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El tamaño de las empresas y la transmisión de la política monetaria en Colombia: una aplicación con la encuesta mensual de expectativas económicas

  • Héctor M. Zárate Solano

    ()

  • Norberto Rodríguez Niño

    ()

  • Margarita Marín Jaramillo

    ()

En este documento se utiliza la información proveniente de las encuestas de expectativas económicas a los empresarios para comprobar si el efecto de la política monetaria difiere entre empresas grandes y pequeñas. La metodología econométrica se basa en los modelos de vectores autorregresivos bayesianos con cambio de régimen, MS-BVAR. Según las funciones de impulso respuesta obtenidas, ante un choque en la tasa de interés, el clima de los negocios tanto de las empresas grandes como de las pequeñas responde positivamente en el régimen de expansión del ciclo, mientras que en el régimen de contracción, las respuestas del indicador del clima de los negocios son negativas y más pronunciadas. Adicionalmente, la evidencia empírica sugiere que las empresas grandes son más sensibles a los choques de tasas de interés. Lo anterior, probablemente sea consecuencia del bajo grado de profundización financiera.

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Paper provided by Banco de la Republica de Colombia in its series Borradores de Economia with number 721.

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Length: 24
Date of creation: Jul 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:721
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  1. Ehrmann, M., 2000. "Firm Size and Monetary Policy Transmission - Evidence from German Business Survey Data," Economics Working Papers eco2000/12, European University Institute.
  2. Efrem Castelnuovo & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Monetary Policy, Inflation Expectations and the Price Puzzle," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0101, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
  3. Rocío Betancourt García & Martha Misas Arango & Leonardo Bonilla Mejía, 2008. "Pass-Through" de las tasas de interés en Colombia: Un enfoque multivariado con cambio de régimen "," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 005121, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  4. Audretsch, David B. & Elston, Julie Ann, 2000. "Does firm size matter? Evidence on the impact of liquidity constraint on firm investment behavior in Germany," HWWA Discussion Papers 113, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
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  9. Kim, C-J., 1991. "Dynamic Linear Models with Markov-Switching," Papers 91-8, York (Canada) - Department of Economics.
  10. Steven Fazzari & R. Glenn Hubbard & Bruce C. Petersen, 1987. "Financing Constraints and Corporate Investment," NBER Working Papers 2387, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  11. Ehrmann , Michael & Ellison, Martin & Valla, Natacha, 2001. "Regime-dependent impulse response functions in a Markov-switching vector autoregression model," Research Discussion Papers 11/2001, Bank of Finland.
  12. Audretsch, David B & Elston, Julie Ann, 1994. "Does Firm Size Matter? Evidence on the Impacts of Liquidity Constraints on Firm Investment Behaviour in Germany," CEPR Discussion Papers 1072, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  13. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Danny Quah, 1988. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," NBER Working Papers 2737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  14. Allan Timmermann & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 1999. "Firm Size and Cyclical Variations in Stock Returns," FMG Discussion Papers dp335, Financial Markets Group.
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