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A quantitative exploration of the opportunistic approach to disinflation

  • Aksoy, Yunus
  • Orphanides, Athanasios
  • Small, David
  • Wieland, Volker
  • Wilcox, David

Under a conventional policy rule, a central bank adjusts its policy rate linearly according to the gap between inflation and its target, and the gap between output and its potential. Under “the opportunistic approach to disinflation” a central bank controls inflation aggressively when inflation is far from its target, but concentrates more on output stabilization when inflation is close to its target, allowing supply shocks and unforeseen fluctuations in aggregate demand to move inflation within a certain band. We use stochastic simulations of a smallscale rational expectations model to contrast the behavior of output and inflation under opportunistic and linear rules.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Monetary Economics.

Volume (Year): 53 (2006)
Issue (Month): 8 (November)
Pages: 1877-1893

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Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:53:y:2006:i:8:p:1877-1893
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505566

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