft Hansen, Emil & Sheridan, Adam, 2020. "Consumer Responses to the COVID-19 Crisis: Evidence from Bank Account Transaction Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 14809, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    30. John Gathergood & Fabian Gunzinger & Benedict Guttman-Kenney & Edika Quispe-Torreblanca & Neil Stewart, 2020. "Levelling Down and the COVID-19 Lockdowns: Uneven Regional Recovery in UK Consumer Spending," Papers 2012.09336, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    31. Lucia Morosan-Danila & Otilia-Maria Bordeianu, 2021. "Tax Facilities for Romanian Companies in Combating the Crisis Generated by COVID-19," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 369-376, August.
    32. José Garcia Montalvo & Marta Reynal-Querol, 2020. "Distributional effects of COVID-19 on spending: A first look at the evidence from Spain," Economics Working Papers 1740, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    33. Francesco Scotti & Andrea Flori & Giovanni Bonaccorsi & Fabio Pammolli, 2023. "Do We Learn From Errors? The Economic Impact of Differentiated Policy Restrictions in Italy," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 46(5-6), pages 613-648, September.
    34. Brian Bell & Mihai Codreanu & Stephen Machin, 2020. "What can previous recessions tell us about the Covid-19 downturn?," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-007, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    35. Carmen Aina & Irene Brunetti & Chiara Mussida & Sergio Scicchitano, 2023. "Distributional effects of COVID-19," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(1), pages 221-256, March.
    36. Katja Zajc Kejžar & Alan Velić & Jože P. Damijan, 2022. "COVID‐19, trade collapse and GVC linkages: European experience," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(11), pages 3475-3506, November.
    37. Jack Chylak & Leo Feler & Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, 2025. "Lost in Aggregation: Geographic Mismeasurement of Income and Spending," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-050, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    38. Kubota, So & Onishi, Koichiro & Toyama, Yuta, 2021. "Consumption responses to COVID-19 payments: Evidence from a natural experiment and bank account data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1-17.

  7. Surico, Paolo & Bracke, Philippe & Croxson, Karen & Fakhri, Daoud & Valletti, Tommaso, 2020. "Mortgage Market Disruptions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15381, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Fuster & Aurel Hizmo & Lauren Lambie-Hanson & James Vickery & Paul S. Willen, 2021. "How Resilient Is Mortgage Credit Supply? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 28843, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  8. Saleem Bahaj & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter & Paolo Surico, 2019. "Employment and the collateral channel of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 827, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Caterina Mendicino & Ettore Panetti & Dominik Supera & Martina Jašová & José-Luis Peydró, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers," Working Papers 1338, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Gulyas, Andreas & Meier, Matthias & Ryzhenkov, Mykola, 2024. "Labor market effects of monetary policy across workers and firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    3. Robert Czech & Gábor Pintér, 2020. "Informed Trading and the Dynamics of Client-Dealer Connections in Corporate Bond Markets," Discussion Papers 2032, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    4. Ferrando, Annalisa & Vermeulen, Philip & Durante, Elena, 2020. "Monetary policy, investment and firm heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 2390, European Central Bank.
    5. Bruno Albuquerque, 2021. "Corporate debt booms, financial constraints and the investment nexus," Bank of England working papers 935, Bank of England.
    6. Gavazza, Alessandro & Benetton, Matteo & Surico, Paolo, 2021. "Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 16456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Gambacorta, Leonardo & Huang, Yiping & Li, Zhenhua & Qiu, Han & Chen, Shu, 2020. "Data vs collateral," CEPR Discussion Papers 15262, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Fergus Cumming, 2019. "Mortgage Cash-flows and Employment," Discussion Papers 1922, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    9. Fumitaka Nakamura & Nao Sudo & Yu Sugisaki, 2021. "Monetary Policy Shocks and the Employment of Young, Middle-Aged, and Old Workers," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-06, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    10. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Anderson, Gareth, 2020. "Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14426, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. Almut Balleer & Peter Zorn, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Price Setting, and Credit Constraints," CESifo Working Paper Series 7978, CESifo.
    12. Aarti Singh & Jacek Suda & Anastasia Zervou, 2023. "Heterogeneous labor market response to monetary policy: small versus large firms," NBP Working Papers 355, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    13. Bhargava, Apoorv & Gόrnicka, Lucyna & Xie, Peichu, 2023. "Leakages from macroprudential regulations: the case of household-specific tools and corporate credit," Working Paper Series 2784, European Central Bank.
    14. Marie Finnegan & Supriya Kapoor, 2023. "ECB unconventional monetary policy and SME access to finance," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1253-1288, October.
    15. Sumit Agarwa & Yongheng Deng & Quanlin Gu & Jia He & Wenlan Qian & Yuan Ren, 2022. "Mortgage Debt, Hand-to-Mouth Households, and Monetary Policy Transmission [Policy intervention in debt renegotiation: evidence from the home affordable modification program]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(3), pages 487-520.
    16. Melcangi, Davide & Turen, Javier, 2023. "Subsidizing startups under imperfect information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 93-109.
    17. Balleer, Almut & Zorn, Peter, 2020. "The Micro-level Price Response to Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224557, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

  9. Bilbiie, Florin & Känzig, Diego & Surico, Paolo, 2019. "Capital and Income Inequality: An Aggregate-Demand Complementarity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14118, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Chan, Jenny & Diz, Sebastian & Kanngiesser, Derrick, 2022. "Energy Prices and Household Heterogeneity: Monetary Policy in a Gas-TANK," MPRA Paper 118543, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2022.
    2. Rude, Johanna, 2024. "Income Inequality and Aggregate Demand," MPRA Paper 120875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Tsiaras, Stylianos, 2023. "Asset purchases, limited asset markets participation and inequality," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan, 2023. "Analyzing Linear DSGE models: the Method of Undetermined Markov States," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    5. Adrien Auclert & Ludwig Straub & Matthew Rognlie, 2019. "Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: monetary policy and business cycles in an estimated HANK model," 2019 Meeting Papers 1449, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Felipe Alves & Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2020. "A Further Look at the Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in HANK," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S2), pages 521-559, December.
    7. Charalampidis, Nikolaos, 2022. "Top income shares, inequality, and business cycles: United States, 1957–2016," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    8. Cristiano Cantore & Lukas Freund, 2020. "Workers, capitalists, and the government: fiscal policy and income (re)distribution," Bank of England working papers 858, Bank of England.
    9. Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Hroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2022. "A tail of labour supply and a tale of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 989, Bank of England.
    10. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Joël Marbet & Galo Nuño Barrau & Omar Rachedi, 2024. "Inequality and the zero lower bound," BIS Working Papers 1160, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Marco Ranaldi & Elisa Palagi, 2022. "Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics: The Compositional Inequality Perspective," LIS Working papers 848, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    12. Cristiano Cantore & Pascal Meichtry, 2024. "Unwinding Quantitative Easing: State Dependency and Household Heterogeneity," Working papers 955, Banque de France.
    13. Tao Tang & Lizeth Cuesta & Brayan Tillaguango & Rafael Alvarado & Abdul Rehman & Diana Bravo-Benavides & Natalia Zárate, 2022. "Causal Link between Technological Innovation and Inequality Moderated by Public Spending, Manufacturing, Agricultural Employment, and Export Diversification," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-25, July.
    14. Cristiano Cantore & Edoardo Leonardi, 2025. "Monetary-Fiscal Interaction and the Liquidity of Government Debt," Papers 2501.17458, arXiv.org.
    15. Stéphane Dupraz, 2023. "The Dynamic IS Curve when there is both Investment and Savings," Working papers 905, Banque de France.
    16. Xunhua Tu & Jie Yan & Jing Zheng, 2024. "Income composition inequality of Chinese residents and fiscal redistribution effect: An empirical analysis on individual income tax and transfer system," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(1), pages 1-21, January.
    17. Zheng Gong, 2025. "When Does Household Heterogeneity Matter for Aggregate Fluctuations?," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_624, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    18. Dusan Stojanovic, 2023. "Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area: Implications for Income and Wealth Inequality," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp760, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    19. Bilbiie, F. O. & Galaasen, S. M. & Gurkaynak, R. S. & Maehlum, M. & Molnar, K, 2025. "Hanksson," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2516, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    20. Luzie Thiel, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Inequality: A Two-way Relation," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202304, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).

  10. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2018. "Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism," Working Papers 1813, Banco de España.

    Cited by:

    1. Anne-Laure Delatte & Pranav Garg & Jean Imbs, 2019. "The transmission channels of unconventional monetary policy: Evidence from a change in collateral requirements in France," Working Papers 2019-07, CEPII research center.
    2. Eskelinen, Maria, 2021. "Monetary policy, agent heterogeneity and inequality: insights from a three-agent New Keynesian model," Working Paper Series 2590, European Central Bank.
    3. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The role of households' borrowing constraints in the transmission of monetary policy," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403257, HAL.
    4. Katya Kartashova & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2025. "How Do Mortgage Rate Resets Affect Consumer Spending and Debt Repayment? Evidence from Canadian Consumers," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(5), pages 1167-1210, August.
    5. Pietrunti, Mario & Signoretti, Federico M., 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and household debt: The role of cash-flow effects," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2020. "Monetary policy and the top one percent: Evidence from a century of modern economic history," AMSE Working Papers 2047, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    7. Tullio Jappelli & Annalisa Scognamiglio, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Mortgages and Consumption: Evidence from Italy," CSEF Working Papers 454, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    8. Martin Holm & Gisle Natvik & Andreas Fagereng, 2017. "MPC Heterogeneity and Household Balance Sheets," 2017 Meeting Papers 65, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Korinek, Anton, 2023. "Long-term debt propagation and real reversals," CEPR Discussion Papers 18075, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Jérôme Creel & Mehdi El Herradi, 2020. "Income inequality and monetary policy in the Euro Area," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03389183, HAL.
    11. Gianluca Cafiso, 2022. "Loans to Different Groups and Economic Activity at Times of Crisis and Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 594-623, June.
    12. Alejandro Van der Ghote & Luc Laeven & Victoria Vanasco & Alberto Martin & Vladimir Asriyan, 2021. "Falling Interest Rates and Credit Misallocation: Lessons from General Equilibrium," Working Papers 1268, Barcelona School of Economics.
    13. Pirschel, Inske & Ahrens, Steffen & Snower, Dennis, 2013. "A Theory of Price Adjustment under Loss Aversion," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79793, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Mia Jørgensen & José-Luis Peydró, 2020. "Monetary policy and inequality," Economics Working Papers 1761, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2021.
    15. Ampudia, Miguel & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Vermeulen, Philip & Violante, Giovanni L., 2018. "Monetary policy and household inequality," Working Paper Series 2170, European Central Bank.
    16. Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2016. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," Working Papers 1602, Council on Economic Policies.
    17. Linde, Jesper & Finocchiaro, Daria & Walentin, Karl & Chen, Jack, 2020. "The costs of macroprudential deleveraging in a liquidity trap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14564, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    18. William D. Larson, 2022. "Effects of Mortgage Interest Rates on House Price Appreciation: The Role of Payment Constraints," FHFA Staff Working Papers 22-04, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    19. Thomas Hintermaier & Winfried Koeniger, 2018. "Differences in Euro-Area Household Finances and their Relevance for Monetary-Policy Transmission," CESifo Working Paper Series 7088, CESifo.
    20. William D. Larson & Andrew B. Martinez, 2024. "House Prices, Debt Burdens, and the Heterogeneous Effects of Mortgage Rate Shocks," Working Papers 2024-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    21. Helen Hughson & Gianni La Cava & Paul Ryan & Penelope Smith, 2016. "The Household Cash Flow Channel of Monetary Policy," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 21-30, September.
    22. Gefang, Deborah & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S. & Wang, Yongli, 2025. "Does one size fit all? The country-specific effects of ECB monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    23. Cumming, Fergus & Hubert, Paul, 2022. "House prices, the distribution of household debt and the refinancing channel of monetary policy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    24. S. Borağan Aruoba & Ronel Elul & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints," NBER Working Papers 30591, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Sangyup Choi & Kimoon Jeong & Jiseob Kim, 2024. "Asymmetric Mortgage Channel of Monetary Policy: Refinancing as a Call Option," Working papers 2024rwp-228, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    26. Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & Jordà , Òscar, 2017. "The effects of quasi-random monetary experiments," CEPR Discussion Papers 11801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Koeniger, Winfried & Ramelet, Marc-Antoine, 2018. "Home ownership and monetary policy transmission," CFS Working Paper Series 615, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    28. Mehdi El Herradi & Jakob Haan & Aurélien Leroy, 2023. "Inflation and the Income Share of the Rich: Evidence for 14 OECD Countries," Post-Print hal-03613019, HAL.
    29. Luisa Corrado & Aicha Kharazi, 2022. "Collateral, Household Borrowing, and Income Distribution," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS90, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    30. Juan Herreño & Mathieu Pedemonte, 2022. "The Geographic Effects of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 22-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    31. Sami Alpanda & Hyunji Song & Sarah Zubairy, 2021. "Household Debt and the Effects of Fiscal Policy," Working Papers 20210928-001, Texas A&M University, Department of Economics.
    32. Daniel H. Cooper & Vaishali Garga & María Jose Luengo-Prado, 2021. "The Mortgage Cash Flow Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission: A Tale of Two Countries," Working Papers 21-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    33. Luetticke, Ralph, 2018. "Transmission of monetary policy with heterogeneity in household portfolios," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90377, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    34. Bahaj, Saleem A. & Foulis, Angus & Pinter, Gabor, 2016. "The residential collateral channel," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86240, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    35. Melcangi, Davide & Sterk, Vincent, 2024. "Stock Market Participation, Inequality, and Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 18853, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. Pavel Vikharev & Anna Novak & Andrei Shulgin, 2023. "Inequality and monetary policy: THRANK model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps113, Bank of Russia.
    37. Adam M. Guren & Arvind Krishnamurthy & Timothy J. McQuade, 2018. "Mortgage Design in an Equilibrium Model of the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 24446, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Yunho Cho & James Morley & Aarti Singh, 2024. "Did marginal propensities to consume change with the housing boom and bust?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 174-199, January.
    39. Carlos Garriga & Finn E. Kydland & Roman Šustek, 2019. "MoNK: Mortgages in a New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers 2019-32, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    40. Lieb, Lenard & Schuffels, Johannes, 2020. "Inflation expectations and consumer spending: the role of household balance sheets (RM/19/022-revised-)," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    41. Atif Mian & Ludwig Straub & Amir Sufi, 2020. "Indebted Demand," CESifo Working Paper Series 8210, CESifo.
    42. Adrien Auclert & Ludwig Straub & Matthew Rognlie, 2019. "Micro Jumps, Macro Humps: monetary policy and business cycles in an estimated HANK model," 2019 Meeting Papers 1449, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    43. Hikaru Saijo, 2019. "Technology Shocks and Hours Revisited: Evidence from Household Data," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 31, pages 347-362, January.
    44. Matteo Leombroni & Ciaran Rogers, 2019. "Heterogeneous Households and the Portfolio Rebalancing Channel of Monetary Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 684, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    45. Florin O Bilbiie & Xavier Ragot, 2020. "Optimal monetary policy and liquidity with heterogeneous households," Post-Print hal-03100875, HAL.
    46. Kilman, Josefin, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Income Inequality in the United States: The Role of Labor Unions," Working Papers 2020:10, Lund University, Department of Economics, revised 20 Sep 2022.
    47. Max Breitenlechner & Johann Scharler, 2020. "Private Sector Debt, Financial Constraints, and the Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 889-915, August.
    48. Tzamourani, Panagiota, 2019. "The interest rate exposure of euro area households," Discussion Papers 01/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    49. Minsu Chang & Frank Schorfheide, 2024. "On the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income and Consumption Heterogeneity," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    50. Huo, Zhen, 2016. "Financial Frictions, Asset Prices, and the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 11544, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    51. Gao, Bei & Wu, Xingwang & Yang, Xiaojun & Miao, Haoran, 2024. "Unveiling the Yin and Yang of expansionary monetary policy: Differential impact on inequality in China based on a national-level survey," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    52. Samuel Ligonnière & Salima Ouerk, 2024. "The unequal distribution of credit: Is there any role for monetary policy?," French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024 08, Stata Users Group.
    53. Dominic Cucic & Denis Gorea, 2024. "Non-bank lending and the transmission of monetary policy," BIS Working Papers 1211, Bank for International Settlements.
    54. Andrea Ferrero & Richard Harrison & Ben Nelson, 2018. "Concerted efforts? Monetary policy and macro-prudential tools," Bank of England working papers 727, Bank of England.
    55. Bandoni, Emil & De Nora, Giorgia & Giuzio, Margherita & Ryan, Ellen & Storz, Manuela, 2025. "Institutional investors and house prices," Working Paper Series 3026, European Central Bank.
    56. Martin Iseringhausen, 2024. "The housing supply channel of monetary policy," Working Papers 59, European Stability Mechanism, revised 05 Feb 2024.
    57. Brännlund, Anton, 2021. "Zero per cent accountability? How low interest rates save governments from electoral defeats," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    58. Egan, Paul & Kenny, Eoin & O'Toole, Conor, 2023. "Interest rate snapback and the impacts on the Irish economy," Papers WP757, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    59. Ding Dong & Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Min Wei, 2025. "Inflation Disagreement Weakens the Power of Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series 2024-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    60. John Thornton & Chrysovalantis Vasilakis, 2025. "Further evidence on inflation targeting and income distribution," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 91(4), pages 1474-1493, April.
    61. Merrino, Serena, 2022. "Monetary policy and wage inequality in South Africa," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    62. Joshua K. Hausman & Paul W. Rhode & Johannes F. Wieland, 2019. "Recovery from the Great Depression: The Farm Channel in Spring 1933," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(2), pages 427-472, February.
    63. Martin Flodén & Matilda Kilström & Jósef Sigurdsson & Roine Vestman, 2021. "Household Debt and Monetary Policy: Revealing the Cash-Flow Channel," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(636), pages 1742-1771.
    64. Fadejeva, Ludmila & Kantur, Zeynep, 2023. "Wealth distribution and monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    65. Itamar Caspi & Nadav Eshel & Nimrod Segev, 2024. "The Mortgage Cash-Flow Channel: How Rising Interest Rates Impact Household Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2024.13, Bank of Israel.
    66. Jan Przystupa & Ewa Wróbel, 2016. "Modelling monetary transmission in less developed emerging markets: the case of Tunisia," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(5), pages 395-434.
    67. Stefano Neri & Giuseppe Ferrero, 2017. "Monetary policy in a low interest rate environment," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 392, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    68. Renhong Wu & Yugang He & Zhuoqi Teng, 2025. "Energy price instability and energy efficiency: Korea’s macroeconomic framework during the COVID-19 pandemic," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(4), pages 1-19, April.
    69. Namkhaijantsan, Ninjin, 2018. "Consumption and Savings Behaviour under Household Heterogeneity and Mortgage Debt," MPRA Paper 107033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    70. Arin, K. Peren & Marti Arnau, Josep & Boduroglu, Elif & Celik, Esref Ugur, 2024. "Shaken, stirred and indebted: Firm-level effects of earthquakes," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    71. Funke, Michael & Li, Xiang & Zhong, Doudou, 2023. "Household indebtedness, financial frictions and the transmission of monetary policy to consumption: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    72. Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Alexander Michaelides & Kalin Nikolov, 2024. "Housing, Distribution, and Welfare," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 981-1020, August.
    73. Ebadi Esmaeil & Are Wasiu, 2023. "Reinvestigating the U.S. Consumption Function: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lags Approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(1), pages 1-22, January.
    74. Bloesch, Justin & Weber, Jacob P., 2021. "Structural Changes in Investment and the Waning Power of Monetary Policy," SocArXiv 7zhqp, Center for Open Science.
    75. Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Hroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2022. "A tail of labour supply and a tale of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 989, Bank of England.
    76. Xiaoqing Zhou, 2025. "Financial Technology and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: The Role of Social Networks," Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 122-164.
    77. Luisa Corrado & Daniela Fantozzi, 2021. "Micro level data for macro models: the distributional effects of monetary policy," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 529, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    78. Sigal Ribon, 2023. "Differential Effects of Monetary Policy on Household Consumption: The Case of Israel," Israel Economic Review, Bank of Israel, vol. 21(1), pages 35-73, March.
    79. Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin, 2022. "Household Indebtedness and the Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes," CAMA Working Papers 2022-56, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    80. Bruno Albuquerque & Alexandra Varadi, 2022. "Consumption effects of mortgage payment," Bank of England working papers 963, Bank of England.
    81. Gatt, William, 2024. "Wealth inequality and the distributional effects of maximum loan-to-value ratio policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    82. Cho, Yunho & Morley, James & Singh, Aarti, 2019. "Marginal propensities to consume before and after the Great Recession," Working Papers 2019-11, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Sep 2021.
    83. Serena Merrino, 2021. "Wage inequality under inflationtargeting in South Africa," Working Papers 11018, South African Reserve Bank.
    84. Anna Samarina & Anh D.M. Nguyen, 2019. "Does monetary policy affect income inequality in the euro area?," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 61, Bank of Lithuania.
    85. Maiko Koga & Kohei Matsumura, "undated". "Marginal Propensity to Consume and the Housing Choice," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 20-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    86. Lenard Lieb & Johannes Schuffels, 2022. "Inflation expectations and consumer spending: the role of household balance sheets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2479-2512, November.
    87. Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Violante, Giovanni L., 2020. "Household balance sheet channels of monetary policy: A back of the envelope calculation for the euro area," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    88. Kärkkäinen, Samu & Silvo, Aino, 2023. "Household debt, liquidity constraints and the interest rate elasticity of private consumption," BoF Economics Review 2/2023, Bank of Finland.
    89. R. Anton Braun & Daisuke Ikeda, 2025. "Monetary Policy Over the Lifecycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 56, April.
    90. Fergus Cumming, 2019. "Mortgage Cash-flows and Employment," Discussion Papers 1922, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    91. Giacomo Rella, 2021. "The Fed, housing and household debt over time," Department of Economics University of Siena 850, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    92. Guo, Fei & Kit-Ming Yan, Isabel & Chen, Tao & Hu, Chun-Tien, 2023. "Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    93. Matteo Benetton & Philippe Bracke & João F Cocco & Nicola Garbarinoifo, 2022. "Housing Consumption and Investment: Evidence from Shared Equity Mortgages," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(8), pages 3525-3573.
    94. Martin Groiss & Nicolas Syrichas, 2025. "Monetary Policy, Property Prices and Rents: Evidence from Local Housing Markets," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0058, Berlin School of Economics.
    95. Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2021. "Monetary Policy and the Top 1%: Evidence from a Century of Modern Economic History," Post-Print hal-03513433, HAL.
    96. Bilbiie, Florin, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Heterogeneity: An Analytical Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 12601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    97. Kaiji Chen & Haoyu Gao & Patrick C. Higgins & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2020. "Monetary Stimulus Amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan-Level Data," NBER Working Papers 27763, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    98. Myroslav Pidkuyko, 2022. "Online Appendix to "Heterogeneous Spillovers of Housing Credit Policy"," Online Appendices 21-100, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    99. Fumitaka Nakamura & Nao Sudo & Yu Sugisaki, 2021. "Monetary Policy Shocks and the Employment of Young, Middle-Aged, and Old Workers," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-06, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    100. Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-52, Bank of Canada.
    101. Sumit Agarwal & Sergio Mayordomo & María Rodríguez-Moreno & Emanuele Tarantino, 2025. "Household Heterogeneity and the Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2524, Banco de España.
    102. Baioni Tomás, 2024. "Unconventional monetary policy in a high-inflation regime: evidence from Argentina," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4709, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    103. Mr. Gaston Gelos & Mr. Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli & Mr. Machiko Narita & Federico Grinberg & Umang Rawat & Shujaat Khan, 2019. "Has Higher Household Indebtedness Weakened Monetary Policy Transmission?," IMF Working Papers 2019/011, International Monetary Fund.
    104. Cynthia Balloch & Yann Koby & Mauricio Ulate, 2022. "Making Sense of Negative Nominal Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2022-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    105. Hong Kong Monetary Authority, 2025. "Monetary policy decision-making: how are household and firm heterogeneity incorporated?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 121-130, Bank for International Settlements.
    106. Paul Hubert & Frédérique Savignac, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Labor Income Inequality: the Role of Extensive and Intensive Margins," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04524715, HAL.
    107. Asriyan, Vladimir & Laeven, Luc & Martin, Alberto & Van der Ghote, Alejandro & Vanasco, Victoria, 2025. "Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium," Working Paper Series 3070, European Central Bank.
    108. Aina Puig, 2022. "The Unequal Effect of Interest Rates by Race, Gender," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(19), pages 1-5, August.
    109. Grigoli, Francesco & Sandri, Damiano, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Credit Card Spending," CEPR Discussion Papers 17751, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    110. Claes Bäckman & Natalia Khorunzhina, 2024. "Interest‐Only Mortgages And Consumption Growth: Evidence From A Mortgage Market Reform," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(2), pages 1049-1079, May.
    111. Philip Bunn & Alice Pugh & Chris Yeates, 2018. "The distributional impact of monetary policy easing in the UK between 2008 and 2014," Bank of England working papers 720, Bank of England.
    112. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Denis Gorea & Deniz Igan & Gabor Pinter, 2024. "Monetary policy and housing markets: insights using a novel measure of housing supply elasticity," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    113. Fergus Cumming, 2018. "Mortgages, cash-flow shocks and local employment," Bank of England working papers 773, Bank of England.
    114. Fumitaka Nakamura, 2019. "Household Income, Portfolio Choice and Heterogeneous Consumption Responses to Monetary Policy Shocks," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-19, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    115. Kim, Youngju & Lim, Hyunjoon, 2020. "Transmission of monetary policy in times of high household debt," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    116. Franconi, Alessandro & Rella, Giacomo, 2023. "Monetary Policy across the Wealth Distribution," SocArXiv hn3pc, Center for Open Science.
    117. Haliassos, Michael & Gomes, Francisco, 2020. "Household Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 14502, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    118. Kimberly A. Berg & Chadwick C. Curtis & Steven Lugauer & Nelson C. Mark, 2019. "Demographics and Monetary Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 25970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    119. Buda, G & Carvalho, V. M. & Corsetti, G & Duarte, J. B. & Hansen, S. & Moura, A. S. & Ortiz, A. & Rodrigo, T. & Rodríguez Mora, J. V. & Alves da Silva, G., 2025. "The Short Lags of Monetary Policy," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2509, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
      • Afonso S. Moura & Gergely Buda & Vasco M. Carvalho & Giancarlo Corsetti & João B. Duarte & Stephen Hansen & Álvaro Ortiz & Tomasa Rodrigo & José V. Rodríguez Mora & Guilherme Alves da Silva, 2025. "The Short Lags of Monetary Policy," Working Papers w202501, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
      • Buda, G & Carvalho, V. M. & Corsetti, G & Duarte, J. B. & Hansen, S. & Moura, A. S. & Ortiz, A. & Rodrigo, T. & Rodríguez Mora, J. V. & Alves da Silva, G., 2025. "The Short Lags of Monetary Policy," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2504, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    120. Yingwei Dong & Tirupam Goel & Emanuel Kohlscheen & Philip Wooldridge, 2025. "Keeping the momentum: how finance can continue to support growth in EMEs," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 1-32, Bank for International Settlements.
    121. Simone Auer & Marco Bernardini & Martina Cecioni, 2019. "Corporate Leverage and Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Euro Area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1258, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    122. Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_625, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    123. Makram El-Shagi & Steven Yamarik, 2024. "The Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income Inequality across US states," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/4, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    124. Valentin Grob & Gabriel Züllig, 2024. "Corporate leverage and the effects of monetary policy on investment: A reconciliation of micro and macro elasticities," IRENE Working Papers 24-04, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    125. Hubert Paul, 2021. "Does household mortgage debt influence the transmission of monetary policy in the United Kingdom? [L’endettement immobilier des ménages influence-t-il la transmission de la politique monétaire au R," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 236.
    126. Ms. Elena Loukoianova & Yu Ching Wong & Ioana Hussiada, 2019. "Household Debt, Consumption, and Monetary Policy in Australia," IMF Working Papers 2019/076, International Monetary Fund.
    127. Nektarios Michail & Agorasti Patronidou & Ioanna Evangelou, 2021. "Does Household Behaviour Depend on Monetary Policy? Evidence from Cyprus," Working Papers 2021-01, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    128. Youngju Kim & Hyunjoon Lim, 2017. "Transmission of Monetary Policy in Times of High Household Debt," Working Papers 2017-35, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    129. Andrea Ferrero & Richard Harrison & Benjamin Nelson, 2022. "House price dynamics, optimal LTV limits and the liquidity trap," Bank of England working papers 969, Bank of England.
    130. Daniel R. Ringo, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Home Buying Inequality," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    131. Sumit Agarwa & Yongheng Deng & Quanlin Gu & Jia He & Wenlan Qian & Yuan Ren, 2022. "Mortgage Debt, Hand-to-Mouth Households, and Monetary Policy Transmission [Policy intervention in debt renegotiation: evidence from the home affordable modification program]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(3), pages 487-520.
    132. Myroslav Pidkuyko, 2019. "Heterogeneous spillovers of housing credit policy," Working Papers 1940, Banco de España.
    133. Itamar Caspi & Nadav Eshel & Nimrod Segev, 2024. "The Mortgage Cash-Flow Channel: How Rising Interest Rates Impact Household Consumption," Papers 2410.02445, arXiv.org.
    134. Riccardo Masolo, 2023. "Heterogeneity and the Equitable Rate of Interest," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def128, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    135. Mark Setterfield & Yun K Kim, 2020. "Varieties of capitalism, increasing income inequality and the sustainability of long-run growth," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 44(3), pages 559-582.
    136. Winfried Koeniger & Benedikt Lennartz & Marc-Antoine Ramelet, 2021. "On the transmission of monetary policy to the housing market," Working Papers 2021-06, Swiss National Bank.
    137. Ahiadorme, Johnson Worlanyo, 2020. "Monetary policy transmission and income inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 104084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    138. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Tatsiramos, Konstantinos, 2019. "Monetary Policy Transmission to Consumer Financial Stress and Durable Consumption," IZA Discussion Papers 12359, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    139. Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "Online Appendix to "Mortgage borrowing and the boom-bust cycle in consumption and residential investment"," Online Appendices 19-339, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    140. Li, Zehao, 2022. "Financial intermediary leverage and monetary policy transmission," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    141. Kamilė Taujanskaitė & Eugenijus Milčius, 2022. "Accelerated Growth of Peer-to-Peer Lending and Its Impact on the Consumer Credit Market: Evidence from Lithuania," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    142. Hazra, Devika, 2022. "Does monetary policy favor the skilled? − Distributional role of monetary policy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 65-86.
    143. Roman Sustek, 2022. "A Back-of-the-Envelope Analysis of House Prices: Czech Republic, 2013-2021," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp737, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    144. Joshua K. Hausman & Johannes F. Wieland, 2015. "Overcoming the Lost Decades? Abenomics after Three Years," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 385-431.
    145. Boris Hofmann & Gert Peersman, 2017. "Is there a debt service channel of monetary transmission?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    146. Amina Enkhbold, 2023. "Monetary Policy Transmission, Bank Market Power, and Wholesale Funding Reliance," Staff Working Papers 23-35, Bank of Canada.
    147. Franz, Thorsten, 2019. "Monetary policy, housing, and collateral constraints," Discussion Papers 02/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    148. Tomás Opazo, 2023. "The Heterogeneous Effect of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence for US Households," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 992, Central Bank of Chile.
    149. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    150. Song Joonhyuk & Ryu Doojin, 2021. "Houses as Collateral and Household Debt Deleveraging in Korea," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 3-27, January.
    151. Yunho Cho & Aarti Singh & James Morley, 2019. "Household Balance Sheets and Consumption Responses to Income Shocks," 2019 Meeting Papers 788, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    152. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2024. "The impact of monetary policy shocks on net worth and consumption across races in the United States," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    153. McCloud, Nadine, 2024. "What has inflation targeting done for household consumption?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
    154. Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2023. "The Price of War: Macroeconomic and Cross-Sectional Effects of Sanctions on Russia," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp756, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    155. Mehdi El Herradi & Aurélien Leroy, 2021. "Monetary Policy and the Top 1%: Evidence from a Century of Modern Economic History," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(71), pages 1-41, December.
    156. Panagiotis Konstantinou & Anastasios Rizos & Artemis Stratopoulou, 2023. "The dynamic effect of macroprudential policies on income inequality: some evidence," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 248-265.
    157. Bilbiie, F. O. & Galaasen, S. M. & Gurkaynak, R. S. & Maehlum, M. & Molnar, K, 2025. "Hanksson," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2516, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    158. Bilbiie, Florin O. & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo, 2022. "Capital and income inequality: An aggregate-demand complementarity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 154-169.
    159. Sam Miller & Boromeus Wanengkirtyo, 2020. "Liquidity and monetary transmission: a quasi-experimental approach," Bank of England working papers 891, Bank of England.
    160. Massenot, Baptiste, 2020. "Pain of Paying in a Business Cycle Model," SAFE Working Paper Series 194, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2020.
    161. Bilbiie, Florin O., 2020. "The New Keynesian cross," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 90-108.
    162. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The Role of Households' Borrowing Constraints in the Transmission of Monetary Policy This paper investigates how the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy depends on the distribution of ," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-20, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    163. Deng, Xin & Yu, Mingzhe, 2021. "Does the marginal child increase household debt? – Evidence from the new fertility policy in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    164. Renzhi, Nuobu, 2023. "Household net saving positions and unconventional monetary policy transmission: Evidence from Japan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    165. Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "Mortgage Borrowing and the Boom-Bust Cycle in Consumption and Residential Investment," Working Papers 2103, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    166. Michael Reiter & Philipp Hergovich, 2016. "Housing and the Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 1324, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    167. Nicolas Caramp & Dejanir H. Silva, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Wealth Effects: The Role of Risk and Heterogeneity," Working Papers 341, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
    168. Philip Bunn & Jagjit Chadha & Thomas Lazarowicz & Stephen Millard & Emma Rockall, 2021. "Household debt and labour supply," Bank of England working papers 941, Bank of England.
    169. Shiou‐Yen Chu, 2022. "Markups, inequality and monetary‐fiscal policies," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 69(4), pages 367-395, September.
    170. Belinda Tracey & Neeltje Van Horen, 2021. "The consumption response to borrowing constraints in the mortgage market," Bank of England working papers 919, Bank of England.
    171. John V. Leahy & Aditi Thapar, 2019. "Demographic Effects on the Impact of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 26324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    172. Mikołaj Raczyński, 2022. "Monetary policy and economic inequality: a literature review," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 53(2), pages 231-278.
    173. Martin Harding & Mathias Klein, 2022. "Monetary policy and household net worth," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 125-151, April.
    174. Luzie Thiel, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Inequality: A Two-way Relation," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202304, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    175. Roman Sustek, 2021. "A back-of-the-envelope analysis of house prices: Czech Republic, 2013-2021," Discussion Papers 2120, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    176. Hie Joo Ahn & Shihan Xie, 2024. "Stock-driven Household Attention," Papers 2407.16141, arXiv.org.
    177. Cristina Barceló & Ernesto Villanueva, 2018. "The risk of job loss, household formation and housing demand: evidence from differences in severance payments," Working Papers 1849, Banco de España.
    178. Schepens, Glenn & Core, Fabrizio & De Marco, Filippo & Eisert, Tim, 2025. "Inflation and floating-rate loans: evidence from the euro-area," Working Paper Series 3064, European Central Bank.
    179. Reserve Bank of India, 2025. "Monetary policy and heterogeneities - India," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 147-154, Bank for International Settlements.

  11. Surico, Paolo & Corbi, Raphael & Papaioannou, Elias, 2018. "Regional Transfer Multipliers," CEPR Discussion Papers 13304, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Cerrato & Francesco Filippucci, 2022. "The Impact of Austerity Policies on Local Income: Evidence from Italian Municipalities," Working Papers halshs-03665241, HAL.
    2. Auclert, Adrien & Dobbie, Will & Goldsmith-Pinkham, Paul, 2019. "Macroeconomic Effects of Debt Relief: Consumer Bankruptcy Protections in the Great Recession," CEPR Discussion Papers 13598, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Dahis, Ricardo & Szerman, Christiane, 2024. "Decentralizing Development: Evidence from Government Splits," Research Department working papers 2297, CAF Development Bank Of Latinamerica.
    4. Cloyne, James & Jordà , Òscar & Taylor, Alan M., 2023. "State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 17903, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2020. "Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier," Working Paper Series 2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    6. Auerbach, Alan & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2020. "Local Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Spillovers in the USA," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt88f0t0rf, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    7. Piotr Danisewicz & Steven Ongena, 2024. "Fiscal transfers, local government, and entrepreneurship," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 818-845, June.
    8. Priscila Espinosa & Daniel Aparicio-Pérez & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2023. "On the Impact of Next Generation EU Funds: A Regional Synthetic Control Method Approach," Working Papers 2023/07, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    9. Mario Alloza & Carlos Sanz, 2021. "Jobs Multipliers: Evidence from a Large Fiscal Stimulus in Spain," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 123(3), pages 751-779, July.
    10. Zou, Yanchi, 2024. "The impact of fiscal stimulus on employment: Evidence from China’s four-trillion RMB package," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    11. Tang, Cheng-Tao & Wong, Chun Yee & Alas, Orelie Bathan Delas, 2024. "Effect of intergovernmental transfers on income and poverty rates: Evidence from the Philippines," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    12. Andrea Cerrato & Francesco Filippucci, 2022. "The Impact of Austerity Policies on Local Income: Evidence from Italian Municipalities," PSE Working Papers halshs-03665241, HAL.
    13. Klenio Barbosa & Fernando V. Ferreira, 2019. "Occupy Government: Democracy and the Dynamics of Personnel Decisions and Public Sector Performance," NBER Working Papers 25501, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Marcelo Castro & Enlinson Mattos & Fernanda Patriota, 2021. "The effects of health spending on the propagation of infectious diseases," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(10), pages 2323-2344, September.
    15. Lwazi Senzo Ntshangase & Thando Ngozo, 2024. "Quantifying Fiscal Multipliers in South Africa: A Structural Var Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 16(2), pages 45-55.
    16. Yingying DONG & Ying-Ying LEE & Michael GOU, 2019. "Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Continuous Treatment," Discussion papers 19058, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    17. Lyytikäinen, Teemu & Ramboer, Sander & Toikka, Max, 2024. "Fiscal transfers to local governments and the distribution of economic activity," Working Papers 171, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Gerard,François & Naritomi,Joana & Silva,Joana C. G., 2021. "Cash Transfers and Formal Labor Markets : Evidence from Brazil : Cash Transfers and the Local Economy: Evidence from Brazil," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9778, The World Bank.
    19. Sergio Destefanis & Mario Di Serio & Matteo Fragetta, 2020. "Regional multipliers across the Italian regions," Discussion Paper series in Regional Science & Economic Geography 2020-04, Gran Sasso Science Institute, Social Sciences, revised Jul 2020.
    20. Matteo Ficarra, 2024. "Public Spending, Green Growth, and Corruption: a Local Fiscal Multiplier Analysis for Italian Provinces," IHEID Working Papers 11-2024, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    21. Chanda, Areendam & Cook, C. Justin, 2022. "Was India’s demonetization redistributive? Insights from satellites and surveys," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    22. Pennings, Steven, 2022. "Locally financed and outside financed regional fiscal multipliers," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    23. Maria Coelho, 2019. "Fiscal Stimulus in a Monetary Union: Evidence from Eurozone Regions," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(3), pages 573-617, September.
    24. Debuque-Gonzales, Margarita, 2021. "Local fiscal multipliers and spillover effects: Evidence from Philippine regions," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(2).
    25. Luigi Marattin & Tommaso Nannicini & Francesco Porcelli, 2022. "Revenue vs expenditure based fiscal consolidation: the pass-through from federal cuts to local taxes," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(4), pages 834-872, August.
    26. Marcel Henkel, Eunjee Kwon, Pierre Magontier, 2022. "The Unintended Consequences of Post-Disaster Policies for Spatial Sorting," Diskussionsschriften credresearchpaper37, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft - CRED.
    27. Duque Gabriel, Ricardo & Klein, Mathias & Pesso, Ana Sofia, 2020. "The Effects of Government Spending in the Eurozone," Working Paper Series 400, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    28. Carolina Caetano & Gregorio Caetano & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2023. "Regression discontinuity design with multivalued treatments," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 840-856, September.
    29. Edoardo Briganti & Holt Dwyer & Ricardo Duque Gabriel & Victor Sellemi, 2025. "Breaking Down the US Employment Multiplier Using Micro-Level Data," Staff Working Papers 25-8, Bank of Canada.
    30. Barbosa, Klenio & Ferreira, Fernando, 2023. "Occupy government: Democracy and the dynamics of personnel decisions and public finances," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).

  12. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico, 2018. "Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance and Investment," NBER Working Papers 25366, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Caterina Mendicino & Ettore Panetti & Dominik Supera & Martina Jašová & José-Luis Peydró, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers," Working Papers 1338, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Bauer, Michael D. & Offner, Eric A. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2025. "Green stocks and monetary policy shocks: Evidence from Europe," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    3. Alejandro Van der Ghote & Luc Laeven & Victoria Vanasco & Alberto Martin & Vladimir Asriyan, 2021. "Falling Interest Rates and Credit Misallocation: Lessons from General Equilibrium," Working Papers 1268, Barcelona School of Economics.
    4. Altomonte, Carlo & Favoino, Domenico & Morlacco, Monica & Sonno, Tommaso, 2021. "Markups, intangible capital and heterogeneous financial frictions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114280, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Gnewuch, Matthias & Zhang, Donghai, 2025. "Monetary policy, firm heterogeneity, and the distribution of investment rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    6. Laumer, Sebastian & Schaffer, Matthew, 2025. "Monetary policy transmission under supply chain pressure," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    7. Sangyup Choi & Tim Willems & Seung Yong Yoo, 2023. "Revisiting the Monetary Transmission Mechanism through an Industry-Level Differential Approach," Working papers 2023rwp-215, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    8. Ren, Xiaohang & An, Yaning & Jin, Chenglu & Yan, Cheng, 2024. "Weathering the policy storm: How climate strategy volatility shapes corporate total factor productivity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    9. Rodnyansky, Alexander & Darmouni, Olivier, 2020. "The Bond Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 14659, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Bianco, Timothy, 2021. "Monetary policy and credit flows," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    11. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Boris Hofmann & Aaron Mehrotra, 2020. "Corporate investment and the exchange rate: The financial channel," BIS Working Papers 839, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Silvia Albrizio & Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2019. "International Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2019/234, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Horn, Carl-Wolfram & Fischer, Johannes J., 2021. "Does Monetary Policy Affect Mergers and Acquisitions?," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242445, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Ferrando, Annalisa & Vermeulen, Philip & Durante, Elena, 2020. "Monetary policy, investment and firm heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 2390, European Central Bank.
    15. Saleem Bahaj & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter & Paolo Surico, 2019. "Employment and the collateral channel of monetary policy," Bank of England working papers 827, Bank of England.
    16. Bruno Albuquerque, 2021. "Corporate debt booms, financial constraints and the investment nexus," Bank of England working papers 935, Bank of England.
    17. Lu, Dong & Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi, 2023. "China's monetary policy surprises and corporate real investment," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. Tang, Huoqing & Zhang, Chengsi & Zhou, Hong, 2022. "Monetary policy surprises and investment of non-listed real sector firms in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 631-642.
    19. Cooper Howes, 2021. "Financial Constraints, Sectoral Heterogeneity, and the Cyclicality of Investment," Research Working Paper RWP 21-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    20. Petre Caraiani & Carolyn Chisadza & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Does Climate Affect Investments? Evidence from Firms in the United States," Working Papers 202448, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Pablo Ottonello & Thomas Winberry, 2020. "Financial Heterogeneity and the Investment Channel of Monetary Policy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(6), pages 2473-2502, November.
    22. Arin, K. Peren & Marti Arnau, Josep & Boduroglu, Elif & Celik, Esref Ugur, 2024. "Shaken, stirred and indebted: Firm-level effects of earthquakes," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    23. Gambacorta, Leonardo & Huang, Yiping & Li, Zhenhua & Qiu, Han & Chen, Shu, 2020. "Data vs collateral," CEPR Discussion Papers 15262, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    24. Bloesch, Justin & Weber, Jacob P., 2021. "Structural Changes in Investment and the Waning Power of Monetary Policy," SocArXiv 7zhqp, Center for Open Science.
    25. Alam, M. Jahangir & Alvi, Eskander, 2024. "The long-run effects of monetary policy: The role of R&D investment in economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    26. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, 2025. "The heterogeneous impact of monetary policy announcements on firms' financial outcomes," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 295-330, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Arin, K. Peren & Devereux, Kevin & Mazur, Mieszko, 2023. "Taxes and firm investment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    28. Patozi, A., 2023. "Green Transmission: Monetary Policy in the Age of ESG," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2302, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    29. Ferreira, M. & Haber, T. & Rörig, C., 2021. "Financial Factors, Firm size and Firm Potential," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2176, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    30. Morlacco, Monica & Zeke, David, 2021. "Monetary policy, customer capital, and market power," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 116-134.
    31. Jan Philipp Fritsche & Lea Steininger, 2021. "Zooming in on Monetary Policy - The Labor Share and Production Dynamics of Two Million Firms," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1967, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    32. Benchora, Inessa & Leroy, Aurélien & Raffestin, Louis, 2025. "Is monetary policy transmission green?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    33. Cloyne, James & Kurt, Ezgi & Surico, Paolo, 2025. "Who gains from corporate tax cuts?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    34. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Anderson, Gareth, 2020. "Crossing the Credit Channel: Credit Spreads and Firm Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 14426, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Bianco, Timothy & Herrera, Ana María, 2025. "Monetary policy and credit flows: A tale of two effective lower bounds," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    36. Almut Balleer & Peter Zorn, 2019. "Monetary Policy, Price Setting, and Credit Constraints," CESifo Working Paper Series 7978, CESifo.
    37. Asriyan, Vladimir & Laeven, Luc & Martin, Alberto & Van der Ghote, Alejandro & Vanasco, Victoria, 2025. "Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium," Working Paper Series 3070, European Central Bank.
    38. Aarti Singh & Jacek Suda & Anastasia Zervou, 2023. "Heterogeneous labor market response to monetary policy: small versus large firms," NBP Working Papers 355, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    39. Yang, Jin Young & Suh, Hyunduk, 2023. "Heterogeneous effects of macroprudential policies on firm leverage and value," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    40. Tobias König, 2025. "Financial Constraints and the Micro Origins of Aggregate Equity Shocks in Capital Markets," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_675, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    41. Min Fang, 2021. "Lumpy Investment, Fluctuations in Volatility and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 002001, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    42. Keith Anderson & Anup Chowdhury & Moshfique Uddin, 2025. "Piotroski's Fscore under varying economic conditions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1261-1307, April.
    43. Arin, K. Peren & Kaplan, Samuel & Polyzos, Efstathios & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2025. "Stock market responses to monetary policy shocks: Firm-level evidence," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    44. Simone Auer & Marco Bernardini & Martina Cecioni, 2019. "Corporate Leverage and Monetary Policy Effectiveness in the Euro Area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1258, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    45. Döttling, Robin & Ratnovski, Lev, 2020. "Monetary policy and intangible investment," Working Paper Series 2444, European Central Bank.
    46. Leonardo Gambacorta & Yiping Huang & Zhenhua Li & Han Qiu & Shu Chen, 2023. "Data versus Collateral," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 369-398.
    47. Renzhi, Nuobu & Beirne, John, 2023. "Corporate market power and monetary policy transmission in Asia," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    48. Caraiani, Petre, 2022. "Using LASSO-family models to estimate the impact of monetary policy on corporate investments," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    49. I. E. Frolov & V. N. Borisov & N. A. Ganichev, 2023. "Potential for the Implementation of the Policy of Developing Import Substitution in Industry within the Budget Constraints 2023–2025," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 34(6), pages 842-851, December.
    50. Lee, Sukjoon, 2020. "Liquidity Premium, Credit Costs, and Optimal Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 104825, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    51. Caraiani, Petre, 2022. "The impact of oil supply news shocks on corporate investments and the structure of production network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    52. Mahbuba Aktar & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin & Anupam Das Gupta, 2021. "The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Corporate Dynamic Investment Activity With Financial Heterogeneity," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440209, February.
    53. Bahaj, Saleem & Foulis, Angus & Pinter, Gabor & Surico, Paolo, 2022. "Employment and the residential collateral channel of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 26-44.
    54. Deng, Minjie & Fang, Min, 2022. "Debt maturity heterogeneity and investment responses to monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    55. Gert Bijnens & John Hutchinson & Jozef Konings & Arthur Saint Guilhem, 2021. "The interplay between green policy, electricity prices, financial constraints and jobs. Firm-level evidence," Working Paper Research 399, National Bank of Belgium.
    56. Huang, Yiping & Li, Xiang & Qiu, Han & Su, Dan & Yu, Changhua, 2024. "Bigtech credit, small business, and monetary policy transmission: Theory and evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 18/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
    57. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy shocks and firm investment decisions: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    58. Fritsche, Jan Philipp & Steininger, Lea, 2022. "The Labor Share is a Catalyst for Monetary Policy - Two Million Firms' Production Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 326, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    59. Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises and Employment: evidence from matched bank-firm loan data on the bank lending-channel," Working Papers Series 518, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    60. Jie Luo & Cheng Wang, 2025. "Banking And Banking Reforms In China In A Model Of Costly State Verification," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 66(2), pages 849-882, May.
    61. Konrad Kuhmann, 2023. "Firm Heterogeneity and the Transmission of Central Bank Credit Policy," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0012, Berlin School of Economics.
    62. Bustos, Emil, 2023. "The Effect of Financial Constraints on Inventory Holdings," Working Paper Series 1463, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    63. N. A. Ganichev, 2024. "Strategic Priorities of the Structural Transformation in the Machinery Complex in the Context of Fiscal Space," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(6), pages 810-819, December.
    64. List, Sophia & Metiu, Norbert, 2025. "Monetary policy, central bank information, and bank lending: Evidence from German banks," Discussion Papers 06/2025, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    65. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico, 2021. "Monetary Policy, External Finance and Investment," Working Papers 92, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    66. Jackson, Paul & Madison, Florian, 2022. "Entrepreneurial finance and monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    67. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu, 2024. "Debt shocks and the dynamics of output and inflation in emerging economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    68. Paranhos, Livia, 2025. "How do firms’ financial conditions influence the transmission of monetary policy? A non-parametric local projection approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
    69. Balleer, Almut & Zorn, Peter, 2020. "The Micro-level Price Response to Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224557, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    70. Wu, Wanshan & Jin, Lumin & Chen, Chang-Chih & Fang, Jianchun & Yan, Cheng, 2025. "Structural monetary policy, corporate behavior, and pay gap: Evidence from SMEs in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    71. Galindo Gil, Hamilton, 2021. "What kind of firm is more responsive to the unconventional monetary policy?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 188-200.
    72. Sanjay B Singh, 2025. "The impact of u.s. monetary policy on carbon emissions: evidence from a TVP-VAR model with stochastic volatility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 458-472.
    73. Alex Clymo & Filip Rozsypal, 2022. "Firm Cyclicality and Financial Frictions," Discussion Papers 2207, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    74. Polyzos, Efstathios, 2022. "Examining the asymmetric impact of macroeconomic policy in the UAE: Evidence from quartile impulse responses and machine learning," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    75. Xing Guo & Alistair Macaulay & Wenting Song, 2024. "The (Mis)Allocation of Corporate News," Staff Working Papers 24-47, Bank of Canada.

  13. Philip Bunn & Jeanne Le Roux & Kate Reinold & Paolo Surico, 2017. "The consumption response to positive and negative income changes," Bank of England working papers 645, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Pierre Emmanuel Weil, 2018. "Redistribution from the Cradle to the Grave: A Unified Approach to Heterogeneity in Age, Income and Wealth," 2018 Papers pwe433, Job Market Papers.
    2. Corrado, Luisa & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar & Yoo, Donghoon & Waldmann, Robert, 2022. "Ambiguous economic news and heterogeneity: What explains asymmetric consumption responses?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Tullio Jappelli & Luigi Pistaferri, 2020. "Reported MPC and Unobserved Heterogeneity," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 275-297, November.
    4. Gianluca Cafiso, 2022. "Loans to Different Groups and Economic Activity at Times of Crisis and Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 594-623, June.
    5. Ampudia, Miguel & Georgarakos, Dimitris & Slacalek, Jiri & Tristani, Oreste & Vermeulen, Philip & Violante, Giovanni L., 2018. "Monetary policy and household inequality," Working Paper Series 2170, European Central Bank.
    6. Neri, Andrea & Rondinelli, Concetta & Scoccianti, Filippo, 2017. "Household spending out of a tax rebate: Italian “€80 tax bonus”," Working Paper Series 2099, European Central Bank.
    7. Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2020. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," Working Paper Series 2021-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Andreas Fuster & Greg Kaplan & Basit Zafar, 2021. "What Would You Do with $500? Spending Responses to Gains, Losses, News, and Loans [The Spending and Debt Response to Minimum Wage Hikes]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(4), pages 1760-1795.
    9. Hadiye Aslan, 2022. "Personal Financial Distress, Limited Attention," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 60(1), pages 97-128, March.
    10. Miguel Ángel Mendoza González, 2020. "Sensibilidad y asimetrías ante choques de ingreso en el consumo privado de México, 1995-2017. (Sensitivity and asymmetries of income shocks in Mexico's private consumption, 1995-2017)," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 21-58, May.
    11. Jonathan A. Parker & Nicholas S. Souleles, 2017. "Reported Effects vs. Revealed-Preference Estimates: Evidence from the propensity to spend tax rebates," NBER Working Papers 23920, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Andrea Neri & Concetta Rondinelli & Filippo Scoccianti, 2017. "Household spending out of a tax rebate: Italian ��80 tax bonus�," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 379, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    13. Mosley, Max, 2021. "The importance of being earners: Modelling the implications of changes to welfare contributions on macroeconomic recovery," MPRA Paper 108620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Bernard, René, 2022. "Mental Accounting and the Marginal Propensity to Consume," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264186, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Sang-yoon Song, 2020. "Leverage, Hand-to-Mouth Households, and Heterogeneity of the Marginal Propensity to Consume: Evidence from South Korea," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 1213-1244, December.
    16. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    17. Bernard, René, 2023. "Mental accounting and the marginal propensity to consume," Discussion Papers 13/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.

  14. Surico, P. & Trezzi, R., 2016. "Consumer Spending and Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Housing Tax Experiment," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1648, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

    Cited by:

    1. Florin O Bilbiie & Xavier Ragot, 2020. "Optimal monetary policy and liquidity with heterogeneous households," Post-Print hal-03100875, HAL.
    2. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá & Javier Ferri & Cristina Fuentes-Albero, 2018. "Households' balance sheets and the effect of fiscal policy," Working Papers 1831, Banco de España.
    3. Bilbiie, Florin, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Heterogeneity: An Analytical Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 12601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  15. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2014. "The Transmission Mechanism in Good and Bad Times," CEPR Discussion Papers 10083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
    2. Korobilis, Dimitris & Schröder, Maximilian, 2025. "Monitoring multi-country macroeconomic risk: A quantile factor-augmented vector autoregressive (QFAVAR) approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
    3. Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
    4. Beutler, Toni & Gubler, Matthias & Hauri, Simona & Kaufmann, Sylvia, 2021. "Bank lending in Switzerland: Driven by business models and exposed to uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Economics Working Papers 2020-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    6. Dong Jin Lee & Tae-Hwan Kim & Paul Mizen, 2020. "Impulse response analysis in conditional quantile models with an application to monetary policy," Discussion Papers 2020/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    7. Robert Wojciechowski, 2024. "A Structural Approach to Growth-at-Risk," Papers 2410.04431, arXiv.org.
    8. Li, Zehao, 2022. "Financial intermediary leverage and monetary policy transmission," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    9. Marian Vavra, 2023. "Bias-Correction in Time Series Quantile Regression Models," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    10. Eric M. Engen & Thomas Laubach & David L. Reifschneider, 2015. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the Federal Reserve's Unconventional Monetary Policies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-5, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Wang, Lu & Luo, Gong-li & Sharif, Arshian & Dinca, Gheorghita, 2021. "Asymmetric dynamics and quantile dependency of the resource curse in the USA," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    12. De Santis, Roberto A. & Tornese, Tommaso, 2024. "US monetary policy is more powerful in low economic growth regimes," Working Paper Series 2919, European Central Bank.

  16. James Cloyne & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Household debt and the dynamic effects of income tax changes," Bank of England working papers 491, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Haroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2016. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Inequality in the UK. An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 783, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    2. Paolo Surico & Clodomiro Ferreira & James Cloyne, 2015. "Housing Debt and the Transmission of Monetary Policy," 2015 Meeting Papers 629, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Greg Kaplan & Benjamin Moll & Giovanni L. Violante, 2016. "Monetary Policy According to HANK," Working Papers 1602, Council on Economic Policies.
    4. Kerim Peren Arin & Juan A. Lacomba & Francisco Lagos & Ana I. Moro-Egido & Marcel Thum, 2021. "Socio-Economic Attitudes in the Era of Social Distancing and Lockdowns," CESifo Working Paper Series 8845, CESifo.
    5. Jinbaek Park & Young Lee, 2019. "Corporate income taxes, corporate debt, and household debt," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 26(3), pages 506-535, June.
    6. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2022. "How do income and the debt position of households propagate fiscal stimulus into consumption?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Surico, P. & Trezzi, R., 2016. "Consumer Spending and Fiscal Consolidation: Evidence from a Housing Tax Experiment," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1648, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    8. Kasper Kragh Balke & Markus Karlman & Karin Kinnerud, 2024. "Winners and Losers from Property Taxation," Working Papers 04/2024, Centre for Household Finance and Macroeconomic Research (HOFIMAR), BI Norwegian Business School.
    9. Giorgio Calcagnini & Federico Favaretto & Germana Giombini & Fabio Tramontana, 2025. "Household Financial Fragility, Debt and Income in a Dynamic Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 963-988, February.
    10. J. Andrés & J. E. Boscá & J. Ferri, 2015. "Household Debt and Fiscal Multipliers," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82, pages 1048-1081, December.
    11. Cloyne, James & Jordà , Òscar & Taylor, Alan M., 2023. "State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 17903, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Javier Andres & Oscar Arce & Dominik Thaler & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "When Fiscal Consolidation Meets Private Deleveraging," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 214-233, July.
    13. James Cloyne & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2020. "Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier," Working Paper Series 2020-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    14. Hikaru Saijo, 2019. "Technology Shocks and Hours Revisited: Evidence from Household Data," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 31, pages 347-362, January.
    15. Marco Bernardini & Selien De Schryder & Gert Peersman, 2020. "Heterogeneous Government Spending Multipliers in the Era Surrounding the Great Recession," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(2), pages 304-322, May.
    16. Nobuhiro Kiyotaki & Alexander Michaelides & Kalin Nikolov, 2024. "Housing, Distribution, and Welfare," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 981-1020, August.
    17. Christian Bredemeier & Falko Juessen & Roland Winkler, 2020. "Fiscal Policy and Occupational Employment Dynamics," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(6), pages 1527-1563, September.
    18. Wifag Adnan & Kerim Peren Arin & Aysegul Corakci & Nicola Spagnolo, 2022. "On the heterogeneous effects of tax policy on labor market outcomes," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 88(3), pages 991-1036, January.
    19. Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin, 2022. "Household Indebtedness and the Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes," CAMA Working Papers 2022-56, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    20. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá & Javier Ferri, 2016. "Instruments, rules, and household debt: the effects of fiscal policy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 68(2), pages 419-443.
    21. Javier Andrés & José E. Boscá & Javier Ferri & Cristina Fuentes-Albero, 2018. "Households' balance sheets and the effect of fiscal policy," Working Papers 1831, Banco de España.
    22. Bruno Albuquerque & Alexandra Varadi, 2022. "Consumption effects of mortgage payment," Bank of England working papers 963, Bank of England.
    23. Cho, Yunho & Morley, James & Singh, Aarti, 2019. "Marginal propensities to consume before and after the Great Recession," Working Papers 2019-11, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Sep 2021.
    24. Maiko Koga & Kohei Matsumura, "undated". "Marginal Propensity to Consume and the Housing Choice," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 20-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    25. Surico, Paolo & Misra, Kanishka, 2013. "Consumption, Income Changes and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programmes," CEPR Discussion Papers 9530, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    26. Arin, K. Peren & Devereux, Kevin & Mazur, Mieszko, 2023. "Taxes and firm investment," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    27. Agnes Kovacs & May Rostom & Philip Bunn, 2025. "Consumption response to aggregate shocks and the role of leverage," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 93(1), pages 30-69, January.
    28. Riccardo De Bonis & Danilo Liberati & John Muellbauer & Concetta Rondinelli, 2023. "Why net worth is the wrong concept for explaining consumption: evidence from Italy," Economics Series Working Papers 1026, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    29. Guo, Fei & Kit-Ming Yan, Isabel & Chen, Tao & Hu, Chun-Tien, 2023. "Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    30. Chatzivgeri, Eleni & Mumtaz, Haroon & Tavasci, Daniela & Ventimiglia, Luigi, 2019. "Common and country specific factors in the distribution of real wages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    31. Cloyne, James & Kurt, Ezgi & Surico, Paolo, 2025. "Who gains from corporate tax cuts?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    32. Philip Bunn & May Rostom, 2015. "Household debt and spending in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 554, Bank of England.
    33. Kim, Wongi, 2023. "Private sector debt overhang and government spending multipliers: Not all debts are alike," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    34. Ziyang Yue & Gangqiang Yang & Haisen Wang, 2023. "How do tax reductions motivate technological innovation?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-18, December.
    35. Haliassos, Michael & Gomes, Francisco, 2020. "Household Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 14502, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2020. "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(1), pages 102-129.
    37. Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2022. "The impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on inequality: An empirical study for the United Kingdom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 859-884, June.
    38. Richard McManus & F Gulcin Ozkan & Dawid Trzeciakiewicz, 2021. "Fiscal consolidations and distributional effects: which form of fiscal austerity is least harmful?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(1), pages 317-349.
    39. Karel Mertens, 2018. "The Near Term Growth Impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," Working Papers 1803, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    40. Albrizio, Silvia & Lamp, Stefan, 2014. "The investment effect of fiscal consolidation," Economics Working Papers ECO2014/10, European University Institute.
    41. Albuquerque, Bruno & Green, Georgina, 2023. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in COVID times: Evidence from UK survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    42. Yuliya Demyanyk & Elena Loutskina & Daniel Murphy, 2019. "Fiscal Stimulus and Consumer Debt," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 101(4), pages 728-741, October.
    43. Stephanie Ettmeier, 2022. "No Taxation without Reallocation: The Distributional Effects of Tax Changes," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2022, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    44. Apostolos Fasianos & Reamonn Lydon, 2022. "Do households with debt cut back their consumption more? New evidence from the United Kingdom," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 737-760, July.
    45. François Geerolf & Thomas Grjebine, 2018. "Property Tax Shocks and Macroeconomics," Working Papers 2018-03, CEPII research center.
    46. Yunho Cho & Aarti Singh & James Morley, 2019. "Household Balance Sheets and Consumption Responses to Income Shocks," 2019 Meeting Papers 788, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    47. Philip Bunn & May Rostom, 2014. "Household debt and spending," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 54(3), pages 304-315.
    48. Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2018. "The impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on inequality: An empirical study for the UK," MPRA Paper 90448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    49. Deng, Xin & Yu, Mingzhe, 2021. "Does the marginal child increase household debt? – Evidence from the new fertility policy in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    50. Rüth, Sebastian K. & Simon, Camilla, 2020. "How Do Income and the Debt Position of Households Propagate Public into Private Spending?," Working Papers 0676, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    51. Belinda Tracey & Neeltje Van Horen, 2021. "The consumption response to borrowing constraints in the mortgage market," Bank of England working papers 919, Bank of England.
    52. Fei Guo & Isabel Kit-Ming Yan & Tao Chen & Chuntien Hu, 2021. "Fiscal Multiplier, Monetary Shock and Hand-to-Mouth Household," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2021_025, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    53. Gkolfinopoulou, Michalitsa & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2025. "Effects of Tax Shocks on Inequality: Empirical Evidence from the United Kingdom," MPRA Paper 123457, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  17. Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil, 2014. "The Incidence of Transaction Taxes: Evidence from a Stamp Duty Holiday," CEPR Discussion Papers 10063, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Euijune Kim & Ayoung Kim & Kyung-Min Nam, 2024. "Impacts of demand and supply-side interventions on South Korea’s housing markets: a dynamic housing-CGE analysis," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(1), pages 397-429, June.
    2. David Martinez-Miera & Gabriel Jiménez & José-Luis Peydró, 2020. "Who Truly Bears (Bank) Taxes? Evidence from Only Shifting Statutory Incidence," Working Papers 1222, Barcelona School of Economics.
    3. Yunho Cho & Shuyun May Li & Lawrence Uren, 2024. "Stamping out stamp duty: Housing mismatch and welfare," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 15(2), pages 381-426, May.
    4. Fritzsche, Carolin & Vandrei, Lars, 2019. "The German real estate transfer tax: Evidence for single-family home transactions," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 131-143.
    5. Mathias Dolls & Clemens Fuest & Carla Krolage & Florian Neumeier, 2021. "Who Bears the Burden of Real Estate Transfer Taxes? Evidence from the German Housing Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 8839, CESifo.
    6. Daniel Jonas Schmidt, "undated". "Property transfer taxes, residential mobility, and welfare," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-042/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
    7. Andra C. Ghent, 2019. "What's Wrong with Pittsburgh? Delegated Investors and Liquidity Concentration," NBER Working Papers 25966, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Carolin Fritzsche & Lucas Rohleder, 2017. "Effekte von Änderungen der Grunderwerbsteuer – Ein Überblick über die Ergebnisse internationaler Studien," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 24(05), pages 09-14, October.
    9. Elinder, Mikael & Persson, Lovisa, 2017. "House price responses to a national property tax reform," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 18-39.
    10. Hilber, Christian A. L. & Lyytikainen, Teemu, 2015. "Transfer taxes and household mobility: distortion on the housing or labour market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65022, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Alda Botelho Azevedo & Inês Gonçalves & João Pereira dos Santos, 2025. "Can’t Buy Me Home – Beliefs, Facts, and Policy in the Housing Affordability Crisis," GEE Papers 191, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jun 2025.
    12. Langenmayr, Dominika, 2017. "Voluntary disclosure of evaded taxes — Increasing revenue, or increasing incentives to evade?," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 110-125.
    13. Pinchbeck, Edward W. & Roth, Sefi & Szumilo, Nikodem & Vanino, Enrico, 2020. "The Price of Indoor Air Pollution: Evidence from Radon Maps and the Housing Market," IZA Discussion Papers 13655, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Pinchbeck, Edward W. & Roth, Sefi & Szumilo, Nikodem & Vanino, Enrico, 2021. "The price of indoor air pollution: evidence from risk maps and the housing market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 111853, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Daniel Borbely, 2021. "Limiting the distortionary effects of transaction taxes: Scottish stamp duty after the Mirrlees Review," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 265-290, June.
    16. Jiménez, Gabriel & Martinez-Miera, David & Peydró, José-Luis, 2024. "Who truly bears (bank) taxes? Evidence from only shifting statutory incidence," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    17. Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2025. "The Impact of Governmental Regulations on Housing Market: Findings of a Meta-Study of Empirical Literature," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2113, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Pinchbeck, Edward W. & Roth, Sefi & Szumilo, Nikodem & Vanino, Enrico, 2023. "The price of indoor air pollution: evidence from risk maps and the housing market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118450, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    6. Pennings,Steven Michael, 2020. "Cross-Region Transfers in a Monetary Union : Evidence from the US and Some Implications," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9244, The World Bank.
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    109. Surico, Paolo & Andreolli, Michele, 2021. "Less is More: Consumer Spending and the Size of Economic Stimulus Payments," CEPR Discussion Papers 15918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    110. Spector, Mariano, 2024. "Redistributive fiscal policy and marginal propensities to consume," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    111. Bilbiie, F. O. & Galaasen, S. M. & Gurkaynak, R. S. & Maehlum, M. & Molnar, K, 2025. "Hanksson," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2516, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    112. Martin DeLuca & Roberto Pinheiro, 2023. "Excess Savings and Consumer Behavior: Excess Compared to What?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(19), pages 1-10, November.
    113. Bilbiie, Florin O., 2020. "The New Keynesian cross," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 90-108.
    114. María Pía Olivero & Mikheil Dvalishvili, 2023. "What do fiscal stimulus packages mean for household debt?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(2), pages 282-299, April.
    115. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The Role of Households' Borrowing Constraints in the Transmission of Monetary Policy This paper investigates how the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy depends on the distribution of ," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-20, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    116. Christina Patterson, 2022. "The Matching Multiplier and the Amplification of Recessions," Working Papers 22-20, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    117. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel P. Murphy & Kieran Walsh & Eric Young, 2020. "Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus," Working Papers 20-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    118. Matthew Rognlie & Adrien Auclert, 2016. "Inequality and Aggregate Demand," 2016 Meeting Papers 1353, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    119. Belinda Tracey & Neeltje Van Horen, 2021. "The consumption response to borrowing constraints in the mortgage market," Bank of England working papers 919, Bank of England.
    120. Fessler, Pirmin & Rapp, Severin, 2024. "The Subjective Wealth Distribution: How it Arises and Why it Matters to Inform Policy?," SocArXiv 3x4jh, Center for Open Science.
    121. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2021. "Jackson Hole 2021 - Fiscal Policy and Uneven Shocks," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, August.
    122. Petach, Luke A. & Tavani, Daniele, 2021. "Consumption externalities and growth: Theory and evidence for the United States," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 976-997.
    123. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel Murphy & Eric Young & Kieran Walsh, 2019. "Saving-Constrained Households," 2019 Meeting Papers 1456, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    124. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Lewis, Vivien & Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2022. "Spending effects of child-related fiscal transfers," Discussion Papers 26/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    125. Kubota, So & Onishi, Koichiro & Toyama, Yuta, 2021. "Consumption responses to COVID-19 payments: Evidence from a natural experiment and bank account data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1-17.

  19. De Santis, Roberto A. & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1568, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Jerome Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2013. "Assessing the Interest Rate and Bank Lending Channels of ECB Monetary Policies," Working papers wpaper34, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    2. Sepp, Tim Florian & Israel, Karl-Friedrich & Treitz, Benjamin & Hartl, Tom, 2024. "Monetary policy and the resilience of the German banking system: From Deutsche Bundesbank to ECB," Working Papers 180, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
    3. Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2022. "The Euro Area credit crunch conundrum: Was it demand or supply driven?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Petroulas, Pavlos & Spiliotopoulos, Vassilis & Tavlas, George S., 2020. "The effect of emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) on bank lending during the euro area crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Bittner, Christian & Bonfim, Diana & Heider, Florian & Saidi, Farzad & Schepens, Glenn & Soares, Carla, 2022. "The augmented bank balance-sheet channel of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2745, European Central Bank.
    6. Nozawa, Wataru & Managi, Shunsuke, 2019. "Financial constraints of firms and bank characteristics," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 302-316.
    7. Kristina Bluwstein & Fabio Canova, 2016. "Beggar-Thy-Neighbor? The International Effects of ECB Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 69-120, September.
    8. Sepp, Tim Florian & Israel, Karl-Friedrich & Treitz, Benjamin & Hartl, Tom, 2024. "Monetary policy and bank-type resilience in Germany from 1999 to 2022," Working Papers 181, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
    9. Dwyer, Gerald P. & Gilevska, Biljana & Nieto, Maria J. & Samartín, Margarita, 2023. "The effects of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policies from 2011 to 2018 on banking assets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Giebel, Marek & Kraft, Kornelius, 2018. "Bank credit supply and firm innovation," ZEW Discussion Papers 18-011, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    11. Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2019. "High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks," Papers 1912.03158, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    12. Caterina Mendicino, 2014. "House prices and expectations," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 12-15.
    13. Nasha Ananchotikul & Dulani Seneviratne, 2015. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia: The Role of Banks and the Effects of Financial Globalization," IMF Working Papers 2015/207, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Angel Ubide, 2014. "Is the European Central Bank Failing Its Price Stability Mandate?," Policy Briefs PB14-5, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    15. Rashid, Abdul & Hassan, M. Kabir & Shah, Muhammad Abdul Rehman, 2020. "On the role of Islamic and conventional banks in the monetary policy transmission in Malaysia: Do size and liquidity matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. De Santis, Roberto A. & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu, 2013. "A non-standard monetary policy shock: the ECB's 3-year LTROs and the shift in credit supply," Working Paper Series 1508, European Central Bank.
    17. Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2019. "The cross-country impact of ECB policies: Asymmetries in – Asymmetries out?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 118-141.
    18. Fungáčová, Zuzana & Nuutilainen, Riikka & Weill, Laurent, 2016. "Reserve requirements and the bank lending channel in China," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 37-50.
    19. Gabriele Tondl, 2016. "Interest rates, corporate lending and growth in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp227, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    20. Altavilla, Carlo & Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2016. "Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through," Working Paper Series 1978, European Central Bank.
    21. Mary M. Everett, 2015. "International liquidity shocks and the European sovereign debt crisis: Was euro area unconventional monetary policy successful?," FIW Working Paper series 143, FIW.
    22. Buchetti, Bruno & Miquel-Flores, Ixart & Fabrizi, Michele & Ipino, Elisabetta & Parbonetti, Antonio, 2025. "Organized crime and banks: assessing the effects of anti-mafia police actions on lending," Working Paper Series 3060, European Central Bank.
    23. Nasha Ananchotikul & Dulani Seneviratne, 2015. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia: The Role of Banks and the Effects of Financial Globalization," PIER Discussion Papers 7, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    24. Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes," Working Papers hal-03459679, HAL.
    25. Andrea Venegoni & Massimiliano Serati, 2017. "The Symmetry of ECB Monetary Policy Impact Under Scrutiny: An Assessment," LIUC Papers in Economics 306, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
    26. Anne Kathrin Funk, 2019. "Quantitative easing in the euro area and SMEs' access to finance: Who benefits the most?," IHEID Working Papers 02-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    27. Khosravi, Taha, 2015. "The Impact of a Low Interest Rate Environment: Empirical Evidence from the Euro Area Bank Lending Survey," MPRA Paper 67363, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Meriläinen, Jari-Mikko, 2016. "Lending growth during the financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis: The role of bank ownership type," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 168-182.
    29. Lauritzen, Jacob Bratshaug, 2022. "One size fits all? Effects of the zero lower bound on bank lending across countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    30. Nektarios A. Michail & Demetris Koursaros & Christos S. Savva, 2016. "The Lack of Persistence of Interest Rate Changes on Banks’ Lending and Risk Taking Behaviour," Working Papers 2016-1, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    31. Martin Guth, 2018. "Heterogeneous Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Loan Demand and Supply. Insights from the Bank Lending Survey," Papers 1807.04161, arXiv.org.
    32. A. Burietz & L. Ureche-Rangau, 2020. "Better the devil you know: Home and sectoral biases in bank lending," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 69-85.
    33. Beck, Günter Wilfried & Kotz, Hans-Helmut & Zabelina, Natalia, 2016. "Lost in translation? ECB's monetary impulses and financial intermediaries' responses," SAFE White Paper Series 36, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    34. Anne Kathrin Funk, 2018. "Quantitative easing in the euro area and SMEs’ access to finance: Who benefits the most?," KOF Working papers 18-447, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    35. Paloma Lopez-Garcia & Filippo di Mauro, 2014. "Assessing competitiveness: initial results from the new compnet micro-based database," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 2-7.
    36. Grandi, Pietro, 2019. "Sovereign stress and heterogeneous monetary transmission to bank lending in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 251-273.
    37. Pietro Grandi, 2018. "Sovereign risk and cross-country heterogeneity in the transmission of monetary policy to bank lending in the euro area," Working Papers hal-01878602, HAL.
    38. Elroi Hadad & Thai Hong Le & Anh Tram Luong, 2024. "Quantile Spillovers and Connectedness Between Real Estate Investment Trust, the Housing Market, and Investor Sentiment," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, November.
    39. Altavilla, Carlo & Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2020. "Mending the broken link: Heterogeneous bank lending rates and monetary policy pass-through," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 81-98.
    40. Md Gyasuddin Ansari & Rudra Sensarma, 2023. "The role of liquidity in monetary policy transmission: Evidence from Indian banks," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 439-458, November.
    41. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2015. "Dynamic hierarchical models for monetary transmission," DEM Working Papers Series 112, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    42. Ouerk, Salima & Boucher, Christophe & Lubochinsky, Catherine, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy in the Euro Area: Shadow rate and light effets," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    43. Tomas Adam & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Babecky & Vojtech Belling & Sona Benecka & Jan Bruha & Kamil Galuscak & Tomas Holub & Eva Hromadkova & Lubos Komarek & Zlatuse Komarkova & Kamila Kulhava , 2015. "Analyses of the Czech Republic's Current Economic Alignment with the Euro Area 2015," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number as15 edited by Kamila Kulhava & Lucie Matejkova, July.
    44. Sebastian Schmidt, 2014. "Dealing with a liquidity trap when government debt matters," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 8-11.
    45. Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu & Bezemer, Dirk, 2017. "Credit cycle coherence in the eurozone: Was there a euro effect?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 77-98.
    46. Adalgiso Amendola & Cristian Barra & Marinella Boccia & Anna Papaccio, 2021. "Market Structure and Financial Stability: the Interaction between Profit-Oriented and Mutual Cooperative Banks in Italy," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 235-259, December.
    47. Gbore O. Olubukola & Simon-Oke O. Olayemi, 2020. "Empirical Analysis of Monetary Policy Channels and the Nigerian Economy," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 10(2), pages 116-132.
    48. Ferri, Giovanni & Kalmi, Panu & Kerola, Eeva, 2014. "Does bank ownership affect lending behavior? Evidence from the Euro area," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 194-209.

  20. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2013. "Policy Uncertainty and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 9694, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & M. Hashem Pesaran & Alessandro Rebucci, 2014. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4736, CESifo.
    2. Samrat Goswami & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Historical Volatility of Advanced Equity Markets: The Role of Local and Global Crises," Working Papers 201931, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    3. Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
    4. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2021. "Global impacts of US monetary policy uncertainty shocks," Working Paper Series 2513, European Central Bank.
    5. Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 436-446, July.
    6. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Groshenny, Nicolas, 2014. "Uncertainty shocks and unemployment dynamics in U.S. recessions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 78-92.
    7. Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
    8. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a Panel of OECD Countries? A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201637, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    9. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Eduardo Schirmer Finn, 2022. "Can credibility offset electricity price effect on business confidence? An empirical investigation from a large emerging economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(11), pages 1229-1242, March.
    10. Maria Elena Bontempi & Michele Frigeri & Roberto Golinelli & Matteo Squadrani, 2021. "EURQ: A New Web Search‐based Uncertainty Index," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(352), pages 969-1015, October.
    11. MeiChi Huang, 2022. "Time‐varying impacts of expectations on housing markets across hot and cold phases," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 249-265, August.
    12. Xianbo Zhou & Zhuoran Chen, 2023. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks to Consumption under Different Confidence Regimes Based on a Stochastic Uncertainty-in-Mean TVAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    13. Bin Wang & Samia Khalid & Hamid Mahmood, 2024. "R&D Spending and Economic Policy Uncertainty in Asian Countries: an Advanced Panel Data Estimation Study," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4710-4729, March.
    14. Trung, Nguyen Ba, 2019. "The spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on the global economy: A global VAR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 90-110.
    15. Michael Chin & Thomai Filippeli & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Cross-Country Co-movement in Long-Term Interest Rates: A DSGE Approach," Working Papers 753, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    16. Chow Sheung-Chi & Cunado Juncal & Gupta Rangan & Wong Wing-Keung, 2018. "Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
    17. Liu, Xiaochun, 2021. "On fiscal and monetary policy-induced macroeconomic volatility dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    18. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    19. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    20. Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    21. Bianco, Timothy, 2021. "Monetary policy and credit flows," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    22. Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "Data Revisions and the Effects of Monetary Policy Volatility," MPRA Paper 107581, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Mehmet Balcilar & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2016. "Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: The Role of US Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201620, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    24. Cui Jinxin & Zou Huiwen, 2020. "Connectedness Among Economic Policy Uncertainties: Evidence from the Time and Frequency Domain Perspectives," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(5), pages 401-433, October.
    25. Popiel Michal Ksawery, 2020. "Fiscal policy uncertainty and US output," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 1-26, April.
    26. Yujia, Li & Zixiang, Zhu & Ming, Che, 2024. "Exploring the relationship between China's economic policy uncertainty and business cycles: Exogenous impulse or endogenous responses?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    27. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    28. Balcilar, Mehmet & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & van Eyden, Reneé, 2017. "The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 1052-1064.
    29. Piergiorgio Alessandri & Haroon Mumtaz, 2014. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," BCAM Working Papers 1404, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    30. Ricco, Giovanni & Callegari, Giovanni & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2014. "Signals from the Government: Policy Uncertainty and the Transmission of Fiscal Shocks," MPRA Paper 56136, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. Che, Ming & Wang, Li & Li, Yujia, 2024. "Global economic policy uncertainty and oil price uncertainty: Which is more important for global economic activity?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    32. Moustapha Badran & Mohamed Awada & Joanna Darwiche & Whelsy Boungou, 2025. "How do geopolitical risks and uncertainty shape US consumer confidence?," Post-Print hal-05083249, HAL.
    33. Nguyen Ba Trung, 2022. "Output fluctuations and portfolio flows to emerging economies: The role of monetary uncertainty," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 285-295, December.
    34. Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2013. "The Consequences of Uncertain Debt Targets," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2013-18, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    35. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2020. "Financial disruptions and heightened uncertainty: a case for timely policy action," Working Papers 687, DNB.
    36. Nalban, Valeriu & Smădu, Andra, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of uncertainty shocks: Normal times and financial disruptions are different," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    37. Stefano Fasani & Haroon Mumtaz & Lorenza Rossi, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Firm Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 278-296, January.
    38. Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 92-102.
    39. Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    40. Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
    41. RÜdiger Bachman & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: A Quantitative Evaluation," Working Papers 2020-2, School of Economic Sciences, Washington State University.
    42. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    43. Choi Sangyup & Yoon Chansik, 2022. "Uncertainty, Financial Markets, and Monetary Policy over the Last Century," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 397-434, June.
    44. Ruediger Bachmann & Jinhui Bai & Minjoon Lee & Fudong Zhang, 2020. "Online Appendix to "The Welfare and Distributional Effects of Fiscal Volatility: a Quantitative Evaluation"," Online Appendices 18-207, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    45. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Greek economic policy uncertainty: Does it matter for Europe? Evidence from a dynamic connectedness decomposition approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    46. Si, Deng-Kui & Zhuang, Jiali & Ge, Xinyu & Yu, Yong, 2024. "The nexus between trade policy uncertainty and corporate financialization: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    47. Silvia Dal Bianco & Nguyen Cong To Loan, 2017. "FDI Inflows, Price and Exchange Rate Volatility: New Empirical Evidence from Latin America," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, February.
    48. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2017n09, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    49. Yi Zhang & Mengyang Wang & Tao Shi & Huan Huang & Qi Huang, 2023. "Health Damage of Air Pollution, Governance Uncertainty and Economic Growth," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-21, February.
    50. Ruhollah Eskandari & Morteza Zamanian, 2023. "Heterogeneous responses to corporate marginal tax rates: Evidence from small and large firms," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 1018-1047, November.
    51. Harrison, Andre & Liu, Xiaochun & Stewart, Shamar L., 2024. "Are exchange rates absorbers of global oil shocks? A generalized structural analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
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    53. Bijapur, Mohan, 2014. "What Drives Business Cycle Fluctuations: Aggregate or Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Shocks?," MPRA Paper 60361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    54. Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    55. Canh Phuc Nguyen & Su Dinh Thanh & Bach Nguyen, 2022. "Economic uncertainty and tourism consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 920-941, June.
    56. Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2022. "Uncertainty in an emerging market economy: evidence from Thailand," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 933-989, March.
    57. Gabauer, David & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "On the transmission mechanism of country-specific and international economic uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from a TVP-VAR connectedness decomposition approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 63-71.
    58. Xuejun Jin & Xue Zhou & Xiaolan Yang, 2022. "How does economic policy uncertainty affect the relationship between household debt and consumption?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(5), pages 4783-4806, December.
    59. Yuchen Lin & Daxin Dong & Jiaxin Wang, 2021. "The Negative Impact of Uncertainty on R&D Investment: International Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-21, March.
    60. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Pedro Salgado, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainties and business confidence in Japan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 44(1), pages 38-56.
    61. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
    62. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    63. Raymond L. Aor & Afees A. Salisu & Isah J. Okpe, 2021. "A Comparative Assessment of the Global Effects of US Monetary and Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Shocks," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 25(4), pages 89-114, December.
    64. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2014. "The Changing Transmission of Uncertainty shocks in the US: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 735, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    65. Lastauskas, Povilas & Nguyen, Anh Dinh Minh, 2024. "Spillover effects of US monetary policy on emerging markets amidst uncertainty," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    66. Wen, Jun & Duan, Hai-Peng & Chang, Chun-Ping & Zhao, Xin-Xin, 2025. "The impact of country risk on innovation: Global evidence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(2).
    67. Zhang, Xiaoyu & Zhou, Jinlan & Du, Xiaodong, 2022. "Impact of oil price uncertainty shocks on China’s macro-economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    68. Beqiraj, Elton & Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Fiscal stance and the sovereign risk pass-through," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    69. Fang Wu & Qi Hu & Chenming Zhu & Haitao Wang & Qian Yu & Huaping Sun, 2021. "New Structural Economic Analysis of Anti-COVID-19 Pandemic Model of BEST Region," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-23, July.
    70. Nikolaos Antonakakis & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Greek Economic Policy Uncertainty: Does it Matter for the European Union?," Working Papers 201840, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    71. Jan Prüser & Alexander Schlösser, 2020. "On the Time‐Varying Effects of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the US Economy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(5), pages 1217-1237, October.
    72. Gao, Jieying & Qin, Qi & Zhou, Shengjie, 2025. "Spillover effects of US economic policy uncertainty on emerging markets: Evidence from transnational supply chains," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    73. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wadström, Christoffer & Sharmi, Rubaiya Zaman, 2022. "Do pandemic, trade policy and world uncertainties affect oil price returns?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    74. Li, Junye & Sarno, Lucio & Zinna, Gabriele, 2024. "Risks and risk premia in the US Treasury market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    75. Costantini, Mauro & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    76. Shah, Adil Ahmad & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanumurthy, N.R., 2021. "Are precious metals and equities immune to monetary and fiscal policy uncertainties?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    77. Wei Yang & Yifu Zhang & Yuan Hu, 2022. "Heterogeneous Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Provincial Environmental Pollution Emissions in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-13, April.
    78. Zhang, Weike & Zhang, Xueyuan & Tian, Xiaoli & Sun, Fengwei, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty nexus with corporate risk-taking: The role of state ownership and corruption expenditure," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    79. Mumtaz, Haroon, 2018. "A generalised stochastic volatility in mean VAR," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 10-14.
    80. Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
    81. Somnath Chatterjee & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Thibaut Duprey & Sinem Hacıoğlu‐Hoke, 2022. "Systemic Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Amplifications in the United Kingdom," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 380-400, April.
    82. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    83. Chris Redl, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(3), pages 361-380, September.
    84. Yunpeng Su & Jia Li & Baochen Yang & Yunbi An, 2024. "The Impacts of Policy Uncertainty on Asset Prices: Evidence from China’s Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(4), pages 1087-1133, December.

  21. Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2011. "Estimating the Aggregate Consumption Euler Equation with State-Dependent Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 8233, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2015. "The Transmission Mechanism In Good And Bad Times," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1237-1260, November.

  22. Surico, Paolo & Misra, Kanishka, 2011. "Heterogeneous Responses and Aggregate Impact of the 2001 Income Tax Rebates," CEPR Discussion Papers 8306, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. J. Andrés & J. E. Boscá & J. Ferri, 2015. "Household Debt and Fiscal Multipliers," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 82, pages 1048-1081, December.
    2. Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi & Anderson, Emily, 2013. "Heterogeneous Consumers and Fiscal Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 9631, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ricco, Giovanni & Ellahie, Atif, 2012. "Government Spending Reloaded: Fundamentalness and Heterogeneity in Fiscal SVARs," MPRA Paper 42105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Giacomo De Giorgi & Luca Gambetti, 2012. "The Effects of Government Spending on the Distribution of Consumption," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 905.12, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    5. Yongsung Chang & Yena Park, 2017. "Optimal Taxation with Private Insurance," 2017 Meeting Papers 1321, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Alisdair McKay, "undated". "Idiosyncratic risk, insurance, and aggregate consumption dynamics: a likelihood perspective," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-013, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    7. Surico, Paolo & Misra, Kanishka, 2013. "Consumption, Income Changes and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programmes," CEPR Discussion Papers 9530, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Greg Kaplan & Giovanni L. Violante, 2011. "A Model of the Consumption Response to Fiscal Stimulus Payments," NBER Working Papers 17338, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Eva De Francisco, 2019. "Housing Choices and Their Implications for Consumption Heterogeneity," International Finance Discussion Papers 1249, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

  23. Surico, Paolo & ,, 2011. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 8292, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Georgios Karras, 2015. "Low Inflation vs. Stable Inflation: Evidence from the UK, 1688–2009," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 62(5), pages 505-517, November.
    2. Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    3. Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1044-1064.
    4. Colin Bermingham & Antonello D’Agostino, 2014. "Understanding and forecasting aggregate and disaggregate price dynamics," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 765-788, March.
    5. Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu-Chun Wang, 2014. "Drifts, Volatilities, and Impulse Responses Over the Last Century," Working Paper 14-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    6. Andrew C. Chang & Phillip Li, 2015. "Measurement Error in Macroeconomic Data and Economics Research: Data Revisions, Gross Domestic Product, and Gross Domestic Income," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-102, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu-Chun Wang, 2020. "Choosing Prior Hyperparameters: With Applications to Time-Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 124-136, January.
    8. Ayse Dur & Enrique Martínez García, 2020. "Mind the Gap!—A Monetarist View of the Open-Economy Phillips Curve," Globalization Institute Working Papers 392, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    9. Zolotoy, Leon & Frederickson, James R. & Lyon, John D., 2017. "Aggregate earnings and stock market returns: The good, the bad, and the state-dependent," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 157-175.
    10. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Modest Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks during the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n30, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    11. Ardakani Omid M. & Kishor N. Kundan, 2018. "Examining the success of the central banks in inflation targeting countries: the dynamics of the inflation gap and institutional characteristics," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Martin Gachter & Elias Hasler & Florian Huber, 2023. "A tale of two tails: 130 years of growth-at-risk," Papers 2302.08920, arXiv.org.
    13. Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Haoxi Yang, 2016. "Demographics and the Behavior of Interest Rates," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(4), pages 732-776, November.
    14. Duc Do, Nguyen, 2024. "Money/asset ratio as a predictor of inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    15. Kabukçuoğlu, Ayşe & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2018. "Inflation as a global phenomenon—Some implications for inflation modeling and forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 46-73.
    16. Cross, Jamie & Poon, Aubrey, 2016. "Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-51.
    17. Daniel Kaufmann, 2019. "Nominal stability over two centuries," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 155(1), pages 1-23, December.
    18. Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu-Chun Wang, 2016. "Choosing Prior Hyperparameters," Working Paper 16-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    19. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto & Henri Nyberg, 2014. "Is the Quantity Theory of Money Useful in Forecasting U.S. Inflation?," CREATES Research Papers 2014-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    20. Gächter, Martin & Hasler, Elias & Scharler, Johann, 2023. "Kicking the can down the road: A historical growth-at-risk perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    21. Harun Özkan & M. Yazgan, 2015. "Is forecasting inflation easier under inflation targeting?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 609-626, March.
    22. Fanelli, Luca & Sorge, Marco M., 2017. "Indeterminate forecast accuracy under indeterminacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 57-70.
    23. Gozluklu, Arie & Morin, Annaïg, 2019. "Stock vs. Bond yields and demographic fluctuations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

  24. Ricci, Luca Antonio & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Surico, Paolo, 2010. "Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: the Role of Macroeconomic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8014, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Abi Morshed, Alaa & Andreou, E. & Boldea, Otilia, 2016. "Structural Break Tests Robust to Regression Misspecification," Discussion Paper 2016-019, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Freund, L. B & Rendahl, P., 2020. "Unexpected Effects: Uncertainty, Unemployment, and Inflation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2035, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Steven Fazzari & Alejandro Gonzalez, 2023. "How large are hysteresis effects? Estimates from a Keynesian growth model," FMM Working Paper 89-2023, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    4. Stefano Fasani, 2017. "Long-run Unemployment and Macroeconomic Volatility," CEIS Research Paper 408, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Jul 2017.
    5. Mutascu, Mihai & Sokic, Alexandre, 2021. "Okun's law in the US: New insights in time and frequency," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 207-222.
    6. Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2019. "Short-Run Bond Risk Premia," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 1-34, September.
    7. Barbara Annicchiarico & Alessandra Pelloni, 2013. "Productivity Growth and Volatility: How Important Are Wage and Price Rigidities?," Working Paper series 02_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    8. Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2018. "State Dependence in Labor Market Fluctuations: Evidence,Theory, and Policy Implications," BCAM Working Papers 1801, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
    9. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Pigouvian Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 977, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Francesco Furlanetto & Antoine Lepetit & Ørjan Robstad & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Pål Ulvedal, 2021. "Estimating Hysteresis Effects," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Snell, Andy & Stüber, Heiko & Thomas, Jonathan P., 2018. "Downward Real Wage Rigidity and Equal Treatment Wage Contracts: Theory and Evidence," IZA Discussion Papers 11504, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2020. "State dependence in labour market fluctuations," Working Papers 47, European Stability Mechanism.
    13. Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Macroeconomic regimes, technological shocks and employment dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-19, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    14. Sam Hak Kan Tang, 2018. "Does Scientific And Technical Research Reduce Macroeconomic Volatility?," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(1), pages 68-88, January.
    15. Xavier Raurich & Valeri Sorolla, 2012. "Growth, Unemployment and Wage Inertia," DEGIT Conference Papers c017_029, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
    16. Giraitis, L. & Kapetanios, G. & Yates, T., 2014. "Inference on stochastic time-varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 46-65.
    17. Antoine Lepetit, 2020. "Asymmetric Unemployment Fluctuations and Monetary Policy Trade-Offs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 36, pages 29-45, April.
    18. Luigi Bocola & Nils M. Gornemann, 2013. "Risk, economic growth and the value of U.S. corporations," Working Papers 13-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    19. Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2023. "Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate," Working Papers 23-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    20. Kargı, Bilal, 2014. "The Data of Labor Market in Turkey and Time Series Analysis on Economic Growth (2000:01-2013:03)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 3(3), pages 98-102.
    21. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2018. "The Role of News about TFP in U.S. Recessions and Booms," Working Paper Series WP-2018-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    22. Antonio Ribba, 2015. "What Drives US Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run?," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 111, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    23. Stefano Fasani, 2021. "On the Long-run Unemployment, Inflation, and Volatility," Working Papers 924, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    24. Antonio Ribba, 2016. "Productivity Growth Shocks and Unemployment in the Postwar US Economy," Department of Economics 0077, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    25. Milan Trajkovic, 2022. "Impact of macroeconomic stability on private fixed investments in selected countries of Central and Southeast Europe," Working Papers Bulletin 7, National Bank of Serbia.
    26. Sara Boni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2022. "A Structural Analysis of Unemployment-Generating Supply Shocks with an Application to the US Pharmaceutical Industry," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS94, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    27. Aurelijus Dabušinskas & Dmitry Kulikov & Martti Randveer, 2013. "The impact of volatility on economic growth," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2012-7, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Feb 2013.

  25. Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil, 2010. "Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 7633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Bracke, Philippe & Hilber, Christian A. L. & Silva, Olmo, 2018. "Mortgage debt and entrepreneurship," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84703, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Piero Montebruno & Olmo Silva & Nikodem Szumilo, 2021. "Judge Dread: court severity, repossession risk and demand in mortgage and housing markets," CEP Discussion Papers dp1766, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    3. Surico, Paolo & Bracke, Philippe & Croxson, Karen & Fakhri, Daoud & Valletti, Tommaso, 2020. "Mortgage Market Disruptions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15381, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Ozlem Akin & José Garcia Montalvo & Jaume Garcia Villar & José-Luis Peydró & Josep M. Raya, 2014. "The real estate and credit bubble: Evidence from Spain," Economics Working Papers 1430, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    5. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2020. "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(1), pages 102-129.
    6. Peter Eckley & Matteo Benetton & Georgia Latsi & Nicola Garbarino & Liam Kirwin, 2017. "Specialisation in mortgage risk under Basel II," Bank of England working papers 639, Bank of England.
    7. Benetton, Matteo & Eckley, Peter & Garbarino, Nicola & Kirwin, Liam & Latsi, Georgia, 2021. "Capital requirements and mortgage pricing: Evidence from Basel II," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    8. Philippe Bracke & Christian Hilber & Olmo Silva, 2014. "Homeownership and Entrepreneurship: The Role of Mortgage Debt and Commitment," CESifo Working Paper Series 5048, CESifo.

  26. Francesco Bianchi & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Dynamics of the term structure of UK interest rates," Bank of England working papers 363, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Michal Franta & Jan Libich & Petr Stehlik, 2012. "Tracking Monetary-Fiscal Interactions Across Time and Space," Working Papers 2012/06, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    2. Chadha, Jagjit S. & Waters, Alex, 2014. "Applying a macro-finance yield curve to UK quantitative Easing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 68-86.
    3. Stan Hurn & Peter C B Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2015. "Change Detection and the Casual Impact of the Yield Curve," NCER Working Paper Series 107, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    4. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2012. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1950-1970.
    5. Felix Geiger, 2009. "International Interest-Rate Risk Premia in Affine Term Structure Models," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 316/2009, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    6. Roman Horváth & Michal Franta & Marek Rusnák, 2012. "Evaluating Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic," Working Papers IES 2012/11, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2012.
    7. Colin Ellis & Haroon Mumtaz & Pawel Zabczyk, 2014. "What Lies Beneath? A Time‐varying FAVAR Model for the UK Transmission Mechanism," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(576), pages 668-699, May.
    8. Polito, Vito & Spencer, Peter, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Inflation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/23, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    9. Sohrab Rafiq, 2014. "What Do Energy Prices Tell Us About UK Inflation?," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 81(322), pages 293-310, April.
    10. Philip Liu & Haroon Mumtaz & Angeliki Theophilopoulou, 2011. "International transmission of shocks: a time-varying factor-augmented VAR approach to the open economy," Bank of England working papers 425, Bank of England.
    11. Cem Çakmakli, 2012. "Bayesian Semiparametric Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model," Working Paper series 59_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Sep 2012.
    12. Dorota Toczydlowska & Gareth W. Peters, 2018. "Financial Big Data Solutions for State Space Panel Regression in Interest Rate Dynamics," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-45, July.

  27. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "Monetary policy, inflation expectations and the price puzzle," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 30/2009, Bank of Finland.

    Cited by:

    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Damette, Olivier & Parent, Antoine & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 99-114.
    2. Rüdiger Bachmann & Sebastian K. Rüth, 2020. "Systematic Monetary Policy And The Macroeconomic Effects Of Shifts In Residential Loan‐To‐Value Ratios," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 503-530, May.
    3. Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina, 2023. "A tale of three prices: Monetary policy and autonomous consumption in the US," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 115-127.
    4. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2020. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2020-13, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Richard T. Baillie & George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2017. "Inference for impulse response coefficients from multivariate fractionally integrated processes," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1-3), pages 60-84, March.
    7. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2024. "Rate Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2402, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    8. Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque, 2021. "Revisiting the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2021-02 Classification-E3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    9. Silvia Emili & Federica Galli, 2025. "Modelling Spatio-Temporal Dynamics in Multi-Output Stochastic Frontiers for the European Agribusiness Industry," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 30(2), pages 540-575, June.
    10. Klein, Mathias & Winkler, Roland, 2017. "Austerity, Inequality, and Private Debt Overhang," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168076, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Ayhan Kose & Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & Prasad,Eswar S., 2024. "Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10974, The World Bank.
    12. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James, 2020. "Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14271, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models," Working Paper series 35_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    14. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    15. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap," CAMA Working Papers 2018-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    16. Anna Florio, 2018. "Unmoored expectations and the price puzzle," DEM Working Papers Series 154, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    17. Alemu Lambamo Hawitibo, 2023. "Explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in Ethiopia: the role of monetary and fiscal policies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1033-1061, April.
    18. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2018n02, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    19. Akbari Dehbaghi, Simin & Arman, Seyed Aziz & Ahangari, Majid, 2020. "The Impact of Domestic and Foreign Monetary Policy on Iran\'s economy: Global Modeling," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 15(2), pages 151-180, April.
    20. James Bishop & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Anticipatory Monetary Policy and the 'Price Puzzle'," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    21. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen, 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: a new measure for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 493, Bank of England.
    22. Çatık, A. Nazif & Martin, Christopher, 2012. "Macroeconomic transitions and the transmission mechanism: Evidence from Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1440-1449.
    23. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Modest Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks during the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n30, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    24. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Economics Working Papers 2020-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    25. Guido Ascari & Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a Trend Inflation World: An Empirical Investigation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 108, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    26. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
    27. Héctor M. Zárate Solano & Norberto Rodríguez Niño & Margarita Marín Jaramillo, 2012. "El tamaño de las empresas y la transmisión de la política monetaria en Colombia: una aplicación con la encuesta mensual de expectativas económicas," Borradores de Economia 721, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    28. Jørgensen, Peter L. & Ravn, Søren H., 2022. "The inflation response to government spending shocks: A fiscal price puzzle?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    29. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Real Estate Prices: A Disaggregated Analysis for Switzerland," Working Paper 105/2010, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    30. Maria Chiara Cucciniello & Matteo Deleidi & Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2021. "The cost channel of monetary policy: the case of the United States in the period 1959-2018," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0262, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    31. Fiorelli, Cristiana & Meliciani, Valentina, 2019. "Economic growth in the era of unconventional monetary instruments: A FAVAR approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
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    1. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Damette, Olivier & Parent, Antoine & Pellegrino, Giovanni, 2017. "Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 99-114.
    2. Rüdiger Bachmann & Sebastian K. Rüth, 2020. "Systematic Monetary Policy And The Macroeconomic Effects Of Shifts In Residential Loan‐To‐Value Ratios," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 503-530, May.
    3. Barbieri Góes, Maria Cristina, 2023. "A tale of three prices: Monetary policy and autonomous consumption in the US," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 115-127.
    4. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2020. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2020-13, Swiss National Bank.
    5. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2025. "Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2025, volume 40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Richard T. Baillie & George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2017. "Inference for impulse response coefficients from multivariate fractionally integrated processes," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1-3), pages 60-84, March.
    7. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2024. "Rate Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2402, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    8. Firmin Doko Tchatoka & Qazi Haque, 2021. "Revisiting the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2021-02 Classification-E3, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    9. Silvia Emili & Federica Galli, 2025. "Modelling Spatio-Temporal Dynamics in Multi-Output Stochastic Frontiers for the European Agribusiness Industry," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 30(2), pages 540-575, June.
    10. Klein, Mathias & Winkler, Roland, 2017. "Austerity, Inequality, and Private Debt Overhang," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168076, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Ayhan Kose & Jongrim Ha & Dohan Kim & Prasad,Eswar S., 2024. "Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10974, The World Bank.
    12. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James, 2020. "Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14271, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models," Working Paper series 35_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    14. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2015. "Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Macroeconomic Volatility," Working Papers 760, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    15. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2018. "Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap," CAMA Working Papers 2018-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    16. Anna Florio, 2018. "Unmoored expectations and the price puzzle," DEM Working Papers Series 154, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    17. Alemu Lambamo Hawitibo, 2023. "Explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in Ethiopia: the role of monetary and fiscal policies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 1033-1061, April.
    18. Efrem Castelnuovo & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Uncertainty-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks: A New Keynesian Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2018n02, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    19. Akbari Dehbaghi, Simin & Arman, Seyed Aziz & Ahangari, Majid, 2020. "The Impact of Domestic and Foreign Monetary Policy on Iran\'s economy: Global Modeling," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 15(2), pages 151-180, April.
    20. James Bishop & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Anticipatory Monetary Policy and the 'Price Puzzle'," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    21. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen, 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: a new measure for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 493, Bank of England.
    22. Çatık, A. Nazif & Martin, Christopher, 2012. "Macroeconomic transitions and the transmission mechanism: Evidence from Turkey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1440-1449.
    23. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Modest Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks during the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n30, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    24. Giovanni Pellegrino, 2020. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in the US: A Journey into Non-Linear Territory," Economics Working Papers 2020-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    25. Guido Ascari & Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a Trend Inflation World: An Empirical Investigation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 108, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    26. Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
    27. Héctor M. Zárate Solano & Norberto Rodríguez Niño & Margarita Marín Jaramillo, 2012. "El tamaño de las empresas y la transmisión de la política monetaria en Colombia: una aplicación con la encuesta mensual de expectativas económicas," Borradores de Economia 721, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    28. Jørgensen, Peter L. & Ravn, Søren H., 2022. "The inflation response to government spending shocks: A fiscal price puzzle?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    29. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Real Estate Prices: A Disaggregated Analysis for Switzerland," Working Paper 105/2010, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
    30. Maria Chiara Cucciniello & Matteo Deleidi & Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2021. "The cost channel of monetary policy: the case of the United States in the period 1959-2018," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0262, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    31. Fiorelli, Cristiana & Meliciani, Valentina, 2019. "Economic growth in the era of unconventional monetary instruments: A FAVAR approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    32. Andrea Beccarini, 2024. "Testing omitted variables in VARs," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 3093-3109, July.
    33. Sterk, Vincent & Tenreyro, Silvana, 2018. "The transmission of monetary policy through redistributions and durable purchases," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 124-137.
    34. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2016. "Can exchange rate pass-through explain the price puzzle?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 56-59.
    35. Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016. "Money and Output: Friedman and Schwartz Revisited," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1223-1266, September.
    36. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2009. "Testing the structural interpretation of the price puzzle with a cost channel model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2009, Bank of Finland.
    37. Maria Cristina Barbieri Goes & Joana David Avritzer, 2023. "Monetary Policy, Distribution and Autonomous Demand in the US," Working Papers 2307, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    38. Paul Hubert & Becky Maule, 2016. "Policy and macro signals as inputs to inflation expectation formation," Bank of England working papers 581, Bank of England.
    39. Edoardo Gaffeo & Ivan Petrella & Damjan Pfajfar & Emiliano Santoro, 2012. "Loss Aversion and the Asymmetric Transmission of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 12-21, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    40. Alvaro Fernandez-Gallardo & Ivan Paya, 2020. "Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area," Working Papers 307121127, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    41. Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Thomas O. Zörner, 2018. "Stochastic model specification in Markov switching vector error correction models," Working Papers in Economics 2018-3, University of Salzburg.
    42. Hussain, Syed M. & Liu, Lin, 2016. "A note on the Cogley–Nason–Sims approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 77-81.
    43. Maximilian Böck & Martin Feldkircher & Pierre L. Siklos, 2021. "International Effects of Euro Area Forward Guidance," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(5), pages 1066-1110, October.
    44. Pablo de la Vega & Guido Zack & Jimena Calvo & Emiliano Libman, 2024. "Inflation Determinants in Argentina (2004-2022)," Papers 2405.20822, arXiv.org.
    45. Dmitry Kulikov & Aleksei Netsunajev, 2013. "Identifying monetary policy shocks via heteroskedasticity: a Bayesian approach," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2013-9, Bank of Estonia, revised 09 Dec 2013.
    46. Anderl, Christina & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, 2023. "Nonlinearities in the exchange rate pass-through: The role of inflation expectations," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 86-101.
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    65. Berry A. Harahap & Pakasa Bary & Anggita Cinditya M. Kusuma, 2018. "The Determinants Of Indonesian Business Cycle," Working Papers WP/30/2018, Bank Indonesia.
    66. De La Peña, Rogelio & García, Ignacio, 2023. "Untangling crises: GFC and COVID-19 through the lens of a DSGE model," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
    67. Kristina Barauskaite & Anh D.M. Nguyen, 2019. "Intersectoral Network-Based Channel of Aggregate TFP Shocks," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 63, Bank of Lithuania.
    68. Aysun, Uluc, 2024. "Identifying the external and internal drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    69. Szafranek, Karol, 2021. "Evidence on time-varying inflation synchronization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-13.
    70. Aysun, Uluc, 2022. "A structural approach to measuring the degree of economic integration: Evidence from G-7 countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
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      • Drago Bergholt, 2015. "Foreign Shocks," Working Papers No 11/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    72. Eugen Scarlat, 2016. "Connectivity - Based Clustering of GDP Time Series," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 23-38, March.
    73. Lange, Ronald H., 2015. "International long-term yields and monetary policy in a small open economy: The case of Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 292-310.
    74. Jitka POMĚNKOVÁ & Roman MARŠÁLEK, 2012. "Time and frequency domain in the business cycle structure," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 58(7), pages 332-346.
    75. Florian Eckert & Nina Mühlebach, 2023. "Global and local components of output gaps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2301-2331, November.
    76. Simola, Heli, 2019. "Effects of external shocks on Russian economy," BOFIT Policy Briefs 4/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    77. Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2013. "Global and regional business cycles. Shocks and propagations," Working Paper 2013/08, Norges Bank.
    78. Marcel Förster & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Local Inflation: Reconsidering the International Comovement of Inflation," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201303, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    79. Gerdie Everaert & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2022. "Encompassing measures of international consumption risk sharing and their link with trade and financial globalization," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 433-449, March.
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    81. William Gatt & Germano Ruisi, 2022. "The spillover of euro area shocks to the Maltese economy," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
    82. Aviral Tiwari & Niyati Bhanja & Arif Dar & Olaolu Olayeni, 2015. "Analyzing Time–Frequency Based Co-movement in Inflation: Evidence from G-7 Countries," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(1), pages 91-109, January.
    83. Antoine A. Djogbenou, 2024. "Identifying oil price shocks with global, developed, and emerging latent real economy activity factors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 128-149, January.

  30. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 23, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Marwa Elsherif, 2024. "Modelling Inflation Dynamics and Global Oil Price Shocks in OAPEC Countries: TVP-VAR," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 51-69, May.
    2. Jamie Cross & Lennart Hoogerheide & Paul Labonne & Herman K. van Dijk, 2023. "Bayesian Mode Inference for Discrete Distributions in Economics and Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-038/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. Danilo Leiva-Leon & Luis Uzeda, 2020. "Endogenous Time Variation in Vector Autoregressions," Staff Working Papers 20-16, Bank of Canada.
    4. Ferman, Marcelo, 2011. "Switching Monetary Policy Regimes and the Nominal Term Structure," Dynare Working Papers 5, CEPREMAP.
    5. Florian Huber & Gregor Kastner & Martin Feldkircher, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? A latent threshold approach to large-scale mixture innovation models," Papers 1607.04532, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    6. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    7. Stan Hurn & Peter C B Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2015. "Change Detection and the Casual Impact of the Yield Curve," NCER Working Paper Series 107, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    8. Koop, Gary & Tole, Lise, 2013. "Modeling the relationship between European carbon permits and certified emission reductions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 166-181.
    9. Hwang, Youngjin, 2025. "Information content in yield curve dynamics: Implications for monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    10. Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
    11. Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2012. "The yield curve and the macro-economy across time and frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1950-1970.
    12. Malliaropulos, Dimitris & Migiakis, Petros, 2018. "The re-pricing of sovereign risks following the Global Financial Crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 39-56.
    13. Laurini, Márcio P. & Caldeira, João F., 2016. "A macro-finance term structure model with multivariate stochastic volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 68-90.
    14. Alessia Paccagnini, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Determinants of the US Term-Structure During The Great Moderation," Open Access publications 10197/7324, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    15. Laura Liu & Christian Matthes & Katerina Petrova, 2022. "Monetary Policy Across Space and Time," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 37-64, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    16. Jouchi Nakajima, 2011. "Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility: An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications," IMES Discussion Paper Series 11-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    17. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model," Papers 2401.09874, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    18. Roman Horváth & Michal Franta & Marek Rusnák, 2012. "Evaluating Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic," Working Papers IES 2012/11, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2012.
    19. Márcio Laurini & João Frois Caldeira, 2012. "Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2012-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    20. Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Tony Yates, 2014. "Estimating time-varying DSGE models using minimum distance methods," Bank of England working papers 507, Bank of England.
    21. Giraitis, L. & Kapetanios, G. & Yates, T., 2014. "Inference on stochastic time-varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 46-65.
    22. Wohlfarth, Paul & Chen, Xiaohong, 2024. "Limits to arbitrage and the term structure of CIP violations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    23. Bianchi, Francesco & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "The great moderation of the term structure of UK interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 856-871, September.
    24. Petrova, Katerina, 2019. "A quasi-Bayesian local likelihood approach to time varying parameter VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 286-306.
    25. Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    26. Badics, Milan Csaba & Huszar, Zsuzsa R. & Kotro, Balazs B., 2023. "The impact of crisis periods and monetary decisions of the Fed and the ECB on the sovereign yield curve network," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    27. Huber, Florian & Kastner, Gregor & Feldkircher, Martin, 2016. "Should I stay or should I go? Bayesian inference in the threshold time varying parameter (TTVP) model," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 235, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    28. Nikola Mirkov, 2014. "International financial transmission of the Fed's monetary policy," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(2), pages 7-49, September.
    29. Francesco Zanetti & Philip Liu & Haroon Mumtaz and Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2017. "Changing Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Zero Lower Bound," Economics Series Working Papers 824, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    30. Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2016. "Volatility Co-movement and the Great Moderation. An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 804, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    31. Kapetanios, George & Masolo, Riccardo M. & Petrova, Katerina & Waldron, Matthew, 2019. "A time-varying parameter structural model of the UK economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    32. Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2016. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Non-Gaussian Shocks," CReMFi Discussion Papers 5, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    33. Kang, Sang Hoon & Islam, Faridul & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 90-101.
    34. Lyu, Yongjian & Tuo, Siwei & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty shocks on crude oil price volatility：New evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    35. Lyu, Yongjian & Wei, Yu & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Good volatility, bad volatility and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    36. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Revisiting the role of economic uncertainty in oil price fluctuations: Evidence from a new time-varying oil market model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    37. Mirkov, Nikola, 2012. "International Financial Transmission of the US Monetary Policy: An Empirical Assessment," Working Papers on Finance 1201, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    38. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    39. Wang, Kuan-Min & Lee, Yuan-Ming, 2022. "Is gold a safe haven for exchange rate risks? An empirical study of major currency countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

  31. Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "Insiders versus outsiders in monetary policymaking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 33743, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Cited by:

    1. Stephen Eliot Hansen & Michael McMahon, 2011. "First impressions matter: Signalling as a source of policy dynamics," Economics Working Papers 1279, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    2. Niklas Potrafke, 2013. "Minority Positions in the German Council of Economic Experts: A Political Economic Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4206, CESifo.
    3. Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Mahieu, R.J. & Raes, L.B.D., 2013. "Inferring Hawks and Doves from Voting Records," Discussion Paper 2013-024, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Belderbos, Rene & Ikeuchi, Kenta & Fukao, Kyoji & Kim, Young Gak & Kwon, Hyeog Ug, 2013. "Plant Productivity Dynamics and Private and Public R&D Spillovers: Technological, Geographic and Relational Proximity," CEI Working Paper Series 2013-05, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    5. Stephen Hansen & Carlos Velasco Rivera & Michael McMahon, 2013. "How Experts Decide: Preferences or Private Assessments on a Monetary Policy Committee?," CAMA Working Papers 2013-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    6. Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2010. "What Do Outside Experts Bring To A Committee? Evidence From The Bank of England," Economic Research Papers 270783, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    7. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "Superstar Central Bankers," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100489, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    8. William H.Greene & Max Gillman & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer, 2013. "The Tempered Ordered Probit (TOP) model with an application to monetary policy," Discussion Paper Series 2013_10, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Sep 2013.
    9. Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201302, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    10. Masciandaro, Donato, 2022. "Independence, conservatism, and beyond: Monetary policy, central bank governance and central banker preferences (1981–2021)," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    11. Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2011. "How experts decide: identifying preferences versus signals from policy decisions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121717, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Donato Masciandaro & Paola Profeta & Davide Romelli, 2023. "Women and Governance: Central Bank Boards and Monetary Policy," Trinity Economics Papers tep1123, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
    13. Alexander Jung & Gergely Kiss, 2012. "Voting by monetary policy committees: evidence from the CEE inflation-targeting countries," MNB Working Papers 2012/2, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    14. Jung, Alexander & Latsos, Sophia, 2015. "Do federal reserve bank presidents have a regional bias?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 40(PA), pages 173-183.
    15. Matthias Neuenkirch & Peter Tillmann, 2016. "Does A Good Central Banker Make A Difference?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 54(3), pages 1541-1560, July.
    16. Brigitte Desroches & Sharon Kozicki & Laure Simon, 2024. "Monetary Policy Governance: Bank of Canada Practices to Support Policy Effectiveness," Discussion Papers 2024-14, Bank of Canada.
    17. Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2010. "Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,27, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Gertler, Pavel & Horvath, Roman, 2018. "Central bank communication and financial markets: New high-frequency evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 336-345.
    19. Roman Horváth & Katerina Šmídková & Jan Zápal, 2012. "Central Banks' Voting Records and Future Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(4), pages 1-19, December.
    20. Stephen Hansen & Michael F. McMahon, 2008. "Delayed Doves: MPC Voting Behaviour of Externals," CEP Discussion Papers dp0862, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    21. Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher, 2013. "Dispersed communication by central bank committees and the predictability of monetary policy decisions," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 157(1), pages 223-244, October.
    22. Smales, Lee A. & Apergis, Nick, 2016. "The influence of FOMC member characteristics on the monetary policy decision-making process," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 216-231.
    23. Roman Horvath & Marek Rusnak & Katerina Smidkova & Jan Zapal, 2014. "The dissent voting behaviour of central bankers: what do we really know?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 450-461, February.
    24. Francisco RUGE-MURCIA & Alessandro RIBONI, 2016. "Collective Versus Individual Decisionmaking : A Case Study of the Bank of Israel Law," Cahiers de recherche 06-2016, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    25. Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2017. "Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC," Discussion Papers 39/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    26. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    27. Donato Masciandaro, 2021. "Central Bank Governance in Monetary Policy Economics (1981-2020)," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21153, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    28. El-Shagi, Makram & Jung, Alexander, 2015. "Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 173-190.
    29. Sirchenko, Andrei, 2010. "Policymakers' Votes and Predictability of Monetary Policy," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt8qj3z3qg, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    30. Bernd Hayo & Ummad Mazhar, 2011. "Monetary Policy Committee Transparency: Measurement,Determinants, and Economic Effects," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201140, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    31. Alberto F. Alesina & Andrea Stella, 2010. "The Politics of Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 15856, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Christopher Spencer, 2014. "Conventional and Unconventional Votes: A Tale of Three Monetary Policy Committees," Discussion Paper Series 2014_11, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Dec 2014.
    33. Mark Harris & Paul Levine & Christopher Spencer, 2011. "A decade of dissent: explaining the dissent voting behavior of Bank of England MPC members," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 413-442, March.
    34. Spandan Banerjee & Rajendra N. Paramanik & Rounak Sil & Unninarayanan Kurup, 2024. "When all speak, should we listen? A cross‐country analysis of disagreement in policymaking and its implications," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 53(2), July.
    35. Brian Fabo & Martina Jancokova & Elisabeth Kempf & Lubos Pastor, 2020. "Fifty Shades of QE: Conflicts of Interest in Economic Research," Working and Discussion Papers WP 5/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    36. Brooks, Robert & Harris, Mark N. & Spencer, Christopher, 2012. "Inflated ordered outcomes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 683-686.
    37. Esteban Colla de Robertis, 2010. "Monetary Policy Committees and the Decision to Publish Voting Records," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 97-139, July-Dece.
    38. Christopher S Sutherland, 2022. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers 1024, Bank for International Settlements.
    39. Carlos Madeira & João Madeira & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2023. "The origins of monetary policy disagreement: the role of supply and demand shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 993, Central Bank of Chile.
    40. Bernd Hayo & Pierre-Guillaume Méon, 2011. "Behind closed doors: Revealing the ECB’s Decision Rule," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201135, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    41. William Greene & Mark N Harris & Christopher Spencer, 2014. "Estimating the Standard Errors of Individual-Specific Parameters in Random Parameters Models," Discussion Paper Series 2014_01, Department of Economics, Loughborough University, revised Jan 2014.
    42. Mikael Apel & Carl Andreas Claussen & Petra Lennartsdotter & Øistein Røisland, 2015. "Monetary Policy Committees: Comparing Theory and "Inside" Information from MPC Members," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 47-89, December.
    43. Federico Favaretto & Donato Masciandaro, 2016. "Too Little, Too Late? Monetary Policymaking Inertia and Psychology: A Behavioral Model," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1617, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    44. Carsten Hefeker & Blandine Zimmer, 2015. "Optimal Conservatism and Collective Monetary Policymaking under Uncertainty," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 259-278, April.
    45. Jung, Alexander & Kiss, Gergely, 2012. "Preference heterogeneity in the CEE inflation-targeting countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 445-460.
    46. Roman Horvath & Júlia Jonasova, 2014. "Central Banks Voting Records, Financial Crisis and Future Monetary Policy," Working Papers IES 2014/35, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2014.
    47. Mikael Apel & Carl Andreas Claussen & Petra Gerlach-Kristen & Petra Lennartsdotter & Øistein Røisland, 2013. "Monetary policy decisions – comparing theory and “inside” information from MPC members," Working Paper 2013/03, Norges Bank.
    48. Donato Masciandaro & Paola Profeta & Davide Romelli, 2016. "Gender and Monetary Policymaking: Trends and Drivers," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1512, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    49. Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2019. "Behavioral Monetary Policymaking: Economics, Political Economy And Psychology," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19105, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    50. Vidal, Jean-Pierre & Maurin, Vincent, 2012. "Monetary policy deliberations: committee size and voting rules," Working Paper Series 1434, European Central Bank.
    51. Sylvester Eijffinger & Ronald Mahieu & Louis Raes, 2016. "Monetary Policy Committees, Voting Behavior and Ideal Points," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1628, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    52. David Cobham, 2013. "Monetary policy under the Labour government: the first 13 years of the MPC," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 29(1), pages 47-70, SPRING.
    53. Pavel Gertler & Roman Horvath, 2017. "Market Reading of Central Bankers Words. A High-Frequency Evidence," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2017, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    54. David, Cobham, 2013. "Monetary policy under the Labour government 1997- 2010: the first 13 years of the MPC," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-23, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    55. Kokoszczyński, Ryszard & Mackiewicz-Łyziak, Joanna, 2024. "Making monetary policy in Poland: Are Polish hawks and doves different?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    56. Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach," Staff Working Papers 20-40, Bank of Canada.
    57. Chappell, Henry W. & McGregor, Rob Roy, 2018. "Committee decision-making at Sweden's Riksbank," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 120-133.
    58. Rieder, Kilian, 2022. "Monetary policy decision-making by committee: Why, when and how it can work," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    59. Charemza, Wojciech & Ladley, Daniel, 2016. "Central banks’ forecasts and their bias: Evidence, effects and explanation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 804-817.
    60. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Sean Holly, 2015. "Influence, Interactions and Heterogeneity: Taking Personalities out of Monetary Policy Decision-making," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83(2), pages 153-182, March.
    61. Alin OPREANA & Simona VINEREAN, 2015. "Analysis of the Economic Research Context after the Outbreak of the Economic Crisis of 2007-2009," Expert Journal of Economics, Sprint Investify, vol. 3(1), pages 77-92.
    62. Donato Masciandaro & Paola Profeta & Davide Romelli, 2020. "Do Women Matter in Monetary Policy Boards?," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20148, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    63. Petra Gerlach‐Kristen, 2009. "Outsiders at the Bank of England's MPC," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1115, September.
    64. Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael & Velasco Rivera, Carlos, 2014. "Preferences or private assessments on a monetary policy committee?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 16-32.
    65. Wojciech Charemza & Daniel Ladley, 2012. "MPC Voting, Forecasting and Inflation," Discussion Papers in Economics 12/23, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, revised Jan 2013.
    66. Alastair Firrell & Kate Reinold, 2020. "Uncertainty and voting on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee," Bank of England working papers 898, Bank of England.

  32. Thomas Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory," Discussion Papers 26, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2023. "Money Growth and Inflation: A Quantile Sensitivity Approach," Papers 2308.05486, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    2. Jiang, Chun & Chang, Tsangyao & Li, Xiao-Lin, 2015. "Money growth and inflation in China: New evidence from a wavelet analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 249-261.
    3. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010. "Modeling Inflation After the Crisis," Working Papers 2010-1, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    4. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2010. "Modeling inflation after the crisis," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 173-220.
    5. Amisano, Gianni & Fagan, Gabriel, 2013. "Money growth and inflation: A regime switching approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 118-145.
    6. Ashima Goyal & Abhishek Kumar, 2018. "Money and Business Cycle: Evidence From India," Working Papers id:12925, eSocialSciences.
    7. António Rua, 2012. "Money Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area: A Time-Frequency View," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(6), pages 875-885, December.
    8. McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 2010. "Money and Inflation: Some Critical Issues," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 3, pages 97-153, Elsevier.
    9. Alfred A. Haug & William G. Dewald, 2012. "Money, Output, And Inflation In The Longer Term: Major Industrial Countries, 1880–2001," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 50(3), pages 773-787, July.
    10. Ceri Davies & Max Gillman & Michal Kejak, 2012. "Deriving the Taylor Principle when the Central Bank Supplies Money," CEU Working Papers 2012_13, Department of Economics, Central European University, revised 23 Jul 2012.
    11. Benati, Luca, 2009. "Long run evidence on money growth and inflation," Working Paper Series 1027, European Central Bank.

  33. Besley, Tim & Surico, Paolo & Meads, Neil, 2008. "Household External Finance and Consumption," CEPR Discussion Papers 6934, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Giacomo Masier & Ernesto Villanueva, 2011. "Consumption and Initial Mortgage Conditions: Evidence From Survey Data," BCL working papers 52, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    2. František Brazdik & Michal Hlavacek & Aleš Marsal, 2012. "Survey of Research on Financial Sector Modeling within DSGE Models: What Central Banks Can Learn from It," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(3), pages 252-277, July.
    3. Ellis Connolly, 2009. "Banking Crises and Economic Activity: Observations from Past Crises in Developed Countries," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 28(3), pages 206-216, September.
    4. Chuanyong Zhang & Guoliang Feng, 2018. "More wealth, less leisure? Effect of housing wealth on tourism expenditure in China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(5), pages 526-540, August.
    5. Anna Florio, 2013. "The Implied Consumer Euler Rate: What Role for Financial Frictions?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 59(4), pages 650-675, December.

  34. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Bank of England working papers 341, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Sepideh K. Zahiri, 2016. "Do central banks respond timely to developments in the global economy?," Working Papers No 8/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    2. Byrne, Joseph P. & Kaneez, Fatima & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2010. "IInflation and Globalisation: A Dynamic Factor Model with Stochastic Volatility," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-05, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    3. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    4. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    5. Adrian Chiu & Tomasz Wieladek, 2012. "Did output gap measurement improve over time?," Discussion Papers 36, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    6. Henriksen, Espen & Kydland, Finn & Sustek, Roman, 2008. "The High Cross-Country Correlations of Prices and Interest Rates," MPRA Paper 10963, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2013. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the Great Moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-32.
    8. Özer Karagedikli & Haroon Mumtaz & Misa Tanaka, 2010. "All together now: do international factors explain relative price comovements?," Bank of England working papers 381, Bank of England.
    9. Knut Are Aastveit & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011. "The world is not enough! Small open economies and regional dependence," Working Paper 2011/16, Norges Bank.
    10. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. F. Ferroni & B. Klaus, 2014. "Euro Area business cycles in turbulent times: convergence or decoupling?," Working papers 522, Banque de France.
    12. Guillermo Felices & Tomasz Wieladek, 2011. "Are EME indicators of vulnerability to financial crises decoupling from global factors?," Bank of England working papers 410, Bank of England.
    13. Márcio Laurini & João Frois Caldeira, 2012. "Some Comments on a Macro-Finance Model with Stochastic Volatility," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2012-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    14. Colin Ellis & Haroon Mumtaz & Pawel Zabczyk, 2014. "What Lies Beneath? A Time‐varying FAVAR Model for the UK Transmission Mechanism," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(576), pages 668-699, May.
    15. Francesco Bianchi & Andrea Civelli, 2013. "Globalization and Inflation: Structural Evidence from a Time Varying VAR Approach," Working Papers 13-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    16. Polito, Vito & Spencer, Peter, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Volatility and the Welfare Costs of Inflation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2011/23, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    17. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 23, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    18. Felices, Guillermo & Wieladek, Tomasz, 2012. "Are emerging market indicators of vulnerability to financial crises decoupling from global factors?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 321-331.
    19. Erdenebat Bataa & Denise R. Osborn & Marianne Sensier & Dick van Dijk, 2009. "Structural Breaks in the International Transmission of Inflation," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 119, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    20. Matthew Doyle & Jean-Paul Lam, 2010. "Is the New Keynesian Explanation of the Great Dis-Inflation Consistent with the Cross Country Data?," Working Papers 1010, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2010.
    21. Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach, 2008. "Is inflation an international phenomenon?," Working Papers 2008-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    22. Eickmeier, Sandra & Moll, Katharina, 2008. "The global dimension of inflation: evidence from factor-augmented Phillips curves," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,16, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    23. Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2013. "Global and regional business cycles. Shocks and propagations," Working Paper 2013/08, Norges Bank.
    24. Mihaela SIMIONESCU, 2016. "The Identification Of Inflation Rate Determinants In The Usa Using The Stochastic Search Variable Selection," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 8(1), pages 171-181, March.
    25. Roman Sustek & Finn Kydland & Espen Henriksen, 2008. "The High Correlations of Prices and Interest Rates across Nations," 2008 Meeting Papers 773, Society for Economic Dynamics.

  35. Paolo Surico, 2008. "Monetary policy shifts and inflation dynamics," Bank of England working papers 338, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Riccardo DiCecio & Edward Nelson, 2009. "Euro membership as a U.K. monetary policy option: results from a structural model," Working Papers 2009-012, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    2. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Trend inflation and macroeconomic volatilities in the post-WWII U.S. economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 19-33, March.

  36. Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo, 2008. "VAR analysis and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series 866, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Qazi Haque, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Target, and the Great Moderation: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
    2. Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Petrova, Katerina, 2016. "A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 690-716.
    3. Weder, Mark & Doko Tchatokay, Firmin & Groshenny, Nicolas & Haque, Qazi, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Indeterminacy after the 2001 Slump," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145557, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Ćorić, Bruno & Pugh, Geoff, 2013. "Foreign direct investment and output growth volatility: A worldwide analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 260-271.
    5. Giovanni Angelini & Luca Fanelli Fanelli, 2015. "Misspecification and Expectations Correction in New Keynesian DSGE Models," Quaderni di Dipartimento 1, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
    6. Sacht, Stephen & Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok, 2013. "Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in a New-Keynesian Baseline Model," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79694, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Medina, Juan Pablo & Toni, Emiliano & Valdes, Rodrigo, 2023. "The Art and Science of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Chile," MPRA Paper 117198, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Apr 2023.
    8. Ummad Mazhar, 2013. "Does Greater Transparency Stabilize Output? Evidence from Panel Data," SBP Working Paper Series 59, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    9. Buch Claudia M., 2013. "Has Labor Income Become More Volatile? Evidence from International Industry-Level Data," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 14(4), pages 399-431, December.
    10. Buch Claudia M & Doepke Joerg & Stahn Kerstin, 2009. "Great Moderation at the Firm Level? Unconditional vs. Conditional Output Volatility," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, May.
    11. Kui-Wai Li, 2017. "Is there an ‘interest rate – speculation’ relationship? Evidence from G7 in the pre- and post-2008 crisis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(21), pages 2041-2059, May.
    12. Barbara Annicchiarico & Alessandra Pelloni & Lorenza Rossi, 2011. "Endogenous Growth, Monetary Shocks and Nominal Rigidities," CEIS Research Paper 187, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Mar 2011.
    13. Takeshi Kimura & Kosuke Aoki, 2009. "Central Bank's Two-Way Communication with the Public and Inflation Dynamics," 2009 Meeting Papers 108, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    14. Qazi Haque & Nicolas Groshenny & Mark Weder, 2021. "Do we really know that U.S. monetary policy was destabilizing in the 1970s?," Post-Print hal-04204647, HAL.
    15. Gunnar Bårdsen & Luca Fanelli, 2015. "Frequentist Evaluation of Small DSGE Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 307-322, July.
    16. Nason James M. & Smith Gregor W, 2008. "Great Moderation(s) and US Interest Rates: Unconditional Evidence," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, November.
    17. Grydaki, Maria & Bezemer, Dirk, 2013. "The role of credit in the Great Moderation: A multivariate GARCH approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4615-4626.
    18. Efrem Castelnuovo & Luca Fanelli, 2013. "Monetary Policy Indeterminacy and Identification Failures in the US: Results from a Robust Test," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0163, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    19. Giorgio Canarella & WenShwo Fang & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2008. "Is the Great Moderation Ending? UK and US Evidence," Working papers 2008-24, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    20. B. Hofmann & G. Peersman & R. Straub, 2010. "Time Variation in U.S. Wage Dynamics," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 10/691, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    21. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013. "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 759-784, October.
    22. Yasuo Hirose & Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stability Revisited," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 255-274, July.
    23. James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
    24. Zhang, Xinyi & Chen, Yufan & Wang, Tianqi, 2024. "Digital economy, CO2 emissions and China's environmental sustainable development— an analysis based on TVP-VAR model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1945-1957.
    25. Fasani, Stefano & Rossi, Lorenza, 2018. "Are uncertainty shocks aggregate demand shocks?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 142-146.
    26. Francesco Bianchi, 2009. "Regime Switches, Agents’ Beliefs, and Post-World War II U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics," 2009 Meeting Papers 198, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Batabyal, Sourav & Islam, Faridul & Khaznaji, Maher, 2018. "On the sources of the Great Moderation: Role of monetary policy and intermediate inputs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 1-9.
    28. Aviad Tur-Sinai, 2014. "Adaptation patterns and consumer behavior as a dependency on terror," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 13(2), pages 257-269, November.
    29. Zhang, Yixiao & Yu, Cindy L. & Li, Haitao, 2022. "Nowcasting GDP Using Dynamic Factor Model with Unknown Number of Factors and Stochastic Volatility: A Bayesian Approach," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 75-93.
    30. Meinen, Philipp & Röhe, Oke, 2018. "To sign or not to sign? On the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks," Discussion Papers 33/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    31. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2009. "Estimating the Evolution of Money's Role in the U.S. Monetary Business Cycle," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0103, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    32. James Cloyne & Patrick Hürtgen, 2014. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy: a new measure for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 493, Bank of England.
    33. Pavon-Prado, David, 2019. "Have we been measuring monetary policy correctly? Analysing the Federal Reserve’s policies over the last century," IFCS - Working Papers in Economic History.WH 28342, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto Figuerola.
    34. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Modest Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks during the Great Moderation: An Alternative Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n30, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    35. Erdenebat Bataa & Andrew Vivian & Mark Wohar, 2019. "Changes in the relationship between short‐term interest rate, inflation and growth: evidence from the UK, 1820–2014," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 616-640, October.
    36. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2014. "Bayesian forecasting with small and medium scale factor-augmented vector autoregressive DSGE models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 298-323.
    37. Guido Ascari & Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a Trend Inflation World: An Empirical Investigation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 108, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    38. Baele, L.T.M. & Bekaert, G.R.J. & Cho, S. & Inghelbrecht, K. & Moreno, A., 2015. "Macroeconomic regimes," Other publications TiSEM e92a1993-778e-4ce2-b603-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    39. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2010. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 177-194, January.
    40. Patrick Minford & Zhirong Ou & Michael Wickens, 2015. "Revisiting the Great Moderation: Policy or Luck?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 197-223, April.
    41. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James D., 2018. "Inference in structural vector auto regressions when the identifying assumptions are not fully believed: Re-evaluating the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2018, Bank of Finland.
    42. Carboni, Giacomo, 2014. "Term premia implications of macroeconomic regime changes," Working Paper Series 1694, European Central Bank.
    43. Jan Čapek, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Czech Economy: A DSGE Model Approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(1), pages 37-52.
    44. Thierry Bracke & Matthieu Bussière & Michael Fidora & Roland Straub, 2010. "A Framework for Assessing Global Imbalances," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(9), pages 1140-1174, September.
    45. Guillermo Peña, 2020. "Monetary Policy after the Great Moderation," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(3), pages 5-26.
    46. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
    47. Edward Nelson, 2009. "An Overhaul of Doctrine: The Underpinning of UK Inflation Targeting," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(538), pages 333-368, June.
    48. Fabio Canova & Luca Gambetti, 2010. "Do Expectations Matter? The Great Moderation Revisited," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 183-205, July.
    49. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2024. "Downward Nominal Rigidities and Bond Premia," Working Paper Series WP 2024-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    50. Mustafa Caglayan & Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2015. "The Role of Financial Depth on The Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy," EcoMod2015 8285, EcoMod.
    51. Baxa, Jaromír & Horváth, Roman & Vašíček, Bořek, 2014. "How Does Monetary Policy Change? Evidence On Inflation-Targeting Countries," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 593-630, April.
    52. Dave, Chetan & Sorge, Marco M., 2021. "Equilibrium indeterminacy and sunspot tales," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    53. Baumeister, Christiane & Benati, Luca, 2010. "Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound," Working Paper Series 1258, European Central Bank.
    54. Morley, James & Singh, Aarti, 2009. "Inventory Mistakes and the Great Moderation," Working Papers 2009-04, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
    55. Anton Nakov & Andrea Pescatori, 2010. "Oil and the Great Moderation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(543), pages 131-156, March.
    56. Enrique Martínez García, 2017. "Good Policies or Good Luck? New Insights on Globalization and the International Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism," Globalization Institute Working Papers 321, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    57. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2009. "Testing the structural interpretation of the price puzzle with a cost channel model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2009, Bank of Finland.
    58. Fabrizio Mattesini & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Automatic Stabilizers: the Role of Progressive Taxation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 134, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    59. Buch, Claudia M. & Döpke, Jörg & Stahn, Kerstin, 2008. "Great moderation at the firm level? Unconditional versus conditional output volatility," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,13, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    60. Straub, Roland & Barnett, Alina, 2008. "What drives U.S. current account fluctuations?," Working Paper Series 959, European Central Bank.
    61. Francesco Nucci & Marianna Riggi, 2009. "The Great Moderation and Changes in the Structure of Labor Compensation," Working Papers in Public Economics 124, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    62. Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo Hedibert F. Lopes, 2016. "Rational Sunspots," Economics Series Working Papers 787, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    63. Caglayan, Mustafa & Kandemir Kocaaslan, Ozge & Mouratidis, Kostas, 2016. "Financial Depth and the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 75250, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2016.
    64. Caraiani, Petre, 2016. "Money and output causality: A structural approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 220-236.
    65. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Policy-oriented macroeconomic forecasting with hybrid DGSE and time-varying parameter VAR models," Working Papers 236, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2013.
    66. Han, Jong-Suk & Hur, Joonyoung, 2020. "Macroeconomic effects of monetary policy in Korea: A time-varying coefficient VAR approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 142-152.
    67. Mehrotra, Aaron & Sánchez-Fung, José R., 2009. "Assessing McCallum and Taylor rules in a cross-section of emerging market economies," BOFIT Discussion Papers 23/2009, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    68. Richard Higgins, C., 2020. "Financial frictions and changing macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    69. Patella, Valeria & Tancioni, Massimiliano, 2021. "Confidence Swings and Sovereign Risk Dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 195-206.
    70. James Morley & Aarti Singh, 2015. "Inventory Shocks and the Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 2012-42A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    71. Colin Ellis & Haroon Mumtaz & Pawel Zabczyk, 2014. "What Lies Beneath? A Time‐varying FAVAR Model for the UK Transmission Mechanism," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(576), pages 668-699, May.
    72. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2010. "Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation," CEPR Discussion Papers 7827, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    73. Philip Liu & Haroon Mumtaz, 2011. "Evolving Macroeconomic Dynamics in a Small Open Economy: An Estimated Markov Switching DSGE Model for the UK," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(7), pages 1443-1474, October.
    74. Tarek Alexander Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Aakash Kalyani & Laurence van Lent & Markus Schwedeler & Ahmed Tahoun, 2024. "Economic Surveillance using Corporate Text," NBER Working Papers 33158, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    75. Benati, Luca, 2009. "Would the Bundesbank have prevented the Great Inflation in the United States?," Working Paper Series 1134, European Central Bank.
    76. Martin Mandler, 2010. "Macroeconomic dynamics and inflation regimes in the U.S. Results from threshold vector autoregressions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201012, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    77. Benati, Luca & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2007. "U.S. evolving macroeconomic dynamics: a structural investigation," Working Paper Series 746, European Central Bank.
    78. Christiane Baumeister & Luca Benati, 2013. "Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 9(2), pages 165-212, June.
    79. Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2014. "Animal spirits and the business cycle: Empirical evidence from moment matching," Economics Working Papers 2014-06, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    80. Maria Sole Pagliari, 2021. "Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies," Working papers 829, Banque de France.
    81. Xiaoshan Chen & Tatiana Kirsanova & Campbell Leith, 2013. "How Optimal is US Monetary Policy?," Working Papers 2013_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    82. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and The Price Puzzle," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(549), pages 1262-1283, December.
    83. Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Bayesian Local Likelihood Method for Modelling Parameter Time Variation in DSGE Models," Working Papers 770, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    84. Chunping Liu & Zhirong Ou, 2021. "What determines China's housing price dynamics? New evidence from a DSGE‐VAR," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3269-3305, July.
    85. Martina Cecioni & Stefano Neri, 2011. "The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: has it changed and why?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 808, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    86. Pancrazi, Roberto, 2015. "The heterogeneous Great Moderation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 207-228.
    87. Keen, Steve, 2013. "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 221-235.
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    89. Raslan Alzuabi & Mustafa Caglayan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2021. "The risk‐taking channel in the United States: A GVAR approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5826-5849, October.
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    92. Stelios D. Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "Bayesian Forecasting with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive DSGE model," Working Paper series 22_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    93. Luca Fanelli, 2010. "Determinacy, indeterminacy and dynamic misspecification in linear rational expectations models," Quaderni di Dipartimento 4, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
    94. Stephanos Papadamou & Moïse Sidiropoulos & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2015. "Central bank transparency and the interest rate channel : Evidence from emerging economies," Post-Print hal-03692248, HAL.
    95. Angelini, Giovanni & Sorge, Marco M., 2021. "Under the same (Chole)sky: DNK models, timing restrictions and recursive identification of monetary policy shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    96. Gruener, Sven, 2019. "Sample size calculation in economic experiments," SocArXiv 574he, Center for Open Science.
    97. Alzuabi, Raslan & Caglayan, Mustafa & Mouratidis, Kostas, 2020. "The Risk-Taking Channel in the US: A GVAR Approach," MPRA Paper 101391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    98. Sachsida, Adolfo & Divino, Jose Angelo & Cajueiro, Daniel Oliveira, 2011. "Inflation, unemployment, and the time consistency of the US monetary policy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 173-179, June.
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    103. Kumar, Ankit & Dash, Pradyumna, 2020. "Changing transmission of monetary policy on disaggregate inflation in India," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 109-125.
    104. Helmut Herwartz & Alexander Lange & Simone Maxand, 2022. "Data‐driven identification in SVARs—When and how can statistical characteristics be used to unravel causal relationships?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(2), pages 668-693, April.
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    106. Tagkalakis, Athanasios, 2011. "Fiscal policy and financial market movements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 231-251, January.
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    110. Luca Fanelli & Marco M. Sorge, 2015. "Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy?," CSEF Working Papers 402, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    111. Norhana Endut & James Morley & Pao-Lin Tien, 2015. "The Changing Transmission Mechanism of U.S. Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 2015-03, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    112. Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Hedibert F. Lopes, 2016. "Rational Sunspots," Business and Economics Working Papers 226, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    113. Eurilton Araújo, 2016. "Monetary Policy Credibility and the Comovement between Stock Returns and Inflation," Working Papers Series 449, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    114. Qazi Haque, 2017. "Monetary Policy, Target Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Empirical Investigation," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2017-10, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    115. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix," Working Papers 739, DNB.
    116. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
    117. Dohyun CHUN & Hoon CHO & Doojin RYU, 2018. "Macroeconomic Structural Changes in a Leading Emerging Market: The Effects of the Asian Financial Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 22-42, December.
    118. Benoit Mojon, 2007. "Monetary policy, output composition and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series WP-07-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    119. Bezemer, Dirk & Grydaki, Maria, 2014. "Financial fragility in the Great Moderation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 169-177.
    120. Thomas Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory," Discussion Papers 26, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    121. Broer, Tobias & Kero, Afroditi, 2011. "Great Moderation or Great Mistake: Can rising confidence in low macro-risk explain the boom in asset prices?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8700, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    122. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Monetary policy shocks and Cholesky VARs: an assessment for the Euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 383-414, March.
    123. Benati, Luca, 2010. "Are policy counterfactuals based on structural VAR's reliable?," Working Paper Series 1188, European Central Bank.
    124. Christiane Baumeister & Philip Liu & Haroon Mumtaz, 2012. "Changes in the Effects of Monetary Policy on Disaggregate Price Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 12-13, Bank of Canada.
    125. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2014. "Forecasting the US Economy with a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive DSGE model," Working Papers 2014-183, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    126. Friedrich Lucke, 2022. "The Great Moderation and the Financial Cycle," Working Papers REM 2022/0238, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    127. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    128. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Greco, Luciano & Raggi, Davide, 2008. "Estimating regime-switching Taylor rules with trend inflation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2008, Bank of Finland.
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    131. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks and financial conditions: A Monte Carlo experiment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 282-303.
    132. Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1285, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    133. Hahn, Elke & Mestre, Ricardo, 2011. "The role of oil prices in the euro area economy since the 1970s," Working Paper Series 1356, European Central Bank.
    134. Wang, Boqun & Yang, Dennis Tao, 2021. "Volatility and Economic Systems: Evidence from A Large Transitional Economy," MPRA Paper 106624, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    135. Ko, Jun-Hyung & Murase, Koichi, 2013. "Great Moderation in the Japanese economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 10-24.
    136. Koursaros, Demetris & Michail, Nektarios & Savva, Christos, 2024. "Examining the behaviour of inflation to supply and demand shocks using an MS-VAR model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    137. Aastveit, Knut Are, 2014. "Oil price shocks in a data-rich environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 268-279.
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  37. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2007. "Vector Autoregression Analysis and the Great Moderation," Discussion Papers 18, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Bianchi & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Dynamics of the term structure of UK interest rates," Bank of England working papers 363, Bank of England.
    2. Erdemlioglu, Deniz M & Xiao, Wei, 2008. "Indeterminate Equilibria in New Keynesian DSGE Model: An Application to the US Great Moderation," MPRA Paper 10322, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  38. D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/07, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Woon Gyu Choi & Taesu Kang & Geun-Young Kim & Byongju Lee, 2014. "Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses," Working Papers 2014-38, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    2. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald. A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2016. "The implications of liquidity expansion in China for the US dollar," Working Papers 2016-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    3. Rossi, José Luiz Júnior, 2013. "Liquidity and Exchange Rates," Insper Working Papers wpe_325, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    4. Padha, Vimarsh & Chaubal, Aditi, 2024. "Impact of global liquidity on Indian financial markets and monetary policy outcomes: An ARDL approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Mark A. Wynne & Ren Zhang, 2018. "Measuring The World Natural Rate Of Interest," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 530-544, January.
    6. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia," IMF Working Papers 2010/135, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Tracking U.S. inflation expectations with domestic and global indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1340-1356, November.
    8. Ellington, Michael & Milas, Costas, 2019. "Global liquidity, money growth and UK inflation," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 67-74.
    9. Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2012. "Crude Oil Prices and Liquidity, the BRIC and G3 countries," MPRA Paper 44049, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2008. "Does money matter for U.S. inflation? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Discussion Papers 2008/9, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    11. Ayse Dur & Enrique Martínez García, 2020. "Mind the Gap!—A Monetarist View of the Open-Economy Phillips Curve," Globalization Institute Working Papers 392, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    12. Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez-García, 2016. "What Helps Forecast U.S. Inflation?—Mind the Gap!," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1615, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    13. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2009. "Estimating the Evolution of Money's Role in the U.S. Monetary Business Cycle," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0103, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    14. Coppola, Anna & Urga, Giovanni & Varaldo, Alessandro, 2025. "Asset class liquidity risk indicators. Timing the risk in the European and US equity and bond markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    15. Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2015. "Commodity prices and BRIC and G3 liquidity: A SFAVEC approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 18-33.
    16. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The time-varying effects of financial and geopolitical uncertainties on commodity market dynamics: A TVP-SVAR-SV analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Eickmeier, Sandra & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Hofmann, Boris, 2013. "Understanding global liquidity," Discussion Papers 03/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016. "Chinese liquidity increases and the U.S. economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 764-771.
    19. Gattini, Luca & Pill, Huw & Schuknecht, Ludger, 2012. "A global perspective on inflation and propagation channels," Working Paper Series 1462, European Central Bank.
    20. Oliver Hossfeld, 2010. "US Money Demand, Monetary Overhang, and Inflation," Working Papers 2010.4, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    21. Ms. Sally Chen & Mr. Philip Liu & Andrea M. Maechler & Chris Marsh & Mr. Sergejs Saksonovs & Mr. Hyun S Shin, 2012. "Exploring the Dynamics of Global Liquidity," IMF Working Papers 2012/246, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Peter Tillmann, 2017. "Global Liquidity and the Impact on SEACEN Economies," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp100.
    23. McGurk, Zachary, 2020. "US real estate inflation prediction: Exchange rates and net foreign assets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 53-66.
    24. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2016. "The implications of monetary expansion in China for the US dollar," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 71-84.
    25. Milani, Fabio, 2012. "Has Globalization Transformed U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 204-229, April.
    26. Janet Koech & Mark Wynne, 2013. "Core Import Price Inflation in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 717-730, September.
    27. Fatma Pinar Erdem & Etkin �zen & Ibrahim Unalmis, 2017. "Are Macroprudential Policies Effective Tools to Reduce Credit Growth in Emerging Markets?," Working Papers 1712, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    28. Fabio Milani, 2009. "Global Slack and Domestic Inflation Rates: A Structural Investigation for G-7 Countries," Working Papers 080919, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    29. José Luiz Rossi Júnior, 2014. "The Usefulness of Financial Variables in Predicting Exchange Rate Movements," Business and Economics Working Papers 198, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    30. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paya, Ivan, 2012. "Forecasting monetary policy rules in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 446-455.
    31. Milas, Costas & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2012. "Financial conditions and nonlinearities in the European Central Bank (ECB) reaction function: In-sample and out-of-sample assessment," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 173-189, January.
    32. Thomas Conlon & Brian M. Lucey & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2018. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? A wavelet time-scale perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 317-345, August.
    33. Liew, Freddy, 2012. "Forecasting inflation in Asian economies," MPRA Paper 36781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Ms. L. Effie Psalida & Tao Sun, 2011. "Does G-4 Liquidity Spill Over?," IMF Working Papers 2011/237, International Monetary Fund.
    35. José Luiz Rossi Júnior, 2013. "Liquidity and Exchange Rates," Business and Economics Working Papers 181, Unidade de Negocios e Economia, Insper.
    36. Duc Do, Nguyen, 2024. "Money/asset ratio as a predictor of inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    37. Petre Caraiani, 2014. "Do money and financial variables help forecasting output in emerging European Economies?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 743-763, March.
    38. Brett W. Fawley & Yi Wen, 2013. "Low inflation in a world of securitization," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    39. Kabukçuoğlu, Ayşe & Martínez-García, Enrique, 2018. "Inflation as a global phenomenon—Some implications for inflation modeling and forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 46-73.
    40. Fabio Milani, 2009. "The Effect of Global Output on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations: A Structural Estimation," Working Papers 080920, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    41. Mr. Reginald Darius, 2010. "Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?," IMF Working Papers 2010/196, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Rossi, José Luiz Júnior, 2014. "The Usefulness of Financial Variables in Predicting Exchange Rate Movements," Insper Working Papers wpe_332, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    43. Ansgar Belke & Ingo G. Bordon & Torben W. Hendricks, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Global Liquidity and Commodity Price Dynamics," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 971, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    44. Ruthira Naraidoo & Leroi Raputsoane, 2013. "Financial markets and the response of monetary policy to uncertainty in South Africa," Working Papers 201310, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    45. Ayse Kabukcuoglu & Enrique Martínez García & Mehmet A. Soytas, 2017. "Exploring the Nexus Between Inflation and Globalization Under Inflation Targeting Through the Lens of New Zealand’s Experience," Globalization Institute Working Papers 308, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    46. Gianni Amisano & Roberta Colavecchio, 2013. "Money Growth and Inflation: evidence from a Markov Switching Bayesian VAR," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201304, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    47. Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto & Henri Nyberg, 2014. "Is the Quantity Theory of Money Useful in Forecasting U.S. Inflation?," CREATES Research Papers 2014-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    48. Asit B Chakraborty & Sanjib Bordoloi, 2013. "International commodity prices – volatility and global liquidity," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the Sixth IFC Conference on "Statistical issues and activities in a changing environment", Basel, 28-29 August 2012., volume 36, pages 239-258, Bank for International Settlements.
    49. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2014. "Liquidity expansion in China and the U.S. economy," MPRA Paper 59338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Mesut Turkay, 2018. "Does International Liquidity Matter For G-7 Countries? A PVAR Approach," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, April.
    51. Juan Guillermo Bedoya Ospina, 2017. "Ciclos de crédito, liquidez global y regímenes monetarios: una aproximación para América Latina," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 78.
    52. Julio Pindado & Ignacio Requejo & Juan C. Rivera, 2020. "Does money supply shape corporate capital structure? International evidence from a panel data analysis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(6), pages 554-584, April.

  39. Surico, Paolo & Benati, Luca, 2007. "Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability," Working Paper Series 824, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    2. Michal Franta & Jan Libich & Petr Stehlik, 2012. "Tracking Monetary-Fiscal Interactions Across Time and Space," Working Papers 2012/06, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    3. Roy Cerqueti & Mauro Costantini & Luciano Gutierrez, 2009. "New panel tests to assess inflation persistence," Working Papers 54-2009, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Oct 2009.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
    5. José-Elías Gallegos, 2023. "Inflation persistence, noisy information and the Phillips curve," Working Papers 2309, Banco de España.
    6. Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    7. Barbara Annicchiarico & Alessandra Pelloni & Lorenza Rossi, 2011. "Endogenous Growth, Monetary Shocks and Nominal Rigidities," CEIS Research Paper 187, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Mar 2011.
    8. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luca Onorante & Paolo Paesani, 2009. "Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 2720, CESifo.
    9. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013. "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 759-784, October.
    10. Fasani, Stefano & Rossi, Lorenza, 2018. "Are uncertainty shocks aggregate demand shocks?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 142-146.
    11. Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Economic uncertainty shocks and China's commodity futures returns: A time-varying perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    12. Qazi Haque & Leandro M. Magnusson & Kazuki Tomioka, 2019. "Empirical evidence on the dynamics of investment under uncertainty in the U.S," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 19-18, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    13. Alina Barnett & Haroon Mumtaz & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2012. "Forecasting UK GDP growth, inflation and interest rates under structural change: a comparison of models with time-varying parameters," Bank of England working papers 450, Bank of England.
    14. Guido Ascari & Efrem Castelnuovo & Lorenza Rossi, 2010. "Calvo vs. Rotemberg in a Trend Inflation World: An Empirical Investigation," Quaderni di Dipartimento 108, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    15. Anna Florio, 2016. "The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
    16. Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
    17. Xiaoshan Chen & Ronald Macdonald, 2012. "Realized and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(6), pages 1091-1116, September.
    18. Troy Davig & Taeyoung Doh, 2008. "Monetary policy regime shifts and inflation persistence," Research Working Paper RWP 08-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    19. Jouchi Nakajima, 2011. "Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility: An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications," IMES Discussion Paper Series 11-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    20. Lovcha, Yuliya & Pérez Laborda, Àlex, 2013. "A fractionally integrated approach to monetary policy and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2072/211795, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
    21. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2009. "Testing the structural interpretation of the price puzzle with a cost channel model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2009, Bank of Finland.
    22. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
    23. Martínez-García Enrique, 2018. "Modeling time-variation over the business cycle (1960–2017): an international perspective," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(5), pages 1-25, December.
    24. Pablo Andrés Neumeyer & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2024. "The Incredible Taylor Principle," Department of Economics Working Papers 2025_07, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    25. Roman Horváth & Michal Franta & Marek Rusnák, 2012. "Evaluating Changes in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic," Working Papers IES 2012/11, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2012.
    26. Chin, Kuo-Hsuan & Li, Xue, 2019. "Bayesian forecast combination in VAR-DSGE models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 278-298.
    27. Luca Benati & Thomas A Lubik, 2012. "Sales, Inventories, and Real Interest Rates: A Century of Stylized Facts," CAMA Working Papers 2012-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    28. Pami Dua & Deepika Goel, 2021. "Inflation Persistence in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 525-553, September.
    29. Giraitis, L. & Kapetanios, G. & Yates, T., 2014. "Inference on stochastic time-varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 46-65.
    30. Clark, Todd E. & Davig, Troy, 2011. "Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(7), pages 981-999, July.
    31. Yao, Fang, 2011. "Monetary policy, trend inflation and inflation Persistence," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-008, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    32. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting the US CPI: Does Nonlinearity Matter?," Working Papers 201512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    33. Kaufmann, Sylvia, 2015. "K-state switching models with time-varying transition distributions—Does loan growth signal stronger effects of variables on inflation?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 82-94.
    34. Rehab OSMAN, 2010. "SADC EPAs with the EU: the Right or a Blight Way for Development," EcoMod2010 259600127, EcoMod.
    35. Angelos Athanasopoulos & Donato Masciandaro & Davide Romelli, 2025. "Long run inflation: persistence and central bank independence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 25237, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    36. Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2013. "Bayesian Analysis of Latent Threshold Dynamic Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 151-164, April.
    37. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Trend inflation and macroeconomic volatilities in the post-WWII U.S. economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 19-33, March.
    38. Jaromir Baxa & Jan Zacek, 2022. "Monetary Policy and the Financial Cycle: International Evidence," Working Papers 2022/4, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    39. Otilia Boldea & Alastair R. Hall, 2013. "Testing structural stability in macroeconometric models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 9, pages 206-228, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    40. Sorge, Marco M., 2021. "Stabilizing Taylor rules and determinacy under unit root supply shocks: A re-examination," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    41. Thanassis Kazanas & Apostolis Philippopoulos & Elias Tzavalis, 2011. "Monetary Policy Rules And Business Cycle Conditions," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(s2), pages 73-97, September.
    42. Bijsterbosch, Martin & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2015. "The macroeconomic impact of financial fragmentation in the euro area: Which role for credit supply?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 93-115.
    43. Joice John, 2015. "Has Inflation Persistence In India Changed Over Time?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(04), pages 1-16.
    44. Luca Fanelli & Marco M. Sorge, 2015. "Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy?," CSEF Working Papers 402, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    45. Kang, Sang Hoon & Islam, Faridul & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: Evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 90-101.
    46. Lyu, Yongjian & Tuo, Siwei & Wei, Yu & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Time-varying effects of global economic policy uncertainty shocks on crude oil price volatility：New evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    47. Qazi Haque, 2017. "Monetary Policy, Target Inflation and the Great Moderation: An Empirical Investigation," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2017-10, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    48. Cross, Jamie, 2019. "On the reduced macroeconomic volatility of the Australian economy: Good policy or good luck?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 174-186.
    49. T. Philipp Dybowski & Max Hanisch & Bernd Kempa, 2018. "The role of the exchange rate in Canadian monetary policy: evidence from a TVP-BVAR model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 471-494, September.
    50. Stelios Bekiros & Alessia Paccagnini, 2013. "On the predictability of time-varying VAR and DSGE models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(1), pages 635-664, August.
    51. Lyu, Yongjian & Wei, Yu & Hu, Yingyi & Yang, Mo, 2021. "Good volatility, bad volatility and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the crude oil futures market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    52. Eduardo Rosas Rojas & Teresa L�pez Gonz�lez, 2018. "Inflación e incertidumbre inflacionaria: la postura del Banco de México, 1969-2017," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 10(2), pages 349-372.
    53. Mohanty, Deepak & John, Joice, 2015. "Determinants of inflation in India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 86-96.
    54. Takushi Kurozumi & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2018. "Why Has Inflation Persistence Declined?," Macro Bulletin, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 1-3, April.
    55. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    56. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Greco, Luciano & Raggi, Davide, 2008. "Estimating regime-switching Taylor rules with trend inflation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2008, Bank of Finland.
    57. Fanelli, Luca & Sorge, Marco M., 2017. "Indeterminate forecast accuracy under indeterminacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 57-70.
    58. Nathan Perry & Nathaniel Cline, 2016. "What caused the great inflation moderation in the US? A post-Keynesian view," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 475-502, October.
    59. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks and financial conditions: A Monte Carlo experiment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 282-303.
    60. Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Inflation persistence and monetary policy: DSGE‐VAR approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(6), pages 715-729, December.

  40. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2006. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Working Paper 06-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

    Cited by:

    1. Florin Bilbiie & Roland Straub, 2013. "Asset Market Participation, Monetary Policy Rules, and the Great Inflation," Post-Print hal-00622873, HAL.
    2. Mikael Juselius & Claudio Borio & Piti Disyatat & Mathias Drehmann, 2017. "Monetary Policy, the Financial Cycle and Ultra-low Interest Rates," PIER Discussion Papers 55, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Mr. Helge Berger & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2008. "The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited," IMF Working Papers 2008/171, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Da Silva, Sergio, 2009. "Does Macroeconomics Need Microeconomic Foundations?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-11.
    5. Lombardi, Marco J. & Sgherri, Silvia, 2007. "(Un)naturally low? Sequential Monte Carlo tracking of the US natural interest rate," Working Paper Series 794, European Central Bank.
    6. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2010. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 177-194, January.
    7. Jan Čapek, 2016. "Structural Changes in the Czech Economy: A DSGE Model Approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(1), pages 37-52.
    8. Christian Matthes & Thomas Lubik, 2013. "Indeterminacy and Learning: An Analysis of Monetary Policy in the Great Inflation," 2013 Meeting Papers 973, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    9. Gulan, Adam, 2018. "Paradise lost? A brief history of DSGE macroeconomics," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 22/2018, Bank of Finland.
    10. Yuelin Liu & James Morley, 2013. "Structural Evolution of the Postwar U.S. Economy," Discussion Papers 2013-15A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    11. Karimova, Amira & Simsek, Esra & Orhan, Mehmet, 2020. "Policy implications of the Lucas Critique empirically tested along the global financial crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 153-172.
    12. De Lipsis Vincenzo, 2021. "Dating Structural Changes in UK Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 509-539, June.
    13. Martin Slanicay & Jan Čapek & Miroslav Hloušek, 2016. "Some Notes On Problematic Issues In Dsge Models," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 61(210), pages 79-100, July - Se.
    14. Leung, Charles Ka Yui, 2022. "Housing and Macroeconomics," MPRA Paper 115500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Javier Andrés & Fernando Restoy, 2007. "Macroeconomic modelling in EMU: how relevant is the change in regime?," Working Papers 0718, Banco de España.
    16. Jan Ditzen & Yiannis Karavias & Joakim Westerlund, 2025. "Multiple Structural Breaks in Interactive Effects Panel Data Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 74-88, January.
    17. Hartigan, Luke & Morley, James, 2019. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting," Working Papers 2019-10, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Nov 2019.
    18. Otilia Boldea & Alastair R. Hall, 2013. "Testing structural stability in macroeconometric models," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 9, pages 206-228, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    19. Thomas A. Lubik & Christian Matthes, 2015. "Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions: Specification, Estimation, and an Application," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 4Q, pages 323-352.
    20. Luke Hartigan & James Morley, 2018. "A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects on Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: John Simon & Maxwell Sutton (ed.),Central Bank Frameworks: Evolution or Revolution?, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    21. Milani, Fabio, 2014. "Learning and time-varying macroeconomic volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 94-114.
    22. Luca Fanelli & Marco M. Sorge, 2015. "Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy?," CSEF Working Papers 402, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    23. Yuelin Liu & James Morley, 2013. "Structural Evolution of the Postwar U.S. Economy," Discussion Papers 2013-15, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    24. Chatterjee, Sidharta, 2014. "Equilibrium Models of Macroeconomic Science: What to Look For in (DSGE) Models?," MPRA Paper 53893, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Gasteiger, Emanuel & Grimaud, Alex, 2023. "Price setting frequency and the Phillips curve," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    26. Castelnuovo, Efrem & Greco, Luciano & Raggi, Davide, 2008. "Estimating regime-switching Taylor rules with trend inflation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2008, Bank of Finland.
    27. Yagihashi, Takeshi, 2018. "How costly is a misspecified credit channel DSGE model in monetary policymaking?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 484-505.
    28. Andersson, Fredrik N.G., 2018. "Estimates of the Inflation Effect of a Global Carbon Price on Consumer, Investment, Export, and Import Prices," Working Papers 2018:22, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    29. Paolo Gelain, 2007. "The Optimal Monetary Policy Rule For the European Central Bank," EcoMod2007 23900028, EcoMod.
    30. Yash P. Mehra & Devin Reilly, 2009. "Short-term headline-core inflation dynamics," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 95(Sum), pages 289-313.

  41. D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.

    Cited by:

    1. Fornari, Fabio & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2010. "Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons," Working Paper Series 1255, European Central Bank.
    2. Igor Masten & Massimiliano Marcellino & Anindya Banerjeey, 2009. "Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," RSCAS Working Papers 2009/32, European University Institute.
    3. Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    4. Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Small, David, 2008. "Nowcasting: The real-time informational content of macroeconomic data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 665-676, May.
    5. Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
    7. D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
    8. Sweder van Wijnbergen & Tim Willems, 2013. "Imperfect information, lagged labour adjustment, and the Great Moderation," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(2), pages 219-239, April.
    9. Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017. "When does the yield curve contain predictive power? Evidence from a data-rich environment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1044-1064.
    10. Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011. "Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,09, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2017. "Forecasting GDP with global components: This time is different," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 153-173.
    13. Abdalla, Ahmed & Carabias, Jose M. & Patatoukas, Panos N., 2021. "The real-time macro content of corporate financial reports: a dynamic factor model approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108539, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1," Working Papers 333, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    15. Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2011. "Indeterminacy and forecastability," Globalization Institute Working Papers 91, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    16. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2009. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00344839, HAL.
    17. Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the greenbook's relative forecasting performance," Post-Print hal-01087522, HAL.
    18. Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    19. Ayse Dur & Enrique Martínez García, 2020. "Mind the Gap!—A Monetarist View of the Open-Economy Phillips Curve," Globalization Institute Working Papers 392, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    20. Mr. Helge Berger & Mr. Thomas Harjes & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2008. "The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited," IMF Working Papers 2008/171, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011. "Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages 25-44, February.
    22. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 481-493, June.
    23. K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
    24. Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012. "Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
    25. Byrne, JP & Cao, S & Korobilis, D, 2016. "Term Structure Dynamics, Macro-Finance Factors and Model Uncertainty," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 18195, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    26. Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019. "Priors for the Long Run," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
    27. Karl Whelan & Antonello D'Agostino, 2007. "Federal Reserve information during the great moderation," Open Access publications 10197/235, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    28. Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017. "Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
    29. Lombardi, Marco J. & Godbout, Claudia, 2012. "Short-term forecasting of the Japanese economy using factor models," Working Paper Series 1428, European Central Bank.
    30. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2008. "Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Papers 2008-030, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    31. D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico, 2006. "Comparing Alternative Predictors Based on Large-Panel Factor Models," Research Technical Papers 14/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
    32. Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series WP-08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    33. Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we need to go to now? a perspective from the U.S. experience," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(Jan), pages 65-81.
    34. Daniel L. Thornton, 2009. "How did we get to inflation targeting and where do we go now? a perspective from the U.S. experience," Working Papers 2009-038, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    35. Liebermann, Joelle, 2012. "Real-time forecasting in a data-rich environment," Research Technical Papers 07/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
    36. Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Abhi Gupta & Pearl Li & Erica Moszkowski, 2018. "DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery," Staff Reports 844, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    37. Manzan, Sebastiano & Zerom, Dawit, 2009. "Are Macroeconomic Variables Useful for Forecasting the Distribution of U.S. Inflation?," MPRA Paper 14387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Daphné Momferatu & Luca Onorante, 2010. "Short-term inflation projections: a Bayesian vector autoregressive approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-011, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    39. Ásgeir Daníelsson, 2008. "The great moderation Icelandic style," Economics wp38, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    40. Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2008. "Has modelsí forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?," Working Papers 09-02, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    41. Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K. & McNamara, Dylan C., 2014. "Where is the Fed in the distribution of forecasters?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 296-312.
    42. Rochelle M. Edge & Michael T. Kiley & Jean-Philippe Laforte, 2009. "A comparison of forecast performance between Federal Reserve staff forecasts, simple reduced-form models, and a DSGE model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-10, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    43. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2017. "Short-term inflation forecasting: The M.E.T.A. approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1065-1081.
    44. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & De Mol, Christine, 2006. "Forecasting Using a Large Number of Predictors: Is Bayesian Regression a Valid Alternative to Principal Components?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    45. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
    46. Chanont Banternghansa & Michael W. McCracken, 2011. "Real-time forecast averaging with ALFRED," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 93(Jan), pages 49-66.
    47. Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2010. "Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 808-835, October.
    48. Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?," Working Papers 09-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    49. Kim Chang-Jin & Kim Yunmi, 2008. "Is the Backward-Looking Component Important in a New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, September.
    50. Garciga, Christian & Knotek II, Edward S., 2019. "Forecasting GDP growth with NIPA aggregates: In search of core GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1814-1828.
    51. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2009. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data : A semi-parametric modelling," Post-Print halshs-00344839, HAL.
    52. Laurent Ferrara & Dominique Guegan & Patrick Rakotomarolahy, 2010. "GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling," Post-Print halshs-00460461, HAL.
    53. Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2007. "Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?," Working Papers 2007-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jul 2008.
    54. Clements, Michael P., 2016. "Real-time factor model forecasting and the effects of instability," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 661-675.
    55. Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011. "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 1379, European Central Bank.
    56. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Time-Varying Yield Curve Dynamics and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 23, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    57. Vugar Ahmadov & Salman Huseynov & Shaig Adigozalov & Fuad Mammadov & Vugar Rahimov, 2018. "Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for regime switches?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(2), pages 369-385, April.
    58. Liebermann, Joelle, 2010. "Real-time nowcasting of GDP: Factor model versus professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 28819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    59. Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
    60. Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010. "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers 10-37, Bank of Canada.
    61. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "The predictive power of the yield spread for future economic expansions: Evidence from a new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 181-195.
    62. David C. Wheelock & Mark E. Wohar, 2009. "Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? a survey of the literature," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 91(Sep), pages 419-440.
    63. Daniel L. Thornton & Giorgio Valente, 2010. "Predicting bond excess returns with forward rates: an asset-allocation perspective," Working Papers 2010-034, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    64. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving international inflation dynamics: evidence from a time-varying dynamic factor model," Bank of England working papers 341, Bank of England.
    65. Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-augmented Error Correction Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 6707, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    66. Luca Fanelli & Marco M. Sorge, 2015. "Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy?," CSEF Working Papers 402, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    67. Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann & Hang Thi Thu Vu, 2021. "The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-23, February.
    68. Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
    69. Vugar Ahmadov & Shaig Adigozalov & Salman Huseynov & Fuad Mammadov & Vugar Rahimov, 2016. "Forecasting inflation in post-oil boom years: A case for non-linear models?," Working Papers 1601, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic.
    70. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2006. "Forecasting of small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities," Research Working Paper RWP 06-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    71. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2012. "Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area," CEPR Discussion Papers 8944, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    72. Harun Özkan & M. Yazgan, 2015. "Is forecasting inflation easier under inflation targeting?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 609-626, March.
    73. Thomas Sargent & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory," Discussion Papers 26, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    74. Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Composite indicators for monetary analysis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 713, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    75. Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg, 2008. "Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 386-398.
    76. Berger, Helge & Harjes, Thomas & Stavrev, Emil, 2008. "The ECB's monetary analysis revisited," Discussion Papers 2008/14, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    77. Fanelli, Luca & Sorge, Marco M., 2017. "Indeterminate forecast accuracy under indeterminacy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 57-70.
    78. Gupta, Rangan & Kabundi, Alain, 2011. "A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1076-1088, October.
    79. Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES 2008-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    80. Gürkaynak, Refet & Edge, Rochelle, 2010. "How Useful Are Estimated DSGE Model Forecasts for Central Bankers?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8158, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    81. Peter Tulip, 2009. "Has the Economy Become More Predictable? Changes in Greenbook Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1217-1231, September.

  42. Charlotta Groth & Jarkko Jääskelä & Paolo Surico, 2006. "Fundamental inflation uncertainty," Bank of England working papers 309, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Günes Kamber & Stephen Millard, 2012. "Using Estimated Models to Assess Nominal and Real Rigidities in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(4), pages 97-119, December.

  43. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2006. "The price puzzle: fact or artefact?," Bank of England working papers 288, Bank of England.

    Cited by:

    1. Ravn, Morten O. & Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martín & Uuskula, Lenno, 2010. "Deep habits and the dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 236-258, June.
    2. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Karim El Aynaoui, 2008. "Excess Liquidity, Bank Pricing Rules, and Monetary Policy," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 105, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    3. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "The Transmission of International Shocks: A Factor‐Augmented VAR Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(s1), pages 71-100, February.
    4. Jérôme Héricourt & Iuliana Matei, 2007. "Transmission de la politique monétaire dans les pays d'Europe Centrale et Orientale : que savons-nous vraiment ?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00515124, HAL.
    5. Francesco Bianchi & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Dynamics of the term structure of UK interest rates," Bank of England working papers 363, Bank of England.
    6. Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2006. "Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: An International Empirical Comparison," Working Papers in Public Economics 97, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    8. Cornel Oros & Camélia Turcu, 2009. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in the CEECs : A Structural VAR Approach," Post-Print hal-00954297, HAL.
    9. Thomas A. Lubik & Paolo Surico, 2010. "The Lucas critique and the stability of empirical models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 177-194, January.
    10. Riccardo DiCecio & Edward Nelson, 2007. "An estimated DSGE model for the United Kingdom," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 89(Jul), pages 215-232.
    11. Uluc Aysun, 2015. "Searching for the source of macroeconomic integration across advanced economies," Working Papers 2015-01, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics.
    12. Enrico S. Levrero, 2019. "Estimates of the Natural Rate of Interest and the Stance of Monetary Policies: A Critical Assessment," Working Papers Series 88, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    13. Xiaoshan Chen & Ronald Macdonald, 2012. "Realized and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules in an Estimated Markov-Switching DSGE Model of the United Kingdom," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(6), pages 1091-1116, September.
    14. Maria Chiara Cucciniello & Matteo Deleidi & Enrico Sergio Levrero, 2021. "The cost channel of monetary policy: the case of the United States in the period 1959-2018," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0262, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    15. Haroon Mumtaz, 2010. "Evolving UK macroeconomic dynamics: a time-varying factor augmented VAR," Bank of England working papers 386, Bank of England.
    16. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2017. "Exchange rate pass through, cost channel to monetary policy transmission, adaptive learning, and the price puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 69-82.
    17. Paloviita, Maritta, 2008. "Dynamics of inflation expectations in the euro area," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2008_040, December.
    18. Francesco Nucci & Marianna Riggi, 2009. "The Great Moderation and Changes in the Structure of Labor Compensation," Working Papers in Public Economics 124, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    19. Mr. Christopher W. Crowe & Mr. S. Mahdi Barakchian, 2010. "Monetary Policy Matters: New Evidence Basedon a New Shock Measure," IMF Working Papers 2010/230, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2007. "Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 1, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    21. Colin Ellis & Haroon Mumtaz & Pawel Zabczyk, 2014. "What Lies Beneath? A Time‐varying FAVAR Model for the UK Transmission Mechanism," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(576), pages 668-699, May.
    22. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2006. "Assessing Different Drivers of the GreatModeration in the U.S," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0025, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    23. Anatoliy Belaygorod & Michael J. Dueker, 2007. "The price puzzle and indeterminacy in an estimated DSGE model," Working Papers 2006-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    24. Haroon Mumtaz & Laura Sunder-Plassmann, 2010. "Time-varying dynamics of the real exchange rate. A structural VAR analysis," Bank of England working papers 382, Bank of England.
    25. Barakchian, S. Mahdi & Crowe, Christopher, 2013. "Monetary policy matters: Evidence from new shocks data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 950-966.
    26. Rabanal, Pau, 2007. "Does inflation increase after a monetary policy tightening? Answers based on an estimated DSGE model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 906-937, March.
    27. Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Mark Setterfield, 2010. "Pricing Behaviour and the Cost-Push Channel of Monetary Policy," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 19-40.
    28. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and The Price Puzzle," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(549), pages 1262-1283, December.
    29. Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy Transmission in Vietnam and Emerging Asia," IMF Working Papers 2013/155, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Liu, Philip & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2014. "The transmission of international shocks to the UK. Estimates based on a time-varying factor augmented VAR," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-15.
    31. Ida, Daisuke, 2024. "Household heterogeneity and the price puzzle in a new Keynesian model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    32. Pham, Thai-Binh & Sala, Hector, 2019. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price and risk-premium shocks on Vietnam: Evidence from an over-identifying SVAR analysis," MPRA Paper 96873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jul 2019.
    33. Bhattacharya, Rina, 2014. "Inflation dynamics and monetary policy transmission in Vietnam and emerging Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 16-26.
    34. Saoussen Ouhibi & Sami Hammami, 2015. "The Transmission Mechanisms for Monetary Policy: The Case of Emerging Countries," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(12), pages 568-576, December.
    35. Elisa Keller, 2007. "Classical and Bayesian Methods for the VAR Analysis: International Comparisons," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(6), pages 149-202, November-.
    36. Alina Barnett & Jan J J Groen & Haroon Mumtaz, 2010. "Time-varying inflation expectations and economic fluctuations in the United Kingdom: a structural VAR analysis," Bank of England working papers 392, Bank of England.
    37. Tas, Bedri Kamil Onur, 2011. "An explanation for the price puzzle: Asymmetric information and expectation dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 259-275, June.
    38. Haroon Mumtaz & Pawel Zabczyk & Colin Ellis, 2009. "What lies beneath: what can disaggregated data tell us about the behaviour of prices?," Bank of England working papers 364, Bank of England.
    39. M S Mohanty & Philip Turner, 2008. "Monetary policy transmission in emerging market economies: what is new?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 1-59, Bank for International Settlements.
    40. Myung-Soo Yie, 2008. "Interest Arbitrage and Interest Rates in Korea," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 14(3), pages 157-194, September.
    41. MEZUI-MBENG, Pamphile, 2010. "Tramsission de la politique monétaire: le cas des pays de la CEMAC [Monetary policy transmission: the case of the CEMAC]," MPRA Paper 26032, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  44. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2005. "The Price Puzzle and Indeterminacy," Macroeconomics 0507021, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2006. "Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits: An International Empirical Comparison," Working Papers in Public Economics 97, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    2. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2017. "Exchange rate pass through, cost channel to monetary policy transmission, adaptive learning, and the price puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 69-82.
    3. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Lorenza Rossi & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2007. "Monetary Policy under Rule-of-Thumb Consumers and External Habits," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 1, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    4. Bianchi, Francesco & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2009. "The great moderation of the term structure of UK interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 856-871, September.
    5. Barnett, William A. & Bella, Giovanni & Ghosh, Taniya & Mattana, Paolo & Venturi, Beatrice, 2022. "Is policy causing chaos in the United Kingdom?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    6. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Youngcheol Shin, 2011. "Shifting Preferences at the Fed: Evidence from Rolling Dynamic Multipliers and Impulse Response Analysis," Working Papers 2011-057, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    7. Haroon Mumtaz & Laura Sunder‐Plassmann, 2013. "Time‐Varying Dynamics Of The Real Exchange Rate: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 498-525, April.

  45. Paolo Surico, 2005. "Monetary Policy Shifts, Indeterminacy and Inflation Dynamics," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 313, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2006. "Monetary Policy Switch, the Taylor Curve, and the Great Moderation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 59, Society for Computational Economics.

  46. Paolo Surico & Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Sala, 2005. "The Fed and the Stock Market," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 293, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cinzia Alcidi , Alessandro Flamini, Andrea Fracasso, 2005. ""Taylored rules". Does one fit (or hide) all?," IHEID Working Papers 04-2005, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, revised Apr 2006.
    2. Wang, Shen & Mayes, David G., 2012. "Monetary policy announcements and stock reactions: An international comparison," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 145-164.
    3. Søren HOVE RAVN, 2010. "Has the Fed Reacted Asymmetrically to Stock Prices," EcoMod2010 259600076, EcoMod.
    4. Mandler, Martin, 2006. "Are there gains from including monetary aggregates and stock market indices in the monetary policy reaction function? A simulation study of recent U.S. monetary policy," MPRA Paper 2318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Daria Finocchiaro & Virginia Queijo Von Heideken, 2013. "Do Central Banks React to House Prices?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(8), pages 1659-1683, December.
    6. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng, 2011. "Asset Price and Monetary Policy - The Effect of Expectation Formation," Working Papers 032011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    7. Efrem Castelnuovo & Salvatore Nisticò, 2010. "Stock Market Conditions and Monetary Policy in a DSGE Model for the U.S," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0107, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    8. Harold Glenn A. Valera & Mark J. Holmes & Gazi Hassan, 2017. "Stock market uncertainty and interest rate behaviour: a panel GARCH approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(11), pages 732-735, June.
    9. Francesco Furlanetto, 2008. "Does monetary policy react to asset prices? Some international evidence," Working Paper 2008/07, Norges Bank.
    10. Cinzia Alcidi & Alessandro Flamini & Andrea Fracasso, 2011. "Policy Regime Changes, Judgment and Taylor rules in the Greenspan Era," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 78(309), pages 89-107, January.
    11. Jovanović, Mario & Zimmermann, Tobias, 2008. "Stock Market Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Reaction Functions of the Federal Reserve Bank," Ruhr Economic Papers 77, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    12. Marie-Louise Djigbenou, 2014. "Determinants of Global Liquidity Dynamics:a FAVAR approach," Working Papers hal-00956314, HAL.
    13. Jovanovic Mario & Zimmermann Tobias, 2010. "Stock Market Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Reaction Functions of the Federal Reserve Bank," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-19, July.
    14. Mandler, Martin, 2009. "In search of robust monetary policy rules - Should the Fed look at money growth or stock market performance?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 345-361, June.
    15. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks and financial conditions: A Monte Carlo experiment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 282-303.

  47. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 8, Econometric Society.

    Cited by:

    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Pablo Gonzalez & Mauricio Tejada, 2006. "No linealidades en la regla de política monetaria del Banco Central de Chile: una evidencia empírica," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 21(1), pages 81-115, July.
    3. Alvaro Aguiar & Manuel Martins, 2008. "Testing for asymmetries in the preferences of the euro-area monetary policymaker," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(13), pages 1651-1667.
    4. Shen, Chung-Hua & Lin, Kun-Li & Guo, Na, 2016. "Hawk or dove: Switching regression model for the monetary policy reaction function in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 94-111.
    5. Blampied, Nicolas & Cafferata, Alessia & Tibiletti, Luisa & Uberti, Mariacristina, 2024. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Taylor Rule Extensions," MPRA Paper 119923, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. baaziz, yosra, 2016. "Les règles de Taylor à l’épreuve de la révolution : cas de l’Égypte [The Taylor rule to the test of the revolution: the case of Egypt]," MPRA Paper 69779, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Measuring the Time-Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 0401006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Moura, Marcelo L. & de Carvalho, Alexandre, 2010. "What can Taylor rules say about monetary policy in Latin America?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 392-404, March.
    9. Helle Bunzel & Walter Enders, 2010. "The Taylor Rule and "Opportunistic" Monetary Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(5), pages 931-949, August.
    10. Qin, Ting & Enders, Walter, 2008. "In-sample and out-of-sample properties of linear and nonlinear Taylor rules," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 428-443, March.
    11. L'OEILLET, Guillaume & LICHERON, Julien, 2010. "The asymmetric relationship between oil prices and activity in the EMU: Does the ECB monetary policy play a role?," MPRA Paper 26203, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Brüggemann, Ralf & Riedel, Jana, 2011. "Nonlinear interest rate reaction functions for the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1174-1185, May.
    13. Gomes, O. & Mendes, D. A. & Mendes, V. P. & Sousa Ramos, J., 2007. "Endogenous Cycles in Optimal Monetary Policy with a Nonlinear Phillips Curve," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 139, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    14. Doyle, Matthew & Falk, Barry L., 2006. "Do Asymmetric Central Bank Preferences Help Explain Observed Inflation Outcomes?," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12501, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    15. Domenico Depalo, 2006. "Japan: The Case For A Taylor Rule? A Simple Approach," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 327-546, December.
    16. Simone Casellina & Mariacristina Uberti, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Long-term Interest Rate Dynamics: Taylor Rule Extensions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 183-198, September.
    17. Mihailov, Alexander, 2005. "Has more Independence Affected Bank of England's Reaction Function under Inflation Targeting? Lessons from Taylor Rule Empirics," Economics Discussion Papers 8894, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    18. Carvalho, Alexandre & Moura, Marcelo L., 2008. "What Can Taylor Rules Say About Monetary Policy in Latin America?," Insper Working Papers wpe_126, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    19. George Christodoulakis & David Peel, 2009. "The Central Bank Inflation Bias in the Presence of Asymmetric Preferences and Non-Normal Shocks," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 1608-1620.
    20. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.
    21. Gomes, Orlando, 2006. "Monetary policy and economic growth: combining short and long run macro analysis," MPRA Paper 2849, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Akosah, Nana & Alagidede, Imhotep & Schaling, Eric, 2019. "Unfolding the monetary policy rule in Ghana: quantile-based evidence within time-frequency framework," MPRA Paper 103260, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Oct 2020.

  48. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences (new title: The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences)," CESifo Working Paper Series 1280, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Pablo Gonzalez & Mauricio Tejada, 2006. "No linealidades en la regla de política monetaria del Banco Central de Chile: una evidencia empírica," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 21(1), pages 81-115, July.
    2. Alvaro Aguiar & Manuel Martins, 2008. "Testing for asymmetries in the preferences of the euro-area monetary policymaker," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(13), pages 1651-1667.
    3. L'OEILLET, Guillaume & LICHERON, Julien, 2010. "The asymmetric relationship between oil prices and activity in the EMU: Does the ECB monetary policy play a role?," MPRA Paper 26203, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gomes, O. & Mendes, D. A. & Mendes, V. P. & Sousa Ramos, J., 2007. "Endogenous Cycles in Optimal Monetary Policy with a Nonlinear Phillips Curve," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 139, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    5. Doyle, Matthew & Falk, Barry L., 2006. "Do Asymmetric Central Bank Preferences Help Explain Observed Inflation Outcomes?," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12501, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Simone Casellina & Mariacristina Uberti, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Long-term Interest Rate Dynamics: Taylor Rule Extensions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 183-198, September.
    7. Gomes, Orlando, 2006. "Monetary policy and economic growth: combining short and long run macro analysis," MPRA Paper 2849, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  49. Surico, Paolo, 2003. "US Monetary Policy Rules: the Case for Asymmetric Preferences," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 199, Royal Economic Society.

    Cited by:

    1. Mayes, David & Virén, Matti, 2004. "Asymmetries in the Euro area economy," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2004, Bank of Finland.
    2. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2003. "Taylor Rules and Interest Rate Smoothing in the US and EMU," Macroeconomics 0303002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Paolo Surico, 2003. "How does the ECB target inflation?," Macroeconomics 0305005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Paolo Zagaglia, 2006. "How reliable are Taylor rules? A view from asymmetry in the U.S. Fed funds rate," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(14), pages 1-11.
    5. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2003. "Taylor rules, omitted variables, and interest rate smoothing in the US," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 55-59, October.
    6. Abdul RASHID & Farah WAHEED, 2021. "Forward-Backward-Looking Monetary Policy Rules: Derivation and Empirics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 71-92, December.
    7. M. S. Mohanty & Marc Klau, 2005. "Monetary Policy Rules in Emerging Market Economies: Issues and Evidence," Springer Books, in: Rolf J. Langhammer & Lúcio Vinhas Souza (ed.), Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilization in Latin America, pages 205-245, Springer.
    8. Florio, Anna, 2006. "Asymmetric interest rate smoothing: The Fed approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 190-195, November.
    9. Alastair Firrell & Kate Reinold, 2020. "Uncertainty and voting on the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee," Bank of England working papers 898, Bank of England.

  50. Surico, Paolo, 2003. "Measuring the time-inconsistency of US monetary policy," Working Paper Series 291, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Matthews, Kent, 2010. "Risk Management and Managerial Efficiency in Chinese Banks: A Network DEA Framework," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2010/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Apr 2010.
    2. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: the Case of Asymmetric Preferences," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 108, Society for Computational Economics.
    3. Rybacki, Jakub, 2019. "ECB policy consistency – loss of independence and the real estate bubble?," MPRA Paper 95906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2015. "Central banks’ inflation forecasts under asymmetric loss: Evidence from four Latin-American countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 66-70.
    5. Chesang, Laban K. & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2016. "Parameter uncertainty and inflation dynamics in a model with asymmetric central bank preferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-10.
    6. C. Patrick Scott, 2016. "Are central bank preferences asymmetric when policy targets vary over time?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 577-589, September.
    7. Idil Uz Akdogan, 2020. "Understanding the dynamics of foreign reserve management: The central bank intervention policy and the exchange rate fundamentals," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 41-55.
    8. Szomolányi, Karol & Lukáčik, Martin & Lukáčiková, Adriana, 2022. "Asymmetric Reactions of Retail Gasoline Prices on the Changes in Crude Oil Prices in Chosen US Cities," Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference (2022), Hybrid Conference, Opatija, Croatia, in: Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference, Hybrid Conference, Opatija, Croatia, 17-18 June 2022, pages 9-15, IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, Zagreb.
    9. Naveen Srinivasan & Vidya Mahambare & M. Ramachandran, 2015. "Capital Controls, Exchange Market Intervention and International Reserve Accumulation in India," Working Papers 2015-103, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    10. Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2010. "The Evolution and Impact of Asian Exchange Rate Regimes," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 208, Asian Development Bank.
    11. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Measuring the Time-Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 0401006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2003. "Describing the Fed's conduct with Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important?," Working Paper Series 232, European Central Bank.
    13. Heng, Dyna & Corbett, Jenny, 2011. "What Drives Some Countries to Hoard Foreign Reserves?," MPRA Paper 48552, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2011.
    14. Naveen Srinivasan & Vidya Mahambare & M. Ramachandran, 2009. "Preference asymmetry and international reserve accretion in India," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(15), pages 1543-1546.
    15. Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203644, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Peter N. Ireland, 2007. "Changes in the Federal Reserve's Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(8), pages 1851-1882, December.
    17. Etienne Farvaque & Franck Malan & Piotr Stanek, 2020. "Misplaced childhood: When recession children grow up as central bankers," Post-Print hal-02502635, HAL.
    18. Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2020. "Reading a central banker's preference: A non parametric regression approach," Discussion Paper Series 2007, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    19. Mustafa Caglayan & Ozge Kandemir & Kostas Mouratidis, 2012. "The Impact of Inflation Uncertainty on Economic Growth: A MRS-IV Approach," Working Papers 2012025, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    20. Fabio Milani, 2006. "The Evolution of the Fed's Inflation Target in an Estimated Model under RE and Learning," Working Papers 060704, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    21. Ramkishen Rajan, 2011. "Management of Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Asia," ADBI Working Papers 322, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    22. Huber, Florian & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 214, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    23. Etienne Farvaque & Antoine Parent & Piotr Stanek, 2018. "Debates and dissident inside the FOMC during WW2," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03567133, HAL.
    24. Karol Szomolanyi & Martin Lukacik & Adriana Lukacikova, 2022. "Estimation of asymmetric responses of U.S. retail fuel prices to changes in input prices based on a linear exponential adjustment cost approach," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 30(2), pages 757-779, June.
    25. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2004. "Describing the Fed's conduct with simple Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 12, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    26. M, Ramachandran & Maheswari, D., 2022. "Asymmetry in forex market intervention: Does it reflect fear of reserve inadequacy?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    27. Cheolbeom Park & Sookyung Park, 2022. "Tracking a central banker's preference: A nonparametric regression approach," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 291-307, January.
    28. Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "On the loss function of the Bank of Canada: A note," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 155-159.
    29. Hayat, Zafar & Balli, Faruk & Rehman, Muhammad, 2018. "Does inflation bias stabilize real growth? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1083-1103.
    30. Sachsida, Adolfo & Divino, Jose Angelo & Cajueiro, Daniel Oliveira, 2011. "Inflation, unemployment, and the time consistency of the US monetary policy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 173-179, June.
    31. Zafar Hayat, 2017. "Pakistan’s Monetary Policy: Some Fundamental Issues," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 56(1), pages 31-58.
    32. Selgin, George & Lastrapes, William D. & White, Lawrence H., 2012. "Has the Fed been a failure?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 569-596.
    33. Heng, Dyna, 2011. "Does financial development reduce the motivation to hoard foreign reserves?," MPRA Paper 48555, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
    34. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Inflation Targeting and Nonlinear Policy Rules: The Case of Asymmetric Preferences (new title: The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences)," CESifo Working Paper Series 1280, CESifo.
    35. William Gatt, 2018. "Housing boom-bust cycles and asymmetric macroprudential policy," CBM Working Papers WP/02/2018, Central Bank of Malta.
    36. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.
    37. Ikeda, Taro, 2010. "Time-varying asymmetries in central bank preferences: The case of the ECB," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1054-1066, December.
    38. Hayat, Zafar & Balli, Faruk & Rehman, Muhammad, 2017. "The relevance and relative robustness of sources of inflation bias in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 283-303.
    39. Karin Mayr & Johann Scharler, 2009. "Asymmetric Fiscal Stabilization Policy and the Public Deficit: Theory and Evidence," Vienna Economics Papers vie0908, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
    40. Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2014. "Government Forecasts of Budget Balances Under Asymmetric Loss: International Evidence," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100317, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    41. Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2024. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in the Distribution of Inflation Expectations: Theory and Empirical Evidence from Nine Countries," Working Papers 24-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    42. Pontines, Victor & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2011. "Foreign exchange market intervention and reserve accumulation in emerging Asia: Is there evidence of fear of appreciation?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(3), pages 252-255, June.

  51. Surico, Paolo, 2003. "How does the ECB target inflation?," Working Paper Series 229, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Kai Carstensen, 2006. "Estimating the ECB Policy Reaction Function," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7(1), pages 1-34, February.
    2. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2007. "How the ECB and the US Fed set interest rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(17), pages 2197-2209.
    3. Beniamino Moro, 2005. "The economists "Manifesto" unemployment in the EU seven years later: which suggestions still hold?," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 58(233-234), pages 49-66.
    4. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Recovery will slow down," Kiel Discussion Papers 415, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Beniamino Moro, 2005. "Il “Manifesto” contro la disoccupazione nell’UE sette anni dopo: quali suggerimenti sono sempre attuali?," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 58(230-231), pages 51-69.
    6. Qin, Duo & Quising, Pilipinas & He, Xinhua & Liu, Shiguo, 2005. "Modeling monetary transmission and policy in China," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 157-175, March.
    7. Botzen, W.J. Wouter & Marey, Philip S., 2010. "Did the ECB respond to the stock market before the crisis?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 303-322, May.
    8. Matthew B. Canzoneri & Robert E. Cumby & Behzad T. Diba, 2006. "How Do Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interact in the European Monetary Union?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2004, pages 241-326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Fourcans, Andre & Vranceanu, Radu, 2007. "The ECB monetary policy: Choices and challenges," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 181-194.
    10. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004. "Euroland: Konjunktur verliert wieder an Fahrt," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 3371, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    11. Colavecchio, Roberta & Carstensen, Kai, 2004. "Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function?," Kiel Working Papers 1221, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Ansgar Belke & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke & Thorsten Polleit, 2005. "Back to the rules," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 268/2005, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    13. Duo QIN & Xinhua HE & Pilipinas QUISING & Shiguo LIU, 2010. "Modeling Monetary Policies in China (PRC)," EcoMod2004 330600115, EcoMod.
    14. lahlou, kamal, 2009. "Essai d’estimation de la fonction de réaction de Bank Al-Maghrib [Estimation of Bank Al-Maghrib Reaction Function]," MPRA Paper 98018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Fourçans, André & Vranceanu, Radu, 2006. "Is the ECB so special? A qualitative and quantitative analysis," ESSEC Working Papers DR 06004, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
    16. Gerberding, Christina & Worms, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2004. "How the Bundesbank really conducted monetary policy: An analysis based on real-time data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,25, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    17. Fourcans, Andre & Vranceanu, Radu, 2004. "The ECB interest rate rule under the Duisenberg presidency," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 579-595, September.

  52. Paolo Surico, 2002. "Uncovering Policy Makers' Loss Function," Macroeconomics 0210003, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Paolo Surico, 2004. "Measuring the Time-Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Macroeconomics 0401006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Petra Gerlach‐Kristen, 2009. "Outsiders at the Bank of England's MPC," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1115, September.

Articles

  1. Cloyne, James & Kurt, Ezgi & Surico, Paolo, 2025. "Who gains from corporate tax cuts?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Matteo Benetton & Alessandro Gavazza & Paolo Surico, 2025. "Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 115(3), pages 823-863, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Juan Antolin-Diaz & Paolo Surico, 2025. "The Long-Run Effects of Government Spending," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 115(7), pages 2376-2413, July.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexandr Burilkov & Katelyn Bushnell & Juan Majino-Lopez & Thomas Morgan & Guntram Wolff, 2025. "Bruegel-Kiel Report - Fit for War by 2030? European Rearmament Efforts vis-à-vis Russia," Working Papers ECARES 2025-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.

  4. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Maren Froemel & Paolo Surico, 2023. "Monetary Policy, Corporate Finance, and Investment," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(6), pages 2586-2634.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. James Cloyne & Joseba Martinez & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2023. "Do Tax Increases Tame Inflation?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 377-381, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Jonathon Hazell & Stephan Hobler, 2024. "Do Deficits Cause Inflation? A High Frequency Narrative Approach," Discussion Papers 2439, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    2. David, Antonio C. & Pienknagura, Samuel & Yépez, Juan F., 2025. "Can fiscal consolidations announcements help anchor inflation expectations?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).

  6. Bahaj, Saleem & Foulis, Angus & Pinter, Gabor & Surico, Paolo, 2022. "Employment and the residential collateral channel of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 26-44.

    Cited by:

    1. Ferrando, Annalisa & Vermeulen, Philip & Durante, Elena, 2020. "Monetary policy, investment and firm heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 2390, European Central Bank.
    2. Gareth Anderson & Saleem Bahaj & Matthieu Chavaz & Angus Foulis & Gabor Pinter, 2023. "Lending Relationships and the Collateral Channel," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(3), pages 851-887.
    3. Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, 2025. "The heterogeneous impact of monetary policy announcements on firms' financial outcomes," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), How can central banks take account of differences across households and firms for monetary policy?, volume 127, pages 295-330, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Dian & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "U.S. monetary policy: The pushing hands of crude oil price?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    5. Mayer, Pascal, 2025. "Going global, going digital: Firm internationalisation and digital resource use," Discussion Papers of the Institute for Organisational Economics 1/2025, University of Münster, Institute for Organisational Economics.
    6. Valentin Grob & Gabriel Züllig, 2024. "Corporate leverage and the effects of monetary policy on investment: A reconciliation of micro and macro elasticities," IRENE Working Papers 24-04, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    7. Priit Jeenas, 2023. "Firm balance sheet liquidity, monetary policy shocks, and investment dynamics," Economics Working Papers 1872, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

  7. Bilbiie, Florin O. & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo, 2022. "Capital and income inequality: An aggregate-demand complementarity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 154-169.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Hacıoğlu-Hoke, Sinem & Känzig, Diego R. & Surico, Paolo, 2021. "The distributional impact of the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2020. "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(1), pages 102-129.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou & Paolo Surico, 2019. "Regional Transfer Multipliers," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(5), pages 1901-1934.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Paolo Surico & Riccardo Trezzi, 2019. "Consumer Spending and Property Taxes," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 606-649.

    Cited by:

    1. Stähler, Nikolai, 2019. "Who benefits from using property taxes to finance a labor tax wedge reduction?," Discussion Papers 03/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    2. David James & Cordelia Onyinyechi Omodero & Helen Nwobodo & Festus Onosakponome Odhigu & Kingsley Aderemi Adeyemo, 2024. "Taxation and Consumers’ Spending Patterns in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Error Correction Model Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(3), pages 157-169, May.
    3. Shangfa Hou & Jiaying Wang & Degui Zhu, 2022. "Has the Newly Imposed Property Tax Controlled Housing Prices? An Analysis of China’s 2009–2020 Interprovincial Panel Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-18, November.
    4. Francis Wong, 2024. "Taxing Homeowners Who Won’t Borrow," CESifo Working Paper Series 11185, CESifo.
    5. James Cloyne & Clodomiro Ferreira & Paolo Surico, 2020. "Monetary Policy when Households have Debt: New Evidence on the Transmission Mechanism," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(1), pages 102-129.
    6. Luigi Marattin & Tommaso Nannicini & Francesco Porcelli, 2022. "Revenue vs expenditure based fiscal consolidation: the pass-through from federal cuts to local taxes," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(4), pages 834-872, August.
    7. Tommaso Oliviero & Annalisa Scognamiglio, 2016. "Property Tax and Property Values: Evidence from the 2012 Italian Tax Reform," CSEF Working Papers 439, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 12 Mar 2018.
    8. Deininger, Klaus W. & Ali, Daniel Ayalew & Bukin, Eduard & Martyn, Andrii, 2024. "Reforming Land Valuation and Taxation in Ukraine : A Path towards greater Sustainability Fairness, and Transparency," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10998, The World Bank.
    9. Corsetti, Giancarlo & Brendon, Charles, 2016. "COEURE Survey: Fiscal and Monetary Policies after the Crises," CEPR Discussion Papers 11088, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Edoardo Di Porto & Tommaso Oliviero & Annalisa Tirozzi, 2021. "The economic effects of immovable property taxation: A review of the Italian experience," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2021(1), pages 25-43.

  12. Bunn, Philip & Le Roux, Jeanne & Reinold, Kate & Surico, Paolo, 2018. "The consumption response to positive and negative income shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 1-15.

    Cited by:

    1. Richard McManus & F. Gulcin Ozkan & Dawid Trzeciakiewicz, 2021. "Why are Fiscal Multipliers Asymmetric? The Role of Credit Constraints," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(349), pages 32-69, January.
    2. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The role of households' borrowing constraints in the transmission of monetary policy," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403257, HAL.
    3. Corrado, Luisa & Silgado-Gómez, Edgar & Yoo, Donghoon & Waldmann, Robert, 2022. "Ambiguous economic news and heterogeneity: What explains asymmetric consumption responses?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Nuno Alves & Fátima Cardoso & Manuel Coutinho Pereira, 2025. "Response of consumers to wage shocks in the framework of the Portuguese assistance program," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 24(1), pages 5-33, January.
    5. Demetrio Guzzardi & Elisa Palagi & Tommaso Faccio & Andrea Roventini, 2023. "In search of lost time: An ensemble of policies to restore fiscal progressivity and address the climate challenge," LEM Papers Series 2023/28, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    6. Brancatelli, Calogero & Inderst, Roman, 2022. "Income and Consumption over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Matched Administrative Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 16883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Elisa Palagi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Jean-Luc Gaffard, 2023. "An agent-based model of trickle-up growth and income inequality," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04531031, HAL.
    8. Tullio Jappelli & Luigi Pistaferri, 2020. "Reported MPC and Unobserved Heterogeneity," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 275-297, November.
    9. Jonathan Kearns & Mike Major & David Norman, 2020. "How Risky is Australian Household Debt?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2020-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    10. Trivin, Pedro, 2020. "The wealth-consumption channel: Evidence from a panel of Spanish households," MPRA Paper 102079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Régis Barnichon & Davide Debortoli & Christian Matthes, 2020. "Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It's in the Sign," Working Paper Series 2021-01, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    12. Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff, 2022. "Household spending and fiscal support during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a new consumer survey," Working Paper Series 2643, European Central Bank.
    13. Sala, Hector & Trivín, Pedro, 2021. "Reported MPC in the Presence of Debt," IZA Discussion Papers 14210, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón & Rubio-Guerrero, Juan J., 2022. "The economic effects of fiscal policy: Further evidence for Spain," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 305-313.
    15. Maria Bas & Caroline Paunov, 2025. "Riders on the storm: How do firms navigate production and market conditions amid El Nino?," Post-Print hal-04910148, HAL.
    16. Andreas Fuster & Greg Kaplan & Basit Zafar, 2021. "What Would You Do with $500? Spending Responses to Gains, Losses, News, and Loans [The Spending and Debt Response to Minimum Wage Hikes]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(4), pages 1760-1795.
    17. Gert Peersman & Joris Wauters, 2022. "Heterogeneous household responses to energy price shocks," Working Paper Research 416, National Bank of Belgium.
    18. Milan van den Heuvel & Benjamin Vandermarliere & Koen Schoors, 2019. "The Asymmetric Response Of Consumption To Income Changes And The Effect Of Liquid Wealth," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/958, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    19. Greg Kaplan & Giovanni L. Violante, 2021. "The Marginal Propensity to Consume in Heterogeneous Agent Models," Working Papers 2021-9, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    20. Macaulay, Alistair, 2021. "The attention trap: Rational inattention, inequality, and fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    21. Fátima Cardoso & Manuel Coutinho Pereira & Nuno Alves, 2020. "Heterogeneous response of consumers to income shocks throughout a financial assistance program," Working Papers w202018, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    22. Ghosh, Anisha & Theloudis, Alexandros, 2023. "Consumption Partial Insurance in the Presence of Tail Income Risk," Discussion Paper 2023-024, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    23. Cariappa, AG Adeeth & Acharya, Kamlesh Kumar & Adhav, Chaitanya Ashok & Sendhil, R. & Ramasundaram, P., 2022. "COVID-19 induced lockdown effects on agricultural commodity prices and consumer behaviour in India – Implications for food loss and waste management," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).
    24. Sangyup Choi & Junhyeok Shin, 2022. "Household Indebtedness and the Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes," CAMA Working Papers 2022-56, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    25. Hanming Fang & Long Wang & Yang Yang, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior:Evidence from Xiong'an New Area in China," PIER Working Paper Archive 22-021, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    26. Javier López Segovia, 2023. "Consumption Commitments and Unemployment Insurance," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2023_458, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    27. Jeanne Commault, 2025. "Heterogeneity in MPC Beyond Liquidity Constraints: The Role of Permanent Earnings," Working Papers hal-03870685, HAL.
    28. Bertrand Garbinti & Pierre Lamarche & Charl lie Lecanu & Frédérique Savignac, 2020. "Wealth effect on consumption during the sovereign debt crisis: Households heterogeneity in the Euro area," Working papers 751, Banque de France.
    29. Song, Sang-yoon, 2022. "The heterogeneity of interest-induced MPC: Evidence from mortgage borrowers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 402-417.
    30. Crossley, Thomas F. & Fisher, Paul & Levell, Peter & Low, Hamish, 2023. "Stimulus payments and private transfers," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    31. Marco Ranaldi & Elisa Palagi, 2022. "Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics: The Compositional Inequality Perspective," LIS Working papers 848, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    32. Michael Gelman & Dan Silverman & Matthew Shapiro & Shachar Kariv, 2019. "Rational Illiquidity and Excess Sensitivity: Theory and Evidence from Income Tax Withholding and Refunds," 2019 Meeting Papers 542, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Fergus Cumming, 2019. "Mortgage Cash-flows and Employment," Discussion Papers 1922, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    34. Evlakhova, Yu. & Alifanova, E. & Tregubova, A., 2021. "Banks behavior patterns as a response to the population financial activity in the macroeconomic shocks in Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 74-95.
    35. Wadud, Mokhtarul & Ali Ahmed, Huson Joher & Tang, Xueli, 2020. "Factors affecting delinquency of household credit in the U.S.: Does consumer sentiment play a role?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    36. Jorge Miranda-Pino & Daniel Murphy & Kieran Walsh & Eric Young, 2020. "A Model of Expenditure Shocks," Working Papers 20-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    37. Chanda, Areendam & Cook, C. Justin, 2022. "Was India’s demonetization redistributive? Insights from satellites and surveys," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    38. Michael Gelman & Shachar Kariv & Matthew D. Shapiro & Dan Silverman, 2022. "Rational Illiquidity and Consumption: Theory and Evidence from Income Tax Withholding and Refunds," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(9), pages 2959-2991, September.
    39. Sang-yoon Song, 2019. "The Cash-Flow Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Mortgage Borrowers," Working Papers 2019-20, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    40. Thomas Crossley & Paul Fisher & Peter Levell & Hamish Low, 2021. "MPCs through COVID: spending, saving and private transfers," IFS Working Papers W21/03, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    41. Choi, Kyoung Jin & Jeon, Junkee & Koo, Hyeng Keun, 2022. "Intertemporal preference with loss aversion: Consumption and risk-attitude," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    42. Edmund Crawley & Andreas Kuchler, 2020. "Consumption Heterogeneity: Micro Drivers and Macro Implications," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-005, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    43. Bruno Albuquerque & Georgina Green, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England working papers 965, Bank of England.
    44. Eiji Fujii, 2024. "Currency concentration in sovereign debt, exchange rate cyclicality, and volatility in consumption," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(1), pages 169-192, February.
    45. Anna Sokolova, 2023. "Marginal Propensity to Consume and Unemployment: a Meta-analysis," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 813-846, December.
    46. J r my Boccanfuso, 2022. "Consumption Response Heterogeneity and Dynamics with an Inattention Region," Working Papers wp1172, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    47. Long, Shaobo & Zhang, Rui, 2022. "The asymmetric effects of international oil prices, oil price uncertainty and income on urban residents’ consumption in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 789-805.
    48. Apostolos Fasianos & Reamonn Lydon, 2022. "Do households with debt cut back their consumption more? New evidence from the United Kingdom," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 737-760, July.
    49. Yener Coskun & Nicholas Apergis & Esra Alp Coskun, 2022. "Nonlinear responses of consumption to wealth, income, and interest rate shocks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1293-1335, September.
    50. Fergus Cumming & Paul Hubert, 2019. "The Role of Households' Borrowing Constraints in the Transmission of Monetary Policy This paper investigates how the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy depends on the distribution of ," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2019-20, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    51. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel P. Murphy & Kieran Walsh & Eric Young, 2020. "Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus," Working Papers 20-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    52. Agnes Kovacs & Patrick Moran, 2019. "Temptation and commitment: understanding the demand for illiquidity," IFS Working Papers W19/18, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    53. Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Lewis, Vivien & Wehrhöfer, Nils, 2022. "Spending effects of child-related fiscal transfers," Discussion Papers 26/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    54. Thomas Crossley & Paul Fisher & Peter Levell & Hamish Low, 2021. "MPCs in an economic crisis: spending, saving and private transfers," IFS Working Papers W21/26, Institute for Fiscal Studies.

  13. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2018. "Policy uncertainty and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 319-331, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. James S. Cloyne & Paolo Surico, 2017. "Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 84(1), pages 45-81.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Faccini, Renato & Mumtaz, Haroon & Surico, Paolo, 2016. "International fiscal spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 31-45.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Juan Manuel Figueres, 2018. "Economic Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Booms and Busts," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0220, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    2. Désirée I Christofzik & Steffen Elstner, 2021. "International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: evidence from Germany," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(2), pages 578-600.
    3. Patrick Blagrave & Giang Ho & Ksenia Koloskova & Mr. Esteban Vesperoni, 2018. "Cross-Border Transmission of Fiscal Shocks: The Role of Monetary Conditions," IMF Working Papers 2018/103, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James, 2020. "Drawing Conclusions from Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified on the Basis of Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14271, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Chansik Yoon, 2020. "International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending," Working papers 2020rwp-179, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    6. Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena, 2020. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation," Working papers 752, Banque de France.
    7. Ilori, Ayobami E. & Paez-Farrell, Juan & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2022. "Fiscal policy shocks and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    8. Fabrice Dabiré & Hashmat Khan & Patrick Richard & Jean-François Rouillard, 2021. "Characterizing G-multipliers in Canada," Carleton Economic Papers 21-14, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 14 Mar 2023.
    9. Zhang, Wen, 2022. "China’s government spending and global inflation dynamics: The role of the oil price channel," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    10. Ong, Kian, 2018. "Do fiscal spending news shocks generate financial spillovers?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 46-49.
    11. Miranda-Pinto, Jorge & Murphy, Daniel & Walsh, Kieran James & Young, Eric R., 2023. "Saving constraints, inequality, and the credit market response to fiscal stimulus," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Kumar, Abhishek & Mallick, Sushanta & Sinha, Apra, 2024. "Fiscal spillover in emerging economies: Real versus financial channels," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    13. Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Dash, Pradyumna, 2019. "Dynamics of monetary policy spillover: The role of exchange rate regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 276-288.
    14. Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli, 2019. "The international transmission of US tax shocks: a proxy-SVAR approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1223, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    15. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel Murphy & Eric Young & Kieran Walsh, 2018. "Debt Burdens and the Interest Rate Response to Fiscal Stimulus: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence," 2018 Meeting Papers 936, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Vanessa Kunzmann, 2023. "Estimating Regime Dependent Fiscal Spillover Effects in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 227, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    17. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel Murphy & Kieran James Walsh & Eric R. Young, 2019. "Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence," Discussion Papers Series 609, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    18. Pierre‐Richard Agénor, 2024. "Global shocks, budgets deficits, and international fiscal policy coordination," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 1341-1363, August.
    19. Ferrara, Laurent & Metelli, Luca & Natoli, Filippo & Siena, Daniele, 2021. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    20. Natoli, Filippo & Metelli, Luca, 2018. "The international transmission of US fiscal shocks," MPRA Paper 84207, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Michael B. Devereux, 2018. "International Fiscal Spillovers: A Review Essay," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 34, pages 29-50.
    22. Jamie L. Cross & Chenghan Hou & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "International Transmission of Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Small Open Economies: An Empirical Approach," Working Papers No 12/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    23. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Drivers of international fiscal spillovers," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 1491-1536, November.
    24. García, Carlos J. & González, Wildo & Valenzuela, Gabriel, 2025. "The valuation of economic recovery: The case for investment-led fiscal spending policies in open economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    25. Wen Zhang, 2024. "The evolving international effects of China's government spending," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5), pages 1851-1869, May.
    26. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Ṣebnem Kalemli-Özcan & Veronika Penciakova & Nick Sander, 2021. "Fiscal Policy in the Age of COVID: Does it ‘Get in all of the Cracks?’," NBER Working Papers 29293, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Baumeister, Christiane & Hamilton, James D., 2021. "Reprint: Drawing conclusions from structural vector autoregressions identified on the basis of sign restrictions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    28. Stefano Grassi & Marco Lorusso & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2025. "Adaptive Importance Sampling Estimation of an Open Economy Model with Fiscal Policy," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS111, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    29. Jorge Miranda-Pinto & Daniel P. Murphy & Kieran Walsh & Eric Young, 2020. "Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus," Working Papers 20-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    30. Markus Eller & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2017. "How would a fiscal shock in Germany affect other European countries? Evidence from a Bayesian GVAR model with sign restrictions," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 54-77.
    31. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2024. "Tax shocks, firm entry, and productivity in the open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    32. Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso & Roberto Tamborini, 2021. "Monetary and Fiscal Spillovers Across the Atlantic: The Role of Financial Markets," DEM Working Papers 2021/09, Department of Economics and Management.

  16. Pierpaolo Benigno & Luca Antonio Ricci & Paolo Surico, 2015. "Unemployment and Productivity in the Long Run: The Role of Macroeconomic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 698-709, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  17. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2015. "The Transmission Mechanism In Good And Bad Times," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1237-1260, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Cogley, Timothy & Sargent, Thomas J. & Surico, Paolo, 2015. "Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-16.

    Cited by:

    1. Gerlach, Stefan & Stuart, Rebecca, 2025. "Have we under-estimated inflation persistence before WW1? US and international evidence," QUCEH Working Paper Series 25-05, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's University Centre for Economic History.
    2. James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century," CAMA Working Papers 2021-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Stefan Gerlach & Rebecca Stuart, 2021. "International Co-movements of Inflation, 1851-1913," IRENE Working Papers 21-02, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
    5. Hakan Berument & Ezequiel Cabezon & Richard Froyen, 2017. "A century and three-quarters of Bank Rate and long-term interest rates in the United Kingdom," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 26-47, March.
    6. Njindan Iyke, Bernard, 2016. "Are Monetary Policy Disturbances Important in Ghana? Some Evidence from Agnostic Identification," MPRA Paper 70205, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Pooyan Amir‐Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu‐Chun Wang, 2016. "Drifts and volatilities under measurement error: Assessing monetary policy shocks over the last century," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 591-611, July.
    8. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Trend, Seasonal, and Sectoral Inflation in the Euro Area," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 847, Central Bank of Chile.
    9. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Trend, Seasonal, and Sectoral Inflation in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2019-30, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    10. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Trani, Tommaso, 2019. "The cyclical structure of the UK inflation rate: 1210–2016," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 182-185.
    11. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2020. "Trend, Seasonal, and Sectorial Inflation in the Euro Area," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Gonzalo Castex & Jordi Galí & Diego Saravia (ed.),Changing Inflation Dynamics,Evolving Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 27, chapter 9, pages 317-344, Central Bank of Chile.

  19. Kanishka Misra & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Consumption, Income Changes, and Heterogeneity: Evidence from Two Fiscal Stimulus Programs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 6(4), pages 84-106, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Besley, Timothy & Meads, Neil & Surico, Paolo, 2014. "The incidence of transaction taxes: Evidence from a stamp duty holiday," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 61-70.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Roberto A. De Santis & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area [Bank capital, bank lending and monetary policy in the euro area]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 28(75), pages 423-457.

    Cited by:

    1. Jerome Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2013. "Assessing the Interest Rate and Bank Lending Channels of ECB Monetary Policies," Working papers wpaper34, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    2. Sepp, Tim Florian & Israel, Karl-Friedrich & Treitz, Benjamin & Hartl, Tom, 2024. "Monetary policy and the resilience of the German banking system: From Deutsche Bundesbank to ECB," Working Papers 180, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
    3. Pacicco, Fausto & Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2022. "The Euro Area credit crunch conundrum: Was it demand or supply driven?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    4. Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Petroulas, Pavlos & Spiliotopoulos, Vassilis & Tavlas, George S., 2020. "The effect of emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) on bank lending during the euro area crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    5. Bittner, Christian & Bonfim, Diana & Heider, Florian & Saidi, Farzad & Schepens, Glenn & Soares, Carla, 2022. "The augmented bank balance-sheet channel of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2745, European Central Bank.
    6. Nozawa, Wataru & Managi, Shunsuke, 2019. "Financial constraints of firms and bank characteristics," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 302-316.
    7. Kristina Bluwstein & Fabio Canova, 2016. "Beggar-Thy-Neighbor? The International Effects of ECB Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(3), pages 69-120, September.
    8. Sepp, Tim Florian & Israel, Karl-Friedrich & Treitz, Benjamin & Hartl, Tom, 2024. "Monetary policy and bank-type resilience in Germany from 1999 to 2022," Working Papers 181, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
    9. Dwyer, Gerald P. & Gilevska, Biljana & Nieto, Maria J. & Samartín, Margarita, 2023. "The effects of the ECB’s unconventional monetary policies from 2011 to 2018 on banking assets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Giebel, Marek & Kraft, Kornelius, 2018. "Bank credit supply and firm innovation," ZEW Discussion Papers 18-011, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    11. Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2019. "High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks," Papers 1912.03158, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    12. Caterina Mendicino, 2014. "House prices and expectations," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 12-15.
    13. Nasha Ananchotikul & Dulani Seneviratne, 2015. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia: The Role of Banks and the Effects of Financial Globalization," IMF Working Papers 2015/207, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Angel Ubide, 2014. "Is the European Central Bank Failing Its Price Stability Mandate?," Policy Briefs PB14-5, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    15. Rashid, Abdul & Hassan, M. Kabir & Shah, Muhammad Abdul Rehman, 2020. "On the role of Islamic and conventional banks in the monetary policy transmission in Malaysia: Do size and liquidity matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    16. De Santis, Roberto A. & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu, 2013. "A non-standard monetary policy shock: the ECB's 3-year LTROs and the shift in credit supply," Working Paper Series 1508, European Central Bank.
    17. Serati, Massimiliano & Venegoni, Andrea, 2019. "The cross-country impact of ECB policies: Asymmetries in – Asymmetries out?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 118-141.
    18. Fungáčová, Zuzana & Nuutilainen, Riikka & Weill, Laurent, 2016. "Reserve requirements and the bank lending channel in China," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 37-50.
    19. Gabriele Tondl, 2016. "Interest rates, corporate lending and growth in the Euro Area," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp227, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    20. Altavilla, Carlo & Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2016. "Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through," Working Paper Series 1978, European Central Bank.
    21. Mary M. Everett, 2015. "International liquidity shocks and the European sovereign debt crisis: Was euro area unconventional monetary policy successful?," FIW Working Paper series 143, FIW.
    22. Buchetti, Bruno & Miquel-Flores, Ixart & Fabrizi, Michele & Ipino, Elisabetta & Parbonetti, Antonio, 2025. "Organized crime and banks: assessing the effects of anti-mafia police actions on lending," Working Paper Series 3060, European Central Bank.
    23. Nasha Ananchotikul & Dulani Seneviratne, 2015. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia: The Role of Banks and the Effects of Financial Globalization," PIER Discussion Papers 7, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    24. Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Mathilde Viennot, 2015. "The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes," Working Papers hal-03459679, HAL.
    25. Andrea Venegoni & Massimiliano Serati, 2017. "The Symmetry of ECB Monetary Policy Impact Under Scrutiny: An Assessment," LIUC Papers in Economics 306, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
    26. Anne Kathrin Funk, 2019. "Quantitative easing in the euro area and SMEs' access to finance: Who benefits the most?," IHEID Working Papers 02-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    27. Khosravi, Taha, 2015. "The Impact of a Low Interest Rate Environment: Empirical Evidence from the Euro Area Bank Lending Survey," MPRA Paper 67363, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    28. Meriläinen, Jari-Mikko, 2016. "Lending growth during the financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis: The role of bank ownership type," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 168-182.
    29. Lauritzen, Jacob Bratshaug, 2022. "One size fits all? Effects of the zero lower bound on bank lending across countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    30. Nektarios A. Michail & Demetris Koursaros & Christos S. Savva, 2016. "The Lack of Persistence of Interest Rate Changes on Banks’ Lending and Risk Taking Behaviour," Working Papers 2016-1, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    31. Martin Guth, 2018. "Heterogeneous Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Loan Demand and Supply. Insights from the Bank Lending Survey," Papers 1807.04161, arXiv.org.
    32. A. Burietz & L. Ureche-Rangau, 2020. "Better the devil you know: Home and sectoral biases in bank lending," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 69-85.
    33. Beck, Günter Wilfried & Kotz, Hans-Helmut & Zabelina, Natalia, 2016. "Lost in translation? ECB's monetary impulses and financial intermediaries' responses," SAFE White Paper Series 36, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    34. Anne Kathrin Funk, 2018. "Quantitative easing in the euro area and SMEs’ access to finance: Who benefits the most?," KOF Working papers 18-447, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    35. Paloma Lopez-Garcia & Filippo di Mauro, 2014. "Assessing competitiveness: initial results from the new compnet micro-based database," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 2-7.
    36. Grandi, Pietro, 2019. "Sovereign stress and heterogeneous monetary transmission to bank lending in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 251-273.
    37. Pietro Grandi, 2018. "Sovereign risk and cross-country heterogeneity in the transmission of monetary policy to bank lending in the euro area," Working Papers hal-01878602, HAL.
    38. Elroi Hadad & Thai Hong Le & Anh Tram Luong, 2024. "Quantile Spillovers and Connectedness Between Real Estate Investment Trust, the Housing Market, and Investor Sentiment," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-22, November.
    39. Altavilla, Carlo & Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2020. "Mending the broken link: Heterogeneous bank lending rates and monetary policy pass-through," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 81-98.
    40. Md Gyasuddin Ansari & Rudra Sensarma, 2023. "The role of liquidity in monetary policy transmission: Evidence from Indian banks," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 439-458, November.
    41. Paolo Giudici & Laura Parisi, 2015. "Dynamic hierarchical models for monetary transmission," DEM Working Papers Series 112, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    42. Ouerk, Salima & Boucher, Christophe & Lubochinsky, Catherine, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy in the Euro Area: Shadow rate and light effets," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    43. Tomas Adam & Oxana Babecka Kucharcukova & Jan Babecky & Vojtech Belling & Sona Benecka & Jan Bruha & Kamil Galuscak & Tomas Holub & Eva Hromadkova & Lubos Komarek & Zlatuse Komarkova & Kamila Kulhava , 2015. "Analyses of the Czech Republic's Current Economic Alignment with the Euro Area 2015," Occasional Publications - Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number as15 edited by Kamila Kulhava & Lucie Matejkova, July.
    44. Sebastian Schmidt, 2014. "Dealing with a liquidity trap when government debt matters," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 21, pages 8-11.
    45. Samarina, Anna & Zhang, Lu & Bezemer, Dirk, 2017. "Credit cycle coherence in the eurozone: Was there a euro effect?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 77-98.
    46. Adalgiso Amendola & Cristian Barra & Marinella Boccia & Anna Papaccio, 2021. "Market Structure and Financial Stability: the Interaction between Profit-Oriented and Mutual Cooperative Banks in Italy," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 235-259, December.
    47. Gbore O. Olubukola & Simon-Oke O. Olayemi, 2020. "Empirical Analysis of Monetary Policy Channels and the Nigerian Economy," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 10(2), pages 116-132.
    48. Ferri, Giovanni & Kalmi, Panu & Kerola, Eeva, 2014. "Does bank ownership affect lending behavior? Evidence from the Euro area," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 194-209.

  22. Roberto A. De Santis & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Bank lending and monetary transmission in the euro area [Bank capital, bank lending and monetary policy in the euro area]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 28(75), pages 423-457.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2013. "Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 375-419.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2012. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, November.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2012. "Evolving International Inflation Dynamics: World And Country-Specific Factors," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(4), pages 716-734, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio Canova & Luca Gambetti & Evi Pappa, 2006. "The structural dynamics of output growth and inflation: some international evidence," Economics Working Papers 971, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Aug 2006.
    2. Jaromir Baxa & Miroslav Plasil & Borek Vasicek, 2013. "Inflation and the Steeplechase Between Economic Activity Variables," Working Papers 2013/15, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    3. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Financial integration or financial fragmentation? A euro area perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    4. Gert Peersman, 2022. "International Food Commodity Prices and Missing (Dis)Inflation in the Euro Area," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 85-100, March.
    5. Michal Brzoza-Brzezina & Jesús Crespo-Cuaresma, 2007. "Mr. Wicksell and the global economy: What drives real interest rates?," Working Papers 2007-06, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    6. Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Working Papers No 05/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    7. Cepni, Oguzhan & Clements, Michael P., 2024. "How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 160-183.
    8. Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2013. "Synchronization and Changes in International Inflation Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 4194, CESifo.
    9. Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin & Kirsten Lommatzsch & Jirka Slacalek & Przemyslaw Wozniak, 2007. "Price convergence in the enlarged internal market," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 292, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    10. Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
    11. Sentana, Enrique & Galesi, Alessandro, 2015. "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Raphael Auer & Claudio Borio & Andrew J. Filardo, 2017. "The Globalisation of Inflation: the Growing Importance of Global Value Chains," Globalization Institute Working Papers 300, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    13. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2010. "Tracking U.S. inflation expectations with domestic and global indicators," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1340-1356, November.
    14. Friedrich, Christian, 2016. "Global inflation dynamics in the post-crisis period: What explains the puzzles?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 31-34.
    15. Bobeica, Elena & Jarociński, Marek, 2017. "Missing disinflation and missing inflation," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 30.
    16. Patrick Blagrave, 2020. "Inflation co-movement in emerging and developing Asia: the monsoon effect," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(15), pages 1277-1283, September.
    17. Nagayasu, Jun, 2013. "Co-movements in Real Effective Exchange Rates: Evidence from the Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-66, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    18. Eickmeier, Sandra & Kühnlenz, Markus, 2013. "China's role in global inflation dynamics," Discussion Papers 07/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    19. Marco Del Negro & Christopher Otrok, 2008. "Dynamic factor models with time-varying parameters: measuring changes in international business cycles," Staff Reports 326, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    20. Bian, Zhicun & Ma, Jun & Ni, Jinlan & Stewart, Shamar, 2020. "Synchronization of regional growth dynamics in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    21. Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas & Francesco Zanetti, 2018. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Working Paper series 18-19, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    22. Raphael A. Auer & Aaron Mehrotra, 2014. "Trade linkages and the globalisation of inflation in Asia and the Pacific," Working Papers 2014-05, Swiss National Bank.
    23. Kose, M. Ayhan & Ha, Jongrim & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2021. "One-Stop Source: A Global Database of Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 16327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    24. Sekine, Toshitaka, 2009. "Another look at global disinflation," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 220-239, June.
    25. Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2014. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with International Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 723, Central Bank of Chile.
    26. Francesco Bianchi & Andrea Civelli, 2014. "Online Appendix to "Globalization and Inflation: Evidence from a Time Varying VAR"," Online Appendices 13-184, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    27. Korobilis, Dimitris & Schröder, Maximilian, 2025. "Monitoring multi-country macroeconomic risk: A quantile factor-augmented vector autoregressive (QFAVAR) approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
    28. Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015. "What drives the global interest rate," Globalization Institute Working Papers 241, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    29. Marcel Förster & Markus Jorra & Peter Tillmann, 2012. "The Dynamics of International Capital Flows: Results from a Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Model," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201221, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    30. Lilian Muchimba & Mimoza Shabani & Alexis Stenfors & Jan Toporowski, 2024. "Decomposing the Rate of Inflation: Price-Setting and Monetary Policy," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2024-04, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    31. Luis J. Álvarez & Maria Dolores Gadea & Ana Gómez‐Loscos, 2021. "Inflation comovements in advanced economies: Facts and drivers," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 485-509, February.
    32. Silvio Contessi & Pierangelo De Pace & Li Li, 2014. "An international perspective on the recent behavior of inflation," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 96(3), pages 267-294.
    33. Hülya Saygılı, 2020. "The nature of trade, global production fragmentation and inflationary dynamics: Cross‐country evidence," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(7), pages 2007-2031, July.
    34. Joshua C.C. Chan & Angelia L. Grant, 2014. "Issues in Comparing Stochastic Volatility Models Using the Deviance Information Criterion," CAMA Working Papers 2014-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    35. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2022. "The Role of Global and Domestic Shocks for Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Asia," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1181-1208, October.
    36. Parker, Miles, 2018. "How global is “global inflation”?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 174-197.
    37. Winkelmann, Lars & Netsunajev, Aleksei, 2015. "International Transmissions of Inflation Expectations in a Markov Switching Structural VAR Model," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112900, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    38. Aleksandra Halka & Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Determinants of low inflation in emerging, small open economy. Comparison of aggregated and disaggregated approaches," EcoMod2017 10560, EcoMod.
    39. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2022. "Drivers of Turkish inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 315-323.
    40. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Heterogeneity, co-movements and financial fragmentation within the euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 927, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    41. Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.
    42. Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2009. "International comovements, business cycle and inflation: a historical perspective," Discussion Papers 28, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
    43. Ergemen, Yunus Emre, 2022. "Forecasting inflation rates with multi-level international dependence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    44. Sandra Eickmeier & Wolfgang Lemke & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(3), pages 493-533, June.
    45. Allayioti, Anastasia & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2024. "The role of comovement and time-varying dynamics in forecasting commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2901, European Central Bank.
    46. David Finck & Peter Tillmann, 2019. "The Role of Global and Domestic Shocks for Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Asia," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2019_022, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    47. Guido Ascari & Luca Fosso, 2021. "The Inflation Rate Disconnect Puzzle: On the International Component of Trend Inflation and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve," Working Papers 733, DNB.
    48. Christophe Blot & Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance & Francesco Saraceno, 2014. "Assessing the link between price and financial stability," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2014-02, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    49. Saverio Simonelli & Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "A Historical Perspective on International Co-movements: 1821-2007," 2009 Meeting Papers 523, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    50. Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2015. "Forecasting with VAR Models: Fat Tails and Stochastic Volatility," CReMFi Discussion Papers 2, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
    51. Carlos A. Medel & Michael Pedersen & Pablo M. Pincheira, 2016. "The Elusive Predictive Ability of Global Inflation," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 120-146, June.
    52. Tino Berger & Sibylle Grabert & Bernd Kempa, 2016. "Global and Country-Specific Output Growth Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(5), pages 694-716, October.
    53. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    54. F. Ferroni & B. Klaus, 2014. "Euro Area business cycles in turbulent times: convergence or decoupling?," Working papers 522, Banque de France.
    55. Aharon, David Y. & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2022. "Infection, invasion, and inflation: Recent lessons," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    56. Eric Girardin & Cheikh Sall, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics of Franc-Zone Countries Determinants, Co-movements and Spatial Interactions," Post-Print hal-01985975, HAL.
    57. Henriksen, Espen & Kydland, Finn E. & Šustek, Roman, 2013. "Globally correlated nominal fluctuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(6), pages 613-631.
    58. Alesina, Alberto Francesco, 2008. "Comments on "When Do Policy Reforms Work?' by Daron Acemoglu et al," Scholarly Articles 12553722, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    59. Ha,Jongrim & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2019. "Understanding Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8761, The World Bank.
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  27. Haroon Mumtaz & Saverio Simonelli & Paolo Surico, 2011. "International Comovements, Business Cycle and Inflation: a Historical Perspective," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 176-198, January.
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    7. Levant, Jared & Ma, Jun, 2016. "Investigating United Kingdom's monetary policy with Macro-Factor Augmented Dynamic Nelson–Siegel models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 117-127.
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    36. Kagraoka, Yusho & Moussa, Zakaria, 2013. "Quantitative easing, credibility and the time-varying dynamics of the term structure of interest rate in Japan," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 181-201.
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    40. Rogier Quaedvlieg & Peter Schotman, 2022. "Hedging Long-Term Liabilities [Pricing the Term Structure with Linear Regressions]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 20(3), pages 505-538.
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    44. Meredith J. Beechey, 2008. "Lowering the anchor: how the Bank of England's inflation-targeting policies have shaped inflation expectations and perceptions of inflation risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-44, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    54. Yasmeen Bayaa & Mahmoud Qadan, 2024. "Interest rate uncertainty and the shape of the yield curve of U.S. treasury bonds," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(4), pages 981-1003, December.
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  31. Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  32. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Time-varying yield curve dynamics and monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(6), pages 895-913.
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  33. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2009. "VAR Analysis and the Great Moderation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1636-1652, September.
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  34. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2009. "The Transmission of International Shocks: A Factor-Augmented VAR Approach," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(s1), pages 71-100, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Feldkircher, Martin & Gruber, Thomas & Huber, Florian, 2017. "Spreading the word or reducing the term spread? Assessing spillovers from euro area monetary policy," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168111, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Hilde C. Bjørnland & J rn I. Halvorsen, 2010. "How does monetary policy respond to exchange rate movements? New international evidence," Working Papers No 1/2010, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    3. Sungurtekin Hallam, Bahar, 2022. "Emerging market responses to external shocks: A cross-country analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    4. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019. "Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters," Papers 1908.06325, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
    5. Georgios Georgiadis, 2016. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences in Spillover Estimates from Bilateral and Multilateral Multi-country Models," EcoMod2016 9145, EcoMod.
    6. Özer Karagedikli & Ryan, Michael & Daan Steenkamp & Tugrul Vehbi, 2013. "What happens when the Kiwi flies? Sectoral effects of the exchange rate shocks," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2013/05, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    7. Eickmeier, Sandra & Lemke, Wolfgang & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011. "Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2024. "Rate Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2402, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    9. Harald Uhlig & Pooyan Amir Ahmadi, 2012. "Measuring The Dynamic Effects Of Monetary Policy Shocks: A Bayesian Favar Approach With Sign Restriction," 2012 Meeting Papers 1060, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Raphael Auer & Claudio Borio & Andrew J. Filardo, 2017. "The Globalisation of Inflation: the Growing Importance of Global Value Chains," Globalization Institute Working Papers 300, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    11. Vasishtha, Garima & Maier, Philipp, 2013. "The impact of the global business cycle on small open economies: A FAVAR approach for Canada," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 191-207.
    12. Lian An & Xiaomei Ren & Huimin Li & Jing Xu, 2017. "Exchange Rate And Us Macroeconomy: Evidence From The Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Model," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(02), pages 483-508, June.
    13. Laumer, Sebastian, 2020. "Government spending and heterogeneous consumption dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    14. Signe Rosenberg, 2020. "Conventional and unconventional monetary policies: effects on the Finnish housing market," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 20(2), pages 170-186.
    15. Mountford, Andrew & Wadswoirth, Jonathan, 2024. "Immigration, Demand, Supply and Sectoral Heterogeneity in the UK Labor Market: A Time Series Approach," MPRA Paper 122836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Carvallo, Oscar & Pagliacci, Carolina, 2016. "Macroeconomic shocks, bank stability and the housing market in Venezuela," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 174-196.
    17. Wenting Liao & Jun Ma & Chengsi Zhang, 2023. "Identifying exchange rate effects and spillovers of US monetary policy shocks in the presence of time‐varying instrument relevance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 989-1006, November.
    18. Rosenberg, Signe, 2019. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on house prices in the Scandinavian countries," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    19. Shen, Yifan & Gu, Ziping & Abeysinghe, Tilak & Shi, Xunpeng, 2025. "Revisiting the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic performance: An international perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    20. Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2015. "What drives the global interest rate," Globalization Institute Working Papers 241, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    21. Porshakov, A. & Ponomarenko, A. & Sinyakov, A., 2016. "Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 60-76.
    22. Zeyyad Mandalinci & Haroon Mumtaz, 2019. "Global Economic Divergence and Portfolio Capital Flows to Emerging Markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1713-1730, September.
    23. Akbari Dehbaghi, Simin & Arman, Seyed Aziz & Ahangari, Majid, 2020. "The Impact of Domestic and Foreign Monetary Policy on Iran\'s economy: Global Modeling," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 15(2), pages 151-180, April.
    24. Georgiadis, Georgios, 2017. "To bi, or not to bi? Differences between spillover estimates from bilateral and multilateral multi-country models," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-18.
    25. Gill Hammond, 2012. "State of the art of inflation targeting," Handbooks, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England, edition 4, number 29, April.
    26. Chevallier, Julien, 2011. "Macroeconomics, finance, commodities: Interactions with carbon markets in a data-rich model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 557-567, January.
    27. Steven Wei Ho & Ji Zhang & Hao Zhou, 2018. "Hot Money and Quantitative Easing: The Spillover Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on the Chinese Economy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1543-1569, October.
    28. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Wolfgang Lemke & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(4), pages 573-601, June.
    29. Yifan Shen & Tilak Abeysinghe, 2021. "International Transmission Mechanism And World Business Cycle," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(1), pages 510-531, January.
    30. Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2018. "International Propagation of Shocks: A Dynamic Factor Model Using Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 2018-04, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2018.
    31. Juan José Echavarría & Andr�s Gonz�lez & Enrique L�pez & Norberto Rodr�guez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66.
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    79. Shen, Yifan & Shi, Xunpeng & Zeng, Ting, 2017. "Global Uncertainty, Macroeconomic Activity and Commodity Price," MPRA Paper 90089, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Nov 2018.
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    81. Oviedo Gómez, Andrés Felipe & Sierra, Lya Paola, 2019. "The importance of terms of trade in the Colombian economy," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    82. Iacovos Ioannou, 2018. "Housing Price, Credit, and Output Cycles: How Domestic and External Shocks Impact Lithuania's Credit," IMF Working Papers 2018/160, International Monetary Fund.
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    86. Baharudin, Azfar Hilmi, 2018. "A Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Analysis of Price and Industrial Shocks on the Malaysian Economy," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(3), pages 191-204.
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    88. Guidolin, Massimo & Hansen, Erwin & Pedio, Manuela, 2019. "Cross-asset contagion in the financial crisis: A Bayesian time-varying parameter approach," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 83-114.
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    93. Truong, Chi & Sheen, Jeffrey & Trück, Stefan & Villafuerte, James, 2022. "Early warning systems using dynamic factor models: An application to Asian economies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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    95. Laumer, Sebastian & Violaris, Andreas-Entony, 2024. "Unconventional monetary policy and policy foresight," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    96. Hu, Ruiyang & Wang, Jian & Yang, Yibai & Zheng, Zhijie, 2024. "Inflation and income inequality in an open-economy growth model with liquidity constraints on R&D," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
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    105. Oviedo Gómez, Andrés Felipe & Sierra, Lya Paola, 2019. "Importancia de los términos de intercambio en la economía colombiana," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    106. Anastasios Evgenidis & Dionisis Philippas & Costas Siriopoulos, 2019. "Heterogeneous effects in the international transmission of the US monetary policy: a factor-augmented VAR perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1549-1579, May.
    107. Oladunni, Sunday, 2019. "External Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Oil-exporting Small Open Economies: The Case of Nigeria," MPRA Paper 98639, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    108. Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2013. "Global and regional business cycles. Shocks and propagations," Working Paper 2013/08, Norges Bank.
    109. Petrovska Magdalena & Tonovska Jasna & Nikolov Miso & Sulejmani Artan, 2022. "Evaluating Monetary Policy Effectiveness in North Macedonia: Evidence from a Bayesian Favar Framework," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 67-82, December.
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  35. Surico, Paolo, 2008. "The Cost Channel Of Monetary Policy And Indeterminacy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(5), pages 724-735, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Guido Ascari & Tiziano Ropele, 2009. "Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle, and Indeterminacy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(8), pages 1557-1584, December.
    2. Peter N. Ireland, 2012. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Interest on Reserves," NBER Working Papers 18409, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Stephen McKnight, 2015. "Are consumption taxes preferable to income taxes in preventing macroeconomic instability?," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2015-04, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
    4. Smith, A. Lee, 2016. "When does the cost channel pose a challenge to inflation targeting central banks?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 471-494.
    5. Lasitha R. C. Pathberiya, 2016. "Optimal Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates in a Cost Channel Economy," Discussion Papers Series 568, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    6. Giovanni MELINA & Stefania VILLA, 2012. "Fiscal policy and lending relationships," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces12.06, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    7. Llosa Gonzalo & Tuesta Vicente, 2007. "Learning about Monetary Policy Rules when the Cost Channel Matters," Working Papers 2007-014, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    8. Airaudo, Marco & Cardani, Roberta & Lansing, Kevin J., 2013. "Monetary policy and asset prices with belief-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1453-1478.
    9. Zineddine Alla, 2017. "Optimal policies in international macroeconomics [Politiques optimales en macroéconomie internationale]," SciencePo Working papers Main tel-03436551, HAL.
    10. Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2014. "Credit Market Distortions, Asset Prices And Monetary Policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 631-650, April.
    11. Enrico S. Levrero, 2019. "Estimates of the Natural Rate of Interest and the Stance of Monetary Policies: A Critical Assessment," Working Papers Series 88, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
    12. Kitney, Paul, 2018. "Financial factors and monetary policy: Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 194-207.
    13. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2009. "Testing the structural interpretation of the price puzzle with a cost channel model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 20/2009, Bank of Finland.
    14. Rannenberg, Ansgar, 2009. "The Taylor Principle and (In-) Determinacy in a New Keynesian Model with hiring Frictions and Skill Loss," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-48, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    15. Chrysanthopoulou, Xakousti, 2021. "Banks’ internalization effect and equilibrium," MPRA Paper 109275, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ida, Daisuke & Kaminoyama, Kenichi, 2025. "Effect of a cost channel on monetary policy transmission in a behavioral new Keynesian model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29, pages 1-1, January.
    17. David Finck, 2022. "Optimal Monetary Policy UnderHeterogeneous Beliefs," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202243, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    18. Romina Bafile & Alessandro Piergallini, 2017. "Firms’ money demand and monetary policy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 350-382, August.
    19. Marco Airaudo & Luca Bossi, 2017. "Consumption Externalities And Monetary Policy With Limited Asset Market Participation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(1), pages 601-623, January.
    20. Lasitha R.C. Pathberiya, 2018. "Interest Rate Rules, Forward Guidance Rules and the Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates in a Cost Channel Economy," Discussion Papers Series 592, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    21. Chrysanthopoulou Xakousti & Mylonidis Nikolaos & Sidiropoulos Moise, 2024. "Regulatory capital requirements, inflation targeting, and equilibrium determinacy," Working Papers of BETA 2024-05, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    22. Ida, Daisuke, 2023. "Cost channel, determinacy, and monetary policy in a two-country new Keynesian model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    23. Ida, Daisuke, 2024. "Household heterogeneity and the price puzzle in a new Keynesian model," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    24. Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S Basso & Javier Coto Matinez, 2009. "Liquidity Effects and Cost Channels in Monetary Transmission," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0902, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
    25. Peter Tillmann, 2009. "Optimal Monetary Policy with an Uncertain Cost Channel," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(5), pages 885-906, August.
    26. Jochen Michaelis, 2012. "Optimal Monetary Policy in a Currency Union: The Role of the Cost Channel," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201203, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    27. Schmidt Sebastian, 2011. "The Cost Channel, Indeterminacy, and Price-Level versus Inflation Stabilization," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, January.
    28. Marco Airaudo, 2012. "Endogenous Dollarization, Sovereign Risk Premia and the Taylor Principle," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2012-11, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
    29. Westermeier Andreas, 2010. "The Cost Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 5(1), pages 19-23, April.
    30. Totzek, Alexander, 2011. "Banks, oligopolistic competition, and the business cycle: A new financial accelerator approach," Economics Working Papers 2011-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    31. Malikane, Christopher, 2012. "Inflation dynamics and the cost channel in emerging markets," MPRA Paper 42688, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. Bask, Mikael & Proaño, Christian R, 2012. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Learning in a New Keynesian Model with Cost Channel and Inflation Inertia," Working Paper Series 2012:7, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.

  36. Haroon Mumtaz & Paolo Surico, 2008. "International influences on domestic prices and activities: a FAVAR approach to open economy," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).

    Cited by:

    1. Montinari, Letizia & Stracca, Livio, 2016. "Trade, finance or policies: What drives the cross-border spill-over of business cycles?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 131-148.

  37. Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  38. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Insiders versus Outsiders in Monetary Policymaking," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 218-223, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  39. Paolo Surico, 2008. "Measuring the Time Inconsistency of US Monetary Policy," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 75(297), pages 22-38, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  40. Surico, Paolo, 2007. "The Fed's monetary policy rule and U.S. inflation: The case of asymmetric preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 305-324, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Riboni, Alessandro & Ruge-Murcia, Francisco J., 2020. "The Power of the Federal Reserve Chair," CEPR Discussion Papers 14878, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. ZHENG, Tingguo & WANG, Xia & GUO, Huiming, 2012. "Estimating forward-looking rules for China's Monetary Policy: A regime-switching perspective," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 47-59.
    4. Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    5. Stefano d'Addona & Ilaria Musumeci, 2012. "The British opt-out from the European Monetary Union: empirical evidence from monetary policy rules," CEIS Research Paper 225, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 26 Mar 2012.
    6. Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 26/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    7. Virginie Boinet & Christopher Martin, 2008. "Targets, zones, and asymmetries: a flexible nonlinear model of recent UK monetary policy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(3), pages 423-439, July.
    8. Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201302, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    9. Riboni, Alessandro & Ruge-Murcia, Francisco, 2014. "Dissent in monetary policy decisions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 137-154.
    10. Sorić, Petar & Lolić, Ivana & Claveria, Oscar & Monte, Enric & Torra, Salvador, 2019. "Unemployment expectations: A socio-demographic analysis of the effect of news," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 64-74.
    11. Chesang, Laban K. & Naraidoo, Ruthira, 2016. "Parameter uncertainty and inflation dynamics in a model with asymmetric central bank preferences," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-10.
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    2. ZHENG, Tingguo & WANG, Xia & GUO, Huiming, 2012. "Estimating forward-looking rules for China's Monetary Policy: A regime-switching perspective," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 47-59.
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    4. Sznajderska, Anna, 2014. "Asymmetric effects in the Polish monetary policy rule," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 547-556.
    5. Donato Masciandaro, 2023. "How Elastic and Predictable Money Should Be: Flexible Monetary Policy Rules from the Great Moderation to the New Normal Times (1993-2023)," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23196, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    6. Szomolányi, Karol & Lukáčik, Martin & Lukáčiková, Adriana, 2022. "Asymmetric Reactions of Retail Gasoline Prices on the Changes in Crude Oil Prices in Chosen US Cities," Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference (2022), Hybrid Conference, Opatija, Croatia, in: Proceedings of the ENTRENOVA - ENTerprise REsearch InNOVAtion Conference, Hybrid Conference, Opatija, Croatia, 17-18 June 2022, pages 9-15, IRENET - Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, Zagreb.
    7. Philipp Hartman & Frank Smets, 2018. "The European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy during Its First 20 Years," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 1-146.
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    9. Cecion, Martina & Coenen, Günter & Gerke, Rafael & Le Bihan, Hervé & Motto, Roberto & Aguilar, Pablo & Ajevskis, Viktors & Giesen, Sebastian & Albertazzi, Ugo & Gilbert, Niels & Al-Haschimi, Alexander, 2021. "The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges," Occasional Paper Series 269, European Central Bank.
    10. Pei-Fen, Chen & Mei-Ping, Chen & Min-Syu, Lin & Chingnun, Lee, 2025. "Cross-border transmission effect of China's monetary policy on the exchange rate of Asia-Pacific economies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
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    12. Borek Vasicek, 2010. "Is Monetary Policy in New Members States Asymmetric?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1005, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
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    16. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Raputsoane, Leroi, 2011. "Optimal monetary policy reaction function in a model with target zones and asymmetric preferences for South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 251-258.
    17. Maritta Paloviita & Markus Haavio & Pirkka Jalasjoki & Juha Kilponen, 2021. "What Does "Below, but Close to, 2 Percent" Mean? Assessing the ECB's Reaction Function with Real-Time Data," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 125-169, June.
    18. Michael Arghyrou, 2009. "Monetary policy before and after the euro: evidence from Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 621-643, June.
    19. Wang, Xia & Zheng, Tingguo & Zhu, Yanli, 2014. "Money–output Granger causal dynamics in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 192-200.
    20. Esther Barros-Campello & Carlos Pateiro-Rodríguez & J. Venancio Salcines-Cristal & Carlos Pateiro-López, 2017. "El esquema de objetivos de inflación: Evidencia para América Latina (1999-2015)," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2 Year 20), pages 223-250, December.
    21. Castro, Vitor, 2008. "Are Central Banks following a linear or nonlinear (augmented) Taylor rule?," Economic Research Papers 269883, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    22. Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Monetary Policy Rules in the BRICS: How Important is Nonlinearity?," NIPE Working Papers 18/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    23. Tomáš Heryán & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes & Roman Matousek, 2016. "European lending channel: differences in transmission mechanisms due to the global financial crisis," Working Papers 0027, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    24. Timothy Cogley & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Thomas J. Sargent, 2010. "Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 43-69, January.
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    26. Vítor, Castro, 2011. "Can central banks' monetary policy be described by a linear (augmented) Taylor rule or by a nonlinear rule?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 228-246, December.
    27. Arghyrou, Michael G. & Gadea, Maria Dolores, 2012. "The single monetary policy and domestic macro-fundamentals: Evidence from Spain," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 16-34.
    28. Joice John, 2015. "Has Inflation Persistence In India Changed Over Time?," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 60(04), pages 1-16.
    29. Arghyrou, Michael G. & Pourpourides, Panayiotis, 2016. "Inflation announcements and asymmetric exchange rate responses," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 80-84.
    30. Heryán, Tomáš & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2017. "The bank lending channel of monetary policy in EU countries during the global financial crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 10-22.
    31. Pranjal Rawat & Naveen Srinivasan, 2020. "Inflation Targeting in the United Kingdom: Is there evidence for Asymmetric Preferences?," Working Papers 2020-196, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    32. Tomáš Heryán & Iveta Palečková & Nemanja Radić, 2015. "Comparison of monetary policy effects on lending channel in EMU and non-EMU countries: Evidence from period 1999-2012," Working Papers 0003, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    33. Ikeda, Taro, 2010. "Time-varying asymmetries in central bank preferences: The case of the ECB," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1054-1066, December.
    34. Neuenkirch, Matthias & Tillmann, Peter, 2014. "Inflation targeting, credibility, and non-linear Taylor rules," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 30-45.
    35. Klose, Jens, 2011. "Asymmetric Taylor reaction functions of the ECB: An approach depending on the state of the economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 149-163, August.
    36. Paloviita, Maritta & Haavio, Markus & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha, 2017. "What does "below, but close to, two percent" mean? Assessing the ECB's reaction function with real time data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 29/2017, Bank of Finland.
    37. Komlan, Fiodendji, 2013. "The asymmetric reaction of monetary policy to inflation and the output gap: Evidence from Canada," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 911-923.
    38. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2016. "Monetary policy shocks and Cholesky VARs: an assessment for the Euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 383-414, March.
    39. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    40. Fourçans, André & Vranceanu, Radu, 2008. "Money in the Inflation Equation: the Euro Area Evidence," ESSEC Working Papers DR 08012, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.

  42. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2004. "Model Uncertainty, Optimal Monetary Policy and the Preferences of the Fed," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 51(1), pages 105-126, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Timothy Kim & Kirdan Lees & Philip Liu, 2006. "Uncovering the Hit-list for Small Inflation Targeters: A Bayesian Structural Analysis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2006/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Sánchez, Marcelo, 2010. "What does South Korean inflation targeting target?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 526-539, December.
    3. Masciandaro, Donato, 2022. "Independence, conservatism, and beyond: Monetary policy, central bank governance and central banker preferences (1981–2021)," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    4. Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2017. "Can we Identify the Fed's Preferences?," MPRA Paper 76831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2003. "Taylor Rules and Interest Rate Smoothing in the US and EMU," Macroeconomics 0303002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Castelnuovo, Efrem, 2003. "Describing the Fed's conduct with Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important?," Working Paper Series 232, European Central Bank.
    7. Chauvet, Marcelle & Tierney, Heather L. R., 2007. "Real Time Changes in Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 16199, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2009.
    8. Kobayashi Teruyoshi, 2010. "Policy Irreversibility and Interest Rate Smoothing," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, October.
    9. Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Antonio Pompa Rangel, 2016. "What Do Latin American Inflation Targeters Care About? A Comparative Bayesian Estimation of Central Bank Preferences," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2016-12, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    10. D. Masciandaro, 2019. "What Bird Is That? Central Banking And Monetary Policy In The Last Forty Years," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19127, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    11. Fabio Milani, 2004. "Monetary Policy with a Wider Information Set: a Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Macroeconomics 0401004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. FIodendji, Komlan, 2011. "Should Canadian monetary policy respond to asset prices? Evidence from a structural model," MPRA Paper 28039, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Jan 2011.
    13. Grégory Levieuge & Yannick Lucotte, 2014. "A Simple Empirical Measure of Central Banks' Conservatism," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 81(2), pages 409-434, October.
    14. Edilean Kleber da Silva & Marcelo Savino Portugal, 2010. "Central Bank Preferences And Monetary Rules Under The Inflation Targeting Regime In Brazil," Working Papers 07-2010, Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade de Ribeirão Preto.
    15. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2003. "Squeezing the Interest Rate Smoothing Weight with a Hybrid Expectations Model," Working Papers 2003.6, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    16. Di Bartolomeo Giovanni & Giuli Francesco, 2009. "Fiscal and monetary interaction under monetary policy uncertainty," wp.comunite 0061, Department of Communication, University of Teramo.
    17. Grégory LEVIEUGE & Yannick LUCOTTE, 2012. "A Simple Empirical Measure of Central Bank' Conservatism," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2258, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    18. Castelnuovo Efrem, 2006. "The Fed's Preference for Policy Rate Smoothing: Overestimation Due to Misspecification?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-22, August.
    19. Lakdawala, Aeimit, 2016. "Changes in Federal Reserve preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 124-143.
    20. Richard Dennis, 2004. "Specifying and estimating New Keynesian models with instrument rules and optimal monetary policies," Working Paper Series 2004-17, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    21. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2004. "Describing the Fed's conduct with simple Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important?," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 12, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    22. Juan Paez-Farrell, 2015. "Taylor rules, central bank preferences and inflation targeting," Working Papers 2015023, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    23. Assenmacher-Wesche, Katrin, 2006. "Estimating Central Banks' preferences from a time-varying empirical reaction function," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 1951-1974, November.
    24. Aragón, Edilean Kleber da Silva Bejarano & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2009. "Central Bank preferences and monetary rules under the inflation targeting regime in Brasil," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    25. Richard Dennis, 2001. "The policy preferences of the U.S. Federal Reserve," Working Paper Series 2001-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    26. Fabio Verona & Manuel M. F. Martins & Inês Drumond, 2014. "Financial Shocks and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules," CEF.UP Working Papers 1402, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    27. Stefan Krause & Fabio Méndez, 2005. "Policy Makers' Preferences, Party Ideology, and the Political Business Cycle," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(4), pages 752-767, April.
    28. Gregory E. Givens, 2012. "Estimating Central Bank Preferences under Commitment and Discretion," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(6), pages 1033-1061, September.
    29. Fiodendji, Komlan, 2011. "Should Canadian Monetary Policy Respond to Asset Prices? Evidence from a Structural Model," MPRA Paper 27942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Maciej Ryczkowski, 2016. "Poland as an inflation nutter:The story of successful output stabilization," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 34(2), pages 363-392.
    31. Cabrera, Nilda & Bejarano, Edilean & Savino Portugal, Marcelo, 2011. "Preferences of the Central Reserve Bank of Peru and optimal monetary policy rules in the inflation targeting regime," Working Papers 2011-010, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    32. Sánchez, Marcelo, 2009. "Characterising the inflation targeting regime in South Korea," Working Paper Series 1004, European Central Bank.
    33. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    34. Verona, Fabio & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Drumond, Inês, 2017. "Financial shocks, financial stability, and optimal Taylor rules," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PB), pages 187-207.

  43. Paolo Surico, 2003. "Geographic Concentration and Increasing Returns," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(5), pages 693-708, December.

    Cited by:

    1. José Jorge & Joana Rocha, 2018. "Agglomeration and Industry Spillover Effects in the Aftermath of a Credit Shock," GEE Papers 0115, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Nov 2018.
    2. Paolo Surico, 2003. "The Agglomeration Dilemma: “Should I Stay or Should I Go?”," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(3), pages 261-275, August.
    3. José Jorge & Joana Rocha, 2018. "Agglomeration and Industry Spillover Effects in the Aftermath of a Credit Shock," CEF.UP Working Papers 1801, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    4. Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Tobias Ketterer, 2015. "Do we follow the money? The drivers of migration across regions in the EU," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 2, pages 27-45.
    5. Mr. Etienne B Yehoue, 2005. "Clusters As a Driving Engine for FDI," IMF Working Papers 2005/193, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Yehoue, Etienne B., 2009. "Clusters as a driving engine for FDI," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 934-945, September.

  44. Paolo Surico, 2003. "Asymmetric Reaction Functions for the Euro Area," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 19(1), pages 44-57.

    Cited by:

    1. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Höpner, Martin & Schäfer, Armin (ed.), 2008. "Die Politische Ökonomie der europäischen Integration," Schriften aus dem Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung Köln, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, volume 61, number 61.
    3. Fabián Gredig, 2007. "Asymmetric Monetary Policy Rules and the Achievement of the Inflation Target: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 451, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit, 2007. "How the ECB and the US Fed set interest rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(17), pages 2197-2209.
    5. Sznajderska, Anna, 2014. "Asymmetric effects in the Polish monetary policy rule," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 547-556.
    6. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "The Stress of Having a Single Monetary Policy in Europe," KOF Working papers 08-190, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    7. Carstensen, Kai & Schenkelberg, Heike, 2011. "Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics 12170, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    8. Alvaro Aguiar & Manuel Martins, 2008. "Testing for asymmetries in the preferences of the euro-area monetary policymaker," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(13), pages 1651-1667.
    9. Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2006. "Endogenous monetary policy regime change," Research Working Paper RWP 06-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    10. Ikeda, Taro, 2010. "Interest Rate Rule For The Russian Monetary Policy : Nonlinearity And Asymmetricity," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 51(1), pages 1-11, June.
    11. Belke, Ansgar & Klose, Jens, 2009. "Does the ECB Rely on a Taylor Rule? - Comparing Ex-post with Real Time Data," Ruhr Economic Papers 133, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    12. Caglayan, Mustafa & Jehan, Zainab & Mouratidis, Kostas, 2012. "Asymmetric monetary policy rules for open economies: Evidence from four countries," MPRA Paper 37401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2011. "Does the ECB Rely on a Taylor Rule During the Financial Crisis? Comparing Ex-post and Real Time Data with Real Time Forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 147-171, September.
    14. Christopher Allsopp & David Vines, 2005. "The Macroeconomic Role of Fiscal Policy," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 21(4), pages 485-508, Winter.
    15. Maritta Paloviita & Markus Haavio & Pirkka Jalasjoki & Juha Kilponen, 2021. "What Does "Below, but Close to, 2 Percent" Mean? Assessing the ECB's Reaction Function with Real-Time Data," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(2), pages 125-169, June.
    16. Brüggemann, Ralf & Riedel, Jana, 2011. "Nonlinear interest rate reaction functions for the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1174-1185, May.
    17. Stefan Gerlach & John Lewis, 2014. "ECB Reaction Functions and the Crisis of 2008," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(1), pages 137-158, March.
    18. Klose, Jens, 2016. "Country differences in the ECB monetary reaction function," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 14(PB), pages 157-167.
    19. Heimonen, Kari & Junttila, Juha & Kärkkäinen, Samu, 2017. "Stock market and exchange rate information in the Taylor rule: Evidence from OECD countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-18.
    20. Ruth, Karsten, 2004. "Interest rate reaction functions for the euro area Evidence from panel data analysis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,33, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    21. Michael Arghyrou, 2009. "Monetary policy before and after the euro: evidence from Greece," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 621-643, June.
    22. Doyle, Matthew & Falk, Barry L., 2006. "Do Asymmetric Central Bank Preferences Help Explain Observed Inflation Outcomes?," Staff General Research Papers Archive 12501, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    23. Esther Barros-Campello & Carlos Pateiro-Rodríguez & J. Venancio Salcines-Cristal & Carlos Pateiro-López, 2017. "El esquema de objetivos de inflación: Evidencia para América Latina (1999-2015)," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2 Year 20), pages 223-250, December.
    24. Wolfgang Pollan, 2012. "Incomes Policies, Expectations and the NAIRU," WIFO Working Papers 433, WIFO.
    25. Gerlach, Stefan, 2004. "Interest Rate Setting by the ECB: Words and Deeds," CEPR Discussion Papers 4775, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    26. Tomáš Heryán & Panayiotis G. Tzeremes & Roman Matousek, 2016. "European lending channel: differences in transmission mechanisms due to the global financial crisis," Working Papers 0027, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    27. Jens Klose, 2018. "Are Eastern European Taylor Reaction Functions Asymmetric in Inflation or Output: Empirical Evidence for four Countries," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201808, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    28. Ravn, Søren Hove, 2014. "Asymmetric monetary policy towards the stock market: A DSGE approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 24-41.
    29. Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Eleftheriou, Maria, 2006. "Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era: Is there a common rule?," Working Paper Series 659, European Central Bank.
    30. Rosaria Rita Canale & Pasquale Foresti & Ugo Marani & Oreste Napolitano, 2008. "On keynesian effects of (apparent) non-keynesian fiscal policies," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 5-46.
    31. Anna Sznajderska, 2012. "On asymmetric effects in a monetary policy rule. The case of Poland," NBP Working Papers 125, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    32. Taro Ikeda, 2011. "Asymmetric Preference and Inflation Bias in the Visegrad Four," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 18(1), pages 139-148, September.
    33. Naveen Srinivasan & Vidya Mahambare & M. Ramachandran, 2006. "UK monetary policy under inflation forecast targeting: is behaviour consistent with symmetric preferences?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(4), pages 706-721, October.
    34. Sauer Stephan & Sturm Jan-Egbert, 2007. "Using Taylor Rules to Understand European Central Bank Monetary Policy," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 8(3), pages 375-398, August.
    35. Özer Karagedikli & Kirdan Lees, 2007. "Do the Central Banks of Australia and New Zealand Behave Asymmetrically? Evidence from Monetary Policy Reaction Functions," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 83(261), pages 131-142, June.
    36. Paloviita, Maritta & Haavio, Markus & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha & Vänni, Ilona, 2020. "Reading between the lines: Using text analysis to estimate the loss function of the ECB," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2020, Bank of Finland.
    37. P ez-Farrell, Juan, 2007. "Monetary Policy Rules in Theory and in Practice: Evidence from the UK and the US," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2007/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
    38. Klose, Jens, 2014. "Determining structural breaks in central bank reaction functions of the financial crisis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 78-90.
    39. Andrew Hughes Hallett & John Lewis, 2015. "Monetary policy and sovereign debt: Does the ECB take the eurozone’s fiscal risks into account?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(3), pages 499-520, August.
    40. Nicolas Pinkwart, 2013. "Quantifying The European Central Bank'S Interest Rate Smoothing Behavior," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81(4), pages 470-492, July.
    41. Ahmet Benlialper & Hasan Cömert & Nadir Öcal, 2017. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Policy in Inflation Targeting Developing Countries," ERC Working Papers 1702, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Feb 2017.
    42. William Gatt, 2018. "Housing boom-bust cycles and asymmetric macroprudential policy," CBM Working Papers WP/02/2018, Central Bank of Malta.
    43. Juan Paez-Farrell, 2007. "Understanding monetary policy in Central European countries using Taylor-type rules: the case of the Visegrad four," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 5(3), pages 1-11.
    44. Heryán, Tomáš & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G., 2017. "The bank lending channel of monetary policy in EU countries during the global financial crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 10-22.
    45. Ansgar Belke & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke & Thorsten Polleit, 2005. "Back to the rules," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 268/2005, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
    46. Filippo Gori, 2016. "Disentangling the Monetary Policy Stance," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 27, Bank of Lithuania.
    47. Thanassis Kazanas & Elias Tzavalis, 2011. "Unveiling the monetary policy rule in euro area," Working Papers 130, Bank of Greece.
    48. Tomáš Heryán & Iveta Palečková & Nemanja Radić, 2015. "Comparison of monetary policy effects on lending channel in EMU and non-EMU countries: Evidence from period 1999-2012," Working Papers 0003, Silesian University, School of Business Administration.
    49. Ikeda, Taro, 2010. "Time-varying asymmetries in central bank preferences: The case of the ECB," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1054-1066, December.
    50. Beck, Günther W. & Beyer, Robert C. M. & Kontny, Markus & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Monetary Cross-Checking in Practice," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113126, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    51. Klose, Jens, 2011. "Asymmetric Taylor reaction functions of the ECB: An approach depending on the state of the economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 149-163, August.
    52. Paloviita, Maritta & Haavio, Markus & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha, 2017. "What does "below, but close to, two percent" mean? Assessing the ECB's reaction function with real time data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 29/2017, Bank of Finland.
    53. Komlan, Fiodendji, 2013. "The asymmetric reaction of monetary policy to inflation and the output gap: Evidence from Canada," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 911-923.
    54. Gerberding, Christina & Worms, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2004. "How the Bundesbank really conducted monetary policy: An analysis based on real-time data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,25, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    55. Haavio, Markus & Heikkinen, Joni & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Kilponen, Juha & Paloviita, Maritta & Vänni, Ilona, 2024. "Reading between the lines: Uncovering asymmetry in the central bank loss function," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2024, Bank of Finland.
    56. Mustafa Caglayan & Zainab Jehan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2016. "Asymmetric Monetary Policy Rules for an Open Economy: Evidence from Canada and the Uk," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 279-293, July.

Software components

    Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.

Chapters

  1. Timothy Besley & Neil Meads & Paolo Surico, 2012. "Risk Heterogeneity and Credit Supply: Evidence from the Mortgage Market," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27, pages 375-419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Paolo Surico, 2007. "Monetary Policy Shifts and Inflation Dynamics," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: David Cobham (ed.), The Travails of the Eurozone, chapter 3, pages 42-66, Palgrave Macmillan.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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