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Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions

  • Wolters, Maik Hendrik

Monetary policy rule parameters are usually estimated at the mean of the interest rate distribution conditional on inflation and an output gap. This is an incomplete description of monetary policy reactions when the parameters are not uniform over the conditional distribution of the interest rate. I use quantile regressions to estimate parameters over the whole conditional distribution of the Federal Funds Rate. Inverse quantile regressions are applied to deal with endogeneity. Realtime data of inflation forecasts and the output gap are used. I find significant and systematic variations of parameters over the conditional distribution of the interest rate.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 23857.

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Date of creation: 13 Jul 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:23857
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