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Nonlinear monetary policy and macroeconomic stabilization in emerging market economies: Evidence from China

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  • Ma, Yong

Abstract

This paper provides a new approach to investigate monetary policy nonlinearities within a micro-founded DSGE model by incorporating a transition function into the traditional Taylor rule. The model is estimated using the Bayesian method for the Chinese economy over the period 1998–2013. The empirical results show that the central bank of China actually adopts a nonlinear Taylor rule and pursues an inflation target zone of [1%, 5%] rather than sticking to a rigid target. Further results from impulse responses and welfare comparisons suggest that economic stabilization is an important motive in the conduct of monetary policy in China and the adoption of a nonlinear rule seems to serve this goal better than the traditional linear rule.

Suggested Citation

  • Ma, Yong, 2016. "Nonlinear monetary policy and macroeconomic stabilization in emerging market economies: Evidence from China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 461-480.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:40:y:2016:i:3:p:461-480
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.12.003
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    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Macroeconomic stabilization; Nonlinear Taylor rule;

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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