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Heterogeneous household responses to energy price shocks

Author

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  • Gert Peersman

    (: Ghent University)

  • Joris Wauters

    (National Bank of Belgium)

Abstract

We use survey evidence on reported spending in hypothetical energy price shock scenarios to study novel features of the price elasticity of energy demand and the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) after paying the energy bill. We document several nonlinearities depending on the sign and magnitude of the energy price shock that are economically relevant, including at the extensive and intensive margins. There is also considerable heterogeneity across households. For price increases, the elasticity of energy demand appears to be significantly larger for households that will likely undertake major home renovations over the next months, and smaller for families with more appetite to consume. In contrast, MPCs depend on households’ income, saving buffer, financial uncertainty, appetite to consume, and gender of household head. Yet household characteristics hardly matter when energy prices decline; we only find smaller MPCs for households with a greater saving buffer and younger families. Finally, we show that targeted price subsidies on energy for Belgian low-income households have been much more effective in supporting non-energy consumption than the general VAT reduction on energy prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Gert Peersman & Joris Wauters, 2022. "Heterogeneous household responses to energy price shocks," Working Paper Research 416, National Bank of Belgium.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbb:reswpp:202210-416
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    File URL: https://www.nbb.be/fr/articles/heterogeneous-household-responses-energy-price-shocks
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Colabella & Luciano Lavecchia & Valentina Michelangeli & Raffaella Pico, 2023. "To eat or to heat: are energy bills squeezing people's spending?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 800, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Zhou, Youcheng & Li, Bingchen & Zhao, Mengqi, 2025. "Asymmetric association between supply chain bottlenecks and consumer energy prices: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    3. Dunke, Fabian & Nickel, Stefan, 2025. "Approximate and exact approaches to energy-aware job shop scheduling with dynamic energy tariffs and power purchase agreements," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 380(C).
    4. Gutsch, Alexandra & Schult, Christoph, 2025. "The German Energy Crisis: A TENK-based Fiscal Policy Analysis," IWH Discussion Papers 1/2025, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2025.
    5. Bardazzi, Rossella & Gastaldi, Francesca & Iafrate, Francesca & Pansini, Rosaria Vega & Pazienza, Maria Grazia & Pollastri, Corrado, 2024. "Inflation and distributional impacts: Have mitigation policies been successful for vulnerable and energy poor households?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    6. Kharroubi, Enisse & Smets, Frank, 2024. "Energy shocks as Keynesian supply shocks: Implications for fiscal policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    7. Chunyan Jiang & Yayun Wang & Wanqi Li & Runze Ding, 2025. "The time-varying bidirectional causal relationship between household education expenditure and resident credit behavior: Dynamic quantile evidence and heterogeneous mechanisms," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(8), pages 1-39, August.
    8. Mbassi, Christophe Martial & Samba, Cyrille Michel & Elomo Zogo, Thérèse, 2025. "Does monetary policy fuel energy consumption across the world? Focus on inflation targeting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    9. Jens Horbach, 2024. "Green energy transition in Europe: Importance and behaviour of private households," SEEDS Working Papers 0224, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Feb 2024.
    10. Chan, Jenny & Diz, Sebastian & Kanngiesser, Derrick, 2024. "Energy prices and household heterogeneity: Monetary policy in a Gas-TANK," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    11. Ivan Ackermann & Doina Radulescu & Doina Maria Radulescu, 2024. "Unveiling the Energy Price Tag – Assessing the Degree of Regressivity of Household Energy Expenditures Among European Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 11390, CESifo.
    12. Hodula, Martin, 2025. "Retail crypto investors when facing financial constraints: Evidence from energy shocks and the use and downloads of crypto trading apps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    13. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
    14. Saroj Bhattarai & Arpita Chatterjee & Gautham Udupa, 2024. "Food, Fuel, and Facts: Distributional Effects of Global Price Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2024-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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