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Is gold a safe haven for exchange rate risks? An empirical study of major currency countries

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  • Wang, Kuan-Min
  • Lee, Yuan-Ming

Abstract

This study uses a TVP-VAR model to test whether gold is a safe haven for exchange rate risks. The five major world currencies are examined: the Chinese renminbi, euro, British pound, Japanese yen, and U.S. dollar. The empirical results show that (1) gold cannot hedge currency depreciation in the long run; (2) gold can hedge currency depreciation dynamic risk in the short run; (3) gold can act as a safe haven to hedge dynamic risk for the euro, dollar, and pound in the short run, but not for the renminbi and yen; and (4) the yen tends to appreciate significantly when international risks escalate, thus, it can be regarded as a safe haven currency.

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  • Wang, Kuan-Min & Lee, Yuan-Ming, 2022. "Is gold a safe haven for exchange rate risks? An empirical study of major currency countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:63:y:2022:i:c:s1042444x21000293
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2021.100705
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    4. Umar, Zaghum & Bossman, Ahmed & Choi, Sun-Yong & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "The relationship between global risk aversion and returns from safe-haven assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gold price; Exchange rate risks; Safe haven; TVP-VAR model; Impulse response;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

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