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Inflation Dynamics of Franc-Zone Countries Determinants, Co-movements and Spatial Interactions

Author

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  • Eric Girardin

    (AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Cheikh Sall

    (Laboratory of Chemistry, Training and Research Unit of Health - UIDT - Université Iba Der Thiam [Thiès])

Abstract

This paper shows the uneven role played in the inflation dynamics of African franc zone countries by their integration in a regional monetary union. We obtain three main results sharply contrasting the central- (CEMAC) and west-African (WAEMU) regions. First, differences in the structure of economies and national fiscal stances play a similar role in both unions and appear as potential sources of inflation differentials. Second, even though co-movements are the principal drivers of inflation dynamics in both subregions, global factors dominate regional ones in WAEMU while both play an equal role in CEMAC. Thirdly, spatial interactions are unimportant in CEMAC due to little intra-zone trade, but take an asymmetric form in WAEMU due to the large size of Ivory Coast and Senegal.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Girardin & Cheikh Sall, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics of Franc-Zone Countries Determinants, Co-movements and Spatial Interactions," Post-Print hal-01985975, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01985975
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-017-9456-x
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    Cited by:

    1. Venera Timiryanova & Irina Lakman & Vadim Prudnikov & Dina Krasnoselskaya, 2022. "Spatial Dependence of Average Prices for Product Categories and Its Change over Time: Evidence from Daily Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso, 2019. "The Euro and the CFA Franc: Evidence of Sectoral Trade Effects," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 483-504, July.

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