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Local Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Spillovers in the USA

Author

Listed:
  • Auerbach, Alan
  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Murphy, Daniel

Abstract

We estimate local fiscal multipliers and spillovers for the USA using a rich dataset based on the US Department of Defense contracts and a variety of outcome variables relating to income and employment. We find strong positive spillovers across locations and industries. Both backward linkages and general equilibrium effects (e.g., income multipliers) contribute to the positive spillovers. Geographical spillovers appear to dissipate fairly quickly with distance. Our evidence points to the relevance of Keynesian-type models that feature excess capacity.

Suggested Citation

  • Auerbach, Alan & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Murphy, Daniel, 2020. "Local Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Spillovers in the USA," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt88f0t0rf, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:econwp:qt88f0t0rf
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies

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