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Inflation dynamics and monetary policy transmission in Vietnam and emerging Asia

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  • Bhattacharya, Rina

Abstract

This paper provides an overview of inflation developments in Vietnam in the years following the doi moi reforms, and uses empirical analysis to answer two key questions: (i) what are the key drivers of inflation in Vietnam, and what role does monetary policy play? and (ii) why has inflation in Vietnam been persistently higher than in most other emerging market economies in the region? It focuses on understanding the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Vietnam, and in understanding the extent to which monetary policy can explain why inflation in Vietnam has been higher than in other Asian emerging markets over the past decade.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhattacharya, Rina, 2014. "Inflation dynamics and monetary policy transmission in Vietnam and emerging Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 16-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:34:y:2014:i:c:p:16-26
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2014.05.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. World Bank, 2025. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2025," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 42452, April.
    2. Narayan, Seema & Cirikisuva, Salote & Naivutu, Revoni, 2023. "A hybrid NKPC inflation model for the small Island state of Fiji," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 873-886.
    3. Maliny Sourigna & Shuzhen Zhu & Atsara Chanthavieng, 2018. "The Study of Monetary Policy Instruments and Implementation Challenge in Laos," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(2), pages 169-178, February.
    4. Josef Bajzik & Jan Janku & Simona Malovana & Klara Moravcova & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2023. "Monetary Policy Has a Long-Lasting Impact on Credit: Evidence from 91 VAR Studies," Working Papers 2023/19, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    5. Ly Dai Hung, 2021. "Economic Growth with Public and Foreign Investment in Vietnam," Working Papers hal-03241846, HAL.
    6. Sriyana, Jaka, 2018. "Inflationary effects of fiscal and monetary policies in Indonesia," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 14(3), June.
    7. Su Dinh Thanh, 2015. "Threshold effects of infl ation on growth in the ASEAN-5 countries: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression approach," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 20(38), pages 41-48.
    8. Sy-Hoa Ho & Idir Hafrad & Viet Dung Tran, 2022. "Asymmetric exchange rates pass-through in Vietnam," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1657-1672.
    9. Bhattacharya, Rudrani, 2023. "Does Monetary Policy in India Anchor Inflation Expectation?," Working Papers 23/395, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    10. Vuong, Quan-Hoang, 2017. "The Vietnamese financial economy: reforms and development, 1986-2016," OSF Preprints g7e6t, Center for Open Science.
    11. Jaka Sriyana & Jiyao Joanna Ge, 2019. "Asymmetric responses of fiscal policy to the inflation rate in Indonesia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1701-1713.
    12. Ho, Sy-Hoa & Hafrad, Idir, 2020. "Asymmetric exchange rates pass-through: New evidence from Vietnam," MPRA Paper 98651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Majed Alharthi, 2020. "What Drives Inflation in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 133-141, March.
    14. Pham, Thai-Binh & Sala, Hector, 2019. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price and risk-premium shocks on Vietnam: Evidence from an over-identifying SVAR analysis," MPRA Paper 96873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jul 2019.
    15. Anwar, Sajid & Nguyen, Lan Phi, 2018. "Channels of monetary policy transmission in Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 709-729.
    16. Sahu, Priyanka, 2018. "The Impact of Shocks on Core Inflation; Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 86588, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Nam Hoai Tran & Chi Dat Le, 2017. "Financial conditions and corporate investment: evidence from Vietnam," Pacific Accounting Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(2), pages 183-203, April.
    18. Tran, Quoc Trung, 2020. "Monetary loosening and cash holdings: Evidence from an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    19. Economou, Fotini & Panagopoulos, Yannis, 2023. "Assessing the credit creation process under the Basel III framework: Some evidence from the Eurozone," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    20. Priyanka Sahu, 2021. "A Study on the Dynamic Behaviour of Headline Versus Core Inflation: Evidence from India," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(6), pages 1574-1593, December.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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