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Credit Market Distortions, Asset Prices And Monetary Policy

Author

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  • Pfajfar, Damjan
  • Santoro, Emiliano

Abstract

We study the conditions that ensure rational expectations equilibrium (REE) determinacy and expectational stability (E-stability) in a standard sticky-price model augmented with the cost channel. We allow for varying degrees of pass-through of the policy rate to bank-lending rates. Strong cost-side effects limit the size of the policy rate response to inflation that is consistent with determinacy, so that inflation-targeting policies may not be capable of ensuring REE uniqueness. In this case it is advisable to combine policy rate responses to inflation with an appropriate reaction to the output gap and/or firm profitability. The negative reaction of real activity and asset prices to inflationary shocks adds a negative force to inflation responses that counteracts the borrowing cost effect and prevents expectations of higher inflation from becoming self-fulfilling.

Suggested Citation

  • Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2014. "Credit Market Distortions, Asset Prices And Monetary Policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 631-650, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:18:y:2014:i:03:p:631-650_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Araújo, Eurilton, 2016. "Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium in a small-open economy with sticky wages and prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 16-32.
    2. Pfajfar, Damjan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2011. "Determinacy, stock market dynamics and monetary policy inertia," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 7-10, July.
    3. Hoshino, Satoshi & Ida, Daisuke, 2025. "Stock prices and monetary policy: Analysis of a Bayesian DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2009. "Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Carl E. Walsh & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.),Monetary Policy under Uncertainty and Learning, edition 1, volume 13, chapter 2, pages 027-076, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Design : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaces CentER DP 2009-007)," Discussion Paper 2011-091, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    6. Tayler, William & Zilberman, Roy, 2014. "Macroprudential Regulation and the Role of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 54885, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nkwoma, Inekwe John, 2017. "Futures-Based Measures Of Monetary Policy And Jump Risk," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 384-405, March.
    8. Tamborini, Roberto, 2009. "The "Credit-Cost Channel" of Monetary Policy. A Theoretical Assessment," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-23.
    9. Singh, Aarti & Stone, Sophie & Suda, Jacek, 2015. "Monetary policy and the financial sector," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 82-86.
    10. Kitney, Paul, 2018. "Financial factors and monetary policy: Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 194-207.
    11. Beck, Thorsten & Colciago, Andrea & Pfajfar, Damjan, 2014. "The role of financial intermediaries in monetary policy transmission," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-11.
    12. Satoshi Hoshino & Daisuke Ida, 2021. "Stock prices and monetary policy in Japan: An analysis of a Bayesian DSGE model," Discussion Papers 2116, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
    13. Ida, Daisuke, 2023. "Cost channel, determinacy, and monetary policy in a two-country new Keynesian model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    14. Yang-Chao Wang & Jui-Jung Tsai & Lanxin Lu, 2019. "The impact of Chinese monetary policy on co-movements between money and capital markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(45), pages 4939-4955, September.
    15. Best, Gabriela, 2015. "A New Keynesian model with staggered price and wage setting under learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 96-111.
    16. Xakousti Chrysanthopoulou & Nikolaos Mylonidis & Moise Sidiropoulos, 2025. "Regulatory Capital Requirements, Inflation Targeting, and Equilibrium Determinacy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 63-104, February.
    17. Machado, Vicente da Gama, 2013. "Monetary policy rules, asset prices and adaptive learning," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 251-258.
    18. Roberta CARDANI, 2008. "Optimal Monetary Policy with Wealth Effect and Cost Channel," EcoMod2008 23800021, EcoMod.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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