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The Evolution of Macro Models at the Federal Reserve Board

Author

Listed:
  • Flint Brayton
  • Andrew T. Levin
  • Ralph W. Tryon
  • John C. Williams

Abstract

Large-scale macroeconomic models have been used at the Federal Reserve Board for nearly thirty years. After briefly reviewing the first generation of Fed models, which were based on the IS/LM/Phillips curve paradigm, the paper describes the structure and properties of a new set of models. The new models are more explicit in their treatment of expectations formation and household and firm intertemporal decisionmaking. The incorporation of more rigorous theoretical microfoundations is accomplished while maintaining a high standard of goodness of fit. Simulations illustrate the effects of alternative assumptions about the formation of expectations and policy credibility on system properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Flint Brayton & Andrew T. Levin & Ralph W. Tryon & John C. Williams, "undated". "The Evolution of Macro Models at the Federal Reserve Board," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfe:1997-29
    as

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    File URL: http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/1997/199729/199729pap.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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